Thorsten

Race Conditions

The conditions in Lanzarote were pretty good – at least for the Lanzarote standards. The adjustment for this year was zero, and Lanzarote continues to be the slowest IM course in my database with a course rating of negative 2 minutes (i.e. it is about 2 minutes slower than IM Hawaii).

Male Results

The race was won by Timo Bracht in a pretty convincing fashion, but it was enough to come in close to the time he was expected to do:

Rank	Name	Nation	Actual Time	Expected Time
1	Timo Bracht	GER	08:30:34	08:30:53
2	Konstantin Bachor	GER	08:44:05	09:17:21
3	Esben Hovgaard	DNK	08:54:37	08:48:48
4	Joel Jameson		09:01:48	n/a
5	Nicholas Peter Munoz	ESP	09:02:44	09:39:15
6	Gregorio Morales	ESP	09:03:45	09:14:45
7	Christian Nitschke		09:05:34	n/a
8	Rafael Wyss	SWI	09:05:41	09:32:48
9	Aleksandar Markovic	DNK	09:17:28	09:13:00
10	Bo Ballegaard	DNK	09:25:35	09:16:35
11	Dirk Wijnalda	NLD	09:30:25	09:13:56
12	Damien Landon	FRA	09:48:51	09:46:10
13	Fernando Cuenllas		09:59:58	n/a
14	Ivan Tejero Vazquez		10:35:24	10:33:58
15	Jerzy Kasemier	NLD	10:40:15	09:54:35

Expected time is based on athlete’s rating (prior to race) and race conditions.

A couple of people had really good results, most notably Konstantin Bachor who came in second. Relatively unknown Esben Hovgaard came in quite close to his first, great result from IM Florida and rounded out the podium.

Female Results

On the female side, late entries Rachel Joyce and Natascha Badmann snagged the first two spots:

Rank	Name	Nation	Actual Time	Expected Time
1	Rachel Joyce	GBR	09:28:12	09:40:37
2	Natascha Badmann	SWI	09:43:39	09:28:18
3	Karina Ottosen	DNK	10:10:14	10:04:14
4	Heidi Jesberger	GER	10:28:32	10:16:35
5	Emma Smith		10:31:07	n/a
6	Nicole Woysch	GER	10:52:01	10:36:17
7	Joanna Carritt	GBR	11:09:59	10:32:50
8	Esther DeVries		11:16:33	n/a

Expected time is based on athlete’s rating (prior to race) and race conditions.

Rachel posted a great result, and her rating leaves her just a few minutes outside the TOP10. It was also good to see Natascha Badmann posting a result after her last race from 2007 and a few DNFs in between.

Race Conditions

This year was the first time that an Ironman was held in Texas. Even with the hot and humid weather the course turned out to be pretty quick, with an adjustment of 15:34. Only IM Florida (about 100 seconds) an Challenge Roth (a bit more than 5 minutes) are quicker courses.

Male Results

Tim O’Donnell had a great first IM race, and it took an excellent performance by Eneko Llanos who won the race. Luke Bell (coming in third) was also in the mix for quite a while and seemed to be really happy with his performance.

Rank	Name	Nation	Actual Time	Expected Time
1	Eneko Llanos	ESP	08:08:20	08:13:43
2	Timothy ODonnell	USA	08:09:50	n/a
3	Luke Bell	AUS	08:12:22	08:41:56
4	Jan Raphael	GER	08:20:41	08:34:59
5	Jozsef Major	HUN	08:24:17	08:36:35
6	Axel Zeebroek	BEL	08:28:07	08:51:23
7	Justin Daerr	USA	08:29:44	08:45:30
8	Patrick Evoe	USA	08:32:29	09:06:58
9	Petr Vabrousek	CZE	08:37:59	08:46:04
10	Torsten Abel	GER	08:38:40	08:44:02
11	Mike Neill	CAN	08:39:40	08:46:28
12	Sergio Marques	PRT	08:48:57	08:52:51
13	Luke McKenzie	AUS	08:52:07	08:34:03
14	Matthew Russell	USA	09:03:06	09:13:00
15	Michael Lovato	USA	09:03:49	08:43:51
16	Raul Furtado		09:09:39	09:07:49
17	Brad Seng	USA	09:15:13	09:02:47
18	Sebastian Pedraza	ITA	09:16:38	08:56:44
19	Allan Villanueva		09:26:46	n/a
20	Hirotsugu Kuwabara		09:55:29	n/a
21	John Flanagan	USA	10:02:23	09:46:28
22	Steven Osborne	GBR	10:02:23	09:54:28
23	Jerome Bresson	CAN	10:02:23	09:45:26
24	Daniel Schmoll		13:07:28	09:03:29

Expected time is based on athlete’s rating (prior to race) and race conditions.

A couple of highly rated athletes had to drop out (e.g Chris Lieto) or didn’t even start (haven’t seen a mention of Rutger Beke). As usual, the first half of the field had good races, while the second half was struggling – even some big names such as Luke McKenzie and Michael Lovato.

Female Results

Cat Morrison posted a great result – except for Chrissie Wellington’s time in South Africa it was the fastest IM time this year. Her 8:57 (adjusted to 9:13) lead to her new rating of 9:33 which also allowed her to move into the TTR Top 10.

Rank	Name	Nation	Actual Time	Expected Time
1	Catriona Morrison	GBR	08:57:51	09:24:23
2	Kelly Williamson	USA	09:07:54	09:36:38
3	Sofie Goos	BEL	09:12:53	09:34:04
4	Tyler Stewart	USA	09:13:13	09:30:40
5	Tine Deckers	BEL	09:19:27	09:33:01
6	Kim Loeffler	USA	09:20:04	09:36:40
7	Desiree Ficker	USA	09:24:09	10:19:44
8	Jacqui Gordon	USA	09:27:20	10:03:30
9	Joanna Lawn	NZL	09:32:19	09:15:56
10	Lauren Harrison	USA	09:46:22	09:55:54
11	Michaela Giger	SWI	09:58:43	10:19:06
12	Maki Nishiuchi	JPN	10:06:29	10:06:38
13	Sharon Schmidt-Mongrain		10:09:03	n/a
14	Miranda Alldritt	CAN	10:19:12	10:48:13
15	Dede Griesbauer	USA	10:28:23	09:35:57
16	Caroline Smith		10:35:06	n/a
17	Jocelyn Wong	USA	10:50:50	10:24:01

Expected time is based on athlete’s rating (prior to race) and race conditions.

Almost the full women’s field managed to post faster times than predicted – maybe they were aided just a little bit by the large men’s field? The ratings before the race were close enough and the race proved to be about as exciting as I was hoping for. Desiree Ficker managed to turn in a solid time after a string of DNFs and not so good result – and she still only managed to come in 7th!

I’m sure that Joanna Lawn and Dede Griesbauer were not happy with the way their races turned out. Pre race favorite Jo Lawn was about 15 minutes slower than predicted and was beaten by eight women racers. Dede Griesbauer was almost one hour slower than her rating would have predicted – I’m afraid she’ll have problems to qualify for Kona this year.

As per usual, you can find additional information on the participants in the detail post.

Previous Results

IM Brazil is one of the fastest courses on the IM calendar. It has a course rating of 15:05 and is quicker than IM Arizona (at 12:39), but a bit slower than IM Florida (at 17:17) and Challenge Roth (at 20:47).

Male Participants

The rankings are topped by Oscar Halindez and Eduardo Sturla who between them won this race from 2006 onwards:

Rank	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Rank
1	Oscar Galindez	ARG	08:22:58	08:41:18	25
2	Eduardo Sturla	ARG	08:23:03	08:41:23	26
3	Santiago Ascenco	BRA	08:25:12	08:43:37	30
4	Ezequiel Morales	ARG	08:34:08	08:52:53	61
5	Chris McDonald	AUS	08:34:21	08:53:06	62
6	Guilherme Manocchio	BRA	08:38:33	08:57:27	76
7	Ivan Albano	BRA	08:51:57	09:11:21	117
8	Brandon Marsh	USA	08:53:57	09:13:25	132
9	Keegan Williams	NZL	08:54:43	09:14:13	137
10	Mike Schifferle	SWI	09:03:29	09:23:18	196
11	Lucas Cocha	ARG	09:03:38	09:23:27	198
12	Bonieck Clemente	BRA	09:07:52	09:27:50	217
13	Antonio Filho	BRA	09:10:43	09:30:48	232
14	Richard Wygand	BRA	10:44:59	11:08:30	619
15	Kelmerson Henri Buck	BRA	n/a	unrated	n/a
16	Luiz Francisco Ferreira	BRA	n/a	unrated	n/a
17	Fredrico Carvalho Zacharias	BRA	n/a	unrated	n/a
18	Mario De Elias	ARG	n/a	unrated	n/a
19	Santiago Amigo	ARG	n/a	unrated	n/a

There aren’t any rock stars, but it’ll be interested to see how “rising” athletes like Chris McDonald, Brandon Marsh and Keegan Williams are going to do.

Female Participants

Rank	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Rank
1	Amy Marsh	USA	09:14:32	09:34:45	10
2	Lucie Zelenkova	ZAF	09:29:02	09:49:47	38
3	Ana Lidia Borba	BRA	09:44:40	10:05:59	71
4	Sara Gross	CAN	09:44:56	10:06:15	72
5	Fernanda Keller	BRA	09:51:45	10:13:19	89
6	Hillary Biscay	USA	09:57:22	10:19:09	108
7	Maria Omar	BRA	10:00:12	10:22:05	114
8	Ariane Silveira	BRA	10:05:38	10:27:43	132
9	Silvia Fusco	BRA	10:17:02	10:39:32	159
10	Mariana Andrade	BRA	10:37:47	11:01:02	193
11	Federica Frontini	URU	10:38:30	11:01:47	194
12	Amanda Balding	USA	10:45:09	11:08:40	205
13	Alessandra Carvalho	BRA	11:47:40	12:13:28	232
14	Kelzie Beebe	USA	n/a	unrated	n/a
15	Vanessa Gianinni	BRA	n/a	unrated	n/a
16	Mariana Guimaraes	BRA	n/a	unrated	n/a

Not too many big names on the women’s side, I’m picking Amy Marsh (previous winner of IM Lake Placid and IM Wisconsin) as the race favorite. IM legend Fernanda Keller is back on the start list, but I’m afraid that she won’t contend for the win. I’m rooting for prolific blogger Hillary Biscay, I hope she can find back to some better IM results.

Male Race Participants

Rank	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Rank
1	Oscar Galindez	ARG	08:22:58	08:41:18	25
2	Eduardo Sturla	ARG	08:23:03	08:41:23	26
3	Santiago Ascenco	BRA	08:25:12	08:43:37	30
4	Ezequiel Morales	ARG	08:34:08	08:52:53	61
5	Chris McDonald	AUS	08:34:21	08:53:06	62
6	Guilherme Manocchio	BRA	08:38:33	08:57:27	76
7	Ivan Albano	BRA	08:51:57	09:11:21	117
8	Brandon Marsh	USA	08:53:57	09:13:25	132
9	Keegan Williams	NZL	08:54:43	09:14:13	137
10	Mike Schifferle	SWI	09:03:29	09:23:18	196
11	Lucas Cocha	ARG	09:03:38	09:23:27	198
12	Bonieck Clemente	BRA	09:07:52	09:27:50	217
13	Antonio Filho	BRA	09:10:43	09:30:48	232
14	Richard Wygand	BRA	10:44:59	11:08:30	619
15	Kelmerson Henri Buck	BRA	n/a	unrated	n/a
16	Luiz Francisco Ferreira	BRA	n/a	unrated	n/a
17	Fredrico Carvalho Zacharias	BRA	n/a	unrated	n/a
18	Mario De Elias	ARG	n/a	unrated	n/a
19	Santiago Amigo	ARG	n/a	unrated	n/a

Female Race Participants

Rank	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Rank
1	Amy Marsh	USA	09:14:32	09:34:45	10
2	Lucie Zelenkova	ZAF	09:29:02	09:49:47	38
3	Ana Lidia Borba	BRA	09:44:40	10:05:59	71
4	Sara Gross	CAN	09:44:56	10:06:15	72
5	Fernanda Keller	BRA	09:51:45	10:13:19	89
6	Hillary Biscay	USA	09:57:22	10:19:09	108
7	Maria Omar	BRA	10:00:12	10:22:05	114
8	Ariane Silveira	BRA	10:05:38	10:27:43	132
9	Silvia Fusco	BRA	10:17:02	10:39:32	159
10	Mariana Andrade	BRA	10:37:47	11:01:02	193
11	Federica Frontini	URU	10:38:30	11:01:47	194
12	Amanda Balding	USA	10:45:09	11:08:40	205
13	Alessandra Carvalho	BRA	11:47:40	12:13:28	232
14	Kelzie Beebe	USA	n/a	unrated	n/a
15	Vanessa Gianinni	BRA	n/a	unrated	n/a
16	Mariana Guimaraes	BRA	n/a	unrated	n/a

Results for Oscar Galindez (ARG)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Brazil	2010-05-30	08:32:59	08:51:02	08:41:18	5
IM Brazil	2007-05-27	08:21:11	08:37:41	08:37:31	1
IM Hawaii	2006-10-21	08:33:24	08:33:16	08:37:28	13
IM Brazil	2006-01-01	08:15:19	08:27:48	08:39:08	1
IM Hawaii	2005-10-15	08:29:50	08:31:12	08:45:11	11
IM Brazil	2005-05-28	09:00:04	09:00:04	09:00:04	2

Results for Eduardo Sturla (ARG)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM South Africa	2011-04-10	08:32:52	08:45:25	08:41:23	6
IM Hawaii	2010-10-09	08:48:07	08:51:00	08:40:46	31
IM Brazil	2010-05-30	08:20:24	08:38:00	08:39:07	4
IM Hawaii	2009-10-10	08:49:22	08:45:32	08:39:18	19
IM Brazil	2009-05-31	08:13:39	08:28:15	08:38:06	1
IM Hawaii	2008-10-11	08:36:53	08:35:05	08:40:18	10
IM Brazil	2008-05-25	08:28:27	08:36:56	08:41:37	1
IM Hawaii	2007-10-13	08:36:31	08:38:17	08:43:05	13
IM Brazil	2007-05-27	08:29:27	08:46:14	08:44:58	3
IM Florida	2006-11-04	08:23:49	08:37:18	08:44:14	2
IM Brazil	2006-01-01	08:39:06	08:52:11	08:52:11	7

Results for Santiago Ascenco (BRA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Brazil	2010-05-30	08:18:32	08:36:04	08:43:37	3
IM Arizona	2009-11-22	08:33:26	08:51:50	08:51:50	9

Results for Ezequiel Morales (ARG)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Hawaii	2010-10-09	08:56:02	08:58:58	08:52:53	40
IM Brazil	2010-05-30	08:12:43	08:30:03	08:51:15	2
IM Hawaii	2009-10-10	08:54:27	08:50:35	08:58:25	23
IM Brazil	2009-05-31	08:39:01	08:54:22	09:01:51	4
IM Brazil	2008-05-25	08:55:55	09:04:52	09:07:06	6
IM Brazil	2006-01-01	08:56:53	09:10:25	09:10:25	12

Results for Chris McDonald (AUS)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Florida	2010-11-06	08:32:37	08:49:58	08:53:06	9
IM Hawaii	2010-10-09	08:52:04	08:54:58	08:53:22	35
Challenge Roth	2010-07-18	08:37:22	08:53:58	08:53:13	9
IM Coeur d’Alene	2010-06-27	08:48:30	09:01:20	08:53:08	5
IM St. George	2010-05-01	08:54:42	08:51:06	08:52:17	3
IM Wisconsin	2009-09-13	08:56:47	08:55:49	08:52:25	5
Challenge Roth	2009-07-12	08:17:39	08:34:52	08:52:01	11
Challenge Wanaka	2009-01-01	08:37:41	08:47:40	08:54:11	1
IM Arizona	2008-11-23	08:58:59	09:11:24	08:55:02	17
IM Wisconsin	2008-09-07	08:43:29	08:50:05	08:52:37	1
Challenge Roth	2008-07-13	08:20:59	08:43:15	08:53:03	4
Challenge Wanaka	2008-01-19	08:49:37	08:56:20	08:54:57	3
Challenge Roth	2007-06-24	08:24:42	08:49:53	08:54:38	9
IM Wisconsin	2006-09-10	09:12:35	08:58:02	08:55:49	2
IM Lake Placid	2006-07-23	09:07:55	08:59:31	08:55:12	9
IM Australia	2006-05-11	08:57:09	08:59:46	08:53:35	8
IM Canada	2005-08-29	08:47:10	08:53:07	08:50:01	5
IM New Zealand	2005-05-03	08:46:45	08:46:45	08:46:45	5

Results for Guilherme Manocchio (BRA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Brazil	2010-05-30	08:39:11	08:57:27	08:57:27	7

Results for Ivan Albano (BRA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Brazil	2010-05-30	08:54:05	09:12:52	09:11:21	9
IM Brazil	2009-05-31	09:04:38	09:20:45	09:10:59	10
IM Brazil	2008-05-25	08:58:55	09:07:55	09:08:30	7
IM Florida	2007-11-03	08:50:46	09:09:14	09:08:40	18
IM Hawaii	2006-10-21	09:15:57	09:15:49	09:08:28	63
IM Brazil	2006-01-01	08:45:00	08:58:14	09:05:33	8
IM Wisconsin	2005-09-11	09:27:56	09:14:18	09:09:28	7
IM Brazil	2005-05-28	09:04:25	09:04:25	09:04:25	5

Results for Brandon Marsh (USA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Arizona	2010-11-21	08:50:47	09:07:23	09:13:25	12
IM Wisconsin	2010-09-12	09:13:52	09:21:55	09:15:13	12
IM Florida	2009-11-07	08:42:41	08:56:43	09:12:30	9
IM Wisconsin	2009-09-13	09:14:41	09:13:41	09:21:06	9
IM Arizona	2008-11-23	09:16:44	09:29:34	09:29:34	26

Results for Keegan Williams (NZL)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM New Zealand	2011-03-05	08:49:34	08:54:25	09:14:13	4
Challenge Wanaka	2011-01-01	10:49:47	10:32:38	09:19:21	7
IM New Zealand	2010-03-06	08:40:11	08:51:53	08:54:40	4
Challenge Wanaka	2010-01-16	08:41:19	08:47:12	08:55:50	3
Challenge Wanaka	2008-01-19	09:05:55	09:12:50	09:01:48	6
Challenge Wanaka	2008-01-19	08:44:08	08:50:47	08:50:47	1

Results for Mike Schifferle (SWI)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM South Africa	2011-04-10	09:04:02	09:17:21	09:23:18	14
IM Arizona	2010-11-21	08:47:53	09:04:23	09:24:14	11
IM Florida	2010-11-06	09:09:02	09:27:37	09:27:43	22
IM Wisconsin	2010-09-12	08:58:35	09:06:24	09:27:44	8
IM Hawaii	2009-10-10	09:08:49	09:04:50	09:33:15	34
IM Hawaii	2008-10-11	09:21:13	09:19:16	09:41:24	53
IM Hawaii	2007-10-13	09:28:17	09:30:13	09:48:32	57
IM Lanzarote	2007-05-20	10:00:35	09:57:28	09:55:27	20
IM Florida	2006-11-04	09:41:45	09:57:19	09:54:21	31
IM Hawaii	2006-10-21	09:51:31	09:51:22	09:51:22	77

Results for Lucas Cocha (ARG)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Brazil	2009-05-31	09:07:16	09:23:27	09:23:27	12

Results for Bonieck Clemente (BRA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Brazil	2010-05-30	09:08:32	09:27:50	09:27:50	14

Results for Antonio Filho (BRA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Brazil	2006-01-01	09:16:46	09:30:48	09:30:48	15

Results for Richard Wygand (BRA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Florida	2010-11-06	09:49:28	10:09:25	11:08:30	31
IM Brazil	2010-05-30	10:25:25	10:47:25	11:30:02	18
IM Florida	2008-11-01	11:48:16	12:18:28	11:51:54	46
IM Brazil	2007-05-27	11:15:45	11:38:00	11:34:23	33
IM Florida	2006-11-04	11:12:26	11:30:25	11:30:25	42

Results for Kelmerson Henri Buck (BRA)

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Results for Luiz Francisco Ferreira (BRA)

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Results for Fredrico Carvalho Zacharias (BRA)

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Results for Mario De Elias (ARG)

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Results for Santiago Amigo (ARG)

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Results for Amy Marsh (USA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Hawaii	2010-10-09	09:28:19	09:31:25	09:34:45	11
IM Lake Placid	2010-07-25	09:27:30	09:31:04	09:36:35	1
IM Wisconsin	2009-09-13	09:43:59	09:42:56	09:42:56	1

Results for Lucie Zelenkova (ZAF)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Hawaii	2009-10-10	10:04:42	10:00:19	09:49:47	22
IM South Africa	2009-04-05	09:16:32	09:28:52	09:46:06	1
IM South Africa	2008-04-13	09:34:09	09:43:10	09:54:18	3
Challenge Roth	2006-06-24	09:32:05	09:50:55	10:01:56	5
IM South Africa	2006-03-18	10:19:32	10:13:27	10:13:27	4

Results for Ana Lidia Borba (BRA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Brazil	2009-05-31	09:52:29	10:10:01	10:05:59	5
IM Arizona	2008-11-23	09:48:03	10:01:36	10:01:36	7

Results for Sara Gross (CAN)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Canada	2009-08-30	10:42:08	10:49:12	10:06:15	13
IM Brazil	2009-05-31	09:44:46	10:02:04	09:59:55	4
IM Hawaii	2008-10-11	10:06:10	10:04:04	09:59:34	20
IM Canada	2008-08-24	09:41:31	09:54:43	09:58:47	4
IM Coeur d’Alene	2008-06-22	10:03:45	10:11:11	09:59:37	4
IM Florida	2007-11-03	09:24:41	09:44:20	09:56:43	7
IM Canada	2007-08-26	09:43:34	09:49:11	10:00:20	2
IM Brazil	2007-05-27	09:33:09	09:52:01	10:04:44	5
IM Canada	2006-08-27	10:12:35	10:13:59	10:12:29	5
IM Canada	2005-08-29	10:03:55	10:10:44	10:10:44	6

Results for Fernanda Keller (BRA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Hawaii	2009-10-10	10:37:44	10:33:07	10:13:19	38
IM Brazil	2009-05-31	09:54:11	10:11:46	10:09:38	6
IM Hawaii	2008-10-11	10:43:16	10:41:02	10:09:10	38
IM Hawaii	2007-10-13	10:25:03	10:27:11	10:01:36	39
IM Brazil	2007-05-27	09:29:29	09:48:14	09:55:07	4
IM Hawaii	2006-10-21	09:50:35	09:50:26	09:57:16	17
IM Brazil	2006-01-01	09:51:39	10:06:34	09:59:58	5
IM Hawaii	2005-10-15	10:10:30	10:12:08	09:56:27	33
IM Brazil	2005-05-28	09:39:46	09:39:46	09:39:46	2

Results for Hillary Biscay (USA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Hawaii	2010-10-09	10:47:51	10:51:23	10:19:09	39
IM Wisconsin	2010-09-12	10:29:06	10:38:14	10:17:27	7
IM Coeur d’Alene	2010-06-27	10:39:44	10:55:16	10:16:19	11
IM Brazil	2010-05-30	09:44:38	10:05:12	10:14:09	4
IM Lanzarote	2010-05-22	10:41:44	10:39:23	10:14:40	9
IM Wisconsin	2009-09-13	10:02:58	10:01:53	10:13:09	3
IM Lake Placid	2009-07-26	10:47:50	10:47:25	10:13:49	12
IM Lanzarote	2009-05-23	10:28:45	10:27:26	10:11:47	5
Challenge Wanaka	2009-01-01	10:16:39	10:28:33	10:10:48	2
IM Hawaii	2008-10-11	10:35:10	10:32:58	10:09:42	37
IM Wisconsin	2008-09-07	09:47:25	09:54:50	10:08:12	1
IM Lake Placid	2008-07-20	09:58:45	10:02:59	10:09:06	3
Challenge Roth	2008-07-13	09:24:19	09:49:23	10:09:32	6
IM Brazil	2008-05-25	09:56:10	10:06:07	10:11:03	1
IM Arizona	2008-04-13	09:53:21	10:03:36	10:11:27	8
Challenge Wanaka	2008-01-19	10:11:17	10:19:02	10:12:07	2
IM Hawaii	2007-10-13	09:56:46	09:58:48	10:11:30	21
IM Wisconsin	2007-09-09	10:01:30	10:06:15	10:12:41	2
IM Brazil	2007-05-27	09:44:14	10:03:28	10:13:20	6
IM Arizona	2007-04-15	11:33:07	11:41:13	10:14:23	11
IM New Zealand	2007-03-03	09:34:53	09:47:54	10:04:14	4
Challenge Wanaka	2007-01-20	09:58:35	10:09:48	10:06:21	3
IM Florida	2006-11-04	09:40:39	09:56:11	10:05:51	3
IM Wisconsin	2006-09-10	10:07:01	09:51:02	10:07:26	2
IM Coeur d’Alene	2006-06-25	09:59:46	09:57:25	10:10:33	5
IM Arizona	2006-04-09	09:43:36	09:56:08	10:13:30	3
IM Brazil	2006-01-01	09:34:19	09:48:48	10:18:19	3
IM Canada	2005-08-29	10:36:56	10:44:08	10:29:00	11
IM Lake Placid	2005-07-24	10:31:33	10:26:19	10:21:07	10
IM Arizona	2005-04-09	10:15:40	10:15:40	10:15:40	7

Results for Maria Omar (BRA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Hawaii	2010-10-09	10:42:31	10:46:02	10:22:05	38
IM Brazil	2010-05-30	09:36:03	09:56:19	10:12:12	3
IM Brazil	2009-05-31	09:57:52	10:15:33	10:22:19	7
IM Brazil	2008-05-25	10:19:57	10:30:18	10:30:18	6

Results for Ariane Silveira (BRA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Brazil	2009-05-31	10:09:41	10:27:43	10:27:43	9

Results for Silvia Fusco (BRA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Brazil	2010-05-30	10:15:56	10:37:36	10:39:32	6
IM Brazil	2009-05-31	10:21:54	10:40:18	10:40:59	11
IM Brazil	2006-01-01	10:26:24	10:42:11	10:42:11	11

Results for Mariana Andrade (BRA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Brazil	2010-05-30	10:19:51	10:41:39	11:01:02	7
IM Brazil	2009-05-31	10:32:27	10:51:10	11:14:16	13
IM Brazil	2007-05-27	11:23:48	11:46:19	11:46:19	15

Results for Federica Frontini (URU)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Brazil	2010-05-30	10:39:18	11:01:47	11:01:47	11

Results for Amanda Balding (USA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Brazil	2010-05-30	10:33:12	10:55:28	11:08:40	10
IM Florida	2008-11-01	10:09:38	10:35:38	11:12:26	9
IM Canada	2008-08-24	11:13:05	11:28:22	11:22:51	16
IM New Zealand	2008-03-01	10:53:05	11:08:13	11:20:46	13
IM Hawaii	2007-10-13	11:49:33	11:51:58	11:27:31	56
IM Canada	2007-08-26	10:56:14	11:02:32	11:02:32	19

Results for Alessandra Carvalho (BRA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Brazil	2007-05-27	11:50:05	12:13:28	12:13:28	20

Results for Kelzie Beebe (USA)

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Results for Vanessa Gianinni (BRA)

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Results for Mariana Guimaraes (BRA)

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This is the first time that an Ironman race takes place in Texas. Therefore, there is not historical data to come up with a meaningful predicted end times. We can speculate a bit how race conditions are going to be, but that would be in the realm of speculation. Therefore, all I can show is the ratings of the people in the start list. If you want to have a closer look at the previous results for the participants, have a look at the details post.

Male Participants

Here’s the list of male pros that are in the startlist:

Rank	Name	Nation	Rating	Rank
1	Eneko Llanos	ESP	08:29:42	6
2	Pedro Gomez	POR	08:36:58	15
3	Rutger Beke	BEL	08:42:26	22
4	Chris Lieto	USA	08:47:19	32
5	Jan Raphael	GER	08:51:35	44
6	Jozsef Major	HUN	08:53:22	49
7	Jason Shortis	AUS	08:53:42	51
8	Luke McKenzie	AUS	08:55:53	64
9	Trevor Delsaut	FRA	08:56:10	65
10	Balazs Csoke	HUN	08:57:21	66
11	Torsten Abel	GER	09:01:12	80
12	Luke Bell	AUS	09:01:12	80
13	Michael Lovato	USA	09:01:26	83
14	Petr Vabrousek	CZE	09:01:30	85
15	Justin Daerr	USA	09:02:26	89
16	Mike Neill	CAN	09:04:20	93
17	Axel Zeebroek	BEL	09:08:12	103
18	Sergio Marques	PRT	09:10:04	107
19	Sebastian Pedraza	ITA	09:15:54	130
20	Rene Goehler	DEU	09:16:31	135
21	Romain Guillaume	FRA	09:16:31	135
22	Brad Seng	USA	09:20:33	164
23	Hiroyuki Nishiuchi	JPN	09:24:38	191
24	Markus Strini	AUT	09:27:05	201
25	Matthew Russell	USA	09:30:33	213
26	Tim Snow	USA	09:37:35	243
27	Lewis Elliot	USA	09:45:17	290
28	Jerome Bresson	CAN	10:04:32	393
29	John Flanagan	USA	10:05:09	398
30	Steven Osborne	GBR	10:12:57	429
31	Allan Villanueva		unrated	n/a
32	Timothy ODonnell		unrated	n/a
33	Daniel Schmoll		unrated	n/a
34	Raul Furtado		unrated	n/a
35	Hirotsugu Kuwabara		unrated	n/a

A pretty amazing field – probably the biggest and best field of any 2011 IM race! Eneko has to be the favorite for the race, not only does he have the best rating, but also by a bit of a margin. The second rated athlete, Pedro Gomez only has one result so far (an 8:19 from his 2nd place at IM Florida 2010), so I’m not sure how he’s going to do. Then there are Rutger Beke and Chris Lieto – both great athletes that had not so good last races. In addition to that it gets really hard to draw a line with regards to the people that might contend for a podium spot – there are just so many people with very similar ratings that it gets almost impossible to come up with solid predictions.

Female Participants

The women’s start list also shows a number of great athletes:

Rank	Name	Nation	Rating	Rank
1	Joanna Lawn	NZL	09:34:33	7
2	Linsey Corbin	USA	09:38:42	12
3	Catriona Morrison	GBR	09:42:50	18
4	Mackenzie Madison	USA	09:46:21	26
5	Tyler Stewart	USA	09:49:01	31
6	Tine Deckers	BEL	09:51:13	38
7	Sofie Goos	BEL	09:53:38	40
8	Kim Loeffler	USA	09:55:27	41
9	Kelly Williamson	USA	09:57:07	45
10	Alison Fitch	AUS	09:57:41	48
11	Mirjam Weerd	NLD	09:57:49	49
12	Dede Griesbauer	USA	10:03:01	58
13	Eva Dollinger	AUT	10:04:58	64
14	Emi Shiono	JPN	10:12:45	80
15	Lauren Harrison	USA	10:14:24	84
16	Jessica Jacobs	USA	10:17:02	90
17	Danielle Sullivan	USA	10:18:30	97
18	Jacqui Gordon	USA	10:22:59	105
19	Maki Nishiuchi	JPN	10:26:00	114
20	Sarah Schuetz	SWI	10:29:24	124
21	Michaela Giger	SWI	10:31:16	131
22	Desiree Ficker	USA	10:37:57	144
23	Teri Albertazzi	USA	10:48:21	161
24	Miranda Alldritt	CAN	11:09:45	192
25	Corinne Abraham		unrated	n/a
26	Caroline Snith		unrated	n/a
27	Sharon Schmidt-Mongrain		unrated	n/a
28	Olja Bregar		unrated	n/a

Jo Lawn has the best rating, but Linsey Corbin and Cat Morrison are close enough to her to be in the running for the win. As with the men, the list of potential athletes contending for the podium goes on and on.