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July 2018

Ironman Lake Placid 2018 – Analyzing Results

IMLakePlacidCourse Conditions

The conditions in Lake Placid appeared to be quite slow, an adjustment of -12:18 is another four minutes slower than last year. Especially the bike (adjustment of -8:12) appears to have been challenging (wind, rain?).

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money KPR Points
1 Heather Jackson USA 01:00:58 05:04:44 03:08:29 09:18:49 -00:40 US$ 15,000 2000
2 Jen Annett CAN 01:02:58 05:04:59 03:20:46 09:33:48 -07:52 US$ 7,500 1600
3 Sarah Piampiano USA 01:04:40 05:25:23 03:07:31 09:43:24 08:48 US$ 5,000 1280
4 Jodie Robertson USA 01:02:20 05:14:57 03:23:49 09:49:56 15:21 US$ 3,250 960
5 Lenny Ramsey NED 01:06:27 05:35:24 03:09:16 09:57:53 n/a US$ 2,750 720
6 Jennie Hansen USA 01:06:21 05:33:09 03:22:45 10:08:45 07:31 US$ 2,000 540
7 Caroline St-Pierre CAN 01:01:00 05:48:20 03:23:05 10:17:04 -01:48 US$ 1,500 405
8 Rachel Jastrebsky USA 01:05:19 05:46:41 03:22:33 10:19:49 -05:30 US$ 1,250 305
9 Robyn Hardage CAN 01:05:13 05:45:32 03:28:44 10:25:43 07:55 US$ 1,000 230
10 Carly Johann USA 01:04:37 05:45:14 03:36:31 10:32:51 -20:19 US$ 750 170
11 Amy Vantassel USA 01:07:58 06:10:05 03:30:33 10:54:31 -03:31 120
12 Caroline Martineau CAN 01:14:07 05:52:23 03:48:42 11:02:32 -05:20 85
13 Kelly O’Mara USA 01:04:46 05:53:54 04:16:28 11:20:50 58:15 60
14 Elizabeth Nyitray USA 01:06:31 06:16:26 05:08:50 12:38:37 n/a 40
Valerie Belanger CAN 01:18:45 05:22:40 DNF
Cindy Dubois CAN 01:14:25 DNF

Kona Qualifying

Here are the main developments:

  • Heather Jackson “validated” her Kona slot with a win.
  • Jodie Robertson scored enough points to be safe for a July slot. (Sarah Piampiano was already safe before Lake Placid.)
  • Jen Annett has moved into the Top 28 spots for now, but she could still fall out of the slots depending on the results of the other races in the July period. (For details, have a look at my “Kona 2018 Qualifying Before the Final July Races” analysis.)

Ironman Mont Tremblant 2018 (Aug 19th) – Entry List

IMMtTMale Race Participants

Name Nation KPR points KPR races
Lionel Sanders CAN 11450 2+2 (2000/750)
Tyler Butterfield BMU 3165 2+1
Joe Gambles AUS 2885 1+2 (1600/500)
Patrick Mckeon USA 2595 2+1
Sam Long USA 1575 3+1 (230/320)
Paul Matthews AUS 1010 1+2 (290/180)
Cody Beals CAN 1000 0+2 (0/500)
Jesse Vondracek USA 610 3+1 (85/35)
James Lubinski USA 270 3+1 (25/15)
Blake Becker USA 240 3+1 (25/10)
Scott Bradley USA 225 0+2 (0/45)
Andrew Yoder USA 220 0+1
Antoine Jolicoeur Desroches CAN 205 0+2 (0/80)
Jordan Monnink CAN 148 2+1
Daniel Clarke CAN 142 1+2 (60/7)
Raymond Botelho USA 110 2+0
Jason Pohl CAN 100 0+2 (0/15)
Matthew Shanks USA 65 1+2 (5/10)
Hannes Cool BEL 60 1+0
Peter Kotland CZE 56 2+2 (3/3)
Dusty Spiller CAN 40 0+2 (0/20)
Sacha Cavelier CAN 25 0+2 (0/10)
Jeremiah Mitchell USA 1 0+1
Wouter Monchy BEL 0 0+0

Female Race Participants

Name Nation KPR points KPR races
Jodie Robertson USA 4340 1+2 (3400/400)
Liz Blatchford AUS 3535 1+2 (2000/750)
Meredith Kessler USA 3205 1+2 (1670/750)
Lauren Brandon USA 3065 2+2 (340/640)
Jessie Donavan USA 2395 3+1 (230/345)
Angela Naeth CAN 1965 1+2 (540/640)
Robyn Hardage CAN 825 3+1 (60/65)
Meredith Hill AUS 720 1+0
Melanie McQuaid CAN 455 0+2 (0/135)
Steph Corker CAN 335 2+1
Caroline St-Pierre CAN 325 1+1
Valerie Belanger CAN 280 0+1
Caroline Martineau CAN 265 2+1
Amy Vantassel USA 175 1+2 (40/50)
Katy Cargiulo USA 81 1+2 (30/1)
Liz Baugher USA 28 1+1
Sonia Bracegirdle NZL 0 0+0
Uli Bromme USA 0 0+0

Ironman Copenhagen 2018 (Aug 19th) – Entry List

IMCPHMale Race Participants

Name Nation KPR points KPR races
Boris Stein GER 3920 1+2 (3100/320)
Tyler Butterfield BMU 3165 2+1
Nick Baldwin SEY 2820 2+1
David Plese SLO 2455 3+1 (385/255)
Cyril Viennot FRA 2060 1+2 (1280/280)
Johann Ackermann GER 1905 2+2 (685/220)
Daniil Sapunov UKR 1305 2+2 (70/180)
Michael Patrick Alonso Mckernan ESP 960 1+0
Pedro Gomes POR 785 2+2 (170/30)
Philipp Mock GER 785 1+2 (685/35)
Michael Ruenz GER 616 2+1
Vinicius Canhedo BRA 460 0+2 (0/220)
Victor Arroyo Bugallo ESP 405 1+0
Vincent Morizot FRA 190 1+2 (40/35)
Stefan Overmars NED 190 0+2 (0/55)
Mike Schifferle SUI 155 3+0 (30/0)
Markus Liebelt GER 135 0+1
Bekim Christensen DEN 110 2+0
Morten Banke DEN 60 1+0
Anthony Cadario FRA 42 0+2 (0/7)
Lukas Polan CZE 10 1+2 (3/2)
Olivier Esser BEL 8 1+0
Thomas Hansen DEN 5 0+1
Rasmus Fitzner DEN 3 1+0
Clemente Alonso McKernan ESP 0 0+0
Esben Hovgaard DEN 0 0+0
Aleksander Kochetkov LTU 0 0+0
Andreas Niedrig GER 0 0+0
Imanol Sagarzazu ESP 0 0+0
Mihai Baractaru ROM

Ironman Sweden 2018 (Aug 18th) – Entry List

IMSweden_LogoFemale Race Participants

Name Nation KPR points KPR races
Asa Lundstroem SWE 3510 3+1 (720/240)
Maja Stage Nielsen DEN 3335 2+1
Corinne Abraham GBR 3280 2+1
Dede Griesbauer USA 2780 2+1
Kimberley Morrison GBR 2690 2+2 (720/400)
Camilla Lindholm Borg SWE 2320 2+1
Michaela Herlbauer AUT 1505 1+2 (565/400)
Celine Schaerer SUI 980 1+1
Renee Kiley AUS 785 1+1
Annie Thoren SWE 420 0+2 (0/180)
Federica De Nicola ITA 180 0+1
Emma Graaf SWE 0 0+0
Melanie Baumann SUI

Ironman Netherlands (Maastricht) 2018 (Aug 5th) – Seedings

IMMaastrichtLogoThe analysis for IM Maastricht is supported by Ruud de Haan and his Dutch website Trikipedia.nl. Many thanks and all the best for your announcing in Maastricht!

Update Aug 1st: The latest startlist shows a few withdrawals (Saleta Castro, Tine Deckers, and Lucy Gossage).

Previous Winners

Year Male Winner Time Female Winner Time
2015 Bas Diederen (NED) 08:27:18 Yvonne Van Vlerken (NED) 09:39:24
2016 Igor Amorelli (BRA) 08:28:17 Mary Beth Ellis (USA) 09:24:42
2017 Michael Weiss (AUT) 08:18:09 Saleta Castro Nogueira (ESP) 09:37:17

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Michael Weiss AUT 00:56:02 04:31:23 02:45:16 08:18:09
2 Michael Van Cleven BEL 00:49:23 04:33:20 02:55:46 08:23:27
3 Bas Diederen NED 00:47:29 04:41:18 02:52:26 08:25:50

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Saleta Castro Nogueira ESP 00:51:49 05:24:50 03:14:31 09:37:17
2 Brooke Brown CAN 01:03:47 05:14:32 03:23:52 09:48:13
3 Kate Comber GBR 00:51:20 05:30:39 03:27:19 09:55:47

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 08:18:09 Michael Weiss 2017-08-06
Swim overall 00:46:16 Igor Amorelli 2016-07-31
Bike overall 04:31:23 Michael Weiss 2017-08-06
Run overall 02:45:16 Michael Weiss 2017-08-06
Total female 09:24:42 Mary Beth Ellis 2016-07-31
Swim female 00:48:18 Mary Beth Ellis 2016-07-31
Bike female 05:14:32 Brooke Brown 2017-08-06
Run female 03:04:47 Saleta Castro Nogueira 2016-07-31

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Netherlands is – 03:59.

Race Adjustments for IM Netherlands

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Finishers Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2015 -08:19 01:00 -01:25 01:38 25 of 32 -08:19 01:00 -01:25 01:38
2016 -05:39 02:12 -07:14 -00:02 15 of 20 -06:59 01:36 -04:20 00:48
2017 01:59 00:49 01:24 02:35 15 of 18 -03:59 01:20 -02:25 01:24

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Netherlands is a P-2000 race. It has a total prize purse of 30.000 US$, paying 8 deep. This year IM Maastricht is a WPRO-only race (the MPRO counterpart is IM Tallinn one day earlier).

Female Race Participants

The strength of the field is 14% of a typical Kona field.

# Bib Name Nat Expected Rating ESwim EBike ET2 ERun Consistency Overall
1 1 Yvonne Van Vlerken NED 09:19:35 09:13:47 00:56:52 05:05:53 06:07:45 03:11:50 76% +0% -24% (35) 7
2 8 Lucy Gossage GBR 09:23:37 09:17:46 00:58:01 05:08:08 06:11:09 03:12:28 98% +0% -2% (20) 14
3 17 Sara Svensk * SWE 09:31:36 09:33:21 00:56:58 05:14:12 06:16:11 03:15:25 47% +30% -23% (4) 41
4 3 Tine Deckers BEL 09:32:47 09:25:41 00:57:14 05:11:10 06:13:24 03:19:23 79% +3% -18% (24) 28
5 9 Elisabeth Gruber * AUT 09:37:19 09:42:31 00:59:41 05:25:02 06:29:43 03:07:36 74% +3% -23% (11) 56
6 6 Haley Chura USA 09:37:30 09:33:34 00:49:48 05:20:57 06:15:45 03:21:45 88% +5% -7% (12) 42
7 14 Celine Schaerer SUI 09:42:42 09:37:12 00:50:29 05:26:19 06:21:49 03:20:53 80% +0% -20% (11) 46
8 11 Katja Konschak GER 09:42:49 09:44:05 00:53:12 05:32:58 06:31:10 03:11:39 54% +21% -25% (23) 58
9 2 Saleta Castro Nogueira ESP 09:45:59 09:46:23 00:54:18 05:34:11 06:33:29 03:12:30 71% +24% -5% (18) 62
10 4 Angela Naeth * CAN 09:46:35 09:52:32 00:58:32 05:08:09 06:11:41 03:34:54 38% +11% -51% (8) 76
11 13 Camilla Lindholm Borg SWE 09:49:14 09:50:17 01:09:53 05:18:23 06:33:17 03:15:57 80% +8% -12% (20) 73
12 16 Jenny Schulz * GER 09:53:29 10:05:17 01:01:09 05:38:05 06:44:14 03:09:15 12% +77% -11% (3) (101)
13 12 Carolin Lehrieder * GER 09:55:24 10:32:57 00:54:44 05:31:30 06:31:14 03:24:10 13% +5% -82% (13) (141)
14 15 Lina-Kristin Schink * GER 10:07:52 10:21:18 01:09:04 05:32:32 06:46:36 03:21:16 46% +15% -39% (11) 127
15 18 Els Visser NED 10:13:58 10:24:49 00:58:14 05:23:16 06:26:30 03:47:28 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (130)
16 10 Pleuni Hooijman NED 10:15:51 10:14:39 01:04:15 05:23:30 06:32:45 03:43:06 100% +0% -0% (2) 119
5 Sonia Bracegirdle NZL n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
7 Federica De Nicola * ITA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (1 IM Pro race) (n/a)

Note: Athletes with a ‘*’ are also registered for another race within 8 days.

Winning Odds

Female Race Participants

  • Yvonne Van Vlerken: 58% (1-1)
  • Lucy Gossage: 32% (2-1)
  • Sara Svensk: 4% (26-1)
  • Tine Deckers: 2% (54-1)
  • Haley Chura: 2% (54-1)
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