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PTO 2020 Championship at Challenge Daytona (December 6th)

PTOChampionship

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Daytona

Previous Winners

Year Male Winner Time Female Winner Time
2018 Pieter Heemeryck (BEL) 02:27:45 Sarah Haskins (USA) 02:42:52
2019 Lionel Sanders (CAN) 02:23:02 Paula Findlay (CAN) 02:38:47

Last Race’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Lionel Sanders CAN 00:23:15 01:14:54 00:42:51 02:23:02
2 Pablo Dapena Gonzalez ESP 00:20:44 01:17:22 00:43:31 02:23:32
3 Jason West USA 00:20:46 01:21:26 00:43:19 02:27:32

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Paula Findlay CAN 00:22:49 01:25:01 00:48:52 02:38:47
2 Lucy Charles-Barclay GBR 00:21:40 01:26:14 00:49:50 02:39:48
3 Lisa Norden SWE 00:22:50 01:25:01 00:53:45 02:43:50

Prize Money

Challenge Daytona has a total prize purse of 1.115.000 US$, paying 60 deep.

Estimated Time Plan

The following table shows the time plan for the race start and the estimated times for the first athlete in the transition zones or across the finish line. The estimates are based on the local start time and my time estimates, these times can change based on how fast or slow the race ends up:

What Est. Racetime Est. Local Time
Female Pro Start 10:00 am
First Female in T1 00:23:23 10:23 am
First Female in T2 02:23:53 12:23 pm
Female Winner 03:34:48 1:34 pm
Male Pro Start 2:00 pm
First Male in T1 00:25:32 2:25 pm
First Male in T2 02:09:23 4:09 pm
Male Winner 03:10:07 5:10 pm

Daytona is on Eastern Standard Time, 5 hours behind of UTC. Here are the conversions to a few other time zones:

  • + 14 hours: Melbourne (AEDT), races start on Monday at 2am and 6am
  • +5 hours: United Kingdom (GMT), races start at 3pm and 7pm
  • + 6 hours: Central Europe (CET), races start at 4pm and 8 pm
  • +/- 0 hours: US East Coast (EST), races start at 10am and and 2pm
  • – 3 hours: US West Coast (PST), races start at 7am and 11 am

A “Technical Note” on Predicted Times

In previous years, Challenge Daytona was contested on a distance of 1.6k swim, 60k bike, and 13k run. Obviously, this is very different from the normal 70.3 distances, but even so it is obvious that the course is very fast. Take for example the bike time of Lionel Sanders: Scaling up his 1:14:54 (from a 60k bike) to a “normal” 70.3 distance of 90k, you get a 1:52:21 – a few minutes faster than the fastest times on “legitimate” 70.3 courses or about the same as the fastest bike time on the known-to-be-somewhat-short 70.3 Dubai. Similarly, Paula Findley and Lisa Norden rode a 1:25:01 last year which equals a 2:07:31. (For comparison, Imogen Simmonds rode a 2:06:58 when she won in Dubai.)

But it’s tricky to transfer the times from last year to this year’s PTO Championship which will be a 2k swim, 80k bike, and 18k run. The swim and run times can probably just be linearly scaled from the regular distances, but what about the bike? As discussed above, the flat, fast Daytona course is likely to have a big impact on the bike times. Continuing to use Lionel as an example, scaling down his 70.3 bike rating (2:07:48) to 80k, we’d get a 1:53 while his 2019 time (scaled to 80k = 1:40) is only 90% of that. Of course there will be some speed differences between riding 60k, 80k and 90k, but coming up with an exact number is next to impossible with the limited amount of data there is. (For those interested, I’m speeding up the scaled 80k bike times to 92% which gives Lionel an expected bike time of 1:43:29.)

All of this goes to show that the times shown in the seedings below have to be taken with an even larger grain of salt than for other races. But I think they still provide some value in that the order of the athletes and – probably as important – the time difference between the athletes should be pretty stable (at least for those with a decent number of 70.3s) and give a good indication of how the race might unfold when everyone is racing with their “paper form”. For example, it wouldn’t be a surprise to see Magnus Ditlev to ride through the field on the bike. Even then, numbers can’t predict what is going to happen when he rides past Alistair Brownlee or Gustav Iden and if Ali is going to stay with him (or trust his much better run). Similarly, on the women’s side Holly Lawrence should ride away from the rest of the field on the bike, possibly building a large enough lead for the run. But there are a few ladies in the field who have raced well in 2020 – for example Lisa Norden has posted the fastest bike split in all her 2020 races (and consistently outperformed my predictions), and at IM Florida four weeks before Daytona, Renee Kiley, Ruth Astle, Skye Moench and Kat Matthews have ridden splits of 4:32 to 4:36 over a flat 180k bike course – even if they don’t ride at a much faster speed they’d be under the two-hour-mark in Daytona.

Male Race Participants

# Bib Name Nat Expected ESwim EBike ET2 ERun
1 54 Gustav Iden NOR 03:11:13 00:25:39 01:44:48 02:12:27 00:58:46
2 1 Alistair Brownlee GBR 03:12:50 00:24:27 01:45:30 02:11:57 01:00:53
3 3 Lionel Sanders CAN 03:14:31 00:27:43 01:43:29 02:13:12 01:01:19
4 7 Javier Gomez ESP 03:15:31 00:24:06 01:48:46 02:14:52 01:00:39
5 53 Magnus Elbaek Ditlev DEN 03:16:37 00:25:59 01:43:24 02:11:23 01:05:14
6 5 Rudy Von Berg USA 03:16:56 00:25:05 01:46:54 02:13:59 01:02:57
7 2 Sebastian Kienle GER 03:16:59 00:27:17 01:45:06 02:14:23 01:02:36
8 14 Sam Appleton AUS 03:17:18 00:24:56 01:45:50 02:12:46 01:04:32
9 9 Pieter Heemeryck BEL 03:18:12 00:25:14 01:47:13 02:14:27 01:03:45
10 18 Daniel Baekkegard DEN 03:18:58 00:24:29 01:49:15 02:15:44 01:03:14
11 17 Florian Angert GER 03:19:01 00:24:47 01:47:40 02:14:27 01:04:34
12 8 Timothy O’Donnell USA 03:19:09 00:24:58 01:47:14 02:14:12 01:04:57
13 16 Maurice Clavel GER 03:19:10 00:25:19 01:47:22 02:14:41 01:04:29
14 56 Henri Schoeman ZAF 03:19:16 00:23:23 01:48:58 02:14:21 01:04:55
15 24 Igor Amorelli BRA 03:19:28 00:25:15 01:45:03 02:12:18 01:07:10
16 26 Ben Kanute USA 03:19:41 00:24:38 01:47:19 02:13:57 01:05:44
17 32 Sam Long USA 03:19:53 00:28:16 01:45:08 02:15:24 01:04:29
18 34 Adam Bowden GBR 03:20:09 00:24:43 01:51:26 02:18:09 01:02:00
19 25 Andi Boecherer GER 03:20:10 00:25:40 01:47:04 02:14:44 01:05:26
20 10 Andreas Dreitz GER 03:20:29 00:26:35 01:46:29 02:15:04 01:05:25
21 29 Bradley Weiss ZAF 03:20:42 00:25:48 01:49:42 02:17:30 01:03:12
22 27 Frederic Funk GER 03:20:43 00:25:20 01:47:36 02:14:56 01:05:47
23 36 Ruedi Wild SUI 03:20:46 00:25:20 01:49:54 02:17:14 01:03:32
24 4 Ben Hoffman USA 03:20:47 00:26:08 01:48:12 02:16:20 01:04:27
25 11 Michael Weiss AUT 03:20:58 00:28:42 01:47:20 02:18:02 01:02:56
26 49 Chris Leiferman USA 03:21:01 00:27:28 01:46:58 02:16:26 01:04:35
27 13 Matt Hanson USA 03:21:04 00:28:29 01:44:45 02:15:14 01:05:50
28 44 Tim Don GBR 03:21:07 00:25:32 01:48:43 02:16:15 01:04:52
29 28 Andy Potts USA 03:21:13 00:25:04 01:49:30 02:16:34 01:04:39
30 40 Joe Gambles AUS 03:21:13 00:26:08 01:48:28 02:16:36 01:04:37
31 35 Jackson Laundry CAN 03:21:15 00:26:48 01:47:50 02:16:38 01:04:37
32 31 George Goodwin GBR 03:21:24 00:26:04 01:50:31 02:18:35 01:02:49
33 50 James Cunnama ZAF 03:21:33 00:27:00 01:48:44 02:17:44 01:03:49
34 12 Bart Aernouts BEL 03:21:40 00:28:37 01:47:31 02:18:08 01:03:32
35 52 Jason West USA 03:21:42 00:25:39 01:50:49 02:18:28 01:03:14
36 39 Thomas Steger AUT 03:22:14 00:26:34 01:50:37 02:19:11 01:03:03
37 41 Boris Stein GER 03:22:29 00:27:54 01:47:31 02:17:25 01:05:04
38 15 Cody Beals CAN 03:22:37 00:26:54 01:48:48 02:17:42 01:04:55
39 43 Eric Lagerstrom USA 03:22:44 00:24:48 01:49:28 02:16:16 01:06:28
40 42 Thomas Davis GBR 03:22:48 00:24:43 01:51:28 02:18:11 01:04:37
41 20 Andrew Starykowicz USA 03:23:17 00:26:07 01:46:42 02:14:49 01:08:28
42 Cameron Wurf AUS 03:23:38 00:27:27 01:46:17 02:15:44 01:07:54
43 30 Eneko Llanos ESP 03:23:54 00:25:33 01:52:19 02:19:52 01:04:02
44 37 Nils Frommhold GER 03:24:32 00:25:27 01:48:21 02:15:48 01:08:44
45 48 Justin Metzler USA 03:24:35 00:25:54 01:51:04 02:18:58 01:05:37
46 23 Matthew Russell USA 03:26:01 00:29:15 01:48:07 02:19:22 01:06:39
47 33 Kristian Hogenhaug DEN 03:26:31 00:26:33 01:47:38 02:16:11 01:10:20
48 45 Taylor Reid CAN 03:26:39 00:26:51 01:51:17 02:20:08 01:06:31
49 46 Jesper Svensson SWE 03:27:27 00:25:02 01:51:34 02:18:36 01:08:51
50 51 Andre Lopes BRA 03:27:54 00:26:47 01:52:00 02:20:47 01:07:07
51 22 Philipp Koutny SUI 03:28:05 00:26:48 01:52:18 02:21:06 01:06:59
52 38 David Plese SLO 03:28:10 00:27:53 01:51:45 02:21:38 01:06:32
53 55 Kieran Lindars GBR 03:30:31 00:24:42 01:56:30 02:23:12 01:07:19
54 59 Andrea Salvisberg SUI 04:05:05 unrated unrated unrated unrated
57 Jonathan Brownlee GBR n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated
58 Vincent Luis FRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated
60 Morgan Pearson USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated
61 Matthew McElroy USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated

Female Race Participants

# Bib Name Nat Expected ESwim EBike ET2 ERun
1 102 Holly Lawrence GBR 03:35:44 00:26:19 01:57:34 02:25:53 01:09:51
2 101 Anne Haug GER 03:37:46 00:28:29 02:02:28 02:32:57 01:04:49
3 150 Jodie Stimpson GBR 03:39:02 00:25:57 02:00:07 02:28:04 01:10:58
4 108 Paula Findlay CAN 03:41:23 00:27:27 02:00:19 02:29:46 01:11:37
5 100 Sarah Crowley AUS 03:41:31 00:28:39 01:59:58 02:30:37 01:10:54
6 105 Laura Philipp GER 03:41:59 00:29:42 02:00:51 02:32:33 01:09:26
7 110 Amelia Watkinson NZL 03:42:02 00:27:57 02:00:08 02:30:05 01:11:57
8 152 Nicola Spirig SUI 03:42:05 00:27:25 02:05:21 02:34:46 01:07:19
9 111 Jackie Hering USA 03:42:42 00:29:02 02:03:30 02:34:32 01:08:10
10 104 Heather Jackson USA 03:43:20 00:30:12 01:59:43 02:31:55 01:11:25
11 115 Emma Pallant GBR 03:43:23 00:29:21 02:03:15 02:34:36 01:08:47
12 112 Jeanni Seymour ZAF 03:43:50 00:27:47 02:02:43 02:32:30 01:11:20
13 106 Skye Moench USA 03:43:52 00:29:42 02:00:27 02:32:09 01:11:43
14 130 Katrina Matthews GBR 03:44:29 00:29:20 02:02:32 02:33:52 01:10:37
15 153 Anneke Jenkins NZL 03:44:40 00:27:38 02:04:55 02:34:33 01:10:07
16 127 India Lee GBR 03:44:49 00:27:25 02:02:13 02:31:38 01:13:11
17 113 Sara Svensk SWE 03:45:18 00:31:07 02:01:44 02:34:51 01:10:27
18 119 Lesley Smith USA 03:45:30 00:29:13 02:04:51 02:36:04 01:09:26
19 117 Meredith Kessler USA 03:45:58 00:27:29 02:03:33 02:33:02 01:12:56
20 129 Pamella Oliveira BRA 03:46:08 00:26:54 02:02:11 02:31:05 01:15:03
21 135 Lisa Norden SWE 03:47:10 00:27:58 01:59:18 02:29:16 01:17:54
22 103 Carrie Lester AUS 03:47:16 00:28:25 02:02:29 02:32:54 01:14:22
23 123 Manon Genet FRA 03:47:26 00:30:09 02:03:05 02:35:14 01:12:12
24 137 Alissa Doehla USA 03:47:40 00:29:48 02:03:21 02:35:09 01:12:31
25 131 Fenella Langridge GBR 03:47:45 00:27:48 02:05:19 02:35:07 01:12:38
26 118 Agnieszka Jerzyk POL 03:48:54 00:28:44 02:03:57 02:34:41 01:14:13
27 138 Nikki Bartlett GBR 03:48:54 00:30:39 02:03:11 02:35:50 01:13:04
28 121 Kimberley Morrison GBR 03:49:05 00:29:29 02:00:11 02:31:40 01:17:25
29 116 Judith Corachan Vaquera ESP 03:49:44 00:28:41 02:05:31 02:36:12 01:13:32
30 133 Angela Naeth CAN 03:49:48 00:31:32 02:00:37 02:34:09 01:15:39
31 144 Lucy Hall GBR 03:49:51 00:25:32 02:04:12 02:31:44 01:18:07
32 140 Jennifer Spieldenner USA 03:50:14 00:27:02 02:05:54 02:34:56 01:15:18
33 141 Elisabetta Curridori ITA 03:50:31 00:29:55 02:05:44 02:37:39 01:12:52
34 134 Rach McBride CAN 03:50:51 00:28:43 02:02:58 02:33:41 01:17:10
35 139 Emma Bilham SUI 03:51:24 00:28:38 02:06:10 02:36:48 01:14:36
36 154 Ruth Astle GBR 03:51:47 00:32:18 02:04:17 02:38:35 01:13:12
37 128 Lauren Brandon USA 03:52:00 00:25:41 02:02:37 02:30:18 01:21:42
38 142 Kelsey Withrow USA 03:52:18 00:27:56 02:05:42 02:35:38 01:16:40
39 145 Danielle Lewis USA 03:53:45 00:36:33 02:02:06 02:40:39 01:13:06
40 120 Carolin Lehrieder GER 03:53:59 00:28:59 02:07:07 02:38:06 01:15:53
41 114 Gurutze Frades Larralde ESP 03:55:13 00:34:26 02:08:15 02:44:41 01:10:32
42 146 Renee Kiley AUS 03:56:06 00:30:42 02:02:50 02:35:32 01:20:34
43 125 Michelle Vesterby DEN 03:56:50 00:28:11 02:07:11 02:37:22 01:19:28
44 126 Lisa Roberts USA 03:57:41 00:33:24 02:08:24 02:43:48 01:13:53
45 147 Lisa Becharas USA 03:57:41 00:32:36 02:04:37 02:39:13 01:18:28
46 132 Kristin Liepold GER 04:01:00 00:36:17 02:13:11 02:51:28 01:09:32
155 Amelie Kretz CAN n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

  • Gustav Iden: 42% (1-1)
  • Alistair Brownlee: 29% (3-1)
  • Lionel Sanders: 13% (6-1)
  • Sam Long: 5% (20-1)
  • Javier Gomez: 3% (29-1)
  • Pieter Heemeryck: 3% (30-1)
  • Rudy Von Berg: 2% (62-1)

In addition to these rated athletes, you also have to consider Vincent Luis and Jonathan Brownlee (who haven’t raced on the 70.3 distance before) as potential winners for the race – I expect at least one of them to finish on the podium in Daytona.

Female Race Participants

  • Holly Lawrence: 53% (1-1)
  • Anne Haug: 15% (5-1)
  • Amelia Watkinson: 9% (10-1)
  • Sarah Crowley: 6% (15-1)
  • Laura Philipp: 4% (23-1)
  • Paula Findlay: 4% (27-1)
  • Nicola Spirig: 3% (30-1)
  • Skye Moench: 3% (31-1)

70.3 Texas 2020 (Nov 22nd) – Seedings

Important Update (Nov 19th): 70.3 Texas has been canceled:

For more information, please refer to the Ironman website for 70.3 Texas.

703 Texas LogoPrevious Winners

Year Male Winner Time Female Winner Time
2014 Richie Cunningham (AUS) 03:46:11 Sofie Goos (BEL) 04:06:23
2015 Lionel Sanders (CAN) 03:45:39 Helle Frederiksen (DEN) 04:07:52
2016 Lionel Sanders (CAN) 03:40:30 Sarah Haskins (USA) 04:12:46
2017 Mauricio Mendez Cruz (MEX) 03:45:35 Kimberley Morrison (GBR) 04:15:40
2018 Ben Kanute (USA) 03:43:44 Melissa Hauschildt (AUS) 04:07:55
2019 Andrew Starykowicz (USA) 03:43:26 Jeanni Seymour (ZAF) 04:01:44

Last Race’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Andrew Starykowicz USA 00:24:43 01:56:52 01:19:39 03:43:26
2 Matt Hanson USA 00:24:59 02:03:44 01:16:57 03:47:47
3 Matthew Russell USA 00:29:15 02:00:34 01:16:37 03:48:44

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Jeanni Seymour ZAF 00:25:27 02:16:10 01:18:01 04:01:44
2 Lesley Smith USA 00:26:51 02:15:37 01:19:22 04:04:34
3 Jackie Hering USA 00:25:58 02:16:40 01:21:45 04:06:56

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 03:40:30 Lionel Sanders 2016-04-10
Swim overall 00:23:19 Ben Kanute 2018-04-08
Bike overall 01:56:52 Andrew Starykowicz 2019-04-07
Run overall 01:10:57 Ivan Tutukin 2018-04-08
Total female 04:01:44 Jeanni Seymour 2019-04-07
Swim female 00:24:17 Laurence Delisle 2018-04-08
Bike female 02:10:00 Dede Griesbauer 2019-04-07
Run female 01:18:01 Jeanni Seymour 2019-04-07

Course Rating

The Course Rating for 70.3 Texas is 11:36.

Race Adjustments for 70.3 Texas

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Finishers Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2014 16:01 -00:05 11:31 04:05 47 of 51 16:01 -00:05 11:31 04:05
2015 08:00 -00:13 09:16 -00:04 45 of 54 12:00 -00:09 10:24 02:00
2016 11:08 00:33 09:54 01:56 66 of 79 11:43 00:04 10:14 01:58
2017 07:27 -00:39 08:58 00:48 55 of 64 10:39 -00:06 09:55 01:41
2018 10:04 00:30 06:45 02:35 58 of 65 10:32 00:01 09:17 01:52
2019 16:57 00:14 14:29 02:04 41 of 43 11:36 00:03 10:09 01:54

Kona slots and Prize Money

70.3 Texas has 1m+1f Pro slots for 70.3 Worlds. It has a total prize purse of 25.000 US$, paying 10 deep.

Male Race Participants

# Bib Name Nat Expected Rating ESwim EBike ET2 ERun Overall
1 62 Mauricio Mendez Cruz MEX 03:44:08 03:56:44 00:23:18 02:06:26 02:33:14 01:10:54 27
2 37 Sam Long (KQ) USA 03:44:56 03:56:21 00:26:52 01:59:14 02:29:36 01:15:20 24
3 39 Andreas Dreitz (KQ) GER 03:45:23 03:55:16 00:25:14 02:00:29 02:29:13 01:16:10 14
4 68 Eric Lagerstrom USA 03:49:05 03:59:11 00:23:36 02:04:16 02:31:22 01:17:43 43
5 72 Brent McMahon CAN 03:49:48 04:04:02 00:23:55 02:05:14 02:32:40 01:17:08 (81)
6 60 Justin Metzler USA 03:50:36 04:01:47 00:24:37 02:05:47 02:33:53 01:16:43 63
7 59 Robbie Deckard USA 03:51:51 04:02:20 00:25:57 02:05:48 02:35:15 01:16:36 66
8 61 Clay Emge USA 03:57:27 04:09:58 00:27:16 02:10:03 02:40:50 01:16:37 (133)
9 71 Tripp Hipple USA 03:57:31 04:08:47 00:26:49 02:06:56 02:37:16 01:20:15 (125)
10 80 Antonio Villardaga MEX 03:57:40 04:07:52 00:24:53 02:10:17 02:38:41 01:18:59 (115)
11 51 Patrick Brady USA 03:58:16 04:09:05 00:29:37 02:07:21 02:40:28 01:17:48 (128)
12 67 Nicholas Granet FRA 03:58:50 04:09:59 00:25:53 02:08:38 02:38:02 01:20:48 (133)
13 47 Elliot Bach USA 04:00:37 04:14:11 00:25:37 02:07:41 02:36:48 01:23:49 (163)
14 70 Andrew Keily USA 04:02:02 04:12:49 00:24:26 02:09:02 02:36:58 01:25:04 153
15 52 Lukas Siska SVK 04:03:15 04:13:52 00:25:17 02:15:46 02:44:32 01:18:43 (161)
16 56 Jason Pohl CAN 04:03:17 04:16:10 00:28:29 02:13:16 02:45:15 01:18:02 171
17 43 Michael Arishita USA 04:04:07 04:14:29 unrated unrated unrated unrated (165)
18 50 Frank Sorbara CAN 04:05:09 04:17:48 00:27:16 02:14:38 02:45:23 01:19:46 176
19 77 Jonathan Fecik USA 04:07:31 04:17:50 00:27:51 02:08:46 02:40:08 01:27:23 (178)
20 46 Ted Treise USA 04:09:29 04:20:05 00:29:18 02:13:38 02:46:26 01:23:03 (184)
21 81 Robby Webster USA 04:10:39 04:21:18 unrated unrated unrated unrated (188)
22 54 Evan Price USA 04:12:03 04:26:28 00:29:48 02:14:13 02:47:32 01:24:31 (198)
23 65 Pablo Gomez COL 04:13:10 04:29:44 00:28:34 02:10:22 02:42:27 01:30:43 202
24 48 Jimmy Sosinski USA 04:14:18 04:26:35 00:31:48 02:12:04 02:47:22 01:26:56 (198)
49 Aaron Birch USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
64 Matt McWilliams USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
69 Javier Hidalgo BRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
76 Jeffrey Case USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
79 Tomas Andres Rodriguez Hernandez MEX n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)

Female Race Participants

# Bib Name Nat Expected Rating ESwim EBike ET2 ERun Overall
1 2 Sarah Crowley (KQ) AUS 04:09:52 04:20:33 00:27:16 02:16:11 02:46:57 01:22:55 6
2 3 Paula Findlay CAN 04:10:01 04:21:38 00:26:08 02:16:38 02:46:15 01:23:46 8
3 1 Jeanni Seymour ZAF 04:10:36 04:24:38 00:26:11 02:18:49 02:48:30 01:22:06 (13)
4 6 Lesley Smith USA 04:12:11 04:26:06 00:27:31 02:20:41 02:51:42 01:20:29 (16)
5 15 Judith Corachan Vaquera (KQ) ESP 04:19:22 04:30:20 00:27:18 02:22:33 02:53:21 01:26:01 27
6 12 Jennifer Spieldenner USA 04:20:20 04:32:16 00:25:44 02:22:59 02:52:13 01:28:07 (33)
7 26 Renee Kiley AUS 04:27:05 04:41:25 00:29:11 02:20:17 02:52:58 01:34:07 70
8 13 Sarah Bishop USA 04:27:29 04:39:06 00:32:58 02:23:22 02:59:50 01:27:39 61
9 25 Laura Mathews USA 04:28:23 04:42:51 00:28:42 02:22:49 02:55:00 01:33:23 (74)
10 20 Lenny Ramsey NED 04:31:19 04:43:30 00:34:12 02:27:15 03:04:56 01:26:23 (75)
11 31 Amanda Wendorff USA 04:32:06 04:46:51 00:29:23 02:23:41 02:56:34 01:35:32 84
12 9 Palmira Alvarez MEX 04:35:44 04:50:16 00:35:08 02:24:40 03:03:18 01:32:26 90
13 10 Zuzana Trnovcova SVK 04:38:58 04:52:49 00:34:41 02:27:53 03:06:03 01:32:55 95
14 19 Brittany Higgins USA 04:39:02 04:51:46 00:30:36 02:27:35 03:01:41 01:37:21 (93)
15 30 Lara Gruden USA 04:41:52 04:53:51 00:31:37 02:26:02 03:01:09 01:40:43 (98)
16 21 Ginger Howell USA 04:44:44 04:59:45 00:30:58 02:33:59 03:08:27 01:36:17 108
17 18 Erin Ray USA 04:49:35 05:13:19 00:41:01 02:24:42 03:09:13 01:40:22 (116)
18 17 Monica Folts USA 04:52:36 05:05:24 00:36:16 02:38:01 03:17:47 01:34:49 112
8 Danielle Vsetecka USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
14 Marj Rinaldo USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
23 Elizabeth James USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
29 Sonja Catano USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

  • Sam Long: 41% (1-1)
  • Mauricio Mendez Cruz: 22% (4-1)
  • Andreas Dreitz: 18% (4-1)
  • Justin Metzler: 6% (15-1)
  • Brent McMahon: 6% (15-1)
  • Eric Lagerstrom: 5% (19-1)

Female Race Participants

  • Paula Findlay: 31% (2-1)
  • Sarah Crowley: 28% (3-1)
  • Lesley Smith: 22% (4-1)
  • Jeanni Seymour: 18% (5-1)

Ironman Florida 2020 – Analyzing Results

IMFlorida

Course Conditions

As usual, IM Florida has been quite fast, though an adjustment of 15:49 is a bit slower than the previous 22:12 course rating. Conditions were slower than normal in the swim (-4:08) and the run (-1:46) while the bike was about normal (21:43 in line with an 18:51 bike course rating)

The female winner, Katrina Matthews, was able to set a new overall course record: She was more than two minutes quicker than the old record of 8:43:07, set by Yvonne Van Vlerken in 2013. On the bike, Ruth Astle posted a 4:32:13, a new bike course record, beating the old record also by Yvonne in 2013. (Renee Kiley was even quicker but had to DNF with a run injury.)

Kona Qualifying

IM Florida has 6 Kona slots, at 24 male Pros and 17 female Pro starters, they should be split evenly.

The three male slots go to

  • Chris Leiferman,
  • Matt Hanson
    and
  • Andreas Dreitz.

On the female side, the Kona qualifiers are

  • Katrina Matthews,
  • Skye Moench
    and
  • Ruth Astle.

Both third-place finishers, Sam Long and Meredith Kessler were already qualified. The full list of Pros qualified for Kona can be found here.

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money
1 Chris Leiferman USA 00:54:40 04:01:50 02:50:29 07:52:44 -09:14 US$ 15,000
2 Matt Hanson USA 00:55:17 04:11:24 02:41:57 07:55:02 -14:29 US$ 9,000
3 Sam Long USA 00:55:31 04:07:20 02:45:40 07:55:33 -25:34 US$ 7,000
4 Andreas Dreitz GER 00:54:02 04:02:57 02:52:58 07:56:51 -06:20 US$ 5,000
5 Cody Beals CAN 00:54:02 04:12:52 02:46:24 07:59:55 08:27 US$ 4,000
6 Matthew Russell USA 00:54:39 04:04:25 03:00:44 08:07:35 -02:26 US$ 3,000
7 Pedro Gomes POR 00:54:06 04:18:25 02:54:15 08:13:50 -15:01 US$ 2,500
8 Brent McMahon CAN 00:53:11 04:14:01 03:00:52 08:14:22 12:35 US$ 2,000
9 David Plese SLO 00:55:27 04:16:48 03:03:06 08:22:54 11:47 US$ 1,500
10 Kevin Portmann FRA 01:01:09 04:16:38 03:06:37 08:31:21 -17:23 US$ 1,000
11 Yu Hsiao TWN 01:04:02 04:26:37 02:56:45 08:36:05 -20:18
12 Derk De Korver NED 01:02:05 04:29:38 03:01:10 08:40:10 n/a
13 Tim Rea AUS 00:53:47 04:13:13 03:31:16 08:45:31 38:31
14 Elliot Bach USA 00:53:58 04:21:36 03:25:54 08:51:59 -19:25
15 David Lacombe CAN 01:04:01 04:48:11 03:09:14 09:09:22 -08:36
16 Eliot Scymanski USA 00:54:03 04:23:44 03:46:03 09:13:46 18:22
17 Christopher Hess USA 01:04:14 04:39:13 03:31:08 09:23:04 n/a
18 Peter Kotland CZE 01:04:07 04:48:11 03:42:28 09:44:26 10:23
19 Aaron Kolk USA 01:13:42 04:33:39 03:48:57 09:46:48 n/a
Nicholas Chase USA 00:54:37 04:28:45 DNF
Joe Gambles AUS 00:53:54 DNF
Yorlliry Moreno VEN 00:55:29 DNF
Jason Pohl CAN 01:00:27 DNF

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money
1 Katrina Matthews GBR 00:58:57 04:36:15 02:58:29 08:40:50 -14:07 US$ 15,000
2 Skye Moench USA 01:01:52 04:33:44 03:03:50 08:46:35 -21:15 US$ 9,000
3 Meredith Kessler USA 00:58:59 04:44:27 03:08:08 08:59:01 -06:40 US$ 7,000
4 Ruth Astle GBR 01:05:37 04:32:13 03:18:12 09:04:03 -14:40 US$ 5,000
5 Fiona Moriarty IRL 01:10:32 04:45:02 03:17:12 09:21:51 n/a US$ 4,000
6 Lenny Ramsey NED 01:10:44 04:56:30 03:12:36 09:28:58 09:37 US$ 3,000
7 Natasha Van der Merwe USA 01:05:39 04:55:16 03:20:08 09:29:20 -11:24 US$ 2,500
8 Palmira Alvarez MEX 01:10:38 04:53:17 03:20:54 09:34:44 -26:03 US$ 2,000
9 Jessica Jones USA 01:05:02 04:57:13 03:26:55 09:40:36 04:56 US$ 1,500
10 Sarah Bishop USA 01:13:40 05:04:45 03:19:30 09:46:18 n/a US$ 1,000
11 Sarah Karpinski USA 01:17:40 05:06:20 03:25:54 09:58:45 -20:11
12 Brittany Oliver USA 01:02:18 05:18:06 03:44:05 10:13:54 n/a
13 Ginger Howell USA 01:05:42 05:59:42 03:40:01 10:55:06 38:00
14 Samantha Snukis USA 01:08:36 06:16:58 03:24:25 11:03:04 n/a
Renee Kiley AUS 01:02:34 04:32:06 DNF
Kelsey Withrow USA 00:59:01 04:57:55 DNF
Pamela-Ann Bachelder St.Pierre CAN 01:07:53 04:59:10 DNF

Ironman Florida 2020 (Nov 7th) – Seedings

IMFloridaUpdate November 6th: Jocelyn McCauley is no longer on the latest startlist. Heather Jackson has also indicated that she won’t be in Panama Beach. I have crossed out their names in the seed tables below.
A further reduction in the number of female starters could impact the slot assignment: If the men have at least 60% of the Pro starters, both unassigned slots would go to the male Pros. With 25 male Pros, there’d have to be 13 or fewer female Pros. However, even without Jocelyn and Heather, there are still 18 female Pros on the start list, so an equal slot split still seems quite likely.

Previous Winners

Year Male Winner Time Female Winner Time
2005 Marino Vanhoenacker (BEL) 08:28:26 Bella Bayliss (GBR) 09:33:09
2006 Jan Raphael (GER) 08:22:44 Bella Bayliss (GBR) 09:28:28
2007 Stephan Vuckovic (GER) 08:21:29 Nina Kraft (GER) 09:05:35
2008 Tom Evans (CAN) 08:07:59 Bella Bayliss (GBR) 09:07:48
2009 Kirill Kotshegarov (EST) 08:24:29 Sofie Goos (BEL) 09:08:38
2010 James Cunnama (ZAF) 08:15:59 Jessica Jacobs (USA) 09:07:49
2011 Ronnie Schildknecht (SUI) 07:59:42 Jessica Jacobs (USA) 08:55:10
2012 Andrew Starykowicz (USA) 08:06:17 Yvonne Van Vlerken (NED) 08:51:35
2013 Victor Del Corral (ESP) 07:53:12 Yvonne Van Vlerken (NED) 08:43:07
2014 Lionel Sanders (CAN) 06:58:46 Yvonne Van Vlerken (NED) 08:01:47
2019 Joe Skipper (GBR) 07:46:28

IM Florida hasn’t been a Pro race from 2015 to 2018.

Last Race’s TOP 3

Last year, IM Florida was an MPRO-only race.

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Joe Skipper GBR 00:54:18 04:05:51 02:39:01 07:46:28
2 Ben Hoffman USA 00:49:08 04:17:15 02:36:09 07:48:29
3 Andrew Starykowicz USA 00:50:55 04:01:19 02:58:36 07:56:32

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 07:46:28 Joe Skipper 2019-11-02
Swim overall 00:44:36 John Flanagan 2011-11-05
Bike overall 04:01:19 Andrew Starykowicz 2019-11-02
Run overall 02:36:09 Ben Hoffman 2019-11-02
Total female 08:43:07 Yvonne Van Vlerken 2013-11-02
Swim female 00:50:26 Tereza Macel 2007-11-03
Bike female 04:35:49 Yvonne Van Vlerken 2013-11-02
Run female 02:53:26 Jessica Jacobs 2011-11-05

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Florida is 22:12.

Race Adjustments for IM Florida

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Finishers Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2005 13:46 00:11 14:10 -00:35 48 13:46 00:11 14:10 -00:35
2006 15:58 -01:35 11:45 05:48 63 14:52 -00:42 12:57 02:38
2007 26:44 01:19 19:24 06:02 78 18:49 -00:02 15:06 03:46
2008 28:18 01:01 20:36 06:41 55 21:12 00:14 16:29 04:30
2009 21:54 -00:57 19:00 03:52 35 of 43 21:20 00:00 16:59 04:22
2010 17:37 00:33 13:55 03:10 40 20:43 00:05 16:28 04:10
2011 23:29 00:29 18:35 04:25 34 21:07 00:09 16:46 04:12
2012 18:51 -03:02 22:52 -00:59 48 20:50 -00:15 17:31 03:34
2013 33:24 -01:15 27:12 07:26 63 of 81 22:13 -00:21 18:36 04:00
2019 21:57 -02:27 18:21 06:03 27 of 34 22:12 -00:34 18:34 04:12

Kona slots and Prize Money

IM Florida has 2m+2f +2u Pro Kona slot(s). It has a total prize purse of 100.000 US$, paying 10 deep.

Male Race Participants

The strength of the field is 20% of a typical Kona field.

# Bib Name Nat Expected Rating ESwim EBike ET2 ERun Consistency
1 43 Cody Beals CAN 07:47:22 08:20:14 00:51:48 04:09:11 05:05:59 02:41:23 60% +0% -40% (3)
2 47 Brent McMahon CAN 07:55:31 08:21:14 00:48:22 04:17:07 05:10:29 02:45:02 47% +0% -53% (16)
3 42 Matt Hanson USA 07:56:44 08:28:28 00:52:35 04:15:59 05:13:34 02:43:10 24% +29% -47% (17)
4 45 Andreas Dreitz GER 07:56:51 08:22:07 00:49:57 04:08:39 05:03:36 02:53:15 59% +0% -41% (6)
5 46 Chris Leiferman USA 07:57:39 08:20:46 00:52:12 04:13:59 05:11:11 02:46:28 65% +0% -35% (5)
6 41 Matthew Russell USA 08:03:13 08:24:18 00:54:34 04:13:35 05:13:09 02:50:04 62% +23% -15% (54)
7 66 Tim Rea AUS 08:04:09 08:37:37 00:50:41 04:13:39 05:09:20 02:54:49 n/a (1 IM Pro race)
8 44 Joe Gambles AUS 08:04:25 08:30:52 00:50:21 04:18:11 05:13:32 02:50:53 39% +9% -52% (16)
9 63 David Plese SLO 08:05:32 08:25:51 00:52:27 04:17:27 05:14:55 02:50:37 83% +3% -14% (32)
10 40 Sam Long (KQ) USA 08:12:28 08:40:12 00:55:29 04:13:54 05:14:23 02:58:05 39% +39% -21% (11)
11 55 Pedro Gomes POR 08:14:02 08:43:19 00:51:59 04:25:58 05:22:57 02:51:05 52% +8% -40% (39)
12 65 Kevin Portmann FRA 08:34:00 09:09:09 00:56:36 04:27:34 05:29:10 03:04:50 63% +0% -37% (3)
13 54 Clay Emge USA 08:35:14 09:02:23 00:55:42 04:34:55 05:35:37 02:59:37 95% +0% -5% (6)
14 50 Nicholas Chase USA 08:43:55 09:26:29 00:53:05 04:27:30 05:25:35 03:18:20 34% +25% -41% (7)
15 67 Eliot Scymanski USA 08:50:32 09:22:42 00:52:43 04:40:02 05:37:45 03:12:47 100% +0% -0% (2)
16 59 Yu Hsiao TWN 08:51:28 09:28:13 00:57:36 04:38:48 05:41:24 03:10:04 n/a (1 IM Pro race)
17 64 Jason Pohl CAN 08:58:18 09:23:07 00:58:40 04:41:28 05:45:08 03:13:10 60% +0% -40% (6)
18 49 Elliot Bach USA 09:06:23 09:50:01 00:53:07 04:46:03 05:44:10 03:22:13 37% +0% -63% (2)
19 61 David Lacombe CAN 09:13:13 09:51:28 00:59:09 04:37:45 05:41:55 03:31:18 55% +0% -45% (3)
20 69 Peter Kotland CZE 09:23:23 09:57:05 01:00:04 04:49:10 05:54:14 03:29:09 73% +6% -21% (35)
21 70 Yorlliry Moreno VEN 09:24:43 10:05:16 00:53:28 04:53:44 05:52:12 03:32:31 57% +0% -43% (2)
53 Derk De Korver NED n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race)
58 Christopher Hess USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race)
60 Aaron Kolk USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race)
68 Dylan Gillespie USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race)

Female Race Participants

The strength of the field is 28% of a typical Kona field.

# Bib Name Nat Expected Rating ESwim EBike ET2 ERun Consistency
1 4 Jocelyn McCauley USA 08:43:35 09:31:05 00:53:38 04:42:20 05:40:59 03:02:36 11% +29% -59% (16)
2 2 Heather Jackson (KQ) USA 08:43:56 09:06:07 00:58:15 04:38:47 05:42:03 03:01:53 94% +4% -2% (14)
3 17 Katrina Matthews GBR 08:50:14 09:26:53 00:56:27 04:40:35 05:42:02 03:08:12 n/a (1 IM Pro race)
4 1 Skye Moench USA 08:51:02 09:28:54 00:56:22 04:42:05 05:43:27 03:07:35 7% +82% -11% (6)
5 3 Meredith Kessler (KQ) USA 08:54:22 09:21:28 00:52:02 04:48:14 05:45:16 03:09:06 49% +16% -35% (35)
6 16 Renee Kiley AUS 09:08:05 09:41:10 00:56:07 04:47:42 05:48:48 03:19:17 21% +50% -30% (6)
7 22 Lenny Ramsey NED 09:12:01 09:41:47 01:05:50 04:59:05 06:09:54 03:02:07 64% +17% -19% (6)
8 8 Ruth Astle GBR 09:13:47 09:52:04 01:03:44 04:48:06 05:56:50 03:16:57 n/a (1 IM Pro race)
9 9 Pamela-Ann Bachelder St.Pierre CAN 09:15:02 09:53:24 01:03:33 05:00:37 06:09:10 03:05:52 n/a (1 IM Pro race)
10 6 Kelsey Withrow USA 09:18:38 09:50:44 00:54:37 05:00:18 05:59:54 03:18:44 42% +12% -47% (8)
11 23 Natasha Van der Merwe USA 09:28:46 10:09:25 01:04:28 04:58:34 06:08:02 03:20:44 45% +19% -37% (17)
12 14 Jessica Jones USA 09:31:48 10:10:39 00:57:23 05:05:08 06:07:31 03:24:17 51% +0% -49% (3)
13 21 Ashley Paulson USA 09:37:18 10:11:04 01:13:15 05:15:25 06:33:39 03:03:39 67% +8% -25% (11)
14 7 Palmira Alvarez MEX 09:51:38 10:23:48 01:08:26 05:03:12 06:16:37 03:35:01 70% +3% -26% (12)
15 25 Ginger Howell USA 10:04:09 10:42:40 01:01:55 05:23:16 06:30:11 03:33:58 50% +24% -25% (4)
16 15 Sarah Karpinski USA 10:08:35 10:49:15 01:13:55 05:21:39 06:40:34 03:28:01 45% +0% -55% (2)
12 Sarah Bishop USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race)
18 Fiona Moriarty IRL n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race)
20 Brittany Oliver USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race)
26 Samantha Snukis USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

  • Cody Beals: 43% (1-1)
  • Matt Hanson: 16% (5-1)
  • Brent McMahon: 11% (8-1)
  • Andreas Dreitz: 9% (10-1)
  • Matthew Russell: 7% (14-1)
  • Chris Leiferman: 5% (21-1)
  • David Plese: 4% (22-1)
  • Joe Gambles: 3% (28-1)

Female Race Participants

  • Heather Jackson: 42% (1-1)
  • Jocelyn McCauley: 25% (3-1)
  • Skye Moench: 21% (4-1)
  • Meredith Kessler: 10% (9-1)
  • Katrina Matthews: 2% (54-1)
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