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Challenge Wanaka 2014 – Analyzing Results

Race Conditions

Even though they were not too many Pro finishers this year, conditions seemed to be pretty normal for Wanaka: A cold swim (probably the cause for a lot of the DNFs), followed by a scenic bike ride (also pretty slow) and an average run. There were hardly any changes in the course rating, now at -2:39 (making Wanaka one of the slower races on the calendar).

Male Race Results

Dylan McNeice successfully defended his title, again posting a very strong result. My pre-race favorite, Richard Ussher, was never really challenging him. Richard ran a sub-3h marathon, but was still bettered by Dylan’s 2:56. The last podium spot went to Iron-rookie Dougal Allan, who overcame his slow 1:03 swim with the fastest bike (4:45):

NewImage

 

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected
1 Dylan McNeice NZL 00:46:25 04:51:26 02:56:58 08:38:48 -23:08
2 Richard Ussher NZL 00:53:16 04:53:18 02:58:57 08:49:49 12:04
3 Dougal Allan NZL 01:03:42 04:45:22 03:01:03 08:54:37 n/a
4 Carl Read NZL 00:53:17 05:06:07 03:02:49 09:06:08 00:31
5 Matt Burgess NZL 00:50:56 04:52:23 03:24:02 09:12:10 n/a
6 Jaroslav Kovacic SLO 00:51:03 05:07:55 03:19:25 09:24:45 n/a
7 Courtney Ogden AUS 00:53:35     DNF  
8 Scott Defilippis USA 01:00:20     DNF  
9 Simon Cochrane NZL 00:55:59     DNF  
10 Keegan Williams NZL 00:53:21     DNF  
11 Bryan Rhodes NZL 00:50:52 05:18:59   DNF  
12 Matty White AUS 00:53:18     DNF  
13 Ben Logan NZL 00:50:52     DNF  

Female Race Results

As for the men, my pre-race favorite (Gina Crawford) struggled a bit, finished „only“ in second place, and was beaten by an athlete having a great day. Candice Hammond took out the win, while Simone Maier and Tamsyn Hayes were the remaining female finishers.

WanakaWomen

(Female finishers in order, starting with winner Candice Hammond on the left.)

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected
1 Candice Hammond NZL 01:03:50 05:09:56 03:15:38 09:33:54 -14:14
2 Gina Crawford NZL 00:53:20 05:20:18 03:21:51 09:41:08 08:34
3 Simone Maier GER 01:05:43 05:21:40 03:15:32 09:48:50 -17:14
4 Tamsyn Hayes NZL 01:00:43 05:23:59 03:41:52 10:11:56 -08:22
5 Carrie Lester AUS 00:57:16     DNF  

Photo Credit: Challenge Wanaka

2013 TriRating Report released!

2013Report Cover Thumbnail

I have just released my 2013 TriRating Report, the third time that I’m releasing an “end-of-year” report. I’m looking back at the 2013 Ironman-distance races and my analysis of the results.

The Report has more than 60 pages, including:

  • Top 10 Ratings (overall and individually for swim, bike and run)
  • Top 10 Performances (by “clock time” and by my normalized times)
  • 2013 Money List
  • a closer look at the KPR in general and the changes for 2014
  • a first look forward to Kona 2014

and a ton of race results and all rated athletes!

A lot of people have asked how they can pay me back in some way for the information I’ve been putting out. In order to enable that, I’m releasing this report through Gumroad. The report continues to be free (you can just enter “0” as the amount), but if you like the report and want to show me your appreciation for my work, you can donate an amount of your choice. Regardless of whether you donate or not, feel free to share with others and enjoy!

Challenge Wanaka 2014 (Jan 18th) – Predictions

Previous Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Dylan McNeice NZL 00:47:56 04:58:14 02:59:59 08:51:18
2 Jamie Whyte NZL 00:55:05 04:52:42 03:03:45 08:55:43
3 Chris McCormack AUS 00:55:07 04:58:44 02:59:52 08:58:05

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Gina Crawford NZL 00:59:14 05:08:30 03:11:07 09:24:31
2 Candice Hammond NZL 01:06:52 05:23:07 03:09:43 09:44:22
3 Joanna Lawn NZL 00:59:46 05:24:20 03:15:08 09:44:30

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 08:34:41 Richard Ussher 2010-01-16
Swim overall 00:47:44 Kieran Doe 2012-01-21
Bike overall 04:42:26 Richard Ussher 2010-01-16
Run overall 02:48:04 Marc Pschebizin 2008-01-19
Total female 09:24:31 Gina Crawford 2013-01-19
Swim female 00:50:01 Gina Ferguson 2008-01-19
Bike female 05:08:30 Gina Crawford 2013-01-19
Run female 03:08:59 Rebekah Keat 2010-01-16

Course Rating

The Course Rating for Challenge Wanaka is – 03:21.

Race Adjustments for Challenge Wanaka

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Athletes Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2007 03:50 00:36 -07:25 05:03 6 03:50 00:36 -07:25 05:03
2008 -00:26 01:14 -10:09 00:51 10 01:42 00:55 -08:47 02:57
2009 03:58 -03:36 -01:43 03:34 11 02:27 -00:35 -06:26 03:09
2010 00:42 -01:48 -01:13 03:14 13 02:01 -00:53 -05:07 03:10
2011 -23:44 -02:45 -24:22 -03:28 13 -03:08 -01:16 -08:58 01:51
2012 -08:36 -01:12 -07:51 -03:00 15 -04:03 -01:15 -08:47 01:02
2013 00:52 -05:41 -08:00 02:39 13 -03:21 -01:53 -08:40 01:16

Male Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating Rank
1 3 Richard Ussher NZL 08:43:05 08:39:52 00:54:34 04:42:05 02:57:02 17
2 12 Courtney Ogden AUS 08:52:07 08:48:50 00:50:23 04:48:19 02:59:05 45
3 5 Matty White AUS 09:05:07 09:01:46 00:51:22 04:47:40 03:10:58 93
4 1 Dylan McNeice NZL 09:07:23 09:04:01 00:44:47 04:51:55 03:11:18 102
5 2 Keegan Williams NZL 09:09:36 09:06:13 00:52:01 04:50:05 03:08:53 114
6 6 Carl Read NZL 09:11:12 09:07:48 00:53:36 04:57:45 03:01:32 122
7 17 Bryan Rhodes NZL 09:22:06 09:18:38 00:47:53 04:56:31 03:22:31 163
8 7 Simon Cochrane NZL 09:23:57 09:20:29 00:53:03 05:02:57 03:07:58 169
9 4 Scott Defilippis USA 09:24:32 09:21:03 00:56:37 05:01:57 03:04:33 174
10 8 Paul Hawkins GBR 09:34:11 09:30:39 00:58:33 05:28:51 03:20:28 196
11 15 Timothy Beardall AUS 10:13:12 10:09:26 01:00:43 04:55:33 03:58:53 329
  16 Dougal Allan NZL n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a
  14 Matt Burgess NZL n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a
  13 Ben Logan NZL n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a
  10 Jaroslav Kovacic SLO n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a

Female Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating Rank
1 50 Gina Crawford NZL 09:38:27 09:34:53 00:51:51 05:14:07 03:12:44 11
2 51 Candice Hammond NZL 09:54:05 09:50:26 01:00:45 05:15:56 03:17:00 37
3 53 Carrie Lester AUS 09:57:33 09:53:52 00:56:00 05:16:56 03:25:04 47
4 52 Simone Maier GER 10:12:11 10:08:25 01:04:17 05:22:55 03:20:52 78
5 54 Tamsyn Hayes NZL 10:26:36 10:22:45 00:58:39 05:20:37 03:43:51 100
  55 Larisa Marsh NZL n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

Last year’s winner Dylan McNeice is back to defend his title, but he faces strong competition in Richard Ussher (taking another stab at Ironman racing), Courtney Ogden, Matty White and Keegan Williams:

  • Richard Ussher: 37% (2-1)
  • Courtney Ogden: 28% (3-1)
  • Dylan McNeice: 13% (7-1)
  • Matty White: 10% (9-1)
  • Keegan Williams: 5% (18-1)
  • Scott Defilippis: 4% (25-1)

Female Race Participants

Gina Crawford is also back, her chances to defend her title are much better:

  • Gina Crawford: 67% (1-1)
  • Candice Hammond: 15% (6-1)
  • Carrie Lester: 14% (6-1)
  • Simone Maier: 3% (34-1)

2013 Tri Trivia

I’ve started to work on my „2013 Rating Report“, looking back on the Ironman-distance races of 2013 and my analysis on the results. You can already pre-order the report and receive it as soon as it’s available!

As part of the work for the report, I’ve come across some interesting facts, and over the next days will ask ten trivia questions as a „countdown“ to the release of the report. (I will amend this post from day to day. You can enter your answers as comments, or send them to @ThRadde on twitter.)

  1. Who had the fastest Ironman-distance times of 2013 (either man or woman)?
  2. Which IM races had the smallest and largest number of pro finishers?
  3. What’s the shortest time between two Ironman wins?
  4. In 2013 we’ve seen 6 sub-8h finishes (for the men) and 21 sub-9h finishes (for the women). Which 2013 race had the most of these?
  5. Who posted the fastest marathon times in 2013 (man or woman)?
  6. Which races in 2013 had the closest and widest margin between the male and female winners (Pros only)?
  7. Which races in 2013 had the closest and widest margin between the winner and runner-up (Pros only)?
  8. Which country had the most Pro IM wins in 2013?
  9. Who had the slowest swim when winning a Pro IM in 2013 (men or women)?
  10. Who overcame the biggest deficit after the bike to win an IM in 2013 (men or women)?

The report includes the answers to the questions, and is now available: Please go to the 2013 TriRating Report page.

Ironman Western Australia 2013 – Analyzing Results

Race Conditions

Conditions in Western Australia seemed to have been pretty good: An adjustment of 16:28 was the fastest race since the record-breaking year of 2007. The conditions of both the bike and the run were fast, resulting in almost a new women’s course record.

Male Race Results

Pre-race favorite Andreas Raelert had another frustrating DNF (apparently the same problems as in Hawaii), while home-boy Luke Bell also didn’t finish. After being sick in Kona, David Dellow had a was just a little bit off. But you have to have a solid day to win an Ironman, as there are always a few athletes with a fantastic day. This time, it was Jeremy Jurkiewicz: He is usually a stellar runner (again posting the fastest run-split), but this time he was already leading after T2!

WAWinner

Rank

 

 Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected
1 Jeremy Jurkiewicz FRA 00:47:03 04:29:17 02:48:18 08:08:16 -11:13
2 Markus Thomschke GER 00:53:17 04:27:16 02:51:23 08:16:01 -25:32
3 David Dellow AUS 00:48:16 04:32:34 02:54:26 08:19:10 08:17
4 Todd Israel AUS 00:49:43 04:36:07 02:52:18 08:22:39 -24:18
5 Matty White AUS 00:53:13 04:27:14 03:01:46 08:25:29 -15:27
6 Matt Burton AUS 00:54:16 04:25:25 03:01:57 08:25:42 n/a
7 Alex Reithmeier AUS 00:48:19 04:36:35 03:05:59 08:34:53 n/a
8 Guy Crawford NZL 00:48:14 04:32:03 03:12:42 08:36:31 -21:45
9 Benjamin Williams USA 00:53:33 04:48:43 02:55:26 08:41:19 n/a
10 Joshua Rix AUS 00:49:49 04:33:39 03:15:05 08:42:43 -06:54
11 Eduardo Sturla ARG 00:54:23 04:41:30 03:06:56 08:47:00 15:22
12 Jimmy Johnsen DEN 00:49:57 04:52:36 03:08:43 08:55:34 29:14
13 Timothy Molesworth AUS 01:11:23 04:58:14 02:59:09 09:14:30 n/a
14 Johan Borg AUS 00:53:15 04:39:28 03:54:37 09:31:15 37:27

Female Race Results

The run carried the day on the women’s side as well: Elizabeth Lyles ran through the field, and posted a sub-9h result to win the race in front of German Mareen Hufe (leading into T2) and Lisa Marangon who was leading the race in the early parts of the bike:

WAWomen

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected
1 Elizabeth Lyles USA 00:57:11 04:58:21 03:00:37 08:59:44 -18:56
2 Mareen Hufe GER 00:59:49 04:47:53 03:16:24 09:08:00 -12:27
3 Lisa Marangon AUS 00:54:10 04:56:20 03:24:29 09:19:29 -36:54
4 Michelle Bremer NZL 00:59:41 04:58:20 03:24:00 09:25:58 00:25
5 Melanie Burke NZL 01:05:08 04:59:29 03:17:43 09:27:08 -27:38
6 Erin Furness NZL 00:59:52 05:10:48 03:17:57 09:33:20 -33:47
7 Michelle Duffield AUS 00:59:53 05:16:52 03:21:45 09:43:12 n/a
8 Dimity-Lee Duke AUS 01:05:03 05:20:32 03:41:20 10:11:21 n/a

Photo Credit: Ironman.com

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