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Ironman Frankfurt 2016 – Analyzing Results

Race Conditions

After last year’s record heat, this year the conditions were much colder and included some showers on the run that probably helped those that were running fast. Both Sebastian Kienle and Andi Boecherer ran new marathon PRs in their battle for the win and Will Clarke was able to post a new run course record – his 2:42:08 beat Timo Bracht’s time from 2008.

Overall conditions were fast as is typical for Frankfurt (adjustment of 12:48 leading to a new course rating of 11:58). This year the biggest impact on the race was probably the swim. With an official temperature of 22.6°C it was decided to not allow wetsuits, but a lot of Pros were battling hypothermia, most notable Daniela Ryf who was forced to DNF early on the bike. 

Male Race Results

The Top 3 finishers came off the bike together, but Eneko Llanos quickly lost contact to Sebastian Kienle and Andi Böcherer who ran shoulder-to-shoulder for some time. Sebi was slowly able to move away and build a small lead, but towards the end Andi put in another effort but couldn’t quite close the gap. Eneko struggled in the second and third loop and lost third place to Marko Albert, but a strong last lap allowed him to grab the last spot on the podium.

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected Prize Money
1 Sebastian Kienle GER 00:52:12 04:12:12 02:44:12 07:52:43 -12:34 US$ 30000
2 Andi Boecherer GER 00:48:41 04:15:27 02:45:02 07:53:40 -27:07 US$ 15000
3 Eneko Llanos ESP 00:49:11 04:15:21 03:00:33 08:09:08 -02:26 US$ 8000
4 Marko Albert EST 00:48:12 04:22:04 02:57:33 08:11:38 -12:55 US$ 6500
5 Will Clarke GBR 00:52:17 04:36:01 02:42:08 08:14:56 -32:18 US$ 5000
6 Christian Kramer GER 00:48:34 04:32:35 02:51:44 08:18:14 -08:40 US$ 3500
7 Denis Chevrot FRA 00:48:14 04:39:39 02:47:33 08:19:59 -05:07 US$ 2500
8 Bertrand Billard FRA 00:52:15 04:35:49 02:53:58 08:26:27 -20:00 US$ 2000
9 Marc Duelsen GER 00:54:23 04:34:23 02:53:32 08:26:59 03:21 US$ 1500
10 Johann Ackermann GER 00:48:25 04:31:09 03:06:41 08:31:06 05:42 US$ 1000
11 Alexander Schilling GER 00:48:34 04:41:33 03:00:49 08:35:08 n/a  
12 Jeremy Jurkiewicz FRA 00:52:10 04:49:08 02:53:53 08:39:57 12:18  
13 Youri Severin NED 00:48:26 04:41:43 03:11:09 08:45:38 n/a  
14 Daniil Sapunov UKR 00:50:51 04:57:15 03:01:35 08:55:19 12:22  
15 Balazs Csoke HUN 00:48:32 04:48:23 03:15:01 08:57:25 10:18  
16 Mike Schifferle SUI 01:04:25 04:44:16 02:58:59 08:57:45 08:15  
17 Igor Amorelli BRA 00:48:35 04:30:47 03:34:59 08:58:42 30:32  
18 Michael Louys BEL 01:05:31 04:43:21 03:04:05 08:58:45 -14:48  
19 Pascal Ramali GER 01:01:03 04:41:46 03:17:46 09:05:12 34:52  
20 Hywel Davies GBR 01:06:12 04:53:10 02:58:22 09:05:54 -00:04  
21 Julian Mutterer GER 00:52:14 04:37:30 03:32:01 09:06:12 25:32  
22 Maciej Chmura POL 00:52:03 05:04:20 03:07:09 09:08:33 n/a  
23 Young Hwan Oh KOR 01:07:38 04:56:43 02:58:49 09:09:14 -23:47  
24 David Jilek CZE 00:59:10 04:50:53 03:16:34 09:12:07 -10:34  
25 Timothy O’Donnell USA 00:48:31 04:39:34 03:39:55 09:12:58 59:03  
26 Ivan Jezko SVK 01:03:00 04:55:53 03:11:21 09:17:29 -07:20  
27 Vincent Depuiset FRA 01:12:01 05:01:08 03:09:31 09:29:21 -10:41  
28 Ludovic Le Guellec FRA 00:59:31 05:07:34 03:30:30 09:44:37 -08:43  
29 David Krupicka CZE 01:06:26 05:14:39 04:07:11 10:35:07 07:28  
  Joe Gambles AUS 00:48:39 04:48:54   DNF    
  Victor Del Corral ESP 00:59:00 04:42:56   DNF    
  Christian Brader GER 00:58:52 04:49:43   DNF    
  Thomas Bosch GER 00:59:02 04:49:49   DNF    
  Bas Diederen NED 00:48:36 05:18:57   DNF    
  Michal Volejnik CZE 01:03:56 05:10:25   DNF    
  Timo Moeschk GER 01:16:24 05:08:15   DNF    
  Petr Bednar CZE 01:06:25 05:25:27   DNF    
  Marek Nemcik SVK 01:13:48 05:48:50   DNF    
  Ivan Risti ITA 00:48:27     DNF    
  Clemente Alonso McKernan ESP 00:49:09     DNF    
  Marton Flander HUN 00:52:18     DNF    
  Gilian Oriet SUI 00:59:03     DNF    
  Gudmund Snilstveit NOR 01:04:43     DNF    
  Alfred Rahm GER 01:07:52     DNF    

Female Race Results

After pre-race favorite Daniela Ryf was in trouble after getting extremely cold on the swim, Natascha Schmitt was leading the race into T2. But Mel Hauschildt was running a good deal faster and took the lead in the second loop. When even an unjustified stop-and-go penalty on the run couldn’t derail her, she won IM Germany, an Automatic Qualifier slot and continued her streak of being unbeaten in an Ironman (3 wins in 3 starts). There were a lot of late position changes behind Mel, eventually Katja Konschak ran herself into second place with the best run of the day. Daniela Sämmler finished third with a solid bike/run-combo while Natascha Schmitt dropped back into fourth place. Verena Walter in fifth was the fourth German in the Top 5.

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected Prize Money
1 Melissa Hauschildt AUS 00:59:15 04:57:10 03:00:12 09:01:17 -06:52 US$ 30000
2 Katja Konschak GER 00:56:05 05:06:45 02:59:29 09:09:58 -36:46 US$ 15000
3 Daniela Saemmler GER 00:58:18 04:56:54 03:12:47 09:13:23 -08:07 US$ 8000
4 Natascha Schmitt GER 00:55:57 04:54:15 03:21:43 09:16:40 -29:42 US$ 6500
5 Verena Walter GER 01:01:45 04:55:49 03:16:04 09:18:58 -24:26 US$ 5000
6 Saleta Castro Nogueira ESP 00:56:58 05:14:53 03:04:54 09:22:41 -28:49 US$ 3500
7 Dimity-Lee Duke AUS 00:59:18 05:06:09 03:19:16 09:30:48 -01:28 US$ 2500
8 Katharina Grohmann GER 01:13:48 05:06:06 03:07:20 09:31:54 -14:05 US$ 2000
9 Bianca Steurer AUT 00:59:19 05:14:46 03:19:14 09:37:59 04:11 US$ 1500
10 Petra Krejcova CZE 01:03:48 05:22:41 03:13:36 09:45:13 -07:34 US$ 1000
11 Celia Kuch GER 01:06:30 05:13:13 03:27:29 09:53:24 -06:06  
12 Caroline Livesey GBR 01:06:36 05:13:13 03:32:34 10:00:24 17:53  
13 Christine Fletcher CAN 01:03:30 05:15:03 03:49:02 10:17:20 21:26  
14 Lotty Harari PAN 01:10:55 05:20:18 03:45:21 10:23:23 n/a  
15 Mariana Andrade BRA 01:00:13 05:15:14 04:17:05 10:37:31 41:12  
  Astrid Stienen GER 01:00:20 05:00:53   DNF    
  Daniela Ryf SUI 00:53:45     DNF    
  Diana Riesler GER       DNF    
  Kristin Möller GER       DNF    

Gallery from Bike Checkin at IM Germany 2016

One day before IM Germany in Frankfurt athletes checked in their bikes into T1 at the “Langener Waldsee”. I was able to see most of them and snap a few pictures. For the whole Pro field, have a look at my predictions post.

At first it was raining quite hard, and athletes improvised ways to cover their bikes. Balasz Csoke used a few plastic bags to protect his drivetrain:

Balascz

Joe Gambles was more focused on covering the saddle and his aerobars:

Joe Gambles

Katharina Grohmann made sure that there weren’t any small stones lodged in her tires:

Katarina

When Celia Kuch dropped off her bike for one of her last Professional IMs, the rain had stopped:

Celia

Mel Hauschildt was smiling when she dropped her bike – she’ll be the big “wild card” tomorrow. Hopefully she’s fit and healthy:

Mel

Male favorite Sebastian Kienle has a new bike for this season with a very clean fronted:

Sebi Front

This year’s color scheme is much smoother than last year:

6a Sebi Color

Shortly after Sebi female favorite Daniela Ryf checked in. Both joked around that Sebi – racing with bib #51 – shouldn’t grab the #1 bike that belongs to Daniela:

Dani

No doubt who owns this bike:

Angry Bird

There will be a close fight for the podium, a lot of German females are eyeing third place and a very likely Kona slot. Among them is run course record holder Kristin Möller:

Kristin

Astrid Stienen has won IM Sweden last year, this year she has been building with a clear focus towards IM Frankfurt:

9 Astrid

Bianca Steurer from Austria is – other than Daniela – the female with the most Kona points in the field. She’ll look for a sixth place to qualify:

Bianca

Mariana Andrade is one of the small Brazilian contingent racing in Frankfurt:

Mariana

Eneko Llanos has won this race in 2013 – but as a late entry he was assigned bib #112:

Eneko

Another nice color scheme on the bike of Russian Pro Daniil Sapunov:

Daniil Sapunov

IM Texas Champion Patrick Lange is also racing, but only as part of a relay for the new title sponsor Mainova:

Patrick

Ironman Austria 2016 – Analyzing Results

Race Conditions

Austria is a fast course, and the bike and run times were as quick as any year. However, the swim was very slow this year (adjustment of -3:27 compared to swim rating of 1:54 before this year’s race) – about five minutes slower than normal! The non-wetsuit conditions may have had an influence, but five minutes seems a pretty large difference for that.

After the slower swim, Mirinda Carfrae made the most of the fast “on land” conditions – she missed the bike course record by only four minutes, then set a new run record of 2:49:06 and also a new overall course record of 8:41:17.

Male Race Results

The pre-race favorite, Marino Vanhoenacker had another great race in Austria – he remains unbeaten in Klagenfurt as the eight times winner.

Marino Austria Bike

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected Prize Money
1 Marino Vanhoenacker BEL 00:52:38 04:19:56 02:47:13 08:04:18 -04:43 US$ 14000
2 Viktor Zyemtsev USA 00:52:49 04:32:36 02:39:57 08:09:54 -15:07 US$ 7000
3 Alessandro Degasperi ITA 00:52:39 04:32:39 02:42:58 08:13:53 -05:38 US$ 4500
4 Michael Weiss AUT 00:56:16 04:21:04 02:51:57 08:14:45 -01:40 US$ 3000
5 Bart Aernouts BEL 00:56:48 04:28:27 02:46:42 08:16:32 01:45 US$ 2500
6 Paul Reitmayr AUT 00:52:42 04:24:08 02:58:34 08:19:52 n/a US$ 2000
7 Denis Sketako SLO 00:56:08 04:29:29 02:54:20 08:24:23 -31:19 US$ 1500
8 Matic Modic SLO 00:56:55 04:41:32 02:46:11 08:29:39 -18:14 US$ 1250
9 Pavel Simko SVK 00:55:27 04:33:04 03:04:37 08:38:14 n/a US$ 1000
10 Bart Borghs BEL 01:04:51 04:48:08 02:53:29 08:52:00 n/a US$ 750
11 Thiago Vinhal BRA 00:52:34 04:56:36 02:59:31 08:54:21 08:25
12 Lluis Vila aguilar ESP 01:01:24 04:50:10 03:02:00 08:58:18 n/a
13 Michael Louys BEL 01:08:23 04:40:08 03:07:12 09:02:02 -16:10
14 Christoph Schlagbauer AUT 01:01:19 04:47:28 03:12:03 09:05:40 -1:18:49
15 Harri Sokk EST 01:01:08 04:47:06 03:11:58 09:06:39 -05:38
16 Joan Capdevila ESP 01:01:38 04:51:40 03:06:12 09:07:15 n/a
17 David Jilek CZE 01:01:25 04:47:17 03:13:27 09:07:53 -21:55
18 Xavier Torrades ESP 00:52:44 04:37:31 03:34:42 09:09:41 26:51
19 Nicholas Chase USA 00:55:48 04:50:35 03:21:38 09:13:19 n/a
20 Vincent Riess AUT 00:55:23 04:53:16 03:23:43 09:19:03 28:04
21 Juha Laitinen FIN 01:08:29 04:56:26 03:07:01 09:19:05 -39:16
22 Gergö Molnar HUN 00:52:45 04:46:05 03:37:37 09:21:31 30:36
23 Gili Oriol ESP 01:01:29 05:01:35 03:19:38 09:29:04 -16:46
24 Stephan Trettin GER 01:05:50 04:48:37 03:32:55 09:32:22 -25:40
25 Ludovic Le Guellec FRA 01:02:30 05:20:18 03:23:16 09:54:29 00:19
26 Reinaldo De Oliveira BRA 01:03:49 05:09:41 03:43:08 10:05:05 -03:55
27 Maximilian Gruber AUT 01:16:24 05:16:33 03:33:18 10:13:22 n/a
28 Markus Mlinar AUT 01:05:19 04:57:08 04:18:59 10:27:56 1:12:10
29 David Krupicka CZE 01:09:00 05:09:49 04:02:32 10:28:58 n/a
30 Michal Jalovecky CZE 01:08:55 05:45:42 03:29:41 10:30:45 04:53
31 Josef Svoboda CZE 01:23:00 05:22:29 03:47:30 10:44:12 -58:01
32 Marek Nemcik SVK 01:16:12 05:46:03 04:04:33 11:15:12 -27:36
Antony Costes FRA 00:52:36 04:24:20 DNF
Christian Birngruber AUT 00:56:13 04:28:42 DNF
Paul Ruttmann AUT 01:01:33 04:36:48 DNF
Andreas Fuchs AUT 01:04:39 04:48:52 DNF
Martin Kleinl AUT 01:09:18 04:45:29 DNF
Freddy Lampret ZAF 00:55:36 05:00:38 DNF
Ivan Jezko SVK 01:05:02 04:52:47 DNF
Albert Garces ESP 01:11:03 05:03:11 DNF
Oliver Simon GBR 00:56:19 DNF
Alen Kralj SVN 01:02:11 DNF
Santiago Abad de Agueda ESP 01:05:20 DNF

A few Kona slots are safe after Austria: Bart Aernouts, Alessandro Degasperri and Michael Weiss should have enough points for a July slot.

Female Race Results

Rinny Austria FinishKaren Thibodeau was first out of the water, but Miranda Carfrae wasn’t too far behind. She had a great bike ride: the fastest of the day and in fact all of 2016 so far, only four minutes off the course record held by Diana Riesler from 2011. She then had one of the runs she is famous for: Her 2:49:06 marathon is of course a new record, the fastest of the year and a personal best for her. Only Chrissie Wellington has run faster than her with a 2:44:35 (Roth 2011) and a 2:48:54 (Roth 2010). Ronny’s total time of 8:41:17 is of course the fastest time of this year, a new course record and the 11th fastest time over the IM-distance. Rinny made a big statement that she’s still a force to reckon with in Kona and obviously very happy with her race.

With Michi Herlbauer (also going sub-9!) and Lisi Gruber two Austrians picked up the other podium spots.

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected Prize Money
1 Mirinda Carfrae AUS 00:59:15 04:47:38 02:49:06 08:41:17 -14:32 US$ 14000
2 Michaela Herlbauer AUT 00:59:14 04:53:47 02:59:22 08:57:23 -25:40 US$ 7000
3 Elisabeth Gruber AUT 01:06:31 05:03:23 03:01:57 09:17:20 -03:58 US$ 4500
4 Amber Ferreira USA 01:01:39 04:59:05 03:26:28 09:34:51 -02:37 US$ 3000
5 Michaela Rudolf AUT 01:08:41 05:05:40 03:23:43 09:43:59 -00:48 US$ 2500
6 Karen Thibodeau CAN 00:57:32 05:15:58 03:25:41 09:44:43 04:37 US$ 2000
7 Jana Candrova CZE 01:12:51 05:14:52 03:34:09 10:08:36 -10:07 US$ 1500

Among the Austria finishers, only Mirinda Carfrae can plan for Kona: She validated her Automatic Qualifier slot.

(Photo Credit: Getty Images for Ironman)

Ironman Germany 2016 (July 3rd) – Predictions

IMFraLogoUpdate June 28th: Miranda Carfrae has won IM Austria, so she is unlikely to race in Frankfurt.

Update June 28th: For the interesting back story of Caroline Livesey, please have a look at my profile on her.

Update July 1st: After the Pro Meeting, it’s clear that a number of athletes from the original startlist won’t be racing. I’ve crossed out all of those who have not signed in.

Previous Winners

Year Male Winner Time Female Winner Time
2005 Normann Stadler (GER) 08:20:50 Lisa Bentley (CAN) 09:15:31
2006 Cameron Brown (NZL) 08:13:40 Andrea Steinbecher (GER) 09:16:17
2007 Timo Bracht (GER) 08:09:15 Nicole Leder (GER) 09:04:11
2008 Chris McCormack (AUS) 07:59:55 Chrissie Wellington (GBR) 08:51:24
2009 Timo Bracht (GER) 07:59:15 Sandra Wallenhorst (GER) 08:58:08
2010 Andreas Raelert (GER) 08:05:15 Sandra Wallenhorst (GER) 09:04:27
2011 Faris Al-Sultan (GER) 08:13:50 Caroline Steffen (SUI) 09:12:13
2012 Marino Vanhoenacker (BEL) 08:03:31 Caroline Steffen (SUI) 08:52:33
2013 Eneko Llanos (ESP) 07:59:58 Camilla Pedersen (DEN) 08:56:01
2014 Sebastian Kienle (GER) 07:55:14 Corinne Abraham (GBR) 08:52:40
2015 Jan Frodeno (GER) 07:49:48 Daniela Ryf (SUI) 08:51:00

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Jan Frodeno GER 00:46:02 04:08:43 02:50:49 07:49:48
2 Sebastian Kienle GER 00:50:03 04:11:07 02:56:44 08:01:39
3 Andi Boecherer GER 00:46:56 04:14:05 02:58:14 08:03:49

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Daniela Ryf SUI 00:52:46 04:47:50 03:06:06 08:51:00
2 Julia Gajer GER 00:52:47 04:55:22 03:09:04 09:01:58
3 Caroline Steffen SUI 00:52:42 04:58:52 03:16:26 09:11:55

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 07:49:48 Jan Frodeno 2015-07-05
Swim overall 00:42:17 Jan Sibbersen 2004-07-12
Bike overall 04:08:43 Jan Frodeno 2015-07-05
Run overall 02:42:33 Timo Bracht 2008-07-06
Total female 08:51:00 Daniela Ryf 2015-07-05
Swim female 00:45:04 Amanda Stevens 2012-07-08
Bike female 04:44:25 Natascha Badmann 2014-07-06
Run female 02:57:13 Kristin Moeller 2013-07-07

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Germany is 11:53.

Race Adjustments for IM Germany

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Finishers Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2005 -03:26 00:41 04:40 -04:09 21 -03:26 00:41 04:40 -04:09
2006 12:14 n/a n/a n/a 21 04:24 00:41 04:40 -04:09
2007 20:42 01:41 14:05 04:59 35 09:50 01:11 09:23 00:25
2008 23:08 04:28 08:29 06:33 21 of 28 13:10 02:17 09:05 02:28
2009 17:33 02:56 13:26 -00:13 19 of 25 14:02 02:27 10:10 01:48
2010 08:27 00:46 04:58 01:02 30 13:06 02:07 09:08 01:38
2011 08:18 01:28 05:50 01:11 41 12:25 02:00 08:35 01:34
2012 09:31 03:13 04:27 00:45 37 12:03 02:11 07:59 01:27
2013 16:32 02:16 09:16 05:09 69 12:33 02:11 08:09 01:55
2014 12:34 01:59 13:41 01:46 39 of 56 12:33 02:10 08:46 01:54
2015 05:12 -00:29 08:34 -02:32 32 of 44 11:53 01:54 08:45 01:27

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Germany is a P-4000 race and the winners receive an Automatic Qualifier slot. It has a total prize purse of 150.000 US$.

Female Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. Run Consistency Overall
1 1 Daniela Ryf SUI 08:46:44 08:59:41 00:50:15 04:47:35 03:03:55 100% +0% -0% (5) 1
2 2 Mirinda Carfrae AUS 08:54:21 09:08:15 00:53:21 05:00:05 02:55:55 32% +20% -49% (13) (3)
3 32 Melissa Hauschildt AUS 09:05:44 09:32:16 00:53:28 04:57:45 03:09:32 39% +61% -0% (2) (35)
4 8 Diana Riesler GER 09:14:17 09:31:45 00:55:37 04:54:17 03:19:22 46% +14% -40% (18) 32
5 4 Kristin Moeller GER 09:16:01 09:35:55 01:00:27 05:09:43 03:00:51 83% +15% -2% (17) 40
6 23 Astrid Stienen GER 09:22:04 09:46:33 00:56:11 05:00:11 03:20:42 54% +15% -31% (8) 62
7 6 Daniela Saemmler GER 09:23:10 09:40:22 00:53:09 05:04:09 03:20:52 85% +0% -15% (7) 49
8 33 Emma Bilham SUI 09:23:55 09:48:12 00:52:41 05:09:03 03:17:11 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (65)
9 25 Katja Konschak GER 09:29:51 09:59:46 00:50:08 05:19:26 03:15:17 51% +25% -24% (15) 89
10 5 Natascha Schmitt GER 09:31:11 10:11:37 00:51:41 05:19:17 03:15:14 36% +16% -48% (5) 111
11 12 Dimity-Lee Duke AUS 09:36:13 09:45:48 00:58:44 05:12:05 03:20:23 76% +24% -0% (9) 61
12 22 Bianca Steurer AUT 09:36:29 09:53:23 00:56:02 05:15:36 03:19:51 74% +26% -0% (4) 77
13 27 Carolin Lehrieder GER 09:36:31 09:57:37 00:52:54 05:16:08 03:22:28 30% +23% -46% (6) 84
14 24 Verena Walter GER 09:38:18 10:02:37 00:57:21 05:09:29 03:26:28 53% +29% -18% (5) 94
15 7 Evi Neuscheler GER 09:38:32 09:55:05 01:01:03 05:05:03 03:27:25 60% +40% -0% (3) (80)
16 10 Saleta Castro Nogueira ESP 09:43:39 10:17:00 00:53:41 05:19:02 03:25:56 39% +35% -26% (9) 119
17 14 Katharina Grohmann GER 09:44:32 10:05:32 01:07:59 05:12:03 03:19:30 100% +0% -0% (11) 100
18 19 Caroline Livesey GBR 09:48:44 10:08:45 00:58:33 05:15:25 03:29:45 61% +0% -39% (6) 106
19 26 Mariana Andrade BRA 09:50:16 10:17:33 00:58:04 05:14:04 03:33:08 14% +49% -37% (11) 124
20 13 Christine Fletcher CAN 09:57:34 10:10:32 00:56:42 05:19:25 03:36:27 92% +8% -0% (20) 109
21 17 Petra Krejcova CZE 09:59:14 10:25:02 01:00:50 05:33:11 03:20:12 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (151)
22 9 Celia Kuch GER 10:01:26 10:19:42 01:01:38 05:18:07 03:36:41 79% +21% -0% (17) 132
23 16 Helena Herrero Gomez ESP 10:06:14 10:30:23 00:58:33 05:42:18 03:20:23 25% +0% -75% (5) 160
24 29 Nicole Woysch GER 10:07:46 10:54:33 00:55:54 05:16:16 03:50:36 22% +3% -75% (21) (174)
25 28 Nina Kuhn GER 10:09:26 10:35:41 00:59:08 05:28:28 03:36:50 62% +0% -38% (2) (167)
26 18 Angela Kuehnlein GER 10:11:22 10:29:50 01:00:19 05:31:55 03:34:08 34% +27% -39% (5) 158
15 Lotty Harari PAN n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)

Male Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. Run Consistency Overall
1 51 Sebastian Kienle GER 08:00:16 08:14:29 00:48:15 04:14:21 02:52:41 85% +12% -3% (11) 3
2 53 Andi Boecherer GER 08:05:01 08:32:01 00:45:14 04:16:44 02:58:04 58% +39% -3% (12) 27
3 55 Bas Diederen NED 08:08:01 08:30:09 00:45:55 04:23:46 02:53:19 42% +10% -48% (15) 22
4 60 Clemente Alonso McKernan ESP 08:10:13 08:30:56 00:45:24 04:30:23 02:49:27 56% +14% -31% (13) (24)
5 56 Timothy O’Donnell USA 08:11:14 08:27:01 00:45:57 04:27:30 02:52:47 14% +63% -23% (11) 16
6 112 Eneko Llanos ESP 08:12:39 08:23:10 00:46:14 04:22:39 02:58:46 90% +0% -10% (24) 8
7 90 Michael Weiss AUT 08:18:24 08:32:17 00:52:25 04:23:07 02:57:52 89% +11% -0% (13) 28
8 72 Christian Kramer GER 08:20:53 08:38:43 00:45:49 04:30:47 02:59:17 72% +6% -22% (17) 53
9 62 Denis Chevrot FRA 08:23:32 08:36:57 00:45:20 04:36:20 02:56:52 32% +12% -55% (8) 46
10 69 Joe Gambles AUS 08:23:57 08:40:16 00:46:53 04:32:54 02:59:10 44% +7% -50% (7) (56)
11 59 Marko Albert EST 08:25:34 08:36:12 00:45:25 04:33:42 03:01:27 91% +6% -3% (14) 42
12 97 Victor Del Corral ESP 08:26:28 08:34:42 00:53:44 04:36:06 02:51:38 70% +0% -30% (13) 39
13 115 Igor Amorelli BRA 08:27:12 08:46:09 00:46:03 04:33:37 03:02:31 41% +15% -44% (9) 74
14 58 Johann Ackermann GER 08:27:16 08:58:33 00:47:05 04:30:52 03:04:19 26% +0% -74% (6) (115)
15 94 Marc Duelsen GER 08:27:31 08:46:01 00:50:09 04:32:57 02:59:25 60% +0% -40% (6) (72)
16 116 Jeremy Jurkiewicz FRA 08:29:41 08:45:10 00:45:58 04:41:34 02:57:09 62% +0% -38% (11) (70)
17 61 Alberto Casadei ITA 08:31:58 08:48:52 00:45:53 04:42:46 02:58:19 38% +16% -46% (7) 83
18 96 Anton Blokhin UKR 08:35:14 08:57:29 00:47:13 04:39:45 03:03:16 56% +3% -42% (19) 112
19 67 Herve Faure FRA 08:35:46 08:50:23 00:49:29 04:38:02 03:03:15 45% +0% -55% (8) (88)
20 70 Esben Hovgaard DEN 08:36:37 08:55:54 00:51:54 04:36:51 03:02:52 35% +25% -40% (9) 105
21 85 Pascal Ramali GER 08:36:51 09:04:29 00:56:57 04:31:01 03:03:52 49% +0% -51% (2) (146)
22 117 Markus Thomschke GER 08:37:14 08:57:39 00:51:25 04:32:26 03:08:22 62% +12% -26% (15) 113
23 87 Sylvain Sudrie FRA 08:41:00 09:03:26 00:48:03 04:41:30 03:06:26 53% +0% -47% (2) (138)
24 109 Gudmund Snilstveit NOR 08:41:33 08:59:30 00:54:57 04:34:15 03:07:21 61% +28% -11% (7) 122
25 111 Christian Brader GER 08:41:36 08:54:08 00:54:20 04:43:57 02:58:19 84% +6% -10% (32) 97
26 104 Roman Deisenhofer GER 08:43:12 09:05:52 00:51:16 04:37:03 03:09:53 38% +62% -0% (4) 152
27 120 Bertrand Billard FRA 08:44:43 09:09:16 00:47:37 04:35:24 03:16:42 9% +17% -73% (7) 163
28 78 Matic Modic SLO 08:44:54 09:04:24 00:53:13 04:42:02 03:04:39 47% +39% -13% (6) 144
29 95 Mike Schifferle SUI 08:45:13 09:02:15 00:57:54 04:39:38 03:02:41 84% +12% -4% (54) 130
30 68 Marton Flander HUN 08:45:59 09:08:38 00:47:32 04:55:17 02:58:10 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (161)
31 80 Julian Mutterer GER 08:47:05 09:09:47 00:50:07 04:48:11 03:03:47 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (166)
32 86 Daniil Sapunov UKR 08:49:05 09:11:52 00:46:52 04:50:28 03:06:45 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (175)
33 121 Ivan Risti ITA 08:51:27 09:06:43 00:47:39 04:47:41 03:11:07 77% +0% -23% (5) 154
34 114 Will Clarke GBR 08:52:22 09:20:51 00:48:30 04:40:17 03:18:36 37% +0% -63% (2) (198)
35 79 Gergö Molnar HUN 08:53:51 09:08:36 00:48:27 04:47:39 03:12:45 58% +0% -42% (6) 160
36 92 Denis Sketako SLO 08:57:28 09:17:42 00:56:11 04:44:23 03:11:54 100% +0% -0% (2) (194)
37 119 Michael Davidson ZAF 08:58:39 09:13:32 00:54:43 04:50:54 03:08:01 54% +0% -46% (4) 179
38 65 Hywel Davies GBR 09:08:26 09:24:30 00:57:44 04:51:17 03:14:24 95% +5% -0% (6) (206)
39 75 Felipe De Oliveira Manente BRA 09:11:33 09:37:20 00:51:38 04:55:42 03:19:14 18% +7% -75% (8) 241
40 71 Ivan Jezko SVK 09:12:21 09:43:49 00:57:39 04:52:49 03:16:53 39% +33% -28% (9) 254
41 74 Michael Louys BEL 09:15:03 09:35:44 00:59:56 04:49:47 03:20:20 55% +15% -30% (7) 238
42 110 Thomas Bosch GER 09:18:47 09:42:50 00:57:32 04:59:28 03:16:47 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (252)
43 82 Young Hwan Oh KOR 09:20:37 09:57:49 00:59:20 04:59:04 03:17:12 22% +32% -46% (4) (272)
44 118 Eneko Elosegui ESP 09:20:54 09:38:41 00:56:10 04:47:39 03:32:06 73% +25% -1% (14) 246
45 84 Alfred Rahm GER 09:27:15 09:50:54 01:02:06 04:58:10 03:21:59 60% +1% -40% (17) 263
46 113 Lukas Polan CZE 09:30:04 09:56:55 01:00:12 04:59:39 03:25:12 30% +15% -55% (9) 271
47 73 Ludovic Le Guellec FRA 09:32:29 10:13:14 00:59:17 05:13:05 03:15:07 56% +5% -39% (18) 285
48 107 David Jilek CZE 09:33:15 09:53:28 00:57:29 04:57:06 03:33:39 74% +0% -26% (5) 266
49 83 Gilian Oriet SUI 09:37:53 09:54:53 00:55:39 05:01:05 03:36:09 26% +12% -62% (9) 268
50 66 Vincent Depuiset FRA 09:38:52 09:59:28 01:06:36 05:05:10 03:22:06 66% +15% -19% (7) 276
51 91 Remmert Wielinga NED 10:00:03 10:52:28 01:10:06 04:57:28 03:47:29 7% +11% -82% (6) (298)
52 89 Michal Volejnik CZE 10:54:41 11:22:52 01:01:30 05:16:11 04:32:00 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (303)
53 81 Marek Nemcik SVK 11:26:49 12:04:43 01:09:16 05:38:51 04:33:42 39% +20% -41% (33) 303
63 Maciej Chmura POL n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
77 Rayco Marrero Avero ESP n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (1 IM Pro race) (n/a)
88 Kevin Thewes GER n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
98 Olivier Esser BEL n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
99 David Krupicka CZE n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
105 Alexander Schilling GER n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
106 Youri Severin NED n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
108 Petr Bednar CZE n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
122 Timo Moeschk GER n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)

KPR Situation

Female Race Participants

Similar to Sebi, all Daniela needs to make it to Kona is to finish an Ironman. As there are only 28 July slots for the women, they need about 4.500 points to qualify.

Emma Bilham (3.515) and Bianca Steuerer (3.235) are the best placed athletes, they should be okay with a sixth place. Dimity-Lee Duke already has five results, so even with her 3.330 points she needs to finish fifth – as do Kristin Möller and Diana Riesler. Daniela Sämmler (2.400) and Verena Walter (2.510) are looking for a fourth place. The next group needs a podium finish – Mariana Andrade, Katharina Grohmann, Caroline Livesey, Natascha Schmitt and Astrid Stienen all have between 2.100 and 1.500 points.

Male Race Participants

Before Frankfurt, a lot of athletes are looking to score well in order to get the points needed to qualify. Eneko Llanos is the only athlete who is already safe for Kona, he wants to race Frankfurt to work on his race plan. Sebastian Kienle, Tim O’Donnell and probably Andi Boecherer just need an Ironman finish in order to be eligible for a July slot.

Next up is a group of athletes that are close to the projected cutoff of 3.500 points: Michael Weiss (3.470) and Markus Thomschke (3.130) are closest but already have five results. Similar to Marko Albert (3.095) they should be okay with a 9th place (855 points). The French group of Jeremy Jurkiewicz, Bertrand Billard and Denis Chevrot are around 2.400 points, they have to look for a seventh place (1.335 points). There is another group around 2.000 points (Christian Kramer who also has five results already, Victor Del Corral, Joe Gambles, Clemente Alsonso) they probably need a 6th or better (1.670).

Winning Odds

Female Race Participants

Mirinda Carfrae is on the startlist, but probably only as a backup for Austria the week before. Therefore a showdown with Kona champion Daniela Ryf will likely have to wait until October. Even with Rinny on the start line, Dani is the clear favorite and if she is anywhere close to last year’s form, there is no doubt that she will continue her winning streak. If anyone is going to challenge her, it could be Mel Hauschildt. She has been injured for some time, she is rumored to be in a really good bike shape and hopefully she’ll be able to run well on race day.

After last year’s second place by Julia Gajer, a lot of German women are eying the podium: Diana Riesler didn’t have a good race at Lanzarote, Kristin Möller still needs more points after a fifth place in Brasil, Astrid Stienen has had a long focused build towards Frankfurt this year and Daniela Sämmler wants to show that her win at IM Mallorca was just a step on her way to Kona.

  • Daniela Ryf: 45% (1-1)
  • Mirinda Carfrae: 30% (2-1)
  • Diana Riesler: 8% (11-1)
  • Melissa Hauschildt: 8% (12-1)

Male Race Participants

Sebastian Kienle, 2014 winner of IM Frankfurt and IM Hawaii, is back in Frankfurt to reclaim the first of the titles he lost to Jan Frodeno last year. Sebi is the favorite going into the race but he faces strong competition. Last year Andi Boecherer had a great race to finish in third, this year his prep races have been going well and he seems to be ready to challenge Sebi. Tim O’Donnell is an interesting addition to the field – after his second place in Kona he wants to show he can race well against the Germans in their home country. Bas Diederen has raced well in Frankfurt a number of times, and the 2013 champion Eneko Llanos has hopefully figured out his stomach issues on the run. I’m be pretty sure that it’s going to take at least a sub-8 finish to win the race – even if Frodo’s course record from last year will be hard to beat.

  • Sebastian Kienle: 45% (1-1)
  • Andi Boecherer: 18% (4-1)
  • Clemente Alonso McKernan: 12% (8-1)
  • Bas Diederen: 8% (11-1)
  • Timothy O’Donnell: 7% (14-1)
  • Eneko Llanos: 3% (30-1)
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