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Ironman UK 2017 – Analyzing Results

Race Conditions

Race day had very typical “UK summer weather” – lots of loud and winds, and some run but also some sunshine. The numbers were also pretty typical, the main feature of the UK course is a very slow bike. The bike adjustment of -15:16 (leading to an overall adjustment of -16:19) shows how tough the bike is – the course is about as slow as Lanzarote and about a quarter hour slower than Kona.

The winning time of Cyril Viennot was the fastest male time we’ve seen since the somewhat suspiciously quick times in 2011, while Lucy Gossage was a few minutes slower than last year.

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money KPR Points
1 Cyril Viennot FRA 00:48:57 04:52:17 02:53:44 08:41:07 -03:42 US$ 8,000 2000
2 Will Clarke GBR 00:47:56 05:01:44 02:46:28 08:47:03 00:05 US$ 4,000 1600
3 Kirill Kotshegarov EST 00:55:50 04:57:04 02:48:49 08:48:16 00:15 US$ 3,000 1280
4 Bryan McCrystal IRL 00:57:09 04:55:03 03:11:51 09:10:31 -09:26 US$ 2,500 960
5 Nicholas Ward Munoz GBR 00:57:04 05:16:11 02:56:09 09:16:52 04:28 US$ 1,500 720
6 Pedro Gomes POR 00:52:03 05:27:14 03:00:04 09:25:44 33:22 US$ 1,000 540
7 Fraser Cartmell GBR 00:52:31 05:20:54 03:13:45 09:33:49 23:33   405
  Harry Wiltshire GBR 00:47:52 05:18:54   DNF      
  Miquel Blanchart Tinto ESP 00:49:38 05:29:27   DNF      
  Romain Guillaume FRA 00:47:54     DNF      
  Mark Bowstead NZL 00:48:54     DNF      

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money KPR Points
1 Lucy Gossage GBR 01:01:15 05:23:07 03:09:15 09:39:48 05:16 US$ 8,000 2000
2 Diana Riesler GER 00:58:53 05:27:40 03:08:30 09:41:56 -04:25 US$ 4,000 1600
3 Nikki Bartlett GBR 01:01:17 05:27:35 03:23:09 09:59:08 -02:23 US$ 3,000 1280
4 Brooke Brown CAN 01:01:22 05:42:49 03:28:18 10:21:16 11:14 US$ 2,500 960
  Hannah Drewett GBR 00:52:01 06:13:04   DNF      

Kona Qualifying Implications

On the male side, the Top 3 finishers have now secured their Kona slots. Both Cyril Viennot (4.485) and Will Clarke (4.645) are well ahead of the projected cutoff of 3.500. Kyrill Kotshegarov (3.710) is also ahead of the expected cutoff and will quite likely get a July slot as well, but has to wait a bit longer to be completely safe.

On the female side Lucy Gossage was already safe before the race (but said she’s going to decline her slot), but Diana Riesler is now safe for a July slot. Nikki Bartlett is just short of a July slot, she has to hope for a few rolldowns or the August cutoff.

Ironman Switzerland 2017 (July 30th) – Seedings

IMSUI_LogoPrevious Winners

Year Male Winner Time Female Winner Time
2005 Christoph Mauch (SUI) 08:21:48 Karin Thuerig (SUI) 09:10:51
2006 Stefan Riesen (SUI) 08:16:50 Rebecca Preston (AUS) 09:24:18
2007 Ronnie Schildknecht (SUI) 08:24:58 Rebecca Preston (AUS) 09:20:40
2008 Ronnie Schildknecht (SUI) 08:16:05 Sibylle Matter (SUI) 09:30:12
2009 Ronnie Schildknecht (SUI) 08:20:00 Sibylle Matter (SUI) 09:14:35
2010 Ronnie Schildknecht (SUI) 08:12:40 Karin Thuerig (SUI) 09:00:04
2011 Ronnie Schildknecht (SUI) 08:19:51 Karin Thuerig (SUI) 09:03:26
2012 Ronnie Schildknecht (SUI) 08:17:13 Erika Csomor (HUN) 09:20:16
2013 Ronnie Schildknecht (SUI) 08:33:39 Anja Beranek (GER) 09:21:31
2014 Boris Stein (GER) 08:33:02 Daniela Ryf (SUI) 09:13:30
2015 Ronnie Schildknecht (SUI) 08:21:19 Beth Gerdes (USA) 09:21:05
2016 Ronnie Schildknecht (SUI) 08:17:04 Daniela Ryf (SUI) 08:51:50

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Ronnie Schildknecht SUI 00:55:39 04:31:01 02:47:07 08:17:04
2 Timo Bracht GER 00:53:17 04:33:02 02:54:34 08:24:13
3 Jan Van Berkel SUI 00:52:56 04:33:37 02:59:23 08:29:12

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Daniela Ryf SUI 00:53:16 04:46:30 03:07:31 08:51:50
2 Emma Bilham SUI 00:57:41 05:03:58 03:16:36 09:21:48
3 Michaela Herlbauer AUT 01:01:05 05:07:02 03:15:37 09:28:12

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 08:12:40 Ronnie Schildknecht 2010-07-25
Swim overall 00:45:29 Benjamin Sanson 2005-07-15
Bike overall 04:23:58 Stefan Riesen 2006-07-02
Run overall 02:41:58 Clemente Alonso McKernan 2011-07-10
Total female 08:51:50 Daniela Ryf 2016-07-24
Swim female 00:51:23 Celine Schaerer 2014-07-27
Bike female 04:43:53 Karin Thuerig 2010-07-25
Run female 03:00:27 Kristin Moeller 2014-07-27

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Switzerland is 05:58.

Race Adjustments for IM Switzerland

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Finishers Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2005 -06:34 01:11 03:25 -09:12 42 -06:34 01:11 03:25 -09:12
2006 13:38 01:59 06:01 02:44 35 03:32 01:35 04:43 -03:14
2007 19:39 -00:21 12:47 01:55 35 08:54 00:56 07:24 -01:31
2008 12:22 00:12 03:08 02:39 30 of 40 09:46 00:45 06:20 -00:29
2009 16:32 -00:11 08:33 04:06 37 11:07 00:34 06:47 00:26
2010 08:54 -00:32 06:45 03:19 30 of 38 10:45 00:23 06:47 00:55
2011 10:56 -01:55 02:05 06:03 20 10:47 00:03 06:06 01:39
2012 08:20 -02:34 03:50 01:39 31 10:28 -00:16 05:49 01:39
2013 -08:16 -04:44 03:28 -06:20 38 08:23 -00:46 05:34 00:46
2014 -02:13 -03:17 06:06 -01:38 28 of 36 07:20 -01:01 05:37 00:32
2015 -03:55 -02:25 01:59 -04:06 24 of 38 06:18 -01:09 05:17 00:06
2016 02:18 -03:20 06:56 -01:03 30 of 46 05:58 -01:20 05:25 00:01

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Switzerland is a P-2000 race. It has a total prize purse of 40.000 US$.

Male Race Participants

The strength of the field is 15% of a typical Kona field.

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. T2 Exp. Run Consistency Overall
1 1 Ronnie Schildknecht SUI 08:15:30 08:25:01 00:53:23 04:29:15 05:27:38 02:47:52 83% +1% -16% (32) 21
2 31 Will Clarke GBR 08:16:16 08:31:03 00:49:54 04:35:27 05:30:21 02:45:55 9% +57% -34% (6) 39
3 29 Nick Kastelein AUS 08:18:14 08:31:28 00:48:24 04:29:23 05:22:48 02:55:26 100% +0% -0% (2) (42)
4 35 Alessandro Degasperi * ITA 08:22:39 08:28:21 00:52:25 04:37:58 05:35:23 02:47:16 78% +0% -22% (10) 30
5 2 Jan Van Berkel SUI 08:25:20 08:37:57 00:50:01 04:32:12 05:27:14 02:58:06 46% +25% -29% (14) 64
6 3 Ruedi Wild SUI 08:26:33 08:30:00 00:50:00 04:35:40 05:30:40 02:55:53 43% +32% -25% (4) 37
7 32 David Plese SLO 08:27:36 08:33:49 00:53:49 04:34:48 05:33:37 02:53:59 86% +9% -5% (22) 47
8 25 Daniel Fontana * ITA 08:28:20 08:34:26 00:50:24 04:36:51 05:32:15 02:56:05 66% +0% -34% (15) 52
9 18 Cameron Wurf * AUS 08:29:41 08:45:13 00:50:03 04:20:40 05:15:43 03:13:58 18% +82% -0% (4) 86
10 17 Daniil Sapunov UKR 08:33:42 08:48:48 00:49:39 04:45:06 05:39:45 02:53:57 80% +20% -0% (5) 100
11 30 Philipp Koutny SUI 08:36:24 08:49:57 00:52:11 04:32:51 05:30:03 03:06:21 35% +21% -44% (6) 103
12 15 Esben Hovgaard DEN 08:36:40 08:49:49 00:53:59 04:36:39 05:35:38 03:01:02 56% +29% -16% (12) 101
13 8 Trevor Delsaut FRA 08:39:06 08:51:30 00:54:05 04:41:45 05:40:50 02:58:16 35% +5% -60% (28) 111
14 24 Anton Blokhin UKR 08:39:20 08:53:38 00:51:37 04:40:41 05:37:18 03:02:02 50% +25% -25% (22) 118
15 13 Samuel Huerzeler SUI 08:44:46 08:59:30 00:54:00 04:45:16 05:44:15 03:00:31 56% +44% -0% (8) 144
16 5 Harry Wiltshire GBR 08:45:23 08:57:22 00:48:40 04:47:06 05:40:45 03:04:38 27% +18% -55% (21) 136
17 16 Fellipe Santos BRA 08:48:40 09:06:12 00:49:04 04:49:46 05:43:50 03:04:50 38% +62% -0% (2) (167)
18 36 Daniel Niederreiter AUT 08:50:41 08:57:55 00:52:38 04:47:26 05:45:03 03:05:38 67% +0% -33% (15) 138
19 6 Philip Graves GBR 08:51:34 08:55:32 00:50:13 04:31:12 05:26:25 03:25:09 100% +0% -0% (8) 127
20 4 Mike Schifferle SUI 08:53:31 09:05:03 01:01:13 04:43:51 05:50:05 03:03:26 89% +10% -2% (65) 162
21 26 Allister Caird AUS 08:55:55 09:24:41 01:01:03 04:39:33 05:45:36 03:10:19 12% +20% -67% (6) 216
22 22 John Manuel Galindo Rooney ESP 09:12:13 09:42:51 00:52:28 05:01:59 05:59:27 03:12:46 4% +37% -58% (5) 263
23 28 Hendrik-Jan Verhaegen BEL 09:12:21 09:32:23 00:56:45 04:54:29 05:56:15 03:16:06 44% +0% -56% (8) 243
24 11 Urs Mueller SUI 09:15:26 09:25:29 00:55:51 04:52:54 05:53:45 03:21:41 79% +0% -21% (4) 223
25 14 David Jilek * CZE 09:27:52 09:37:46 00:59:29 04:56:03 06:00:33 03:27:19 79% +12% -9% (9) 255
26 7 Lukas Polan CZE 09:32:34 09:51:47 01:04:09 05:03:43 06:12:53 03:19:41 22% +36% -42% (14) 276
27 21 Sebastian Pedraza ITA 09:45:57 09:54:30 00:58:21 05:02:04 06:05:25 03:40:32 56% +2% -42% (15) 280
28 19 Gergely Nagy HUN 09:50:40 10:04:32 00:54:44 04:57:03 05:56:47 03:53:53 60% +6% -34% (9) 293
29 34 Michal Ivanco SVK 09:58:09 10:26:54 01:20:43 05:08:21 06:34:04 03:24:05 50% +0% -50% (2) (303)
30 9 Charles Martin FRA 10:10:20 10:29:53 00:54:03 05:09:49 06:08:52 04:01:28 26% +0% -74% (3) (306)
31 33 Marek Nemcik SVK 11:10:30 11:57:35 01:12:43 05:36:58 06:54:41 04:15:49 25% +24% -50% (41) 315
10 Thomas Kaiser GER n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated 0% +0% -100% (3) (n/a)
12 Alexander Chikin RUS n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
23 Alexander Polizzi AUS n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
27 Lubos Truhlar CZE n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)

Note: Athletes with a ‘*’ are also registered for another race within 8 days.

Female Race Participants

The strength of the field is 11% of a typical Kona field.

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. T2 Exp. Run Consistency Overall
1 43 Carrie Lester * AUS 09:10:48 09:25:29 00:55:21 05:00:12 06:00:32 03:10:16 48% +26% -26% (21) 22
2 41 Emma Bilham * SUI 09:24:00 09:40:22 00:55:31 05:09:26 06:09:57 03:14:03 81% +0% -19% (5) 49
3 42 Celine Schaerer SUI 09:29:39 09:50:17 00:51:09 05:12:55 06:09:05 03:20:34 72% +0% -28% (9) 65
4 55 Laurel Wassner USA 09:33:18 09:44:50 00:55:41 05:18:26 06:19:06 03:14:12 63% +16% -21% (10) 57
5 47 Tine Holst DEN 09:41:05 09:48:28 01:05:54 05:10:21 06:21:15 03:19:50 76% +9% -15% (15) 63
6 45 Regula Rohrbach SUI 09:49:06 09:59:20 00:58:45 05:03:05 06:06:50 03:42:16 45% +10% -46% (12) (77)
7 53 Shiao-yu Li TWN 09:50:35 10:02:26 01:07:04 05:18:03 06:30:07 03:20:28 55% +12% -33% (15) 85
46 Nina Derron SUI n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
49 Martina Kunz SUI n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)

Note: Athletes with a ‘*’ are also registered for another race within 8 days.

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

  • Ronnie Schildknecht: 51% (1-1)
  • Will Clarke: 16% (5-1)
  • Alessandro Degasperi: 12% (7-1)
  • Jan Van Berkel: 8% (11-1)
  • Nick Kastelein: 6% (16-1)
  • David Plese: 5% (18-1)

Female Race Participants

  • Carrie Lester: 55% (1-1)
  • Emma Bilham: 22% (4-1)
  • Celine Schaerer: 10% (9-1)
  • Laurel Wassner: 8% (11-1)
  • Tine Holst: 4% (27-1)

Kona Qualifying

A lot of male athletes are still in need of “just a few more” points to qualify for Kona:

  • Ronnie Schildknecht is already safe, his main goal will be his tenth (!!) win at IM Switzerland.
  • David Please and Nick Kastelein are also well placed, I would be surprised to see them race. (If they decide to race, they won’t need the points anyways. Any finish by Nick would improve his total.)
  • 8th (305 points) or better: Rudi Wild
  • 5th (720 points) or better: Harry Wiltshire, Daniel Fontana
  • 4th (960 points) or better: Alessandro Degasperi, Jan Van Berkel
  • 3rd (1.280 points) or better: Daniil Sapunov
Will Clarke is also on the startlist, but highly unlikely to race after his second place at IM UK. A few others have a chance to secure a Kona slot with an unlikely win in Zürich (Philip Graves, Philipp Koutny, Esben Hovgard, Fellipe Santos)

There are also three females that want to make it to Kona by placing well in Zürich: Celine Schärer (3.000), Tine Holst (3.035) and Shiao-Yu Li (3.145) already have four races in their current total, so they will all need to finish in second place (1.600 points) or better. (Clearly, no more than two of them will be able to).  Carrie Lester is on the start list as well and could secure a slot with a third or maybe even a fourth place, but she probably only registered as a back up for France one week before. (She won’t be racing after winning IM France.)

Ironman Canada (Whistler, July 30th) – Seedings

IMWhistler_LogoUpdate: July 27th: In the latest startlist both Malindi Elmore and Jenni Fletcher are no longer racing.

Previous Winners

Year Male Winner Time Female Winner Time
2013 Trevor Wurtele (CAN) 08:39:33 Uli Bromme (USA) 09:28:13
2014 Marino Vanhoenacker (BEL) 08:16:10 Bree Wee (USA) 09:46:58
2015 Viktor Zyemtsev (UKR) 08:49:46 Danielle Mack (USA) 09:46:19
2016 Andy Potts (USA) 08:20:23

Last Year’s TOP 3

The 2016 race was a MPRO-only race.

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Andy Potts USA 00:47:03 04:31:07 02:58:19 08:20:23
2 Pedro Gomes POR 00:49:52 04:40:55 02:53:18 08:27:31
3 Trevor Wurtele CAN 00:49:50 04:41:17 02:55:53 08:30:25

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 08:16:10 Marino Vanhoenacker 2014-07-27
Swim overall 00:47:03 Andy Potts 2016-07-24
Bike overall 04:31:07 Andy Potts 2016-07-24
Run overall 02:40:34 Jeff Symonds 2014-07-27
Total female 09:28:13 Uli Bromme 2013-08-25
Swim female 00:53:09 Anna Cleaver 2014-07-27
Bike female 05:13:51 Uli Bromme 2013-08-25
Run female 03:06:53 Uli Bromme 2013-08-25

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Canada is – 03:18.

Race Adjustments for IM Canada

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Finishers Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2013 02:06 00:21 00:15 -00:40 24 02:06 00:21 00:15 -00:40
2014 01:11 00:26 -02:26 -02:27 15 of 17 01:39 00:24 -01:06 -01:33
2015 -18:46 00:28 -13:17 -04:09 23 of 33 -05:10 00:25 -05:10 -02:25
2016 02:15 01:27 04:12 04:59 12 of 15 -03:18 00:40 -02:49 -00:34

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Canada is a WPRO-only P-2000 race. It has a prize purse of 80.000 US$.

Female Race Participants

The strength of the field is 6% of a typical Kona field.

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. T2 Exp. Run Consistency Overall
1 6 Rachel Joyce GBR 09:09:49 09:05:49 00:51:42 05:07:10 06:03:52 03:05:57 78% +22% -0% (18) 3
2 7 Linsey Corbin USA 09:25:16 09:20:53 00:57:44 05:14:13 06:16:57 03:08:19 92% +8% -0% (22) 16
3 10 Malindi Elmore CAN 09:31:34 09:37:10 01:02:57 05:18:49 06:26:46 03:04:48 100% +0% -0% (2) (42)
4 3 Melanie McQuaid CAN 09:34:28 09:43:58 00:57:12 05:11:22 06:13:35 03:20:53 100% +0% -0% (2) (56)
5 1 Danielle Mack USA 09:37:47 09:44:15 01:01:20 05:20:50 06:27:10 03:10:37 52% +12% -36% (10) 56
6 4 Jen Annett CAN 09:43:58 09:56:10 01:02:23 05:16:48 06:24:11 03:19:47 60% +20% -20% (5) 75
7 2 Uli Bromme USA 09:46:35 09:47:51 01:02:22 05:19:12 06:26:34 03:20:01 62% +22% -16% (15) 61
8 9 Rachel McBride CAN 09:46:53 09:58:00 00:55:58 05:13:10 06:14:08 03:32:45 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (77)
9 18 Leslie DiMichele Miller USA 09:48:23 09:52:52 00:57:34 05:30:13 06:32:47 03:15:36 55% +25% -20% (6) 68
10 5 Mackenzie Madison USA 09:49:54 10:03:03 00:58:37 05:22:02 06:25:40 03:24:14 35% +7% -58% (13) 87
11 8 Karen Thibodeau CAN 09:58:33 10:04:38 00:53:39 05:31:14 06:29:53 03:28:40 72% +0% -28% (14) 93
12 19 Nicole Valentine * USA 10:06:35 10:11:32 01:01:39 05:36:02 06:42:41 03:23:54 68% +32% -0% (3) 104
13 13 Alyssa Godesky USA 10:08:26 10:11:05 01:00:30 05:36:09 06:41:39 03:26:47 67% +25% -9% (17) 102
14 17 Fawn Whiting CAN 10:11:24 10:22:58 01:06:08 05:38:11 06:49:19 03:22:05 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (126)
15 11 Christine Fletcher CAN 10:11:43 10:11:54 00:58:25 05:31:49 06:35:14 03:36:29 69% +6% -25% (21) (106)
16 12 Jenny Fletcher CAN 10:15:08 10:17:00 00:57:44 05:32:03 06:34:47 03:40:21 61% +0% -39% (3) 116
17 15 Jessica Smith USA 10:16:34 10:18:46 00:54:58 05:35:19 06:35:17 03:41:17 79% +0% -21% (8) 120
18 21 Maggie Rusch USA 10:21:01 10:25:22 01:02:05 05:35:33 06:42:37 03:38:24 53% +13% -34% (6) 131
19 16 Steph Corker CAN 10:27:29 10:34:59 00:59:55 05:45:36 06:50:32 03:36:57 100% +0% -0% (2) (148)
20 22 Kyra Wiens USA 10:34:57 10:46:59 01:01:44 05:44:07 06:50:51 03:44:06 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (155)
21 14 Liz Baugher USA 10:46:32 10:58:46 00:58:20 05:51:20 06:54:40 03:51:52 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (158)
22 20 Carrie Mccoy USA 11:14:20 11:27:06 01:13:33 05:51:23 07:09:56 04:04:24 63% +0% -37% (2) (161)

Note: Athletes with a ‘*’ are also registered for another race within 8 days.

Winning Odds

  • Rachel Joyce: 85% (1-1)
  • Linsey Corbin: 8% (11-1)
  • Melanie McQuaid: 3% (28-1)
  • Danielle Mack: 2% (55-1)

Ironman France 2017 (July 23rd) – Seedings

IMFrance_LogoPrevious Winners

Year Male Winner Time Female Winner Time
2005 Herve Faure (FRA) 08:49:06 Mariska Kramer-Postma (NED) 10:12:29
2006 Marcel Zamora (ESP) 08:33:56 Edith Niederfriniger (ITA) 09:56:32
2007 Marcel Zamora (ESP) 08:38:45 Alexandra Louison (FRA) 09:49:11
2008 Marcel Zamora (ESP) 08:34:03 Martina Dogana (ITA) 09:35:29
2009 Marcel Zamora (ESP) 08:30:06 Tine Deckers (BEL) 09:30:29
2010 Marcel Zamora (ESP) 08:25:28 Tine Deckers (BEL) 09:21:29
2011 Frederik Van Lierde (BEL) 08:28:30 Silvia Felt (GER) 09:34:31
2012 Frederik Van Lierde (BEL) 08:21:51 Tine Deckers (BEL) 09:16:05
2013 Frederik Van Lierde (BEL) 08:08:59 Mary Beth Ellis (USA) 09:12:54
2014 Bart Aernouts (BEL) 08:33:22 Tine Deckers (BEL) 09:12:21
2015 Boris Stein (GER) 08:27:32 Caitlin Snow (USA) 09:24:50
2016 Victor Del Corral (ESP) 08:30:00 Tine Deckers (BEL) 09:22:04

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Victor Del Corral ESP 00:54:16 04:48:04 02:42:28 08:30:00
2 James Cunnama ZAF 00:50:10 04:47:13 02:47:54 08:30:35
3 Stefan Schmid GER 00:51:01 04:49:53 02:45:51 08:33:18

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Tine Deckers BEL 00:57:36 05:05:03 03:13:29 09:22:04
2 Emma Bilham SUI 00:53:17 05:21:30 03:07:19 09:28:55
3 Leanda Cave GBR 00:51:53 05:32:51 03:13:48 09:45:06

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 08:08:59 Frederik Van Lierde 2013-06-23
Swim overall 00:44:18 Gilles Reboul 2006-06-24
Bike overall 04:33:29 Frederik Van Lierde 2013-06-23
Run overall 02:37:01 Bart Aernouts 2013-06-23
Total female 09:12:21 Tine Deckers 2014-06-29
Swim female 00:48:59 Edith Niederfriniger 2006-06-24
Bike female 05:05:03 Tine Deckers 2016-06-05
Run female 02:52:26 Caitlin Snow 2014-06-29

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM France is 04:54.

Race Adjustments for IM France

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Finishers Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2006 11:43 07:01 -00:04 05:33 34 11:43 07:01 -00:04 05:33
2007 09:11 00:56 01:17 08:56 39 10:27 03:59 00:36 07:14
2008 02:49 -00:05 -00:33 02:15 41 07:54 02:37 00:13 05:34
2009 06:14 -01:10 01:15 04:21 36 07:29 01:41 00:29 05:16
2010 11:15 -01:23 -00:02 05:01 32 08:14 01:04 00:23 05:13
2011 02:06 00:27 -01:10 02:37 29 07:13 00:58 00:07 04:47
2012 02:12 00:44 -02:36 03:02 23 06:30 00:56 -00:16 04:32
2013 08:54 00:41 -01:01 08:01 20 06:48 00:54 -00:22 04:58
2014 -02:27 -01:19 -04:03 06:30 26 of 34 05:46 00:39 -00:46 05:08
2015 00:36 -01:06 -05:02 03:49 25 of 34 05:15 00:29 -01:12 05:00
2016 01:18 00:50 -06:05 06:55 36 of 47 04:54 00:30 -01:39 05:11

KPR points and Prize Money

IM France is a P-2000 race. It has a total prize purse of 80.000 US$.

Male Race Participants

The strength of the field is 15% of a typical Kona field.

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. T2 Exp. Run Consistency Overall
1 2 Frederik Van Lierde BEL 08:16:51 08:21:52 00:47:56 04:35:38 05:28:34 02:48:17 83% +7% -9% (23) 13
2 31 Eneko Llanos ESP 08:23:28 08:27:23 00:48:23 04:34:27 05:27:50 02:55:38 80% +0% -20% (31) 26
3 3 Alessandro Degasperi ITA 08:24:43 08:28:21 00:50:30 04:44:58 05:40:29 02:44:14 78% +0% -22% (10) 30
4 4 Viktor Zyemtsev UKR 08:25:19 08:29:03 00:50:59 04:43:56 05:39:55 02:45:24 72% +0% -28% (21) 33
5 28 Fredrik Croneborg SWE 08:26:17 08:34:05 00:50:40 04:41:13 05:36:54 02:49:23 68% +22% -10% (12) 49
6 29 Stefan Schmid GER 08:27:27 08:39:38 00:51:41 04:41:21 05:38:03 02:49:24 44% +24% -31% (15) 73
7 1 Victor Del Corral ESP 08:28:41 08:50:06 00:55:07 04:44:15 05:44:22 02:44:19 36% +0% -64% (17) 103
8 30 Daniel Fontana * ITA 08:29:21 08:34:26 00:48:49 04:44:01 05:37:49 02:51:32 66% +0% -34% (15) 52
9 5 Denis Chevrot FRA 08:29:22 08:34:11 00:46:34 04:45:59 05:37:33 02:51:49 65% +6% -29% (11) 50
10 9 Cameron Wurf * AUS 08:30:43 08:45:13 00:48:34 04:27:52 05:21:26 03:09:17 18% +82% -0% (4) 87
11 23 Kaito Tohara JPN 08:44:19 09:03:02 00:52:56 04:56:44 05:54:40 02:49:39 21% +51% -27% (10) 154
12 8 Scott Defilippis USA 08:49:33 09:25:17 00:55:36 04:58:04 05:58:40 02:50:53 21% +19% -60% (24) 216
13 19 Wouter Monchy BEL 08:55:56 09:26:10 00:50:41 04:57:28 05:53:09 03:02:47 19% +49% -32% (4) (224)
14 18 Tomas Mika CZE 09:02:04 09:16:04 00:53:52 05:05:15 06:04:08 02:57:56 51% +6% -43% (8) 190
15 10 Guillaume Jeannin FRA 09:04:01 09:35:19 00:52:15 04:55:52 05:53:07 03:10:54 10% +17% -73% (7) (246)
16 16 Thomas Leboucher FRA 09:04:20 09:20:46 00:52:52 04:53:27 05:51:19 03:13:01 48% +52% -0% (2) (205)
17 13 Frederic Garcia FRA 09:11:09 09:27:20 00:59:03 05:06:06 06:10:09 03:01:00 52% +0% -48% (4) (228)
18 17 Frederic Limousin FRA 09:13:00 09:25:24 00:53:18 05:01:56 06:00:14 03:12:46 78% +22% -0% (4) 218
19 6 Antony Costes FRA 09:19:28 09:41:02 00:48:57 04:43:20 05:37:17 03:42:11 28% +0% -72% (7) 257
20 14 Ivan Jezko SVK 09:22:45 09:47:50 00:59:26 05:04:57 06:09:23 03:13:22 43% +22% -34% (15) 267
21 15 David Jilek * CZE 09:30:11 09:39:12 00:57:48 05:04:55 06:07:44 03:22:27 79% +12% -9% (9) 252
22 24 Remmert Wielinga NED 10:00:16 10:51:44 01:11:26 05:05:47 06:22:13 03:38:03 7% +11% -82% (6) (303)
23 25 Dominique Wymmersch Gallego ESP 10:04:46 10:25:40 00:58:35 05:14:12 06:17:48 03:46:58 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (297)
24 12 Alain Djouad-Guibert MOR 10:53:10 11:17:25 01:05:15 05:34:43 06:44:58 04:08:12 38% +0% -62% (2) (305)
7 Arnaud Guilloux FRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
11 Robin Pasteur FRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (1 IM Pro race) (n/a)
20 Sebastien Mulet FRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
21 Yuri Novikau BLR n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
22 Cyril Pochon FRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (1 IM Pro race) (n/a)
26 Patrik Ericsson SWE n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
27 Etienne Diemunsch FRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)

Note:Athletes with a ‘*’ are also registered for another race within 8 days.

Female Race Participants

The strength of the field is 10% of a typical Kona field.

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. T2 Exp. Run Consistency Overall
1 43 Carrie Lester * AUS 09:11:55 09:25:29 00:53:37 05:07:57 06:06:34 03:05:21 48% +26% -26% (21) 22
2 41 Lisa Roberts USA 09:18:30 09:26:14 01:02:20 05:15:06 06:22:27 02:56:03 60% +25% -15% (18) 24
3 42 Annabel Luxford AUS 09:26:58 09:29:28 00:51:17 05:06:43 06:03:00 03:23:58 75% +0% -25% (5) 35
4 40 Emma Bilham * SUI 09:28:08 09:40:22 00:53:54 05:20:21 06:19:16 03:08:52 81% +0% -19% (5) 50
5 48 Nikki Bartlett * GBR 09:38:50 09:55:09 00:59:35 05:16:48 06:21:23 03:17:27 100% +0% -0% (2) (75)
6 44 Camille Deligny FRA 09:41:43 09:56:35 01:01:45 05:09:15 06:15:59 03:25:44 53% +0% -47% (3) (76)
7 45 Kate Comber * GBR 09:51:01 10:01:20 00:52:58 05:28:53 06:26:50 03:24:11 100% +0% -0% (5) 80
8 49 Nicole Valentine USA 09:57:25 10:11:32 01:01:39 05:33:39 06:40:17 03:17:08 68% +32% -0% (3) 104
9 50 Sarah Jarvis USA 10:12:26 10:33:47 01:00:15 05:30:51 06:36:06 03:36:20 59% +0% -41% (3) (146)
46 Camille Donat FRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
47 Elise Maury FRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)

Note:Athletes with a ‘*’ are also registered for another race within 8 days.

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

  • Frederik Van Lierde: 38% (2-1)
  • Fredrik Croneborg: 17% (5-1)
  • Eneko Llanos: 11% (8-1)
  • Alessandro Degasperi: 9% (10-1)
  • Stefan Schmid: 9% (10-1)
  • Victor Del Corral: 6% (15-1)
  • Viktor Zyemtsev: 5% (19-1)
  • Denis Chevrot: 2% (58-1)

Female Race Participants

  • Carrie Lester: 44% (1-1)
  • Lisa Roberts: 41% (1-1)
  • Emma Bilham: 10% (9-1)
  • Annabel Luxford: 4% (27-1)

Kona Qualifying

As IM France is one of the last races before the July cutoff, there are a number of athletes looking for points to secure a July slot. Here is a brief overview on “who needs what” on the male side (most of them already have four results in their total, so improving their total won’t be easy):

  • Fred Van Lierde has already secured his AQ slot.
  • Fifth (720): Fredrik Croneborg, Kaito Tohara
  • Fourth (960): Alessandro Degasperi, Daniel Fontana
  • Second (1600): Cameron Wurf, Eneko Llanos, Denis Chevrot

The list of potential Kona qualifiers is a bit shorter on the female side:

  • Annabel Luxford (4.230) – needs at least 8th (305) or better, 6th (540) to be safe
  • Carrie Lester (3.535) – needs 4th (960) or better and  third (1.280) to be safe
  • Lisa Roberts (2.140) will only have chances for a rolldown slot, even with a win

Nikki Bartlett is probably only on the list as a backup for her main target race at IM UK a week before.

Challenge Roth 2017 – Analyzing Results

(Updated July 11th with DNFs and a discussion of the Race Conditions.)

Course Conditions

The prevailing impression from Roth seems to be that the race was slower in past years, and that especially the new run course was harder than the old one, leading to slower times. However, this perception is not backed up by my data analysis, the adjustment for this year was about five minutes slower than last year, but all three legs were just a little bit slower.

In addition we have seen a number of fast times:

  • Bart Aernouts posted his first sub-8 finish, and he ran the marathon almost exactly at the time I predicted (predicted 2:43:56, actual time 2:44:10).
  • Even though Daniela’s race was hyped as “world record attempt” and she was well short of her time from last year, it is still a fantastic result considering her injury in the first half of the year. (After the awards she smiled that she still has a lot of upside for Kona.) Her 8:40 finish is the fastest finish of 2017 by quite a large margin (she also has the second fastest – 8:47 from South Africa), and her 4:37 bike split is the fastest of the year and the fifth fastest ever on the IM distance.
  • Laura Siddall posted three PBs in Roth: Her fastest bike split, her fastest run split and her fastest overall time.
  • Lisa Roberts showed that you can run fast on the new run course: Her 2:56 marathon lead to her first sub-9 finish and is the second fastest marathon of the year so far. (Kelly Williamson was just five seconds faster at IM Texas.)
Therefore I don’t think that the new run course will slow down the future times, it’ll be interesting to see the times when there are more realistic expectations and a different race dynamic leads to the fast racers pushing each other.

Male Race Results

Bart Aernouts had another great race after IM Lanzarote and won the race on the back of the fastest marathon of the day:

Roth M1 Bart

Second place – as last year – went to Joe Skipper. He once again ran through the field but couldn’t quite match Bart’s pace:

Roth M2 Joe

Maurice Clavel was showing a courageous first long-distance race. After Nils Frommhold had to end his race after a crash on the bike course, he found himself in the lead, which he was able to hold until the later parts of the marathon. Still, he was happy with his third place finish and celebrated on the finish line:

Roth M3 Maurice

Finishing fourth, Timo Bracht said good-bye to Roth with a hard earned finish:

Roth M4 Timo

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money
1 Bart Aernouts BEL 00:52:55 04:19:02 02:44:10 07:59:07 -08:12 EUR 15,000
2 Joe Skipper GBR 00:53:07 04:19:53 02:46:44 08:03:00 -15:42 EUR 8,000
3 Maurice Clavel GER 00:48:29 04:16:42 02:56:30 08:04:53 n/a EUR 5,000
4 Timo Bracht GER 00:48:42 04:18:42 02:56:37 08:07:01 -07:13 EUR 3,000
5 Terenzo Bozzone NZL 00:48:35 04:21:39 02:58:39 08:11:34 00:10 EUR 2,000
6 Brad Kahlefeldt AUS 00:48:34 04:29:50 02:51:32 08:12:55 00:22 EUR 1,100
7 Dougal Allan NZL 00:55:23 04:17:41 02:58:57 08:14:43 -00:59 EUR 800
8 Roman Deisenhofer GER 00:52:06 04:21:22 03:00:22 08:16:29 -22:20 EUR 700
9 Per Bittner GER 00:48:54 04:26:56 02:58:41 08:17:15 -09:03 EUR 600
10 Markus Hoermann GER 00:52:50 04:28:06 02:59:36 08:23:25 n/a EUR 550
11 Christian Brader GER 00:53:11 04:36:25 02:51:52 08:24:19 -11:31
12 Guillaume Lecallier FRA 00:54:51 04:32:47 02:58:35 08:29:42 -07:44
13 Teemu Lemmettylae FIN 00:55:20 04:40:52 02:55:05 08:35:27 -10:28
14 Andi Fuchs AUT 00:57:52 04:25:10 03:12:22 08:38:14 -20:49
15 Simon Schwarz GER 00:53:44 04:40:03 03:04:02 08:41:15 n/a
16 Jose Estrangeiro POR 00:52:42 04:49:23 02:58:21 08:43:36 09:35
17 Tuukka Miettinen FIN 00:58:12 04:43:52 03:06:12 08:51:34 03:40
18 Stefan Overmars NED 00:53:43 04:39:12 03:21:04 08:57:11 -04:21
19 Sergio Marques POR 00:55:20 04:32:27 03:29:34 09:00:13 12:30
20 Jon Albizuri Izaguirre SPA 00:59:22 04:47:38 03:09:40 09:00:54 n/a
21 Young Hwan Oh KOR 01:01:49 04:46:10 03:11:42 09:02:41 -07:07
22 Thomas Naasz NED 00:55:49 04:52:40 03:11:17 09:03:24 02:11
23 Moises Vidal Gil ESP 00:57:58 04:55:39 03:06:41 09:04:19 -12:00
24 Nathan Miller AUS 00:54:33 04:41:28 03:39:08 09:18:23 -53:08
25 Peter Kotland CZE 00:59:16 04:52:48 03:29:01 09:26:45 -02:53
26 Marcus Woellner GER 00:49:45 04:32:10 04:04:52 09:29:39 n/a
27 Rafael Gomes POR 00:57:56 04:56:06 03:37:21 09:35:12 15:44
28 Ilkka Utriainen FIN 00:54:23 05:03:54 03:35:06 09:37:42 n/a
29 Michael Louys BEL 01:03:19 04:33:31 04:33:18 10:14:11 1:09:15
Sebastian Neef GER 00:52:52 04:20:53 DNF
Sean Donnelly GER 00:48:30 04:29:51 DNF
Jens Frommhold GER 00:55:15 04:25:49 DNF
Matthias Knossalla GER 00:58:14 04:24:47 DNF
Chris Fischer DEN 00:54:40 04:35:53 DNF
Fabian Rahn GER 00:58:11 04:36:54 DNF
Christian Jais GER 00:55:30 04:39:57 DNF
Dirk Wijnalda NED 00:57:13 04:39:40 DNF
Travis Hawkins USA 01:00:26 04:55:31 DNF
Nils Frommhold GER 00:48:32 DNF
Henry Beck GER 00:48:43 DNF
Michael Smith Larsen DEN 00:55:25 DNF
Darby Thomas FIN 00:59:18 DNF

Female Race Results

It was clear that Daniela would be next to impossible to beat unless her injury had left her severely unfit. She worked hard for a good time posting the fastest swim and bike split, but said she struggled a bit in the second half of the marathon. She still won with a fast time of 8:40 and with more than ten minutes to spare:Roth F1 Dani

Laura Siddall improved on her fourth place finish from last year, but continued her string of second place finishes:

Roth F2 Laura

Third place was the surprise of the day: Lisa Roberts was a late entry and flew under the radar for the swim and bike, but she ended up with the only sub-3 marathon of the day, the fastest by nine minutes:

Roth F3 Lisa

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money
1 Daniela Ryf SUI 00:52:34 04:37:34 03:06:46 08:40:03 03:41 EUR 15,000
2 Laura Siddall GBR 00:58:16 04:44:59 03:05:40 08:51:38 -20:42 EUR 8,000
3 Lisa Roberts USA 01:01:31 04:55:20 02:56:35 08:57:14 -19:03 EUR 5,000
4 Yvonne Van Vlerken NED 00:58:15 04:45:51 03:20:09 09:07:40 05:39 EUR 3,000
5 Corina Hengartner SUI 01:01:20 04:57:45 03:23:21 09:25:28 -20:44 EUR 2,000
6 Vanessa Pereira POR 01:01:52 05:16:58 03:26:56 09:50:47 -17:08
7 Martina Dogana ITA 00:58:23 05:19:54 03:30:01 09:52:56 18:51
8 Steph Corker CAN 00:58:36 05:30:12 03:41:09 10:14:02 16:45
9 Anne Jensen DEN 01:07:39 05:06:03 04:20:52 10:39:43 39:38
10 Ana Revilla ESP 01:11:32 05:30:58 04:10:43 10:57:28 n/a
Heather Wurtele CAN 00:52:56 DNF
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