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Ironman Switzerland 2015 – Analyzing Results

Race Conditions

As seems to be the norm for Switzerland the last few years, the race was again a slow one. A non-wetsuit swim and hot weather on the run lead to an adjustment of -8:09 and a new course rating of 4:49. Obviously, no new course record could be set in these conditions.

Male Race Results

Ronnie Schildknecht & IM Switzerland – what else is there to say?! Ronnie raced a very smart race to win his home race for the eighth time! This year he needed a strong 2:50 marathon to overtake the T2-leaders. Of these Manuel Küng couldn’t quite hold on to the lead (he still finished a respectable 7th), but Jan Van Berkel fought hard for his second place and a Kona slot. Alessandro Degasperi had the fastest marathon (2:47), but he lost too much time on the bike to move further ahead than third place.

Only Jan was able to score enough points for a Kona slot (Ronnie was already safe), especially Michael Raelert (DNF with cramps, decided not not to risk too much for 70.3 Worlds) and Mike Aigroz (had a good swim but hurt his foot when exiting the water) were frustrated with their races.

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected Prize Money
1 Ronnie Schildknecht SUI 00:55:14 04:32:11 02:50:02 08:21:19 -13:27 US$ 10000
2 Jan Van Berkel SUI 00:50:47 04:33:04 03:00:53 08:28:57 -26:51 US$ 5000
3 Alessandro Degasperi ITA 00:55:16 04:44:47 02:47:07 08:31:36 -04:30 US$ 3250
4 Mike Schifferle SUI 01:03:07 04:39:30 02:56:23 08:46:44 -25:00 US$ 2500
5 Pascal Ramali GER 01:01:56 04:37:08 03:06:47 08:50:44 n/a US$ 1750
6 David Plese SLO 00:55:12 04:48:15 03:08:29 08:56:19 09:17 US$ 1250
7 Manuel Kueng SUI 00:48:52 04:33:19 03:33:02 09:00:10 -23:15 US$ 750
8 Dirk Wijnalda NED 01:02:23 04:58:06 03:09:03 09:13:57 06:19 US$ 500
9 Rafael Wyss SUI 01:02:18 04:52:42 03:17:00 09:17:23 -00:30  
10 Samuel Huerzeler SUI 00:55:20 04:59:13 03:25:41 09:25:41 11:14  
11 Rinus Holvoet BEL 00:58:41 05:03:48 03:26:26 09:37:32 14:45  
12 Kevin Everett USA 00:50:49 05:17:04 03:41:52 09:57:31 38:44  
13 Matthew Smith CZE 01:06:44 05:27:20 03:27:48 10:08:30 00:28  
14 Lukas Polan CZE 01:06:27 05:25:25 04:21:55 10:59:18 55:44  
15 Michal Volejnik CZE 01:06:35 05:21:50 04:35:03 11:12:16 n/a  
16 Ivan Kharin RUS 01:06:59 05:33:05 06:09:33 12:54:50 1:46:08  
17 Mathias Nagel GER 02:00:54 06:51:46 06:13:29 15:14:34 n/a  
  Michael Raelert GER 00:50:43 04:47:11   DNF  
  Mauro Baertsch SUI 00:58:36 04:41:03   DNF  
  Matteo Fontana ITA 01:01:55 04:41:53   DNF  
  Alberto Casadei ITA 00:50:48 04:56:16   DNF  
  Martin Bader AUT 00:51:35 05:02:27   DNF  
  Thomas Kaiser GER 01:03:04 04:59:00   DNF  
  Marek Nemcik SVK 01:15:41 06:31:17   DNF  
  Mike Aigroz SUI 00:53:42     DNF  
  Evgeniy Nikitin RUS 00:54:53     DNF  
  Damien With FRA 00:58:06     DNF  
  Gilian Oriet SUI 01:01:52     DNF  
  Valentin Zasypkin RUS 01:28:02     DNF  

Female Race Results

Mary Beth Ellis was the race leader for most of the day. She was setting the pace on the swim and the bike, but she was struggling on the run. However, it took Beth Gerdes a phenomenal 3:01:24 marathon (only 38 seconds slower than Kristin Möller’s course record) to close the gap to MBE. Beth took the lead at 36k and went on to win her first professional Ironman. MBE finished second and Mareen Hufe took a solid third place. All podium finishers can be happy with their results as all of them secured Kona slots. 

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected Prize Money
1 Beth Gerdes USA 01:00:53 05:13:40 03:01:24 09:21:05 -28:36 US$ 10000
2 Mary Beth Ellis USA 00:55:12 05:02:07 03:24:13 09:26:37 00:55 US$ 5000
3 Mareen Hufe GER 01:01:42 05:10:33 03:18:06 09:35:26 -10:20 US$ 3250
4 Dimity-Lee Duke AUS 01:03:56 05:18:26 03:23:32 09:51:24 -03:40 US$ 2500
5 Lina-Kristin Schink GER 01:14:00 05:26:57 03:25:27 10:11:12 -14:41 US$ 1750
6 Alena Stevens SVK 01:04:39 05:26:41 03:35:22 10:11:40 -19:44 US$ 1250
7 Mariana Andrade BRA 01:03:58 05:40:59 03:55:37 10:46:04 26:08 US$ 750
  Regula Rohrbach SUI 01:01:45 05:26:59   DNF  
  Angela Kuehnlein GER 01:06:51     DNF  

Challenge Roth 2015 – Analyzing Results

Race Conditions

Challenge Roth is one of the fastest courses. This year was no exception, the adjustment of 19:17 was just a bit faster than the course rating of 18:46. The weather seemed to be perfect for racing – a few clouds, little wind and not too hot.

Male Race Results

After making up his 2 minute deficit after the swim, Andrew Starykowicz tried to ride away from the field. He managed to post a new bike course record (4:09:13), but Nils Frommhold rode with him, managed to distance Andy into T1 and had a bike split that was just 17 seconds slower. Nils then ran what seemed to be a very controlled 2:51 marathon to win by five minutes.

Roth_Nils

Timo Bracht was just a bit slower than last year, he had the strongest marathon to finish second. Late entry David Dellow redeemed himself after his DNF in Frankfurt from a week ago with his first sub-8 result to finish third. Per Bittner had the best race of the top finishes, while Andy Starykowicz walked most his marathon for a 9:36 finish to validate his bike record.

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected
1 Nils Frommhold GER 00:47:33 04:09:30 02:51:47 07:51:28 -08:46
2 Timo Bracht GER 00:47:37 04:20:42 02:45:33 07:56:31 -10:22
3 David Dellow AUS 00:47:35 04:20:24 02:48:12 07:59:28 -10:00
4 Per Bittner GER 00:47:38 04:21:04 02:52:39 08:04:29 -22:46
5 Stefan Schmid GER 00:51:14 04:24:33 02:51:53 08:11:04 -18:23
6 Markus Fachbach GER 00:47:42 04:20:57 03:01:55 08:13:26 -10:22
7 Johann Ackermann GER 00:47:34 04:24:34 03:00:58 08:16:09 -09:21
8 Andrej Vistica CRO 00:51:24 04:26:10 03:01:08 08:21:36 -02:00
9 Gerrit Schellens BEL 00:53:13 04:39:49 02:53:38 08:30:14 00:02
10 Christian Brader GER 00:53:11 04:40:54 02:54:23 08:31:30 -06:02
11 Marton Flander HUN 00:47:36 04:49:29 02:53:49 08:33:51 n/a
12 Julian Mutterer GER 00:50:13 04:42:37 02:59:21 08:34:55 n/a
13 Christopher Bagg USA 00:51:21 04:36:41 03:03:35 08:35:24 -29:02
14 Sebastian Bleisteiner GER 00:49:59 04:39:36 03:02:39 08:35:42 -09:27
15 Niels Brandt-Joergensen DEN 00:59:01 04:45:49 02:49:30 08:38:59 -06:42
16 Marcel Bischof GER 00:54:42 04:40:05 03:01:24 08:39:48 -15:49
17 Michael Wetzel GER 00:54:44 04:39:54 03:04:21 08:42:19 -07:11
18 Petr Vabrousek CZE 00:54:51 04:39:42 03:09:44 08:48:04 06:55
19 Robert Karas POL 00:50:20 04:47:31 03:09:43 08:50:20 n/a
20 Thomas Naasz NED 00:54:54 04:47:10 03:10:47 08:55:55 -06:23
21 Josef Krivanek CZE 00:54:53 04:48:00 03:11:39 08:57:47 -36:20
22 Raul Furtado BRA 00:54:40 04:37:38 03:31:27 09:07:07 10:14
23 Christian Jais GER 00:54:47 04:47:21 03:32:19 09:17:42 n/a
24 Gyula Kis HUN 00:51:17 04:59:53 03:28:32 09:24:20 53:22
25 Scott Defilippis USA 00:52:32 05:07:47 03:20:47 09:25:40 42:06
26 Andrew Starykowicz USA 00:49:18 04:09:13 04:34:48 09:36:44 1:26:20
27 Kaon Cho KOR 00:56:49 05:05:48 03:37:27 09:44:12 -1:43:11
28 Henry Beck GER 00:47:25 04:46:59 04:15:14 09:54:51 n/a
29 Blake Becker USA 00:54:57 04:42:00 04:18:15 09:59:17 48:54
30 Gergö Molnar HUN 00:50:22 05:12:57 03:55:48 10:03:47 1:26:29
31 Horst Reichel GER 00:47:33 05:20:47 03:57:52 10:13:22 1:44:43
32 Dan McGuigan AUS 01:06:53 05:15:56 03:48:13 10:19:01 1:03:37
Casey Munro AUS 00:47:31 04:46:47 DNF
Harry Wiltshire GBR 00:47:24 04:46:57 DNF
Dave Rost NED 00:51:02 04:48:48 DNF
Kasper Ougaard DEN 00:55:08 04:48:24 DNF
Olivier Godart LUX 00:54:49 04:55:01 DNF
Michael Louys BEL 00:58:58 04:53:02 DNF
Toumy Degham FRA 00:50:18 DNF
Urs Mueller SWI 00:54:38 DNF
Jens Kaiser GER 00:54:58 DNF
Christopher Haas GER 01:18:20 DNF

Female Race Results

After catching best swimmer Laura Bennett, Anja Beranek was the leader into T2. Even though riding a few minutes apart, Anja posted almost an identical bike split to chasers Carrie Lester and Yvonne Van Vlerken. Yvonne then had the best marathon, took the lead around the half marathon and overcame a weak period around the 30k mark to win in 8:50 by a little over two minutes in front of Carrie and Anja who both went sub-9 as well.

Roth_Yvonne

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected
1 Yvonne Van Vlerken NED 00:54:46 04:47:34 03:05:43 08:50:53 -03:44
2 Carrie Lester AUS 00:52:09 04:47:43 03:09:50 08:53:09 -25:48
3 Anja Beranek GER 00:49:20 04:47:58 03:14:55 08:55:19 -07:00
4 Gina Crawford NZL 00:50:13 04:58:38 03:12:01 09:04:45 00:25
5 Daniela Saemmler GER 00:53:06 04:55:29 03:18:12 09:09:33 -08:32
6 Svenja Bazlen GER 00:50:04 05:09:48 03:19:43 09:22:34 n/a
7 Natascha Schmitt GER 00:53:00 05:17:52 03:24:43 09:39:59 02:08
8 Verena Walter GER 00:56:30 05:07:40 03:32:27 09:40:38 05:44
9 Simona Krivankova CZE 01:07:57 05:22:55 03:20:21 09:54:52 n/a
10 Ana Casares ESP 01:13:26 05:24:12 03:39:48 10:22:21 46:40
11 Laura Bennett USA 00:47:38 05:15:53 04:29:02 10:38:21 1:18:53
12 Cathleen Knutson USA 01:05:39 05:31:03 04:56:29 11:37:11 1:25:11
Stefanie Adam BEL 00:55:05 DNF
Vanessa Pereira POR 01:05:41 DNF

Photos by Jordan Mansfield/Getty Images for Challenge Triathlons

Ironman UK 2015 (July 19th) – Predictions

IMUK Update (July 11th): Mareen has decided to race in Switzerland and has been removed from the UK startlist. Corinne has told me that she won’t be racing either. (Both allowed me to share this information.)

Previous Winners

Year Male Winner Time Female Winner Time
2005 Bryan Rhodes (NZL) 08:42:11 Rebecca Preston (AUS) 09:37:56
2006 Frank Heldoorn (NED) 08:36:34 Dede Griesbauer (USA) 09:37:41
2007 Scott Neyedli (GBR) 08:35:57 Bella Bayliss (GBR) 09:36:13
2008 Stephen Bayliss (GBR) 08:53:59 Bella Bayliss (GBR) 09:49:07
2009 Philip Graves (GBR) 08:45:52 Bella Bayliss (GBR) 09:34:00
2010 Fraser Cartmell (GBR) 08:40:18 Yvette Grice (GBR) 10:01:03
2011 Aaron Farlow (AUS) 08:24:34 Kristin Moeller (GER) 09:19:04
2012 Daniel Halksworth (GBR) 08:55:11 Eimear Mullan (IRL) 10:08:44
2013 Daniel Halksworth (GBR) 08:45:48 Lucy Gossage (GBR) 09:29:12
2014 Cyril Viennot (FRA) 08:44:10 Tamsin Lewis (GBR) 09:52:12

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Cyril Viennot FRA 00:51:15 04:50:48 02:57:35 08:44:10
2 Joe Skipper GBR 00:51:17 05:04:04 02:48:20 08:48:12
3 Kirill Kotshegarov EST 00:51:14 04:58:58 02:55:41 08:51:01

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Tamsin Lewis GBR 00:55:07 05:33:14 03:18:04 09:52:12
2 Katja Konschak GER 00:51:17 05:59:02 03:14:34 10:11:25
3 Joanna Carritt GBR 01:00:09 05:42:46 03:33:35 10:21:14

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 08:24:34 Aaron Farlow 2011-07-31
Swim overall 00:43:35 Fraser Cartmell 2010-08-01
Bike overall 04:50:48 Cyril Viennot 2014-07-20
Run overall 02:41:46 Aaron Farlow 2011-07-31
Total female 09:19:04 Kristin Moeller 2011-07-31
Swim female 00:48:19 Amanda Stevens 2012-07-22
Bike female 05:22:13 Lucy Gossage 2013-08-04
Run female 02:41:57 Kristin Moeller 2011-07-31

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM UK is 00:47.

Race Adjustments for IM UK

Ironman UK was held in Sherbourn up to 2008, since 2009 it is held in its current location in Bolton.

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Athletes Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2006 10:29 04:55 04:38 06:03 18 10:29 04:55 04:38 06:03
2007 11:09 03:07 -04:13 10:14 28 10:49 04:01 00:13 08:08
2008 -02:39 01:12 -14:08 04:12 21 06:20 03:05 -04:34 06:50
2009 02:07 -03:07 -10:16 10:41 16 05:16 01:32 -06:00 07:47
2010 00:57 04:32 -24:08 09:33 12 04:24 02:08 -09:37 08:09
2011 08:04 04:43 -14:36 23:08 15 05:01 02:34 -10:27 10:38
2012 -07:15 00:00 -10:22 02:14 8 03:16 02:12 -10:26 09:26
2013 -05:41 04:02 -12:24 03:09 13 02:09 02:25 -10:41 08:39
2014 -10:08 01:09 -15:16 01:17 14 00:47 02:17 -11:11 07:50

KPR points and Prize Money

IM UK is a P-2000 race. It has a total prize purse of 75.000 US$.

Male Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. Run Overall
1 11 David Dellow AUS 08:28:00 08:36:46 00:44:56 04:48:08 02:49:56 (39)
2 8 Denis Chevrot FRA 08:32:09 08:38:58 00:45:10 04:55:46 02:46:13 46
3 6 David McNamee GBR 08:33:12 08:44:16 00:46:12 04:53:41 02:48:18 (63)
4 10 Victor Del Corral ESP 08:35:10 08:33:24 00:53:09 04:53:22 02:43:38 31
5 4 Joe Skipper GBR 08:35:22 08:43:20 00:50:45 04:51:20 02:48:17 59
6 2 Fraser Cartmell GBR 08:39:24 08:47:19 00:46:11 04:48:36 02:59:37 77
7 1 Stephen Bayliss GBR 08:42:29 09:04:29 00:45:29 04:55:59 02:56:01 (147)
8 3 Will Clarke GBR 08:59:47 09:11:26 00:47:43 04:56:52 03:10:12 (182)
9 13 Yu Shinozaki JPN 09:18:58 10:07:41 00:54:01 04:59:49 03:20:07 400
10 5 Oliver Simon GBR 09:20:04 09:31:44 00:46:44 05:04:20 03:24:00 268
7 Simon Brierley SEY n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
9 Sam Clark n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
12 Dominic Rohan-Gates GBR n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
14 Brad Williams USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)

Female Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. Run Overall
1 19 Lucy Gossage GBR 09:20:51 09:19:24 00:54:57 05:19:12 03:01:42 11
2 35 Diana Riesler GER 09:22:14 09:32:41 00:54:52 05:12:22 03:10:00 31
3 21 Corinne Abraham GBR 09:23:17 09:23:37 00:56:55 05:19:27 03:01:55 15
4 37 Michelle Vesterby DEN 09:26:44 09:30:27 00:49:45 05:20:58 03:11:00 27
5 29 Mareen Hufe GER 09:37:40 09:37:04 00:57:46 05:18:18 03:16:36 41
6 36 Keiko Tanaka JPN 09:56:12 10:06:13 00:53:04 05:41:16 03:16:52 104
7 32 Shiao-yu Li TWN 09:57:26 10:00:55 01:04:40 05:38:10 03:09:36 89
8 27 Eleanor Haresign GBR 10:00:47 10:04:43 00:56:58 05:34:42 03:24:07 101
9 33 Caroline Livesey GBR 10:01:22 10:08:22 00:58:30 05:38:35 03:19:17 (110)
10 22 Joanna Carritt GBR 10:05:11 10:13:55 00:59:14 05:38:46 03:22:11 118
11 30 Anne Jensen DNK 10:16:26 10:23:30 01:05:47 05:32:22 03:33:17 (144)
12 20 Amy Forshaw GBR 10:19:01 10:30:08 01:00:21 05:52:05 03:21:35 156
13 24 Jana Candrova CZE 10:27:48 10:31:44 01:01:42 05:49:36 03:31:29 157
14 28 Alice Hector GBR 10:40:36 10:57:41 00:53:27 06:07:11 03:34:58 (170)
31 Kathryn King GBR n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
34 Suzie Richards GBR n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)

KPR Situation

Male Race Participants

After his second place in Texas, Joe Skipper is almost assured his Kona slot with 4.015 points, but he’ll want to show that he is the best British athlete on the start list.

Behind him, there are quite a few athletes that are looking for some more points to reach my projected cutoff of 3.800 points. Most of them still have an “open points slot” and can just add their UK points to their total, for the others I’m showing the “base points” before removing their weakest result:

  • Victor Del Corral (3.020, base 2.900; needs 4th or better)
  • Denis Chevrot (2.820; needs 4th or better)
  • David McNamee (2.695; probably needs 3rd or better)
  • Will Clarke (2.405; needs 3rd or better)
  • Fraser Cartmell (1.945; needs a win)

Female Race Participants

Lucy Gossage is racing for the win, with 5.425 points she is already well clear of my cutoff projection of 5.100. Diana Riesler is also safe (6.270) but she has told me that she won’t be racing. There are others that need more points:

  • Corinne Abraham (4.725; needs 6th or better – unclear if she’ll race, she was taken off the Switzerland list and posted on her blog that she’ll be racing Maastricht)
  • Mareen Hufe (4.490, base 3.975; needs 3rd or better – also on the Switzerland list)
  • Michelle Vesterby (3.575; needs 2nd or better)
  • Shia-Yu Li (3.560, base 2.600; probably too far back even with a win)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

Based on previous results, this looks to be a close race between Denis Chevrot and David Dellow, but David has just had a DNF in Frankfurt. If I had to pick a favorite it would be Joe Skipper who had fantastic race in Texas and is anxious to show he can ride sub-5 in Bolton and win his home IM:

  • Denis Chevrot: 26% (3-1)
  • David Dellow: 24% (3-1)
  • Fraser Cartmell: 15% (6-1)
  • Victor Del Corral: 13% (6-1)
  • Joe Skipper: 12% (7-1)
  • Stephen Bayliss: 6% (15-1)
Will Clarke has announced on his blog that he won’t be racing.

Female Race Participants

Lucy Gossage is the clear favorite for the women, and another British win looks very likely. Diana Riesler won’t start, and Corinne Abraham and Mareen Hufe are also on the list for Switzerland:

  • Lucy Gossage: 44% (1-1)
  • Diana Riesler: 30% (2-1)
  • Corinne Abraham: 15% (6-1)
  • Michelle Vesterby: 8% (11-1)
  • Mareen Hufe: 2% (48-1)

Ironman Switzerland 2015 (July 19th) – Predictions

IMSUIUpdate (July 10th): Corinne Abraham and Eimear Mullan are no longer on the startlist posted by ironman.com.

Update (July 14th): Matt Trautmann has tweeted that he has broken his clavicle. Speedy healing, I hope he’ll be back in form for Kona.

Previous Winners

Year Male Winner Time Female Winner Time
2005 Christoph Mauch (SUI) 08:21:48 Karin Thuerig (SUI) 09:10:51
2006 Mathias Hecht (SUI) 08:26:01 Rebecca Preston (AUS) 09:24:18
2007 Ronnie Schildknecht (SUI) 08:24:58 Rebecca Preston (AUS) 09:20:40
2008 Ronnie Schildknecht (SUI) 08:16:05 Sibylle Matter (SUI) 09:30:12
2009 Ronnie Schildknecht (SUI) 08:20:00 Sibylle Matter (SUI) 09:14:35
2010 Ronnie Schildknecht (SUI) 08:12:40 Karin Thuerig (SUI) 09:00:04
2011 Ronnie Schildknecht (SUI) 08:19:51 Karin Thuerig (SUI) 09:03:26
2012 Ronnie Schildknecht (SUI) 08:17:13 Erika Csomor (HUN) 09:20:16
2013 Ronnie Schildknecht (SUI) 08:33:39 Anja Beranek (GER) 09:21:31
2014 Boris Stein (GER) 08:33:02 Daniela Ryf (SUI) 09:13:30

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Boris Stein GER 00:58:49 04:35:55 02:53:49 08:33:02
2 David Plese SLO 00:56:44 04:37:35 02:54:51 08:34:13
3 Marek Jaskolka POL 00:51:23 04:51:09 02:53:46 08:40:40

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Daniela Ryf SUI 00:56:41 05:00:18 03:11:03 09:13:30
2 Natascha Badmann SUI 01:05:10 04:55:00 03:23:01 09:28:37
3 Sonja Tajsich GER 01:05:14 04:59:49 03:19:13 09:29:15

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 08:12:40 Ronnie Schildknecht 2010-07-25
Swim overall 00:45:29 Benjamin Sanson 2005-07-15
Bike overall 04:27:42 Ronnie Schildknecht 2012-07-15
Run overall 02:41:58 Clemente Alonso McKernan 2011-07-10
Total female 09:00:04 Karin Thuerig 2010-07-25
Swim female 00:51:23 Celine Schaerer 2014-07-27
Bike female 04:43:53 Karin Thuerig 2010-07-25
Run female 03:00:27 Kristin Moeller 2014-07-27

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Switzerland is 06:06.

Race Adjustments for IM Switzerland

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Athletes Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2005 -03:50 00:25 02:46 -07:19 6 -03:50 00:25 02:46 -07:19
2006 15:12 01:09 04:34 00:02 21 05:41 00:47 03:40 -03:39
2007 16:28 -01:00 10:07 01:36 26 09:17 00:11 05:49 -01:54
2008 08:26 -00:10 01:43 01:50 22 09:04 00:06 04:48 -00:58
2009 12:10 -00:57 05:49 05:20 30 09:41 -00:07 05:00 00:18
2010 06:52 -01:25 05:36 02:00 27 09:13 -00:20 05:06 00:35
2011 09:41 -02:31 00:57 07:25 17 09:17 -00:39 04:30 01:34
2012 07:00 -03:11 04:02 02:15 24 09:00 -00:58 04:27 01:39
2013 -09:50 -05:13 02:43 -05:14 35 06:54 -01:26 04:15 00:53
2014 -01:06 -03:47 05:01 -00:18 25 06:06 -01:40 04:20 00:46

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Switzerland is a P-2000 race. It has a total prize purse of 50.000 US$.

Male Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. Run Overall
1 1 Ronnie Schildknecht SUI 08:19:56 08:27:12 00:52:33 04:30:08 02:52:15 16
2 35 Matt Trautman ZAF 08:24:13 08:30:45 00:51:49 04:34:05 02:53:19 20
3 31 Alessandro Degasperi ITA 08:26:51 08:38:35 00:53:46 04:37:06 02:50:59 (45)
4 2 David Plese SLO 08:30:15 08:38:56 00:53:59 04:35:29 02:55:47 45
5 5 Mike Aigroz SUI 08:32:11 08:44:39 00:49:33 04:37:01 03:00:38 64
6 28 Michael Raelert GER 08:32:48 08:42:24 00:49:00 04:39:11 02:59:36 (57)
7 11 Miquel Blanchart Tinto ESP 08:34:53 08:42:51 00:50:19 04:48:04 02:51:30 58
8 3 Jan Van Berkel SUI 08:38:13 08:53:24 00:48:47 04:36:14 03:08:12 100
9 7 Alberto Casadei ITA 08:39:09 08:57:55 00:49:00 04:44:32 03:00:37 121
10 29 Dirk Wijnalda NED 08:44:00 09:04:39 00:58:27 04:45:50 02:54:43 148
11 6 Mauro Baertsch SUI 08:48:54 09:05:06 00:55:13 04:49:58 02:58:43 151
12 4 Mike Schifferle SUI 08:54:49 09:03:47 01:01:25 04:44:10 03:04:14 143
13 8 Rafael Wyss SUI 08:56:22 09:14:58 01:01:14 04:45:16 03:04:52 (198)
14 17 Martin Matula CZE 08:57:42 09:00:30 00:54:04 04:55:01 03:03:36 (131)
15 30 Manuel Kueng SUI 08:58:35 09:26:25 00:48:02 04:45:00 03:20:34 (246)
16 14 Kevin Everett USA 09:01:33 09:20:48 00:48:15 04:35:33 03:32:45 (226)
17 9 Samuel Huerzeler SUI 09:04:58 09:11:22 00:55:22 04:58:20 03:06:16 181
18 15 Rinus Holvoet BEL 09:13:17 09:25:13 00:54:41 04:55:55 03:17:41 (245)
19 23 Damien With FRA 09:15:10 09:32:48 00:54:04 04:53:53 03:22:12 (274)
20 21 Hendrik-Jan Verhaegen BEL 09:21:41 09:31:24 00:58:46 04:57:08 03:20:47 266
21 27 Evgeniy Nikitin RUS 09:36:59 10:19:03 00:52:44 05:13:56 03:25:18 432
22 33 David Jilek CZE 09:37:35 09:47:14 01:00:54 05:00:22 03:31:19 327
23 25 Lukas Polan CZE 09:42:00 09:59:32 01:05:04 05:04:02 03:27:55 372
24 38 Ivan Kharin RUS 09:46:58 10:02:58 01:09:25 05:05:30 03:27:03 (380)
25 12 Dan Brown PHI 09:54:58 11:12:34 01:04:19 05:13:31 03:32:08 482
26 20 Matthew Smith CZE 09:55:48 10:10:52 01:04:36 05:23:26 03:22:46 (410)
27 13 Rod De Kanel FRA 10:21:39 10:41:24 00:54:12 05:10:48 04:11:39 (469)
28 24 Valentin Zasypkin RUS 10:32:06 11:11:19 01:10:04 05:29:52 03:47:10 (482)
29 26 Marek Nemcik SVK 11:24:03 12:03:47 01:12:07 05:42:30 04:24:26 486
10 Martin Bader AUT n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
16 Thomas Kaiser GER n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
18 Mathias Nagel GER n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
19 Pascal Ramali GER n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
22 Michal Volejnik CZE n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
32 Matteo Fontana ITA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
34 Gilian Oriet SUI n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
36 Andy Sutz SUI n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)

Female Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. Run Overall
1 47 Mary Beth Ellis USA 09:15:23 09:17:08 00:52:13 05:01:50 03:16:20 9
2 41 Corinne Abraham GBR 09:17:44 09:23:37 01:01:06 05:02:53 03:08:45 15
3 59 Beth Gerdes USA 09:28:49 09:52:53 01:03:47 05:14:44 03:05:18 71
4 58 Mareen Hufe GER 09:31:58 09:37:04 01:01:55 05:01:21 03:23:41 41
5 52 Eimear Mullan IRL 09:33:22 09:58:47 01:00:48 05:14:33 03:13:01 86
6 57 Regula Rohrbach SUI 09:36:13 09:50:30 00:58:16 05:01:45 03:31:12 64
7 50 Dimity-Lee Duke AUS 09:38:33 09:52:00 01:03:34 05:14:09 03:15:50 68
8 51 Mariana Andrade BRA 09:53:35 10:22:26 01:02:21 05:11:06 03:35:08 141
9 48 Lina-Kristin Schink GER 10:15:47 10:29:03 01:12:33 05:25:09 03:33:04 (155)
10 54 Nicole Woysch GER 10:17:02 10:41:26 01:00:18 05:24:35 03:47:09 (162)
11 60 Alena Stevens SVK 10:20:12 10:34:40 01:02:59 05:38:27 03:33:46 (159)
12 49 Angela Kuehnlein GER 10:30:16 10:43:49 01:05:03 05:31:54 03:48:18 (165)

KPR Situation

Men

A few of the men are already safe for a July Kona slot:

  • Ronnie Schildknecht (5.550)
  • Matt Trautmann (7.195)
There are a few others that still need a few more points:
  • Miquel Blanchard Tinto: 3.700 at 3+1 (to improve he needs to score more than 960 points, i.e. 3rd or better)
  • Michael Raelert (3.000, he races Zürich as his 2015 IM race, a 4th or better should be enough for him)
A lot of athletes have to place in the Top3 or better for a slot – they probably avoided the deep field in Frankfurt and hope for better chances in Zürich:
  • Mike Aigroz (2.825)
  • Jan Van Berkel (2.600)
  • David Plese (2.285)
  • Alessandro Degasperi (2.000)
  • Mauro Baertsch (1.905)
  • Alberto Casadei (1.791)
Most of these can add another IM to their score or will only loose a few points.

Women

Mary Beth Ellis already has enough points for a slot, but she still needs to finish an Ironman (but will be racing for a good result as well).

In addition to her, there are athletes that need to place well to score the points they still need for a July slot (projected cutoff at 5.100 points). Most of them have already raced a lot, so in addition to the points they have at this point, I also show the “base” points they have before adding a good Zürich result to their score:

  • Corinne Abraham (4.725, same base; needs a 7th or better, but was DNS in Austria and it’s not clear if she’ll be racing)
  • Mareen Hufe (4.490, base 3.975; needs 3rd or better)
  • Beth Gerdes (4.515, base 3.795; needs 2nd or better)
  • Dimitry-Lee Duke (3.945, base 3.625; needs 2nd or better)
Among the other athletes, Eimear Mullan is the one with most points, but with 2.000 points she is already too far back for even a theoretical chance to qualify.

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

Ronnie Schildknecht has won this race seven times in a row, last year he was forced to race in Frankfurt in order to get more points for his Kona qualifying. This year, he is already safe after a 3rd place in Texas and can go back to his home race. He is joined by a number of strong athletes that are looking for more Kona points or a just a decent Ironman race:

  • Ronnie Schildknecht: 43% (1-1)
  • Matt Trautman: 17% (5-1)
  • Alessandro Degasperi: 15% (6-1)
  • David Plese: 8% (12-1)
  • Miquel Blanchart Tinto: 6% (16-1)
  • Mike Aigroz: 4% (23-1)
  • Michael Raelert: 4% (24-1)

Female Race Participants

  • Mary Beth Ellis: 50% (1-1)
  • Corinne Abraham: 22% (4-1)
  • Beth Gerdes: 13% (7-1)
  • Mareen Hufe: 9% (11-1)
  • Eimear Mullan: 3% (28-1)

Ironman Germany 2015 – Analyzing Results

Race Conditions

This year’s IM Germany was very hot with lots of sun and temperatures getting close to 40°C/100°F. This lead to overall slower times, an adjustment of 4:45 was a lot slower than the course rating of 12:38. It seemed to uniformly affect the swim (non-wetsuit of course), the bike and the run. The effects on the age groupers was probably even higher.

Male Race Results

Jan Frodeno was one of the favorites going into the race, and he delivered a fantastic race with best splits on all three legs (including a 4:08 bike leg – third fastest ever on the Ironman bike leg!) and a new course record improving on Sebi’s 7:55 from last year.

FrodoRun

Sebi finished in second place, almost 12 minutes back of Frodo. Nonetheless, he had a good race not loosing to much time in the swim, improving on his bike course record from last year and then having a solid 2:56 marathon in the heat. In third place there was another German: Andi Böcherer had a very good race after struggling with injuries for the last years.

Behind the top three, Bas Diederen (4th), Ty Butterfield (7th) and Eneko Llanos (8th) scored some more points for their Kona slots. Frederik Van Lierde finished fifth, but after his win in South Africa his focus was probably more on Kona in October. After struggling a bit on the swim, Andreas Raelert had a solid race, but his 6th place leaves him still short of enough points for a slot.

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected Prize Money
1 Jan Frodeno GER 00:46:02 04:08:43 02:50:49 07:49:48 -23:34 US$ 30000
2 Sebastian Kienle GER 00:50:03 04:11:07 02:56:44 08:01:39 -12:03 US$ 15000
3 Andi Boecherer GER 00:46:56 04:14:05 02:58:14 08:03:49 -29:56 US$ 8000
4 Bas Diederen NED 00:48:17 04:18:01 02:54:57 08:05:36 -17:29 US$ 6500
5 Frederik Van Lierde BEL 00:48:11 04:17:42 02:57:30 08:07:09 -07:22 US$ 5000
6 Andreas Raelert GER 00:49:58 04:24:04 02:52:05 08:09:53 -07:23 US$ 3500
7 Tyler Butterfield BMU 00:48:13 04:18:08 03:15:15 08:26:25 -00:24 US$ 2500
8 Eneko Llanos ESP 00:48:21 04:17:48 03:18:34 08:29:04 11:14 US$ 2000
9 Miquel Blanchart Tinto ESP 00:48:17 04:45:41 02:54:47 08:32:28 -00:49 US$ 1500
10 Marko Albert EST 00:48:16 04:33:35 03:13:01 08:38:40 08:48 US$ 1000
11 Martijn Dekker NED 00:48:09 04:37:15 03:28:42 08:59:06 n/a
12 Martin Droell GER 00:58:23 04:49:11 03:12:55 09:04:47 n/a
13 Anton Blokhin UKR 00:54:18 04:49:55 03:28:54 09:17:27 38:04
14 Ivan Jezko SVK 01:02:27 04:54:12 03:33:24 09:36:00 04:29
15 Wouter Monchy BEL 00:50:01 04:54:21 03:53:11 09:42:21 n/a
16 David Jilek CZE 01:00:50 04:57:42 03:45:18 09:48:32 17:11
17 Lukas Polan CZE 01:02:23 05:06:30 04:02:15 10:16:50 37:06
18 Maksim Kalinin RUS 01:15:17 05:22:24 03:47:08 10:31:16 07:31
19 Mario Radevic GER 01:03:13 05:06:01 04:18:56 10:33:11 47:22
20 Young Hwan Oh KOR 01:02:37 05:12:52 04:12:25 10:33:24 n/a
21 Juha Laitinen FIN 01:07:52 05:09:27 04:11:25 10:36:46 52:01
Evert Scheltinga NED 00:50:02 04:43:29 DNF
Carlos Lopez Diaz ESP 00:48:08 04:46:07 DNF
Simon Billeau FRA 00:59:48 04:46:21 DNF
Michael Ruenz GER 00:57:47 04:52:22 DNF
Emanuele Ciotti ITA 00:57:54 04:53:28 DNF
Thomas Kaiser GER 01:00:50 04:53:25 DNF
Ludovic Le Guellec FRA 01:06:49 05:22:59 DNF
David Dellow AUS 00:47:00 DNF
Alfred Rahm GER 01:08:26 DNF
Mathias Nagel GER 01:41:01 DNF

Female Race Results

Daniela Ryf continued her impressive string of Ironman races with a solid win in Frankfurt, posting another course record. After staying in a group with Julia Gajer and Caroline Steffen until about 90k on the bike, she took off and quickly built a 7-minute lead into T2 and finished off the day with her fastest IM marathon so far.

As she was hoping for, Julia Gajer managed to take another step forward in her long distance racing. She staid with Daniela and Caroline on the swim and when Daniela rode away from them, she was also able to build a lead to Caroline Steffen, starting the run 3 minutes ahead of Caroline. There were no changes in the Top 3 on the run, only the differences increased between Daniela, Julia and Caroline.

WomenPodium

RuthRun

Behind them, lots of positions changed. Sonja Tajsich struggled with injuries for quite some time, she had a solid day to finish in fourth. She was almost run down by Ruth Brennan-Morrey who used a 3:04:49 marathon to run her way from 9th in T2 into a 5th place finish that she needed for a Kona slot.

Kristin Möller had the fastest run split of the day, the 3:01:14 took her into 6th place.

Michelle Vesterby was fourth in T2 but DNF’d around the half marathon mark. She needs to do another Ironman if she wants to qualify. Tine Deckers was fifth in T2, but she finished in 7th just a few weeks after racing IM Brasil and also needs more points.

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected Prize Money
1 Daniela Ryf SUI 00:52:46 04:47:50 03:06:06 08:51:00 -10:46 US$ 30000
2 Julia Gajer GER 00:52:47 04:55:22 03:09:04 09:01:58 -10:38 US$ 15000
3 Caroline Steffen SUI 00:52:42 04:58:52 03:16:26 09:11:55 06:25 US$ 8000
4 Sonja Tajsich GER 01:03:27 04:56:05 03:15:25 09:19:29 -08:26 US$ 6500
5 Ruth Brennan-Morrey USA 01:06:31 05:04:26 03:04:59 09:21:09 -01:54 US$ 5000
6 Kristin Moeller GER 01:04:27 05:13:55 03:01:14 09:23:56 -04:54 US$ 3500
7 Tine Deckers BEL 00:58:20 04:58:19 03:27:18 09:28:20 05:14 US$ 2500
8 Astrid Stienen GER 00:58:38 05:08:07 03:24:22 09:36:03 03:01 US$ 2000
9 Tine Holst DEN 01:03:44 05:12:14 03:34:14 09:54:30 -04:43 US$ 1500
10 Katharina Grohmann GER 01:09:29 05:11:55 03:28:52 09:55:08 -03:50 US$ 1000
11 Annett Kamenz GER 01:04:52 05:44:08 04:19:25 11:17:21 1:07:30
Michelle Vesterby DEN 00:52:45 05:02:41 DNF
Nicole Woysch GER 00:59:15 05:08:25 DNF
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