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Ironman Copenhagen 2015 (Aug 23rd) – Predictions

IMCPHLogo

Previous Winners

Year Male Winner Time Female Winner Time
2010 Tim Van Berkel (AUS) 08:07:39 Rebekah Keat (AUS) 08:54:36
2011 Tim Van Berkel (AUS) 08:11:15 Rebekah Keat (AUS) 08:52:42
2012 Aaron Farlow (AUS) 08:20:09 Camilla Pedersen (DEN) 09:12:27
2013 Jens Petersen-Bach (DEN) 08:12:41 Eva Wutti (AUT) 08:37:36
2014 Henrik Hyldelund (DEN) 08:03:39 Daniela Ryf (SUI) 08:53:33

From 2010 to 2012 the race was organized as “Challenge Copenhagen” on the same course.

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Henrik Hyldelund DEN 00:46:09 04:16:41 02:56:58 08:03:39
2 Clemente Alonso McKernan ESP 00:45:58 04:30:30 02:49:24 08:10:53
3 Timo Bracht GER 00:46:21 04:27:16 02:53:54 08:11:32

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Daniela Ryf SUI 00:48:37 04:44:09 03:16:15 08:53:33
2 Sofie Goos BEL 00:54:30 04:56:38 03:10:36 09:06:08
3 Mareen Hufe GER 00:58:44 04:58:39 03:22:44 09:25:18

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 08:03:39 Henrik Hyldelund 2014-08-24
Swim overall 00:45:22 Stephen Bayliss 2011-08-01
Bike overall 04:16:41 Henrik Hyldelund 2014-08-24
Run overall 02:38:58 Mads Vittrup 2011-08-01
Total female 08:37:36 Eva Wutti 2013-08-18
Swim female 00:48:29 Ann Lønnberg 2011-08-01
Bike female 04:39:58 Eva Wutti 2013-08-18
Run female 03:00:51 Eva Wutti 2013-08-18

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Copenhagen is 22:41.

Race Adjustments for IM Copenhagen

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Athletes Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2010 30:07 01:24 09:53 10:08 18 30:07 01:24 09:53 10:08
2011 23:45 02:48 11:13 06:44 19 26:56 02:06 10:33 08:26
2012 17:45 02:03 10:25 04:25 16 23:52 02:05 10:31 07:06
2013 26:36 00:50 15:15 06:59 20 24:33 01:46 11:42 07:04
2014 15:11 01:39 07:25 02:58 22 22:41 01:45 10:50 06:15

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Copenhagen is a P-2000 race. It has a total prize purse of 50.000 US$.

Male Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. Run Overall
1 1 Henrik Hyldelund DEN 08:03:33 08:46:01 00:45:56 04:16:49 02:55:48 69
2 2 Jens Petersen-Bach DEN 08:15:48 08:42:19 00:48:42 04:34:49 02:47:17 56
3 6 Victor Del Corral ESP 08:15:52 08:34:39 00:53:30 04:31:25 02:45:56 32
4 18 Jan Raphael GER 08:18:32 08:37:27 00:46:38 04:32:24 02:54:30 39
5 26 Fraser Cartmell GBR 08:19:57 08:44:22 00:46:39 04:28:42 02:59:36 66
6 24 Mike Aigroz SUI 08:20:41 08:49:54 00:46:44 04:32:29 02:56:28 90
7 7 Guilherme Manocchio BRA 08:22:21 08:52:43 00:48:00 04:34:13 02:55:09 100
8 4 Dejan Patrcevic CRO 08:27:21 08:51:33 00:51:04 04:40:55 02:50:23 98
9 28 Pontus Lindberg SWE 08:31:11 09:00:08 00:51:12 04:39:26 02:55:33 (130)
10 23 Anders Christensen DNK 08:34:08 09:07:28 00:00:00 00:00:00 00:00:00 (159)
11 17 Mike Schifferle SUI 08:39:51 09:02:20 00:58:16 04:38:09 02:58:26 139
12 15 Andreas Niedrig GER 08:50:34 09:15:38 00:46:01 04:34:40 03:24:53 202
13 9 Harri Sokk EST 09:00:34 09:30:12 00:57:03 04:38:56 03:19:35 (259)
14 27 Kasper Ougaard DEN 09:13:07 09:58:52 00:59:59 04:46:32 03:21:36 (368)
15 13 Michael Louys BEL 09:15:39 09:46:04 00:59:06 04:51:11 03:20:22 (324)
16 10 Evgeniy Nikitin RUS 09:19:04 10:25:14 00:49:24 05:05:57 03:18:43 455
17 12 Vincent Depuiset FRA 09:27:07 09:57:56 01:05:21 04:59:03 03:17:43 363
18 5 Wouter Monchy BEL 09:28:25 10:05:16 00:48:05 04:52:15 03:43:05 (393)
19 19 Ivan Kharin RUS 09:29:29 10:14:07 01:05:04 04:58:08 03:21:17 422
20 14 Alexander Wulff DEN 10:57:14 11:39:50 01:08:22 05:40:26 04:03:25 (495)
21 25 Marek Nemcik SVK 11:14:18 12:11:01 01:08:24 05:36:48 04:24:06 496
22 8 Mathias Nagel GER 13:02:42 14:08:54 01:26:23 05:53:26 05:37:53 (498)
3 Luca Cozza ITA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
11 Alberto Perassi n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
20 Gilian Oriet SUI n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
22 Gili Oriol ESP n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)

Among the participants Fraser Cartmell (3.615 points) and Guilherme Manocchio (3.540 points) are in the best position to qualify. In addition, Mike Aigroz (2.825) and Mike Schifferle (2.525) could get an August slot with at least a podium finish or better.

Female Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. Run Overall
1 36 Corinne Abraham GBR 09:00:25 09:23:37 00:57:16 04:55:20 03:02:48 16
2 29 Michelle Vesterby DEN 09:03:43 09:36:09 00:50:04 04:56:44 03:11:55 40
3 38 Sofie Goos BEL 09:06:30 09:36:49 00:54:04 04:57:40 03:09:45 42
4 40 Sonja Tajsich GER 09:08:52 09:31:32 01:00:04 04:56:55 03:06:54 28
5 34 Lucie Reed CZE 09:17:23 09:45:18 00:49:00 05:06:08 03:17:15 55
6 33 Astrid Stienen GER 09:19:22 09:44:36 00:56:42 05:01:19 03:16:20 53
7 35 Regula Rohrbach SUI 09:20:07 09:56:24 00:55:01 04:54:30 03:25:36 81
8 30 Camilla Lindholm SWE 09:21:05 10:07:08 01:05:55 05:00:59 03:09:12 108
9 32 Kathrin Walther GER 09:36:37 10:20:34 00:58:03 05:05:36 03:27:58 141
10 31 Helena Herrero Gomez ESP 09:50:29 10:22:25 00:58:03 05:30:04 03:17:22 (146)
11 37 Alyssa Godesky USA 10:00:38 10:32:40 01:01:02 05:22:34 03:32:01 164
12 39 Vicky Gill GBR 10:40:43 11:22:15 01:08:15 05:45:17 03:42:11 (183)

With Michelle Vesterby and Sonja Tajsich there are two athletes looking for just a few more points to make it to Kona – a Top 7 is probably enough for them. Sofie Goos could also still qualify, but she will need a win for a safe slot.

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

  • Henrik Hyldelund: 31% (2-1)
  • Victor Del Corral: 17% (5-1)
  • Fraser Cartmell: 14% (6-1)
  • Jens Petersen-Bach: 12% (7-1)
  • Jan Raphael: 10% (9-1)
  • Guilherme Manocchio: 9% (10-1)
  • Mike Aigroz: 6% (16-1)

Female Race Participants

  • Corinne Abraham: 31% (2-1)
  • Michelle Vesterby: 28% (3-1)
  • Sofie Goos: 24% (3-1)
  • Sonja Tajsich: 9% (10-1)
  • Lucie Reed: 4% (22-1)
  • Regula Rohrbach: 2% (50-1)

Ironman Japan 2015 (Aug 23rd) – Predicitions

IMJapanLogo

Previous Winners

Year Male Winner Time Female Winner Time
2013 Martin Jensen (DEN) 08:47:53 Shiao-yu Li (TWN) 10:12:42
2014 Michael Ruenz (GER) 08:53:40 Shiao-yu Li (TWN) 09:58:30

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Michael Ruenz GER 00:54:22 05:01:23 02:52:36 08:53:40
2 Harry Wiltshire GBR 00:49:23 05:04:26 03:08:17 09:06:34
3 Cedric Lassonde FRA 00:54:24 05:01:00 03:06:40 09:07:44

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Shiao-yu Li TWN 01:04:34 05:31:05 03:17:05 09:58:30
2 Jessica Fleming AUS 01:00:19 05:33:54 03:26:32 10:06:49
3 Keiko Tanaka JPN 00:56:42 05:44:39 03:22:43 10:09:24

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 08:47:53 Martin Jensen 2013-08-31
Swim overall 00:49:20 Kuniaki Takahama 2014-08-24
Bike overall 04:40:07 Timothy Beardall 2014-08-24
Run overall 02:52:36 Michael Ruenz 2014-08-24
Total female 09:58:30 Shiao-yu Li 2014-08-24
Swim female 00:56:42 Keiko Tanaka 2014-08-24
Bike female 05:31:05 Shiao-yu Li 2014-08-24
Run female 03:13:20 Shiao-yu Li 2013-08-31

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Japan is – 15:17.

Race Adjustments for IM Japan

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Athletes Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2013 -14:53 -00:23 -19:38 -07:52 11 -14:53 -00:23 -19:38 -07:52
2014 -15:42 -01:08 -15:49 01:10 16 -15:17 -00:46 -17:44 -03:21

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Japan is a P-2000 race. It has a total prize purse of 25.000 US$.

Male Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. Run Overall
1 7 Guilherme Manocchio BRA 08:59:14 08:52:43 00:50:04 05:00:36 03:03:34 100
2 13 Swen Sundberg GER 09:11:25 08:52:39 00:52:58 05:02:36 03:10:51 99
3 2 Nick Baldwin SEY 09:13:12 08:58:13 00:53:17 05:05:42 03:09:13 122
4 1 Patrick Evoe USA 09:14:33 08:57:29 00:56:38 05:03:15 03:09:40 119
5 11 Thiago Vinhal BRA 09:18:52 09:04:52 00:49:18 05:25:32 02:59:02 151
6 4 Simon Cochrane NZL 09:20:56 09:08:44 00:52:12 05:13:43 03:10:02 168
7 6 Yu Shinozaki JPN 09:27:16 10:07:51 00:56:12 04:59:58 03:26:06 404
8 9 Daiki Masuda JPN 09:37:43 09:54:00 00:55:05 05:17:54 03:19:44 355
9 10 Yeun Sik Ham KOR 09:45:03 09:38:39 01:08:04 05:22:34 03:09:25 (299)
10 12 Daniel Brown AUS 11:09:44 11:04:23 01:04:46 05:53:44 04:06:14 (486)
  5 Colin O’Brady USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
  8 Xavier Nunez ESP n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)

Female Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. Run Overall
1 24 Bree Wee USA 09:58:18 09:47:21 00:54:23 05:35:15 03:23:40 61
2 31 Lisa Marangon AUS 10:03:03 10:02:20 00:54:16 05:28:40 03:35:07 (94)
3 21 Shiao-yu Li TWN 10:08:00 10:03:51 01:06:44 05:38:37 03:17:39 99
4 33 Keiko Tanaka JPN 10:11:06 10:12:17 00:55:36 05:44:07 03:26:23 116
5 27 Michelle Duffield AUS 10:24:12 10:08:09 01:01:30 05:45:17 03:32:26 112
6 22 Emi Sakai JPN 10:31:17 10:22:32 01:06:14 05:40:48 03:39:15 147
7 29 Marina Jurjevic AUS 10:33:11 10:34:24 01:04:52 05:30:08 03:53:12 (165)
8 23 Stef Puszka AUS 10:59:19 10:54:03 01:05:06 06:08:59 03:40:14 (176)
  25 Sandra Fantini FRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
  26 Mami Ishii JPN n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
  32 Kathryn Haesner NZL n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

  • Guilherme Manocchio: 51% (1-1)
  • Swen Sundberg: 14% (6-1)
  • Patrick Evoe: 12% (7-1)
  • Nick Baldwin: 11% (8-1)
  • Simon Cochrane: 5% (19-1)
  • Thiago Vinhal: 5% (20-1)
  • Yu Shinozaki: 2% (52-1)

Female Race Participants

  • Bree Wee: 41% (1-1)
  • Lisa Marangon: 30% (2-1)
  • Shiao-yu Li: 15% (6-1)
  • Keiko Tanaka: 14% (6-1)

Ironman Mont Tremblant 2015 – Analyzing Results

Race Conditions

Conditions in Mont Tremblant were similar to earlier years, the adjustment of 6:21 is in line with the course rating of 6:56. If anything, the bike was a little bit faster (the day started off cool) and the run a little bit slower than normal (conditions got a bit hot towards the end, but that probably affects age groupers more than the Pros).

Male Race Results

Jordan Rapp had very solid day – after a good swim he quickly took the lead on the bike (setting a new bike course record) and also posted the fastest run. The only thing he left up to discussion was weather he would take the August Kona slot that he now is safe for. He was followed by Justin Daerr who was the best runner in the close battle for places two to five with just six minutes between these at the finish. Paul Ambrose was the “comeback story” on the run, he struggled in the early parts but when it mattered the most (he needed third for Kona) he was able to deliver. Eric Limkemann was a solid fourth while local favorite Lionel Sanders struggled on the bike with a flat and a stuck chain, the ran solid for most of the day before probably shutting it down a bit to safe his legs for Kona.

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected Prize Money
1 Jordan Rapp USA 00:51:33 04:25:01 02:55:53 08:17:37 -02:34 US$ 20000
2 Justin Daerr USA 00:51:39 04:41:50 02:57:41 08:36:12 -00:36 US$ 10000
3 Paul Ambrose GBR 00:50:56 04:37:06 03:04:26 08:38:12 -00:11 US$ 6500
4 Eric Limkemann USA 00:50:08 04:38:27 03:07:27 08:41:33 04:58 US$ 4000
5 Lionel Sanders CAN 00:56:27 04:40:32 03:00:37 08:42:13 15:26 US$ 3000
6 Trevor Delsaut FRA 00:54:46 04:42:36 03:05:31 08:48:49 07:48 US$ 2000
7 Stephen Kilshaw CAN 00:56:35 04:45:32 03:03:35 08:50:58 -11:35 US$ 1500
8 James Chesson USA 00:58:15 04:51:30 03:05:28 09:00:15 -08:58 US$ 1250
9 Jim Lubinski USA 01:01:26 04:48:31 03:07:33 09:03:22 -18:47 US$ 1000
10 Patrick Wheeler USA 00:56:24 04:49:56 03:13:03 09:05:23 -07:33 US$ 750
11 Douglas MacLean USA 00:58:03 04:57:16 03:15:35 09:17:48 03:38
12 Brendan Naef CAN 00:56:30 04:56:27 03:20:19 09:19:37 -03:09
13 Chad Holderbaum USA 00:55:09 04:56:23 03:26:12 09:23:18 27:08
14 Dylan Gleeson CAN 00:55:30 04:42:34 03:45:27 09:28:58 n/a
15 Peter Kotland CZE 00:58:14 04:58:16 03:26:34 09:29:20 -21:24
16 Christophe Bastie FRA 00:55:40 04:47:35 03:40:25 09:29:31 41:58
17 Jason Frank USA 00:57:59 04:58:05 03:30:16 09:33:17 n/a
18 Patrice Brisindi CAN 00:56:32 05:17:20 03:52:23 10:12:19 n/a
Nigel Gray CAN 00:58:12 04:38:12 DNF
Adam Kosmicki USA 01:01:16 04:48:50 DNF
Brian Fleischmann USA 00:49:16 05:02:11 DNF
Thomas Gerlach USA 00:54:26 DNF

Female Race Results

Mary Beth Ellis was as dominant in this race as she was in Switzerland. After posting a new bike course record, she had a demanding lead up to 30k on the run. While Beth Gerdes managed to run her down in Zürich, Liz Blatchford only came close in Mont Tremblant – in the end MBE won by less than a minute in front of Liz. Lisa Roberts finished third after the best run of the day and a new run course record, just a bit over three hours.

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected Prize Money
1 Mary Beth Ellis USA 00:50:22 04:53:21 03:20:02 09:09:05 -01:42 US$ 20000
2 Liz Blatchford AUS 00:52:03 05:01:15 03:10:56 09:09:55 -00:53 US$ 10000
3 Lisa Roberts USA 01:04:30 05:02:47 03:00:37 09:13:45 -14:13 US$ 6500
4 Jackie Hering USA 00:54:55 05:14:59 03:04:37 09:20:09 -29:33 US$ 4000
5 Karen Thibodeau CAN 00:52:35 05:16:37 03:22:55 09:38:13 -02:56 US$ 3000
6 Jessie Donavan USA 01:04:51 05:02:16 03:26:05 09:39:16 06:13 US$ 2000
7 Elizabeth Lyles USA 00:55:51 05:16:16 03:24:54 09:42:33 25:10 US$ 1500
8 Heather Leiggi USA 01:00:32 05:11:59 03:31:56 09:51:04 -14:47 US$ 1250
9 Laura Siddall GBR 00:58:13 05:07:21 03:40:53 09:52:19 06:42 US$ 1000
10 Caroline St-Pierre CAN 00:55:53 05:33:33 03:21:20 09:55:53 n/a US$ 750
11 Anne Basso FRA 00:59:02 05:21:29 03:29:48 09:57:18 -05:35
12 Kathryn Thomas USA 00:55:17 05:21:23 03:41:51 10:05:27 n/a
13 Maggie Rusch USA 01:02:53 05:16:23 03:41:27 10:06:02 -17:02
14 Caroline Martineau CAN 01:04:17 05:17:01 03:46:32 10:14:43 -1:35:40
15 Jacqui Gordon USA 01:02:55 05:31:31 03:48:32 10:28:53 23:09
16 Carly Johann USA 01:00:19 05:20:03 04:04:10 10:31:09 n/a
17 Tami Ritchie USA 00:52:09 05:41:26 04:57:00 11:36:38 1:16:03
Sarah Piampiano USA 01:00:37 05:03:20 DNF
Sara Gross CAN 00:56:00 DNF

Ironman Sweden 2015 – Analyzing Results

Race Conditions

This year were the hardest conditions ever for IM Sweden: A choppy swim and a windy bike ride caused slow times and also took energy from the athletes for the run. An adjustment of 5:28 shows that the race was about 10 minutes slower than the last years. 

Male Race Results

Patrik Nilsson had declined his Kona slot in order to focus on winning his home IM. He was in the leading group for the swim and bike, the put out the fastest marathon to win with a comfortable margin and – considering the slow conditions – a pretty fast time. He was followed by Dougal Allen who overcame a slower swim with a fast bike and run. KJ Danielson had the fastest swim and bike but took third. 

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected Prize Money
1 Patrik Nilsson SWE 00:52:11 04:27:12 02:45:48 08:08:05 -22:23 US$ 10000
2 Dougal Allan NZL 01:02:13 04:27:16 02:52:46 08:25:33 -06:58 US$ 5000
3 Karl-Johan Danielsson SWE 00:52:08 04:26:55 03:16:05 08:38:07 -31:30 US$ 3250
4 Andreas Linden SWE 01:01:51 04:25:36 03:09:21 08:40:40 n/a US$ 2500
5 David Naesvik SWE 00:59:07 04:32:51 03:07:40 08:43:06 -13:36 US$ 1750
6 Cedric Lassonde FRA 01:00:10 04:52:18 02:59:56 08:56:19 02:27 US$ 1250
7 Nicolas Hemet FRA 00:59:35 04:45:18 03:09:33 08:57:56 -00:06 US$ 750
8 Johan Kaerner SWE 01:02:01 04:49:03 03:10:13 09:04:56 n/a US$ 500
9 Luke Dragstra CAN 00:59:51 05:13:30 03:26:07 09:44:13 36:55  
10 Ivan Jezko SVK 01:02:10 05:02:57 03:39:05 09:50:26 18:30  
11 Nis Lind DEN 01:02:04 04:57:52 03:53:18 09:57:47 04:04  
12 Michal Jalovecky CZE 01:05:45 05:52:20 03:43:21 10:46:09 26:58  
13 Marek Nemcik SVK 01:17:38 05:43:27 04:39:06 11:47:15 -02:13  
  Johan Borg AUS 01:01:53 04:51:12   DNF  
  Allan Steen Olesen DEN 00:56:01     DNF  

Female Race Results

Astrid Stienen won her first IM by taking control on the bike and then posting an IM marathon PR. With the 2000 points she is now in an excellent position for an August Kona slot. Camilla Lindholm and Mette Moe also had excellent days to take the other spots on the podium. 

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected Prize Money
1 Astrid Stienen GER 01:01:38 04:55:07 03:12:15 09:12:27 -20:47 US$ 10000
2 Camilla Lindholm SWE 01:08:48 04:59:30 03:06:14 09:18:05 -25:32 US$ 5000
3 Mette Pettersen Moe NOR 00:56:02 05:07:30 03:21:26 09:28:16 -15:47 US$ 3250
4 Erika Csomor HUN 01:02:14 05:16:45 03:19:18 09:41:53 15:47 US$ 2500
5 Emma Graaf SWE 01:02:00 05:29:04 03:30:15 10:04:53 -01:52 US$ 1750
6 Charisa Wernick USA 01:05:58 05:33:35 03:46:59 10:33:13 41:45 US$ 1250

Ironman Mont Tremblant 2015 (Aug 16th) – Predictions

IMMtLogoA number of these athletes are also on the start list for Timberman on the same day, so there’s going to be a number of changes to these lists.

Previous Winners

Year Male Winner Time Female Winner Time
2012 Romain Guillaume (FRA) 08:40:48 Jessie Donavan (USA) 09:30:46
2013 Luke Bell (AUS) 08:26:06 Mary Beth Ellis (USA) 09:07:56
2014 TJ Tollakson (USA) 08:16:17 Sara Gross (CAN) 09:40:26

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 TJ Tollakson USA 00:49:43 04:26:55 02:54:21 08:16:17
2 Daniel Halksworth GBR 00:49:37 04:43:04 02:57:38 08:35:15
3 Andreas Raelert GER 00:49:38 04:34:38 03:08:59 08:38:31

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Sara Gross CAN 00:58:42 05:28:14 03:07:33 09:40:26
2 Amber Ferreira USA 00:58:40 05:19:58 03:18:33 09:43:46
3 Beth Shutt USA 01:03:21 05:21:16 03:15:12 09:46:45

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 08:16:17 TJ Tollakson 2014-08-17
Swim overall 00:47:45 Brandon Marsh 2013-08-18
Bike overall 04:26:55 TJ Tollakson 2014-08-17
Run overall 02:52:20 Stefan Schmid 2013-08-18
Total female 09:07:56 Mary Beth Ellis 2013-08-18
Swim female 00:49:22 Haley Chura 2013-08-18
Bike female 04:58:18 Mary Beth Ellis 2013-08-18
Run female 03:03:45 Kim Schwabenbauer 2013-08-18

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Mont Tremblant is 07:08.

Race Adjustments for IM Mont Tremblant

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Athletes Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2012 09:41 -01:09 05:55 04:40 12 09:41 -01:09 05:55 04:40
2013 04:17 -00:35 03:13 04:09 32 06:59 -00:52 04:34 04:24
2014 07:25 -01:36 02:08 05:11 14 07:08 -01:07 03:46 04:40

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Mont Tremblant is a P-2000 race. It has a total prize purse of 100.000 US$.

Male Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. Run Overall
1 3 Jordan Rapp USA 08:19:12 08:31:06 00:52:51 04:26:52 02:54:30 21
2 1 Viktor Zyemtsev USA 08:30:16 08:35:16 00:52:12 04:42:54 02:50:10 35
3 2 Lionel Sanders CAN 08:31:13 08:48:29 00:56:51 04:25:09 03:04:14 (85)
4 5 Justin Daerr USA 08:34:09 08:42:53 00:54:10 04:41:26 02:53:33 60
5 4 Paul Ambrose GBR 08:37:11 08:49:44 00:50:14 04:37:22 03:04:35 89
6 9 Trevor Delsaut FRA 08:39:56 08:47:14 00:54:16 04:46:35 02:54:05 77
7 6 Matthew Russell USA 08:40:43 08:51:08 00:58:40 04:40:50 02:56:12 94
8 24 Eric Limkemann USA 08:40:59 08:58:33 00:50:25 04:38:26 03:07:08 (124)
9 21 Stephen Kilshaw CAN 08:44:08 09:14:17 00:54:11 04:46:30 02:58:26 195
10 8 Christophe Bastie FRA 08:50:19 08:54:15 00:55:21 04:40:33 03:09:25 107
11 10 Thomas Gerlach USA 08:53:02 09:08:04 00:55:37 04:43:09 03:09:16 161
12 20 Chad Holderbaum USA 08:57:08 09:24:51 00:55:33 04:49:08 03:07:26 244
13 13 James Chesson USA 09:00:51 09:26:45 00:57:39 04:52:32 03:05:41 (249)
14 19 Nigel Gray CAN 09:04:51 09:15:46 00:55:42 04:48:04 03:16:05 (203)
15 25 Jim Lubinski USA 09:12:10 09:39:59 01:02:39 05:00:52 03:03:39 302
16 27 Brendan Naef CAN 09:13:06 09:35:03 00:58:56 05:00:36 03:08:34 284
17 28 Patrick Wheeler USA 09:15:18 09:30:36 00:57:32 05:06:03 03:06:43 260
18 26 Douglas MacLean USA 09:16:05 09:26:20 00:59:03 05:03:23 03:08:39 246
19 23 Peter Kotland CZE 09:52:26 10:03:25 01:00:10 05:10:14 03:37:02 382
12 Patrice Brisindi CAN n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
14 Brian Fleischmann USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
15 Jason Frank USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
17 Pierre-Yves Gigou CAN n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
18 Dylan Gleeson CAN n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
22 Adam Kosmicki USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)

Lionel Sanders and Viktor Zyemtsev have already secured their Kona slots in July. In addition to them, there is a number of athletes looking to qualify in August:

  • Paul Ambrose (3.095 but already 5 results – might be okay with a Top5, safe with a Top3 result)
  • Matthew Russell (2.540 but 5 results), Jordan Rapp (2.180), Trevor Delsaut (2.065) Justin Daerr (1.840) – they probably need to win for a slot

Female Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. Run Overall
1 36 Mary Beth Ellis USA 09:11:22 09:17:15 00:52:07 05:01:08 03:13:08 9
2 38 Liz Blatchford AUS 09:12:45 09:17:16 00:51:55 05:09:51 03:05:59 10
3 41 Elizabeth Lyles USA 09:17:48 09:29:53 00:58:15 05:12:08 03:02:25 24
4 40 Rebekah Keat AUS 09:18:31 09:24:59 00:54:40 05:08:35 03:10:17 (20)
5 42 Sarah Piampiano USA 09:24:57 09:37:19 01:02:29 05:07:22 03:10:06 44
6 50 Carrie Lester AUS 09:24:59 09:34:13 00:55:49 05:08:13 03:15:58 34
7 54 Lisa Roberts USA 09:28:41 09:34:29 01:05:54 05:14:11 03:03:35 37
8 37 Jessie Donavan USA 09:33:50 09:39:52 01:08:02 05:05:28 03:15:20 47
9 35 Sara Gross CAN 09:33:56 09:53:52 00:57:24 05:21:37 03:09:54 75
10 45 Amber Ferreira USA 09:38:55 09:49:34 00:57:27 05:17:00 03:19:29 66
11 58 Laura Siddall GBR 09:38:59 09:58:31 00:59:41 05:12:15 03:22:04 84
12 61 Karen Thibodeau CAN 09:42:25 09:59:46 00:55:45 05:24:27 03:17:13 88
13 39 Jackie Hering USA 09:46:32 09:56:18 00:56:34 05:25:15 03:19:43 80
14 43 Kaitlin Anelauskas USA 09:51:06 10:17:10 00:55:11 05:43:07 03:07:49 (129)
15 44 Anne Basso FRA 10:01:10 10:16:01 01:00:21 05:29:07 03:26:42 125
16 49 Heather Leiggi USA 10:03:08 10:18:55 01:01:29 05:29:40 03:26:59 132
17 46 Jacqui Gordon USA 10:06:05 10:19:16 01:01:56 05:24:12 03:34:58 135
18 55 Molly Roohi USA 10:07:17 10:16:44 01:06:20 05:29:26 03:26:31 127
19 47 Caroline Gregory USA 10:07:58 10:23:16 00:57:00 05:40:40 03:25:17 149
20 53 Tami Ritchie USA 10:10:28 10:35:04 00:53:41 05:40:50 03:30:58 165
21 56 Maggie Rusch USA 10:28:06 10:49:18 01:04:39 05:35:45 03:42:41 (174)
22 57 Robin Sandos USA 10:50:09 11:12:05 01:00:48 05:42:51 04:01:29 (181)
23 51 Caroline Martineau CAN 11:55:14 12:19:22 01:09:10 06:05:34 04:35:29 (183)
48 Carly Johann USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
52 Carrie McCoy USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
59 Caroline St-Pierre CAN n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
60 Kathryn Thomas USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)

With Mary Beth Ellis, Liz Blatchford and Liz Lyles the top three seeded are already safe for a Kona slot. A few others might still make it in August with a good result, but each of them already has five results:

  • Sarah Piampiano (4.410 points, probably okay with a Top 5)
  • Jessie Donavan (2.945), Jackie Hering (2.500) – they probably need a win for a slot

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

Based on the previous results, Jordan Rapp is the clear favorite to win Mont Tremblant. He has taken a long time after his DNF in Texas to be in peak shape. Viktor has just won IM Canada in Whistler, he might be a DNF or at least a little tired. Paul Ambrose (DNF), Justin Daerr (3rd) and Matthew Russell (7th) were also racing in Canada:

  • Jordan Rapp: 50% (1-1)
  • Viktor Zyemtsev: 22% (4-1)
  • Paul Ambrose: 13% (7-1)
  • Justin Daerr: 9% (11-1)
  • Matthew Russell: 2% (46-1)
  • Trevor Delsaut: 2% (59-1)

Female Race Participants

With Mary Beth Ellis, Liz Blatchford and Liz Lyles there are three strong Kona contenders looking for their next Ironman win before racing in Kona. Carrie Lester is coming off a second place at Challenge Roth and Jessie Donavan was 6th in Canada. Sara Gross and Rebekah Keat are making a comeback after a long break from racing:

  • Mary Beth Ellis: 34% (2-1)
  • Liz Blatchford: 31% (2-1)
  • Elizabeth Lyles: 11% (8-1)
  • Carrie Lester: 9% (10-1)
  • Sara Gross: 6% (16-1)
  • Rebekah Keat: 5% (19-1)
  • Jessie Donavan: 2% (63-1)
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