Race Conditions

With an adjustment of 12:49, this year’s edition was pretty typical for Copenhagen: A fast bike followed by a slower marathon. We saw the first two sub-8s on this course, with Patrik Nilsson setting a new overall course record – his 7:49:18 is the third-fastest time of the year. Andi Raelert set a new bike course record with a 4:13:57.

Race Results

This year IM Copenhagen was an MPRO-only race.

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time	Diff to expected	Prize Money
1	Patrik Nilsson	SWE	00:47:53	04:14:15	02:43:14	07:49:18	-27:20	US$ 20000
2	Will Clarke	GBR	00:47:46	04:24:33	02:43:16	07:59:31	-29:21	US$ 10000
3	Fabio Carvalho	BRA	00:47:51	04:14:50	02:59:35	08:07:10	-52:02	US$ 6500
4	Alberto Casadei	ITA	00:47:47	04:27:41	02:52:22	08:12:53	-19:03	US$ 4000
5	Igor Amorelli	BRA	00:47:38	04:19:04	03:01:49	08:13:02	-18:33	US$ 3000
6	Cameron Brown	NZL	00:50:04	04:30:19	02:52:07	08:17:17	-00:07	US$ 2000
7	Andreas Raelert	GER	00:47:42	04:13:57	03:21:24	08:29:39	23:47	US$ 1500
8	Anton Blokhin	UKR	00:50:05	04:40:27	03:02:45	08:37:28	02:51	US$ 1250
9	David Naesvik	SWE	00:54:57	04:26:50	03:14:37	08:40:53	-03:37	US$ 1000
10	Markus Liebelt	GER	00:54:21	04:27:31	03:15:03	08:42:37	n/a	US$ 750
11	Michael Smith Larsen	DEN	00:57:28	04:32:23	03:09:24	08:43:59	n/a
12	Sam Clark	NZL	00:54:48	04:37:23	03:08:42	08:45:38	-27:31
13	Mike Schifferle	SUI	00:59:23	04:30:02	03:21:51	09:00:17	10:44
14	Andreas Borch	DEN	00:48:20	04:40:15	03:30:25	09:03:34	04:33
15	Vincent Depuiset	FRA	01:04:54	04:45:18	03:14:26	09:10:57	-27:43
16	Rene Jensen	DEN	00:54:52	04:45:28	03:34:03	09:19:30	03:08
17	Jan Hron	CZE	00:59:13	05:06:39	03:22:15	09:34:21	-03:07
18	Robert Brundish	GBR	00:54:27	04:26:47	04:16:15	09:42:57	n/a
19	Nis Lind	DEN	01:00:22	04:42:36	03:55:43	09:43:20	-03:39
20	Lukas Polan	CZE	01:03:18	05:06:08	03:33:10	09:49:04	05:20
21	Michal Jalovecky	CZE	01:02:19	05:35:15	03:47:29	10:30:34	04:06
	Gudmund Snilstveit	NOR	00:54:50	04:25:16		DNF
	Dejan Patrcevic	CRO	00:54:25	04:35:30		DNF
	Patrick Hansen	DEN	00:54:55	04:54:14		DNF
	Gilian Oriet	SUI	00:58:40	04:58:14		DNF
	Horst Reichel	GER	00:49:35			DNF
	Rasmus Fitzner	DEN	00:56:46			DNF
	Michael Louys	BEL	01:00:48			DNF

Previous Winners

Year	Male Winner	Time	Female Winner	Time
2015	Mauro Baertsch (SUI)	08:23:49	Gurutze Frades Larralde (ESP)	09:25:27

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Mauro Baertsch	SUI	00:54:34	04:31:24	02:52:34	08:23:49
2	Bertrand Billard	FRA	00:51:16	04:31:19	02:59:56	08:27:39
3	Christian Brader	GER	00:57:45	04:36:30	02:52:07	08:31:12

Female Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Gurutze Frades Larralde	ESP	01:03:09	05:10:51	03:05:46	09:25:27
2	Tine Holst	DEN	01:04:25	05:04:46	03:15:51	09:30:59
3	Natascha Badmann	SUI	01:03:28	04:56:20	03:25:16	09:32:33

Course Records

Leg	Gender	Record	Athlete	Date
Total	overall	08:23:49	Mauro Baertsch	2015-08-30
Swim	overall	00:51:09	Anthony Pannier	2015-08-30
Bike	overall	04:31:19	Bertrand Billard	2015-08-30
Run	overall	02:52:07	Christian Brader	2015-08-30
Total	female	09:25:27	Gurutze Frades Larralde	2015-08-30
Swim	female	01:00:26	Nicole Woysch	2015-08-30
Bike	female	04:56:20	Natascha Badmann	2015-08-30
Run	female	03:05:46	Gurutze Frades Larralde	2015-08-30

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Vichy is 16:33.

Race Adjustments for IM Vichy

Year	Adjustment	Swim Adj.	Bike Adj.	Run Adj.	# of Finishers	Rating	Swim Rating	Bike Rating	Run Rating
2015	16:33	-01:53	12:21	07:30	17 of 27	16:33	-01:53	12:21	07:30

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Vichy is a P-2000 race. It has a total prize purse of 25.000 US$.

Male Race Participants

Rank	Bib	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Exp. Swim	Exp. Bike	Exp. Run	Consistency	Overall
1	21	Fabio Carvalho	BRA	08:14:43	08:50:23	00:49:56	04:27:01	02:52:45	1% +44% -55% (11)	92
2	18	Peru Alfaro	ESP	08:20:49	08:52:18	00:46:53	04:31:52	02:57:04	47% +0% -53% (2)	(96)
3	10	Marc Duelsen	GER	08:23:09	08:41:49	00:54:14	04:30:38	02:53:18	71% +0% -29% (7)	61
4	5	Romain Guillaume	FRA	08:26:43	08:54:44	00:50:46	04:29:46	03:01:11	46% +15% -39% (29)	102
5	20	Tim Brydenbach	BEL	08:27:47	08:49:23	00:49:15	04:38:59	02:54:33	100% +0% -0% (2)	(90)
6	8	Trevor Delsaut	FRA	08:33:16	08:59:25	00:55:34	04:39:12	02:53:30	38% +10% -52% (22)	(123)
7	1	Christian Brader	GER	08:36:28	08:53:55	00:58:08	04:40:29	02:52:51	77% +4% -19% (34)	100
8	6	Harry Wiltshire	GBR	08:37:30	08:52:45	00:49:27	04:40:49	03:02:14	36% +27% -36% (15)	97
9	15	Jaroslav Kovacic	SLO	08:40:53	09:03:55	00:51:02	04:46:11	02:58:40	22% +78% -0% (3)	139
10	11	Andreas Niedrig	GER	08:42:13	09:04:27	00:49:49	04:30:46	03:16:38	26% +54% -19% (12)	145
11	13	Tohara Kaito	JPN	08:43:26	09:10:48	00:54:48	04:49:00	02:54:38	46% +34% -20% (6)	164
12	31	Markus Liebelt	GER	08:43:49	09:11:15	00:57:03	04:32:54	03:08:52	n/a (1 IM Pro race)	(165)
13	9	Christophe Bastie	FRA	08:44:00	08:57:22	00:56:22	04:34:02	03:08:37	63% +0% -37% (34)	(116)
14	3	Mike Schifferle	SUI	08:44:39	09:02:48	01:02:13	04:38:21	02:59:05	89% +9% -3% (59)	134
15	7	Jens Frommhold	GER	08:45:13	09:12:42	00:59:31	04:42:39	02:58:03	63% +0% -37% (2)	(171)
16	4	Ivan Risti	ITA	08:46:23	09:12:11	00:51:17	04:44:53	03:05:13	59% +0% -41% (6)	169
17	35	Simon Billeau	FRA	08:46:30	09:03:29	00:56:41	04:33:58	03:10:51	43% +0% -57% (17)	135
18	37	Xavier Torrades	ESP	08:50:18	09:10:41	00:51:12	04:44:02	03:10:04	57% +0% -43% (3)	163
19	28	Nicolas Hemet	FRA	08:52:33	09:14:25	00:57:29	04:42:56	03:07:08	42% +0% -58% (6)	177
20	22	Hannes Cool	BEL	08:55:34	09:16:03	00:53:03	04:44:30	03:13:01	78% +0% -22% (5)	183
21	29	Samuel Huerzeler	SUI	08:57:11	09:14:35	00:55:42	04:51:57	03:04:31	100% +0% -0% (5)	(178)
22	32	Lluis Vila aguilar	ESP	08:58:31	09:26:43	00:59:43	04:51:02	03:02:47	n/a (1 IM Pro race)	(210)
23	19	Lucky Berlage	BEL	08:58:49	09:15:12	01:01:38	04:46:15	03:05:56	100% +0% -0% (4)	181
24	26	Pierre-Yves Facomprez	FRA	09:07:58	09:37:27	01:04:51	04:53:54	03:04:12	21% +79% -0% (2)	(237)
25	17	Urs Mueller	SUI	09:11:32	09:34:41	00:58:43	04:50:28	03:17:21	65% +0% -35% (3)	(229)
26	38	Frederic Garcia	FRA	09:12:11	09:41:05	00:58:57	04:59:06	03:09:08	51% +0% -49% (2)	(244)
27	27	Enric Gussinyer	ESP	09:19:09	09:38:19	00:53:47	04:51:40	03:28:42	66% +0% -34% (7)	238
28	24	Eneko Elosegui	ESP	09:21:52	09:43:20	01:00:57	04:48:43	03:27:12	49% +17% -34% (15)	250
29	36	Rafael Espinar Puig	ESP	09:24:54	09:42:40	01:06:43	05:07:45	03:05:27	100% +0% -0% (5)	248
30	16	John Manuel Galindo Rooney	ESP	09:31:53	09:56:13	00:53:43	05:10:13	03:22:57	11% +18% -71% (3)	267
31	30	Ludovic Le Guellec	FRA	09:45:12	10:15:29	01:03:04	05:14:09	03:23:00	59% +4% -38% (21)	283
32	23	Rod De Kanel	FRA	10:10:15	10:48:37	00:54:51	05:04:55	04:05:29	42% +0% -58% (2)	(295)
33	33	Michal Volejnik	CZE	10:48:54	11:29:42	01:06:09	05:13:26	04:24:19	38% +0% -62% (2)	(301)
	12	Kevin Rundstadler	FRA	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	0% +0% -100% (2)	(n/a)
	14	Romain Garcin	FRA	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)	(n/a)
	25	Olivier Esser	BEL	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)	(n/a)
	34	Yohann Vincent	FRA	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)	(n/a)

Female Race Participants

Rank	Bib	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Exp. Swim	Exp. Bike	Exp. Run	Consistency	Overall
1	51	Diana Riesler	GER	09:12:00	09:31:45	00:59:59	04:52:41	03:14:20	46% +14% -40% (18)	32
2	52	Celine Schaerer	SUI	09:22:04	09:39:25	00:51:11	05:07:58	03:17:56	74% +0% -26% (5)	50
3	58	Brooke Brown	CAN	09:38:06	10:03:47	01:04:51	05:11:31	03:16:44	38% +0% -62% (7)	95
4	59	Kelly Fillnow	USA	09:39:22	10:08:39	01:06:17	05:14:11	03:13:54	77% +23% -0% (9)	102
5	57	Keiko Tanaka	JPN	09:44:30	10:12:10	00:57:43	05:19:29	03:22:18	39% +0% -61% (14)	108
6	62	Lina-Kristin Schink	GER	09:51:32	10:19:21	01:13:33	05:14:04	03:18:55	70% +0% -30% (5)	126
7	60	Lena Holmgren	SWE	09:52:24	10:17:37	01:09:22	05:20:46	03:17:17	26% +28% -46% (3)	117
8	56	Nicole Woysch	GER	09:53:19	10:18:41	01:01:17	05:13:54	03:33:08	35% +3% -63% (22)	122
9	61	Angela Kuehnlein	GER	10:05:58	10:29:50	01:04:46	05:28:28	03:27:43	34% +27% -39% (5)	144
	54	Catherine Faux	GBR	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)	(n/a)
	55	Sabrina Monmarteau	FRA	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)	(n/a)
	63	Lauren Capone	USA	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (1 IM Pro race)	(n/a)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

• Fabio Carvalho: 38% (2-1)
• Marc Duelsen: 24% (3-1)
• Peru Alfaro: 19% (4-1)
• Romain Guillaume: 9% (11-1)
• Trevor Delsaut: 5% (18-1)
• Tim Brydenbach: 2% (61-1)

Female Race Participants

• Diana Riesler: 45% (1-1)
• Celine Schaerer: 29% (2-1)
• Brooke Brown: 9% (10-1)
• Kelly Fillnow: 7% (13-1)
• Keiko Tanaka: 6% (16-1)
• Nicole Woysch: 2% (52-1)

After all Kona slots have been accepted, here is the preliminary start list for Kona 2015. There can still be some changes to the list – some athletes may get injured and decide not to start after all. There may be a few day in early September for a slot to roll down, but not closer to the race – that slot will just be gone then. I will update this list if any slots are declined or athletes announce that they won’t start. I will also update the list once Ironman assigns bib numbers. For now the lists are sorted according to the final ranking in the KPR at the end of August qualifying (Q denotes a July qualifier, q an August qualifier, AQ an Automatic qualifier, and d an athlete that declined a slot in August).

I provide a lot more details on the race and the participants in my free “Kona Rating Report” which you can already order at https://gum.co/Kona2016.

Update Aug 25th: I’ve updated the list to reflect the slots rolled down to Callum Millward and Michaela Herlbauer.

Update Sept 17th: The bib numbers have been announced, and Natascha Badmann has received a wildcard to end her Pro career (also see my post on her 2016 season).

Update Sept 23rd: Pete Jacobs has withdrawn:

Update Aug 28th: Mareen Hufe has announced that she won’t be able to race Kona for “health reasons”.

Update Aug 29th: Natascha Schmitt also won’t be able to start. She canceled her flight to Kona when instead of recovering from IM Mallorca she got an infectious stomach bug that with forced bed rest.

Male Race Participants

Bib	Name	Nation	Age
1	Jan Frodeno	GER	35
2	Sebastian Kienle	GER	32
3	Brent McMahon	CAN	36
4	Andy Potts	USA	39
5	Tim Van Berkel	AUS	32
6	Eneko Llanos	ESP	39
7	Lionel Sanders	CAN	28
8	Timothy O’Donnell	USA	36
9	Andreas Raelert	GER	40
10	Tyler Butterfield	BMU	33
11	Pete Jacobs	AUS	34
12	Frederik Van Lierde	BEL	37
14	Boris Stein	GER	31
15	Tim Don	GBR	38
16	Andi Boecherer	GER	33
17	Matthew Russell	USA	33
18	Cyril Viennot	FRA	34
19	David Dellow	AUS	37
20	Patrick Lange	GER	30
21	Ben Hoffman	USA	33
22	Marko Albert	EST	37
23	Tim Reed	AUS	31
24	James Cunnama	ZAF	33
25	Kevin Collington	USA	32
26	Terenzo Bozzone	NZL	31
27	Bart Aernouts	BEL	32
28	Stefan Schmid	GER	29
29	Luke McKenzie	AUS	35
30	Markus Thomschke	GER	32
31	Timo Bracht	GER	41
32	David McNamee	GBR	28
33	Jesse Thomas	USA	36
34	David Plese	SLO	33
35	Alessandro Degasperi	ITA	35
36	Ruedi Wild	SUI	34
37	Michael Weiss	AUT	35
38	Pedro Gomes	POR	32
39	Will Clarke	GBR	31
40	Ronnie Schildknecht	SUI	37
41	Paul Matthews	AUS	33
42	Kirill Kotshegarov	EST	30
43	Mauro Baertsch	SUI	31
44	Ivan Rana	ESP	37
45	Bertrand Billard	FRA	29
46	Joe Skipper	GBR	28
47	Kyle Buckingham	ZAF	32
48	Igor Amorelli	BRA	31
49	Christian Kramer	GER	33
50	Andrej Vistica	CRO	33
51	Jordan Rapp	USA	36
52	Harry Wiltshire	GBR	33
53	Fabio Carvalho	BRA	37
54	Denis Chevrot	FRA	28
55	Jan Van Berkel	SUI	28
56	Trevor Wurtele	CAN	37
57	Per Bittner	GER	31
58	Jens Petersen-Bach	DEN	32
59	Callum Millward	NZL	33

Female Race Participants

Bib	Name	Nation	Age
101	Daniela Ryf	SUI	29
102	Susie Cheetham	GBR	30
103	Sarah Piampiano	USA	36
104	Heather Jackson	USA	32
105	Lucy Gossage	GBR	36
106	Julia Gajer	GER	34
107	Gurutze Frades Larralde	ESP	35
108	Jodie Swallow	GBR	35
109	Kaisa Lehtonen	FIN	35
110	Camilla Pedersen	DEN	33
111	Mirinda Carfrae	AUS	35
112	Leanda Cave	GBR	38
113	Mary Beth Ellis	USA	39
114	Lisa Roberts	USA	37
115	Anja Beranek	GER	31
116	Michelle Vesterby	DEN	33
117	Annabel Luxford	AUS	34
118	Asa Lundstroem	SWE	32
119	Elizabeth Lyles	USA	38
120	Meredith Kessler	USA	38
121	Melissa Hauschildt	AUS	33
122	Sarah Crowley	AUS	33
123	Katja Konschak	GER	38
124	Alicia Kaye	USA	33
125	Heather Wurtele	CAN	37
126	Mareen Hufe	GER	38
127	Linsey Corbin	USA	35
128	Tine Deckers	BEL	38
129	Daniela Saemmler	GER	28
130	Yvonne Van Vlerken	NED	37
131	Tine Holst	DEN	36
132	Kristin Moeller	GER	32
133	Verena Walter	GER	35
134	Saleta Castro Nogueira	ESP	28
135	Ariane Monticeli	BRA	34
136	Dimity-Lee Duke	AUS
137	Alexandra Tondeur	BEL	29
138	Carrie Lester	AUS	34
139	Jodie Robertson	USA
140	Bianca Steurer	AUT	30
141	Natascha Schmitt	GER	30
142	Laurel Wassner	USA	41
143	Michaela Herlbauer	AUT	29
144	Natascha Badmann	SUI	49

Race Conditions

This year’s IM Sweden was one of the faster editions of this race, indicating that the wind conditions were quite favorable. But as it was a WPRO only race and there were only three previously rated PRO athletes, the strength of this analysis is not very high.

Race Results

Kristin Möller was able to hold the distance to the front on the bike, and the race best 2:55 marathon (second fastest of all year so far!) allowed her to win by a comfortable margin. 

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time	Diff to expected	Prize Money
1	Kristin Moeller	GER	01:02:48	05:12:09	02:55:09	09:14:39	01:38	US$ 20000
2	Lucie Reed	CZE	00:54:03	05:11:35	03:11:11	09:21:31	-03:30	US$ 10000
3	Carolin Lehrieder	GER	00:57:47	05:01:25	03:22:15	09:24:30	-01:39	US$ 6500
4	Julia Montgomery	SWE	01:06:49	05:13:43	03:40:08	10:05:04	n/a	US$ 4000
5	Jessica Ahlund	SWE	01:02:46	05:27:26	03:56:48	10:31:03	n/a	US$ 3000

KPR Situation

With her win after a lot of racing in July, Kristin finally secured an August Kona slot.