IM Australia 2013 – Predictions
The next Ironman is coming up. After the big race in Melbourne, Port Macquarie struggles a bit to come up with a decent field. So far, the race doesn’t seem to have much appeal to athletes outside of Australia or New Zealand. Looks like a good chance to sneak into the field for a podium finish, even if the race only has a 1.000 points for the winner and a total price purse of 25k$.
Previous Year’s TOP 3
Male Race Results
Rank | Name | Nation | Swim | Bike | Run | Time |
1 | Paul Ambrose | GBR | 00:46:18 | 04:31:25 | 02:57:12 | 08:17:38 |
2 | Tim Berkel | AUS | 00:48:49 | 04:42:04 | 02:47:20 | 08:21:11 |
3 | Jason Shortis | AUS | 00:50:28 | 04:53:51 | 02:51:57 | 08:40:02 |
Female Race Results
Rank | Name | Nation | Swim | Bike | Run | Time |
1 | Michelle Gailey | AUS | 00:51:48 | 05:29:57 | 03:08:38 | 09:34:57 |
2 | Nicole Ward | AUS | 00:51:50 | 05:28:57 | 03:20:47 | 09:44:40 |
3 | Hillary Biscay | USA | 00:50:40 | 05:29:13 | 03:34:04 | 09:58:19 |
Course Records
Leg | Gender | Record | Athlete | Date |
Total | overall | 08:17:38 | Paul Ambrose | 2012-04-29 |
Swim | overall | 00:46:09 | Shane Gibbs | 2006-05-11 |
Bike | overall | 04:31:25 | Paul Ambrose | 2012-04-29 |
Run | overall | 02:47:20 | Tim Berkel | 2012-04-29 |
Total | female | 08:57:10 | Chrissie Wellington | 2009-04-05 |
Swim | female | 00:48:42 | Melissa Ashton | 2006-05-11 |
Bike | female | 05:05:02 | Chrissie Wellington | 2009-04-05 |
Run | female | 03:01:06 | Lisa Bentley | 2006-05-11 |
Course Rating
The Course Rating for IM Australia is 03:37.
Race Adjustments for IM Australia
Year | Adjustment | # of Athletes | Rating |
2005 | n/a | 0 | n/a |
2006 | 00:43 | 16 | 00:43 |
2007 | 02:17 | 24 | 01:30 |
2008 | 00:14 | 20 | 01:04 |
2009 | 02:48 | 24 | 01:30 |
2010 | 08:31 | 14 | 02:54 |
2011 | 03:23 | 13 | 02:59 |
2012 | 07:24 | 9 | 03:37 |
KPR points and Price Money
IM Australia has 1000 KPR points for the winner. It has a total price purse of 25k$.
Male Race Participants
Rank | Name | Nation | Expected Time | Rating | Rank | Swim Rating | Bike Rating | Run Rating |
1 | Luke Bell | AUS | 08:45:42 | 08:49:15 | 87 | 00:47:49 | 04:41:08 | 03:17:49 |
2 | Jason Shortis | AUS | 08:53:47 | 08:57:23 | 122 | 00:54:00 | 04:51:40 | 03:03:20 |
3 | Patrick Evoe | USA | 08:55:25 | 08:59:02 | 131 | 00:55:50 | 04:45:58 | 03:12:25 |
4 | Luke Whitmore | AUS | 08:57:33 | 09:01:11 | 143 | 00:53:50 | 05:08:36 | 03:00:31 |
5 | Todd Israel | AUS | 09:01:03 | 09:04:42 | 167 | 00:50:25 | 05:00:48 | 03:10:53 |
6 | Scott Defilippis | USA | 09:06:39 | 09:10:20 | 198 | 00:56:24 | 04:59:02 | 03:05:04 |
7 | Chris Legh | AUS | 09:24:11 | 09:27:59 | 307 | 00:49:25 | 04:48:48 | 03:55:37 |
8 | Dan Brown | PHI | 09:41:05 | 09:45:00 | 404 | 01:01:39 | unrated | unrated |
9 | Timothy Beardall | AUS | 09:47:17 | 09:51:15 | 440 | 01:01:36 | 04:47:56 | 03:55:57 |
10 | Jon Woods | NZL | 10:01:22 | 10:05:25 | 506 | 00:55:46 | 05:05:14 | 03:57:21 |
Timothy Molesworth | AUS | n/a | unrated | n/a | unrated | unrated | unrated | |
Monty Frankish | AUS | n/a | unrated | n/a | unrated | unrated | unrated |
Female Race Participants
Rank | Name | Nation | Expected Time | Rating | Swim Rating | Bike Rating | Run Rating | Rank |
1 | Rebecca Hoschke | AUS | 09:41:54 | 09:45:49 | 01:00:13 | 05:17:58 | 03:22:55 | 55 |
2 | Nicole Ward | AUS | 09:56:09 | 10:00:10 | 00:54:13 | 05:33:51 | 03:29:38 | 95 |
3 | Tamsyn Hayes | NZL | 10:12:34 | 10:16:42 | 00:58:49 | 05:21:57 | 03:47:57 | 142 |
4 | Ange Castle | AUS | 10:36:55 | 10:41:13 | 01:12:03 | 05:49:49 | 03:31:44 | 194 |
Winning Odds
Male Race Participants
- Luke Bell: 34% (2-1)
- Patrick Evoe: 26% (3-1)
- Jason Shortis: 16% (5-1)
- Scott Defilippis: 13% (6-1)
- Todd Israel: 7% (14-1)
- Luke Whitmore: 3% (29-1)
Female Race Participants
- Rebecca Hoschke: 43% (1-1)
- Nicole Ward: 41% (1-1)
- Tamsyn Hayes: 9% (10-1)
- Ange Castle: 2% (61-1)
Results for Luke Bell (AUS)
Race | Date | Swim | Bike | Run | Total | Adjusted | Rating | Rank in Race |
IM New York | 2012-08-11 | 00:39:08 | 04:37:54 | 03:18:52 | 08:39:20 | 08:46:17 | 08:49:15 | 9 |
IM Cairns | 2012-06-02 | 00:47:52 | 04:33:54 | 03:44:11 | 09:10:18 | 09:14:35 | 08:49:44 | 10 |
IM Melbourne | 2012-03-24 | 00:47:22 | 04:27:47 | 02:52:13 | 08:10:38 | 08:19:36 | 08:45:13 | 7 |
IM Texas | 2011-05-21 | 00:49:24 | 04:26:03 | 02:53:20 | 08:12:22 | 08:20:46 | 08:50:32 | 3 |
IM Western Australia | 2010-12-05 | 00:47:42 | 04:28:05 | 03:02:51 | 08:21:33 | 08:27:33 | 08:56:18 | 4 |
IM Hawaii | 2010-10-09 | 00:51:42 | 04:40:05 | 03:48:33 | 09:24:34 | 09:24:14 | 09:02:13 | 51 |
IM Coeur d’Alene | 2010-06-27 | 00:52:19 | 04:40:08 | 03:07:30 | 08:43:16 | 08:50:13 | 08:56:50 | 4 |
IM Canada | 2009-08-30 | 00:48:35 | 04:40:50 | 03:53:50 | 09:26:26 | 09:30:43 | 08:58:45 | 19 |
IM Western Australia | 2008-12-07 | 00:48:11 | 04:29:08 | 03:57:49 | 09:15:09 | 09:31:49 | 08:49:16 | 18 |
IM Australia | 2008-04-06 | 00:47:49 | 05:06:24 | 03:02:04 | 08:56:17 | 08:56:31 | 08:35:45 | 6 |
IM New Zealand | 2007-03-03 | 00:47:27 | 04:42:27 | 02:53:15 | 08:27:41 | 08:32:04 | 08:28:24 | 2 |
IM Hawaii | 2006-10-21 | 00:53:57 | 04:29:34 | 02:56:55 | 08:24:26 | 08:19:56 | 08:27:07 | 7 |
IM Brasil | 2006-01-01 | 00:45:27 | 04:33:11 | 02:57:11 | 08:15:48 | 08:29:29 | 08:30:24 | 2 |
IM Hawaii | 2005-10-15 | 00:52:14 | 04:37:04 | 03:00:08 | 08:33:43 | 08:30:39 | 08:30:56 | 13 |
IM Australia | 2005-04-08 | 00:47:09 | 04:40:09 | 03:03:58 | 08:31:16 | 08:31:16 | 08:31:16 | 2 |
Results for Jason Shortis (AUS)
Race | Date | Swim | Bike | Run | Total | Adjusted | Rating | Rank in Race |
IM Western Australia | 2012-12-09 | 00:53:56 | 04:42:11 | 02:58:19 | 08:38:30 | 08:51:47 | 08:57:23 | 4 |
IM Louisville | 2012-08-26 | 00:59:37 | 04:50:40 | 03:25:27 | 09:21:24 | 09:26:27 | 08:57:56 | 4 |
IM Cairns | 2012-06-02 | 00:54:10 | 04:46:45 | 03:06:58 | 08:53:25 | 08:57:34 | 08:55:07 | 7 |
IM Australia | 2012-04-29 | 00:50:28 | 04:53:51 | 02:51:57 | 08:40:02 | 08:47:10 | 08:54:52 | 3 |
IM Melbourne | 2012-03-24 | 00:54:40 | 04:36:00 | 03:22:15 | 08:57:33 | 09:07:23 | 08:55:43 | 21 |
IM Western Australia | 2011-12-04 | 00:53:05 | 04:40:01 | 02:49:58 | 08:27:31 | 08:31:00 | 08:54:19 | 3 |
IM Canada | 2011-08-28 | 00:56:50 | 05:07:28 | 03:04:50 | 09:12:55 | 09:16:23 | 08:57:12 | 10 |
IM Lake Placid | 2011-07-24 | 00:57:39 | 04:53:59 | 02:50:24 | 08:47:18 | 08:48:54 | 08:54:44 | 3 |
IM Australia | 2011-05-01 | 08:46:07 | 08:49:25 | 08:55:34 | 3 | |||
IM Louisville | 2010-08-29 | 00:55:40 | 04:37:21 | 04:34:06 | 10:12:54 | 10:08:44 | 08:56:31 | 11 |
IM South Africa | 2010-04-25 | 00:55:04 | 04:44:01 | 02:51:46 | 08:34:52 | 08:39:34 | 08:45:57 | 4 |
IM Western Australia | 2009-12-05 | 00:55:28 | 04:38:40 | 03:03:11 | 08:37:20 | 08:51:27 | 08:46:56 | 6 |
IM Lake Placid | 2009-07-26 | 00:55:39 | 04:56:22 | 03:00:31 | 08:58:09 | 08:56:32 | 08:46:13 | 3 |
IM Australia | 2009-04-05 | 00:55:06 | 05:03:31 | 03:03:45 | 09:02:22 | 09:05:10 | 08:44:30 | 10 |
IM Western Australia | 2008-12-07 | 00:50:43 | 04:26:37 | 02:53:36 | 08:10:57 | 08:25:42 | 08:40:47 | 2 |
IM Wisconsin | 2008-09-07 | 00:55:10 | 04:59:57 | 02:58:05 | 08:59:14 | 09:00:33 | 08:43:44 | 3 |
IM Western Australia | 2007-12-01 | 00:52:34 | 04:48:54 | 02:54:15 | 08:35:43 | 08:58:49 | 08:40:00 | 12 |
IM Australia | 2007-04-08 | 00:49:38 | 04:46:39 | 02:49:17 | 08:25:34 | 08:27:42 | 08:35:55 | 2 |
IM Western Australia | 2006-12-03 | 00:50:05 | 04:29:52 | 02:43:58 | 08:03:55 | 08:17:53 | 08:37:43 | 1 |
IM Korea | 2006-08-27 | 08:34:09 | 08:37:52 | 08:42:38 | 5 | |||
Challenge Roth | 2006-06-24 | 00:50:58 | 04:37:18 | 02:50:58 | 08:30:55 | 08:42:41 | 08:44:03 | 8 |
IM Australia | 2006-05-11 | 00:50:28 | 04:54:53 | 02:50:48 | 08:36:09 | 08:36:50 | 08:44:35 | 3 |
IM Hawaii | 2005-10-15 | 00:58:43 | 04:37:42 | 03:16:20 | 08:57:06 | 08:53:54 | 08:49:21 | 36 |
Challenge Roth | 2005-06-24 | 00:54:07 | 04:36:52 | 02:44:52 | 08:27:25 | 08:44:22 | 08:44:22 | 8 |
Results for Patrick Evoe (USA)
Race | Date | Swim | Bike | Run | Total | Adjusted | Rating | Rank in Race |
IM Cozumel | 2012-11-25 | 00:58:00 | 04:38:02 | 04:03:03 | 09:42:47 | 09:46:20 | 08:59:02 | 24 |
IM Louisville | 2012-08-26 | 00:58:15 | 04:33:31 | 03:06:01 | 08:42:44 | 08:47:26 | 08:50:19 | 1 |
IM Cozumel | 2011-11-27 | 00:53:02 | 04:24:09 | 02:59:23 | 08:30:36 | 08:37:09 | 08:50:55 | 2 |
IM Louisville | 2011-08-28 | 00:54:16 | 04:39:10 | 02:52:26 | 08:30:35 | 08:40:26 | 08:53:41 | 2 |
IM Texas | 2011-05-21 | 00:58:30 | 04:30:26 | 02:59:28 | 08:32:29 | 08:41:14 | 08:56:43 | 8 |
IM Cozumel | 2010-11-28 | 08:35:27 | 08:44:30 | 09:00:53 | 7 | |||
IM Louisville | 2010-08-29 | 00:56:07 | 04:48:06 | 03:03:40 | 08:53:14 | 08:49:36 | 09:05:55 | 4 |
IM Coeur d’Alene | 2010-06-27 | 01:00:55 | 04:51:38 | 02:56:10 | 08:52:05 | 08:59:09 | 09:12:27 | 7 |
IM Cozumel | 2009-11-29 | 00:51:00 | 04:45:52 | 05:28:43 | 11:09:12 | 11:14:12 | 09:59:32 | 12 |
IM Hawaii | 2008-10-11 | 01:03:30 | 05:19:23 | 03:29:10 | 09:56:43 | 09:49:35 | 09:20:37 | 60 |
IM Lake Placid | 2008-07-20 | 00:57:48 | 04:57:50 | 03:12:49 | 09:14:18 | 09:11:51 | 09:03:10 | 9 |
IM Louisville | 2007-08-26 | 00:59:09 | 04:49:47 | 03:03:55 | 08:59:16 | 08:51:56 | 08:51:56 | 5 |
Results for Luke Whitmore (AUS)
Race | Date | Swim | Bike | Run | Total | Adjusted | Rating | Rank in Race |
IM Western Australia | 2011-12-04 | 00:53:07 | 04:57:46 | 02:59:07 | 08:54:35 | 08:58:15 | 09:01:11 | 9 |
IM Australia | 2011-05-01 | 08:54:57 | 08:58:18 | 09:03:16 | 6 | |||
IM Western Australia | 2009-12-05 | 00:54:14 | 04:56:56 | 03:04:53 | 08:56:04 | 09:10:42 | 09:10:42 | 8 |
Results for Todd Israel (AUS)
Race | Date | Swim | Bike | Run | Total | Adjusted | Rating | Rank in Race |
IM Germany | 2012-07-08 | 00:48:20 | 05:05:33 | 03:16:04 | 09:14:54 | 09:24:45 | 09:04:42 | 19 |
IM Melbourne | 2012-03-24 | 00:50:43 | 04:40:08 | 02:58:32 | 08:33:31 | 08:42:54 | 08:42:54 | 15 |
Results for Scott Defilippis (USA)
Race | Date | Swim | Bike | Run | Total | Adjusted | Rating | Rank in Race |
IM New Zealand | 2013-03-02 | 00:51:53 | 04:58:56 | 03:20:25 | 09:18:34 | 09:23:31 | 09:10:20 | 11 |
IM Florida | 2012-11-03 | 00:57:44 | 04:18:46 | 02:47:29 | 08:09:33 | 08:24:36 | 09:08:10 | 3 |
IM Switzerland | 2012-07-15 | 00:59:04 | 05:00:12 | 02:43:52 | 08:46:42 | 08:51:59 | 09:15:51 | 5 |
Challenge Wanaka | 2012-01-21 | 00:58:13 | 05:12:44 | 03:00:04 | 09:16:00 | 09:09:29 | 09:20:28 | 7 |
IM Florida | 2011-11-05 | 00:56:37 | 04:36:22 | 02:48:23 | 08:27:13 | 08:47:12 | 09:22:41 | 8 |
IM France | 2011-06-26 | 00:56:03 | 04:59:32 | 03:23:49 | 09:26:26 | 09:28:28 | 09:31:00 | 13 |
IM St. George | 2011-05-07 | 09:58:05 | 09:47:36 | 09:31:41 | 15 | |||
IM Florida | 2010-11-06 | 00:57:58 | 04:41:24 | 02:57:29 | 08:43:35 | 08:55:13 | 09:26:09 | 11 |
IM St. George | 2010-05-01 | 01:02:23 | 05:34:51 | 03:06:52 | 09:53:07 | 09:43:07 | 09:39:28 | 17 |
IM Florida | 2009-11-07 | 04:55:10 | 03:28:46 | 09:31:53 | 09:46:48 | 09:37:19 | 16 | |
IM Louisville | 2009-08-28 | 01:04:50 | 05:00:43 | 03:13:22 | 09:25:00 | 09:27:17 | 09:27:17 | 16 |
Results for Chris Legh (AUS)
Race | Date | Swim | Bike | Run | Total | Adjusted | Rating | Rank in Race |
IM Australia | 2006-05-11 | 00:46:28 | 04:56:39 | 03:54:43 | 09:37:50 | 09:38:36 | 09:27:59 | 15 |
IM Australia | 2005-04-08 | 00:50:56 | 09:13:27 | 09:13:27 | 09:13:27 | 13 |
Results for Dan Brown (PHI)
Race | Date | Swim | Bike | Run | Total | Adjusted | Rating | Rank in Race |
IM Arizona | 2012-11-18 | 01:06:04 | 09:40:56 | 09:52:37 | 09:45:00 | 28 | ||
IM Australia | 2012-04-29 | 00:56:46 | 05:42:34 | 06:44:37 | 13:29:04 | 13:40:10 | 08:59:20 | 6 |
IM Korea | 2006-08-27 | 08:55:28 | 08:59:20 | 08:59:20 | 8 |
Results for Timothy Beardall (AUS)
Race | Date | Swim | Bike | Run | Total | Adjusted | Rating | Rank in Race |
IM Arizona | 2012-11-18 | 01:03:19 | 04:26:04 | 03:33:10 | 09:06:59 | 09:18:00 | 09:51:15 | 25 |
IM Florida | 2012-11-03 | 01:02:14 | 04:32:43 | 04:31:39 | 10:12:28 | 10:31:18 | 10:08:32 | 25 |
IM Louisville | 2012-08-26 | 01:08:01 | 04:44:44 | 03:40:34 | 09:39:18 | 09:44:30 | 09:44:30 | 6 |
Results for Jon Woods (NZL)
Race | Date | Swim | Bike | Run | Total | Adjusted | Rating | Rank in Race |
IM Western Australia | 2012-12-09 | 00:57:12 | 04:56:19 | 03:52:27 | 09:50:18 | 10:05:25 | 10:05:25 | 15 |
Results for Timothy Molesworth (AUS)
Race | Date | Swim | Bike | Run | Total | Adjusted | Rating | Rank in Race |
Results for Monty Frankish (AUS)
Race | Date | Swim | Bike | Run | Total | Adjusted | Rating | Rank in Race |
Results for Rebecca Hoschke (AUS)
Race | Date | Swim | Bike | Run | Total | Adjusted | Rating | Rank in Race |
IM Western Australia | 2012-12-09 | 01:02:44 | 05:03:28 | 03:09:26 | 09:19:48 | 09:34:08 | 09:45:49 | 3 |
Challenge Roth | 2012-07-08 | 00:56:26 | 05:16:16 | 03:30:21 | 09:46:41 | 10:00:23 | 09:52:30 | 14 |
IM Cairns | 2012-06-02 | 01:02:05 | 05:10:29 | 03:21:17 | 09:39:53 | 09:44:24 | 09:44:24 | 5 |
Results for Nicole Ward (AUS)
Race | Date | Swim | Bike | Run | Total | Adjusted | Rating | Rank in Race |
IM Western Australia | 2012-12-09 | 00:54:03 | 05:22:03 | 03:23:13 | 09:43:29 | 09:58:26 | 10:00:10 | 6 |
IM Australia | 2012-04-29 | 00:51:50 | 05:28:57 | 03:20:47 | 09:44:40 | 09:52:41 | 10:00:33 | 2 |
Challenge Wanaka | 2012-01-21 | 00:54:21 | 05:40:05 | 03:33:45 | 10:12:39 | 10:05:28 | 10:02:21 | 6 |
IM Australia | 2011-05-01 | 09:49:23 | 09:53:04 | 10:01:31 | 3 | |||
IM Coeur d’Alene | 2010-06-27 | 00:55:45 | 05:32:36 | 03:25:07 | 09:56:48 | 10:04:43 | 10:03:53 | 6 |
IM New Zealand | 2010-03-06 | 00:54:40 | 05:26:17 | 03:25:18 | 09:51:05 | 09:58:27 | 10:03:39 | 6 |
IM Hawaii | 2009-10-10 | 00:59:49 | 05:44:20 | 03:32:01 | 10:20:46 | 10:06:01 | 10:05:28 | 32 |
IM New Zealand | 2009-03-07 | 00:54:39 | 05:32:39 | 03:23:42 | 09:56:04 | 10:05:35 | 10:05:14 | 7 |
IM Western Australia | 2008-12-07 | 00:56:17 | 05:20:10 | 03:26:44 | 09:43:12 | 10:00:43 | 10:05:01 | 5 |
IM Western Australia | 2007-12-01 | 00:57:28 | 05:22:18 | 03:24:49 | 09:44:35 | 10:10:46 | 10:10:46 | 9 |
Results for Tamsyn Hayes (NZL)
Race | Date | Swim | Bike | Run | Total | Adjusted | Rating | Rank in Race |
Challenge Wanaka | 2013-01-19 | 01:06:44 | 05:29:15 | 03:39:54 | 10:21:04 | 10:17:59 | 10:16:42 | 5 |
Challenge Kopenhagen | 2012-08-11 | 00:57:47 | 05:15:53 | 04:07:51 | 10:26:01 | 10:43:08 | 10:16:11 | 8 |
Challenge Roth | 2012-07-08 | 00:54:13 | 05:14:02 | 03:29:34 | 09:41:06 | 09:54:40 | 10:01:26 | 13 |
Challenge Wanaka | 2012-01-21 | 01:00:06 | 05:23:19 | 03:44:29 | 10:16:23 | 10:09:09 | 10:09:09 | 7 |
Results for Ange Castle (AUS)
Race | Date | Swim | Bike | Run | Total | Adjusted | Rating | Rank in Race |
IM Cairns | 2012-06-02 | 01:13:46 | 05:41:47 | 03:33:04 | 10:36:16 | 10:41:13 | 10:41:13 | 6 |