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February 2015

Women For Tri – An Encouraging Start

Ironman and LifeTime Fitness have started the „Women For Tri“ initiative, which was established to grow female participation in triathlon. They have announced an advisory board which met for the first time at the Ironman headquarter in Florida on Wednesday, February 4th.

WomenForTri
(Photo from a Tweet by Christopher Stadler)

There have been quite a few reports of the meeting (for example an article by board member Julia Polloreno on the triathlete website), and a lot of my initial reservations about the initiative have been alleviated:

  1. While the meetings are of course not open to the public, a lot of information about the meeting has been reported. I find it very encouraging that the board seems to be interested in an open discussion of the issues at hand, and isn’t dealing behind closed doors.
  2. While the main mission of the board is to “identify the actual barriers to entry for women in the sport“, they have also discussed the related issue of equal qualifying spots for professional men and women in Kona.

There was a lot of pressure on social media encouraging the board to take up issue #2, and I’m glad that they are engaging in the discussion. I also think that granting equal slots will have a positive effect on improving female participation in general.

In the spirit of public discussion, I’d like to have a closer look at the arguments presented for continuing with the disparate slot count. In her post Julia reports on statements by Ironman CEO Andrew Messick:

His position has been that there are 50 pro men who are competitive enough to factor into the Kona race dynamic and have a legitimate shot at a top finish at the world championship. As an example, he cited pro Ronnie Schildknecht, who was at the bottom of the KPR standings heading into Kona last year but still finished 12th.

While I was happy to see Ronnie qualify and race well in Kona, he is not representative of the male athletes that qualified at the bottom of the KPR: The last 11 qualifiers were Dan Halksworth (DNF), Chris McDonald (DNF), Elliot Holtham (35th), TJ Tollakson (DNF), Harry Wiltshire (29th), Richie Cunningham (DNF), Chris Brader (28th), Justin Daerr (26th), Ronnie Schildknecht (12th), Andreas Raelert (36th and last finisher), and Paul Ambrose (30th). Of course there are some examples of people qualifying at the bottom of the KPR that are still doing well in Kona – the most notable this year was Ben Hoffmann who qualified as 29th male in July (so he wouldn’t have qualified in the women’s field) who finished 2nd in Kona.

The unspoken implication of this argument is that the additional women that would have qualified if there were more slots wouldn’t have played a role in Kona. I don’t agree with that sentiment – so let’s look at some of the women who probably would have qualified with extra slots. The inclusion of Angela Naeth, Amy Marsh, Sophie Goos, Rebekah Keat, Eimear Mullan, or Laura Bennett would clearly have had an impact on the Top 10 finishers this year! A similar example to Ben Hoffman in this year’s men’s field is Rachel Joyce in 2013 when she barely qualified as #34 in the KPR but continued to finish 2nd in Kona.

He says that the pro women’s field isn’t yet deep enough to justify 50 slots.

I have addressed this perception in my recent post „Women’s Field as Deep as Men’s?“. I was able to demonstrate that there is not perceptible difference between the depth of men and women – at least up to #35 where men and women are on a level playing field. ( An analysis up to #50 would require 50 women in Kona.) Repeating that women lack the depth doesn’t make the statement any more convincing.

[G]iven the rigidly static number of available Kona qualifying slots, adding 15 to the pro women’s field would require taking those slots away from other people, potentially the pro men.

This is another argument that is frequently cited: „Kona is full“ (I always hear an undertone of „so there is nothing we can do for the Pro women”). I find that hard to believe:

  • For Kona 2015 qualifying Ironman has added ten more slots by giving the winners of the five Regional Championships a direct Kona slot.
  • Whenever there are new Ironman races, they always come with a sizable number of Kona slots. Most recent examples are IM Muskoka (50 slots), IM Netherlands (50 slots) and IM Vichy (50 slots).
  • Andrew Messick himself has said that it’s not space on the pier that limits the field size in Kona:
    “The big challenge that we have in Kona is not in fact the size of the pier, which is what most people think, but rather the extreme concentration of gifted athletes in that particular race. It creates problems unique to Kona. Last year we had 1,100 athletes get out of the water in a 15-minute period, between 55 minutes and 1:10. That concentration of really strong swimmers, all of whom can ride a bike, is our operational limiter.”
    Adding 15 Pro women won’t have any impact on the congestion in the men’s age group race.
  • Even if the number of slots has reached it’s maximum, Ironman isn’t helpless: It is simply their choice whether to assign 15 slots to the a new race, an existing race or the Pro women. I don’t believe that the only thing on their mind is the less than $10.000 they make from age grouper slots.

Overall, I am encouraged by the first meeting of the „Women for Tri“ board, their discussion and the information that is being shared about it. I hope that the open dialog continues and that there will be changes that help increase participation of women in triathlon while removing unequal treatment of women in our sport.

Challenge Wanaka 2015 (Feb 22nd) – Predictions

Wanaka

Previous Winners

Year Male Winner Time Female Winner Time
2007 Luke Dragstra (CAN) 08:54:17 Belinda Granger (AUS) 09:38:26
2008 Marc Pschebizin (GER) 08:47:49 Gina Crawford (NZL) 09:33:46
2009 Chris McDonald (AUS) 08:37:41 Gina Crawford (NZL) 09:28:27
2010 Richard Ussher (NZL) 08:34:41 Gina Crawford (NZL) 09:28:57
2011 Jamie Whyte (NZL) 09:03:53 Belinda Granger (AUS) 10:26:17
2012 Aaron Farlow (AUS) 08:41:53 Gina Crawford (NZL) 09:44:06
2013 Dylan McNeice (NZL) 08:51:18 Gina Crawford (NZL) 09:24:31
2014 Dylan McNeice (NZL) 08:38:48 Candice Hammond (NZL) 09:33:54

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Dylan McNeice NZL 00:46:25 04:51:26 02:56:58 08:38:48
2 Richard Ussher NZL 00:53:16 04:53:18 02:58:57 08:49:49
3 Dougal Allan NZL 01:03:42 04:45:22 03:01:03 08:54:37

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Candice Hammond NZL 01:03:50 05:09:56 03:15:38 09:33:54
2 Gina Crawford NZL 00:53:20 05:20:18 03:21:51 09:41:08
3 Simone Maier GER 01:05:43 05:21:40 03:15:32 09:48:50

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 08:34:41 Richard Ussher 2010-01-16
Swim overall 00:46:25 Dylan McNeice 2014-01-18
Bike overall 04:42:26 Richard Ussher 2010-01-16
Run overall 02:48:04 Marc Pschebizin 2008-01-19
Total female 09:24:31 Gina Crawford 2013-01-19
Swim female 00:50:01 Gina Crawford 2008-01-19
Bike female 05:08:30 Gina Crawford 2013-01-19
Run female 03:08:59 Rebekah Keat 2010-01-16

Course Rating

The Course Rating for Challenge Wanaka is – 04:39.

Race Adjustments for Challenge Wanaka

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Athletes Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2007 03:46 00:37 -07:25 04:57 6 03:46 00:37 -07:25 04:57
2008 -00:03 01:09 -10:25 01:30 10 01:51 00:53 -08:55 03:13
2009 04:05 -03:38 -01:57 05:27 11 02:36 -00:37 -06:36 03:58
2010 00:21 -01:49 -01:14 02:57 13 02:02 -00:55 -05:15 03:43
2011 -26:44 -02:46 -22:35 -03:33 13 -03:43 -01:17 -08:43 02:16
2012 -07:48 -01:13 -07:39 -03:16 15 -04:24 -01:17 -08:32 01:20
2013 -06:43 -05:42 -09:09 02:38 13 -04:44 -01:55 -08:38 01:31
2014 -04:08 -01:06 -03:01 00:29 7 -04:39 -01:49 -07:56 01:24

Male Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. Run Overall
1 6 Courtney Ogden AUS 08:42:18 08:40:44 00:51:52 04:49:27 02:55:58 61
2 1 Dylan McNeice NZL 08:47:07 08:51:11 00:46:00 04:54:40 03:01:27 111
3 4 Matt Burton AUS 08:48:22 08:38:52 00:54:45 04:46:21 03:02:16 (58)
4 2 Dougal Allan NZL 08:57:46 08:50:31 01:04:15 04:48:59 02:59:31 (108)
5 7 Keegan Williams NZL 08:57:49 08:56:06 00:53:34 04:55:19 03:03:55 (130)
6 5 Joel Jameson GBR 08:57:57 08:51:49 00:58:41 04:58:21 02:55:55 115
7 9 Petr Vabrousek CZE 09:01:08 08:58:49 00:56:47 04:57:56 03:01:25 145
8 10 Luke Martin AUS 09:03:03 08:53:05 00:54:05 05:02:07 03:01:51 (125)
9 3 Carl Read NZL 09:04:38 08:59:02 00:54:05 05:05:42 02:59:51 148
10 14 Benjamin Williams USA 09:08:38 08:58:28 00:54:04 05:10:11 02:59:23 (142)
11 16 Eneko Elosegui ESP 09:27:48 09:28:08 00:59:29 04:58:40 03:24:40 263
12 15 Chris Sanson NZL 09:31:18 09:28:17 00:56:56 05:16:25 03:12:57 (264)
13 11 Marcus Hultgren SWE 09:58:28 09:47:29 01:00:46 05:10:48 03:41:55 (345)
14 17 Matt Randall NZL 10:00:18 09:49:17 01:05:35 05:07:47 03:41:56 (351)
8 Braden Currie New n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
12 Ben Logan NZL n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
13 Thijs Hubber New n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
18 Michael Fox Aus n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)

Female Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. Run Overall
1 50 Gina Crawford NZL 09:25:12 09:23:05 00:53:09 05:18:18 03:08:45 16
2 51 Simone Maier GER 09:51:42 09:51:59 01:06:14 05:24:56 03:15:32 83
3 59 Laura Siddall GBR 09:53:06 09:42:13 01:00:36 05:25:59 03:21:31 (60)
4 53 Michelle Bremer NZL 09:54:50 09:44:38 01:00:46 05:24:42 03:24:21 64
5 57 Kristin Lemos USA 09:56:25 09:45:28 01:03:27 05:26:38 03:21:20 (67)
6 60 Charisa Wernick USA 09:59:46 09:56:20 01:00:48 05:35:45 03:18:13 (98)
7 52 Jessica Fleming AUS 10:01:02 09:50:05 01:02:50 05:25:16 03:27:56 (79)
8 54 Christie Sym AUS 10:05:24 09:56:54 01:00:19 05:29:57 03:30:08 (99)
9 58 Tracy Douglas AUS 10:09:53 10:02:56 01:07:12 05:28:00 03:29:41 109
10 55 Larisa Marsh NZL 10:10:47 10:00:44 01:02:30 05:33:23 03:29:53 (103)
11 56 Katya Meyers USA 10:25:21 10:21:41 01:10:24 05:32:07 03:37:50 (148)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

  • Courtney Ogden: 44% (1-1)
  • Dylan McNeice: 23% (3-1)
  • Matt Burton: 17% (5-1)
  • Joel Jameson: 6% (15-1)
  • Keegan Williams: 4% (23-1)
  • Petr Vabrousek: 3% (35-1)

Female Race Participants

  • Gina Crawford: 73% (1-1)
  • Simone Maier: 13% (7-1)
  • Michelle Bremer: 5% (19-1)
  • Charisa Wernick: 4% (22-1)
  • Laura Siddall: 2% (60-1)
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