Ironman Hawaii 2013 – Time Predictions
As before every race, I’m posting my predictions for Ironman Hawaii. I’ll be posting a lot more content over the next days before the race. If you can’t get enough pre-Kona info, please check out my “2013 Kona Rating Report“.
Previous Year’s TOP 3
Male Race Results
Rank | Name | Nation | Swim | Bike | Run | Time |
1 | Pete Jacobs | AUS | 00:51:28 | 04:35:15 | 02:48:05 | 08:18:37 |
2 | Andreas Raelert | GER | 00:55:17 | 04:36:34 | 02:47:23 | 08:23:40 |
3 | Frederik Van Lierde | BEL | 00:51:36 | 04:35:25 | 02:52:49 | 08:24:09 |
Female Race Results
Rank | Name | Nation | Swim | Bike | Run | Time |
1 | Leanda Cave | GBR | 00:56:03 | 05:12:06 | 03:03:13 | 09:15:54 |
2 | Caroline Steffen | SUI | 00:57:37 | 05:06:49 | 03:08:08 | 09:16:58 |
3 | Mirinda Carfrae | AUS | 01:00:06 | 05:12:18 | 03:05:04 | 09:21:41 |
Course Records
Leg | Gender | Record | Athlete | Date |
Total | overall | 08:03:56 | Craig Alexander | 2011-10-15 |
Swim | overall | 00:46:41 | Lars Jorgensen | 1998-10-01 |
Bike | overall | 04:18:23 | Normann Stadler | 2006-10-21 |
Run | overall | 02:40:04 | Mark Allen | 1999-10-01 |
Total | female | 08:54:02 | Chrissie Wellington | 2009-10-10 |
Swim | female | 00:48:43 | Jodi Jackson | 1999-10-01 |
Bike | female | 04:44:19 | Karin Thuerig | 2011-10-15 |
Run | female | 02:52:09 | Mirinda Carfrae | 2011-10-15 |
Course Rating
The Course Rating for IM Hawaii is – 04:48.
Race Adjustments for IM Hawaii
Year | Adjustment | Swim Adj. | Bike Adj. | Run Adj. | # of Athletes | Rating | Swim Rating | Bike Rating | Run Rating |
1993 | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | 0 | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a |
1996 | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | 0 | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a |
1998 | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | 0 | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a |
1999 | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | 0 | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a |
2005 | -02:56 | -05:19 | 03:05 | -02:38 | 104 | -02:56 | -05:19 | 03:05 | -02:38 |
2006 | -04:10 | -06:12 | 02:58 | -04:09 | 114 | -03:33 | -05:45 | 03:01 | -03:24 |
2007 | -01:56 | -04:26 | -00:56 | 01:42 | 106 | -03:01 | -05:19 | 01:42 | -01:42 |
2008 | -06:55 | -04:16 | -02:52 | -00:38 | 104 | -03:59 | -05:03 | 00:34 | -01:26 |
2009 | -12:00 | -04:17 | -02:32 | -05:48 | 107 | -05:36 | -04:54 | -00:04 | -02:18 |
2010 | -00:08 | -04:32 | 00:57 | -00:47 | 93 | -04:41 | -04:50 | 00:06 | -02:03 |
2011 | -00:15 | -05:12 | 04:43 | 00:27 | 61 | -04:03 | -04:53 | 00:46 | -01:42 |
2012 | -10:04 | -05:26 | -02:49 | 01:09 | 65 | -04:48 | -04:57 | 00:19 | -01:20 |
KPR points and Price Money
IM Hawaii has 8000 KPR points for the winner. It has a total prize purse of 650k$.
Male Race Participants
For an up-to-date version of the start list (including all previous results), please have a look at my post “Ironman Hawaii 2013 – Startlists“.
Rank | Bib | Name | Nation | Expected Time | Rating | Swim Rating | Bike Rating | Run Rating | Rank |
1 | 5 | Craig Alexander | AUS | 08:20:39 | 08:16:14 | 00:47:54 | 04:37:21 | 02:48:16 | 1 |
1 | 4 | Andreas Raelert | GER | 08:20:39 | 08:16:14 | 00:48:22 | 04:39:11 | 02:47:57 | 1 |
3 | 14 | Bevan Docherty | NZL | 08:22:46 | 08:18:20 | 00:46:24 | 04:38:46 | 02:50:35 | 3 |
4 | 3 | Eneko Llanos | ESP | 08:23:22 | 08:18:56 | 00:47:41 | 04:36:58 | 02:50:46 | 3 |
5 | 25 | Timo Bracht | GER | 08:26:09 | 08:21:41 | 00:49:42 | 04:36:36 | 02:52:00 | 4 |
6 | 9 | Bart Aernouts | BEL | 08:26:49 | 08:22:21 | 00:53:20 | 04:40:59 | 02:46:59 | 5 |
7 | 2 | Sebastian Kienle | GER | 08:27:31 | 08:23:03 | 00:51:43 | 04:32:17 | 02:57:02 | 6 |
8 | 15 | Faris Al-Sultan | GER | 08:28:33 | 08:24:04 | 00:47:34 | 04:33:49 | 02:57:50 | 8 |
9 | 52 | Andrew Starykowicz | USA | 08:29:06 | 08:24:37 | 00:47:06 | 04:27:20 | 03:10:54 | 9 |
10 | 6 | Frederik Van Lierde | BEL | 08:29:41 | 08:25:12 | 00:47:49 | 04:37:10 | 02:57:10 | 9 |
11 | 32 | David Dellow | AUS | 08:30:46 | 08:26:16 | 00:47:05 | 04:40:28 | 02:57:54 | 10 |
12 | 19 | Ronnie Schildknecht | SUI | 08:31:43 | 08:27:13 | 00:51:19 | 04:36:23 | 02:57:17 | 11 |
13 | 29 | Jordan Rapp | USA | 08:32:30 | 08:27:59 | 00:52:22 | 04:35:45 | 02:57:42 | 12 |
14 | 10 | Bas Diederen | NED | 08:33:41 | 08:29:09 | 00:47:28 | 04:45:20 | 02:54:11 | 13 |
15 | 8 | Andy Potts | USA | 08:34:26 | 08:29:54 | 00:45:39 | 04:41:50 | 02:58:47 | 14 |
16 | 44 | Tyler Butterfield | BMU | 08:35:24 | 08:30:52 | 00:50:19 | 04:47:04 | 02:55:54 | 15 |
17 | 16 | Chris McCormack | AUS | 08:36:07 | 08:31:34 | 00:48:33 | 04:44:32 | 02:54:45 | 16 |
18 | 7 | Timothy O’Donnell | USA | 08:38:13 | 08:33:39 | 00:47:06 | 04:42:00 | 03:03:29 | 20 |
19 | 33 | Ivan Rana | ESP | 08:38:39 | 08:34:05 | 00:47:33 | 04:48:43 | 02:56:20 | 21 |
20 | 40 | Maxim Kriat | UKR | 08:38:46 | 08:34:12 | 00:50:42 | 04:45:24 | 02:56:13 | 22 |
21 | 47 | Dirk Bockel | LUX | 08:38:47 | 08:34:13 | 00:47:02 | 04:34:10 | 02:56:14 | 23 |
22 | 22 | Jan Raphael | GER | 08:39:04 | 08:34:30 | 00:48:12 | 04:44:27 | 03:00:00 | 25 |
23 | 55 | James Cunnama | ZAF | 08:39:45 | 08:35:10 | 00:50:27 | 04:42:58 | 03:00:10 | 28 |
24 | 42 | Ben Hoffman | USA | 08:40:20 | 08:35:45 | 00:50:23 | 04:35:39 | 03:04:30 | 30 |
25 | 53 | Clayton Fettell | AUS | 08:40:31 | 08:35:56 | 00:45:23 | 04:39:39 | 03:09:04 | 31 |
26 | 41 | Cyril Viennot | FRA | 08:41:32 | 08:36:56 | 00:50:54 | 04:46:28 | 02:57:18 | 34 |
27 | 31 | David Plese | SVN | 08:43:01 | 08:38:25 | 00:54:16 | 04:43:09 | 02:59:12 | 36 |
28 | 43 | TJ Tollakson | USA | 08:43:44 | 08:39:07 | 00:48:44 | 04:39:03 | 03:07:22 | 37 |
29 | 36 | Andi Boecherer | GER | 08:43:56 | 08:39:19 | 00:47:41 | 04:37:33 | 03:11:38 | 38 |
30 | 46 | Marko Albert | EST | 08:44:06 | 08:39:29 | 00:46:41 | 04:50:03 | 03:01:50 | 40 |
31 | 26 | Per Bittner | GER | 08:44:29 | 08:39:52 | 00:49:14 | 04:49:11 | 02:59:51 | 41 |
32 | 37 | Igor Amorelli | BRA | 08:45:58 | 08:41:20 | 00:48:05 | 04:48:09 | 03:03:48 | 45 |
33 | 49 | Luke McKenzie | AUS | 08:46:18 | 08:41:40 | 00:47:19 | 04:39:11 | 03:11:10 | 48 |
34 | 12 | Jimmy Johnsen | DEN | 08:46:35 | 08:41:57 | 00:50:30 | 04:49:45 | 02:57:35 | 50 |
35 | 1 | Pete Jacobs | AUS | 08:47:40 | 08:43:01 | 00:47:21 | 04:43:00 | 02:58:13 | 54 |
36 | 39 | Christian Ritter | GER | 08:48:24 | 08:43:45 | 00:47:46 | 04:44:47 | 03:05:09 | 55 |
37 | 30 | Paul Amey | GBR | 08:48:54 | 08:44:14 | 00:50:25 | 04:49:41 | 03:03:10 | 58 |
38 | 11 | Luke Bell | AUS | 08:50:12 | 08:45:32 | 00:47:52 | 04:41:09 | 03:14:27 | 65 |
39 | 38 | Pedro Gomes | POR | 08:50:16 | 08:45:36 | 00:52:11 | 04:51:40 | 03:08:21 | 66 |
40 | 28 | Stefan Schmid | GER | 08:50:40 | 08:45:59 | 00:53:52 | 04:47:33 | 03:01:36 | 68 |
41 | 23 | Axel Zeebroek | BEL | 08:51:32 | 08:46:51 | 00:47:27 | 04:44:06 | 03:12:42 | 69 |
42 | 21 | Bert Jammaer | BEL | 08:51:42 | 08:47:01 | 00:49:21 | 04:46:32 | 03:06:03 | 70 |
43 | 35 | Daniel Halksworth | GBR | 08:51:48 | 08:47:07 | 00:47:34 | 04:47:42 | 03:08:21 | 71 |
44 | 18 | Brandon Marsh | USA | 08:56:42 | 08:51:58 | 00:47:28 | 04:48:47 | 03:10:30 | 84 |
45 | 34 | Horst Reichel | GER | 08:57:48 | 08:53:04 | 00:48:06 | 04:47:50 | 03:04:07 | 86 |
46 | 20 | Matthew Russell | USA | 08:59:27 | 08:54:42 | 01:01:58 | 04:48:40 | 02:59:49 | 94 |
47 | 45 | Thomas Gerlach | USA | 08:59:41 | 08:54:56 | 00:55:00 | 04:45:00 | 03:12:24 | 95 |
48 | 50 | Ian Mikelson | USA | 08:59:55 | 08:55:10 | 00:50:32 | 04:53:44 | 03:07:25 | 98 |
49 | 17 | Petr Vabrousek | CZE | 09:01:44 | 08:56:58 | 00:54:41 | 04:52:33 | 03:04:36 | 110 |
50 | 48 | Balazs Csoke | HUN | 09:04:27 | 08:59:39 | 00:48:14 | 04:51:00 | 03:18:09 | 119 |
51 | 27 | Dominik Berger | AUT | 09:05:13 | 09:00:25 | 00:48:27 | 04:51:17 | 03:19:43 | 123 |
52 | 24 | Mike Schifferle | SUI | 09:07:21 | 09:02:32 | 01:00:25 | 04:51:42 | 03:06:25 | 130 |
53 | 54 | Ben Cotter | CAN | 09:16:10 | 09:11:16 | 00:56:34 | 04:53:56 | 03:15:44 | 157 |
54 | 51 | Chris Legh | AUS | 09:24:05 | 09:19:07 | 00:53:09 | 04:52:16 | 03:27:36 | 179 |
Female Race Participants
For an up-to-date version of the start list (including all previous results), please have a look at my post “Ironman Hawaii 2013 – Startlists“.
Rank | Bib | Name | Nation | Expected Time | Rating | Swim Rating | Bike Rating | Run Rating | Rank |
1 | 111 | Mirinda Carfrae | AUS | 09:16:11 | 09:11:17 | 00:53:37 | 05:15:37 | 03:00:15 | 1 |
2 | 103 | Caroline Steffen | SUI | 09:17:30 | 09:12:35 | 00:51:51 | 04:58:55 | 03:15:42 | 2 |
3 | 118 | Yvonne Van Vlerken | AUT | 09:18:39 | 09:13:44 | 00:57:19 | 05:01:26 | 03:09:50 | 3 |
4 | 105 | Jodie Swallow | GBR | 09:19:05 | 09:14:09 | 00:48:11 | 04:59:53 | 03:25:34 | 4 |
5 | 102 | Mary Beth Ellis | USA | 09:20:17 | 09:15:21 | 00:51:15 | 05:08:02 | 03:13:54 | 5 |
6 | 131 | Rachel Joyce | GBR | 09:20:54 | 09:15:58 | 00:51:09 | 05:07:42 | 03:14:38 | 6 |
7 | 117 | Camilla Pedersen | DEN | 09:22:33 | 09:17:36 | 00:50:24 | 05:05:24 | 03:20:27 | 7 |
8 | 123 | Anja Beranek | GER | 09:25:51 | 09:20:52 | 00:52:23 | 05:05:05 | 03:22:07 | 7 |
9 | 112 | Liz Blatchford | GBR | 09:26:26 | 09:21:27 | 00:50:39 | 05:16:48 | 03:11:01 | 8 |
10 | 110 | Sonja Tajsich | GER | 09:28:00 | 09:23:00 | 01:02:34 | 05:09:59 | 03:06:23 | 9 |
11 | 114 | Linsey Corbin | USA | 09:28:40 | 09:23:39 | 00:57:52 | 05:12:25 | 03:10:09 | 10 |
12 | 107 | Rebekah Keat | AUS | 09:29:34 | 09:24:33 | 00:52:57 | 05:12:33 | 03:16:05 | 11 |
13 | 104 | Gina Crawford | NZL | 09:31:03 | 09:26:01 | 00:52:00 | 05:14:56 | 03:13:22 | 12 |
14 | 101 | Leanda Cave | GBR | 09:31:05 | 09:26:03 | 00:50:57 | 05:12:58 | 03:19:26 | 13 |
15 | 113 | Natascha Badmann | SUI | 09:31:49 | 09:26:47 | 01:00:36 | 05:04:26 | 03:14:46 | 14 |
16 | 108 | Meredith Kessler | USA | 09:33:48 | 09:28:45 | 00:50:36 | 05:12:53 | 03:21:47 | 16 |
17 | 106 | Erika Csomor | HUN | 09:34:57 | 09:29:53 | 00:57:35 | 05:16:05 | 03:12:40 | 17 |
18 | 109 | Heather Wurtele | CAN | 09:35:14 | 09:30:10 | 00:54:13 | 05:10:58 | 03:19:05 | 20 |
19 | 119 | Michelle Vesterby | DEN | 09:35:52 | 09:30:48 | 00:52:15 | 05:14:00 | 03:22:51 | 21 |
20 | 132 | Amy Marsh | USA | 09:38:09 | 09:33:03 | 00:52:05 | 05:06:14 | 03:31:34 | 24 |
21 | 124 | Caitlin Snow | USA | 09:39:06 | 09:34:00 | 00:54:52 | 05:29:16 | 03:03:38 | 27 |
22 | 125 | Jessie Donavan | USA | 09:39:21 | 09:34:15 | 01:07:13 | 05:08:29 | 03:16:49 | 28 |
23 | 127 | Eva Nystroem | SWE | 09:40:06 | 09:34:59 | 01:01:55 | 05:10:05 | 03:21:59 | 29 |
24 | 136 | Kim Schwabenbauer | USA | 09:40:26 | 09:35:19 | 01:02:46 | 05:17:07 | 03:16:54 | 30 |
25 | 121 | Jennie Hansen | USA | 09:40:29 | 09:35:22 | 01:04:58 | 05:16:43 | 03:11:08 | 31 |
26 | 126 | Kristin Moeller | GER | 09:40:41 | 09:35:34 | 01:03:05 | 05:21:58 | 03:07:15 | 32 |
27 | 128 | Elizabeth Lyles | USA | 09:41:26 | 09:36:19 | 00:58:39 | 05:24:14 | 03:08:40 | 34 |
28 | 122 | Mirjam Weerd | NED | 09:42:29 | 09:37:21 | 00:53:45 | 05:09:46 | 03:29:47 | 36 |
29 | 116 | Britta Martin | NZL | 09:42:32 | 09:37:24 | 01:00:14 | 05:11:55 | 03:19:30 | 37 |
30 | 137 | Haley Chura | USA | 09:43:29 | 09:38:21 | 00:48:42 | 05:20:07 | 03:30:18 | 38 |
31 | 129 | Mareen Hufe | GER | 09:43:35 | 09:38:27 | 01:01:09 | 05:08:38 | 03:25:56 | 39 |
32 | 120 | Sofie Goos | BEL | 09:44:18 | 09:39:09 | 00:55:26 | 05:20:52 | 03:20:13 | 41 |
33 | 133 | Ashley Clifford | USA | 09:44:57 | 09:39:48 | 00:53:35 | 05:35:40 | 03:09:56 | 44 |
34 | 115 | Amanda Stevens | USA | 09:46:09 | 09:40:59 | 00:48:58 | 05:19:59 | 03:29:20 | 46 |
35 | 135 | Rebecca Hoschke | AUS | 09:49:36 | 09:44:24 | 01:00:20 | 05:17:14 | 03:22:28 | 52 |
36 | 130 | Anna Ross | NZL | 09:50:18 | 09:45:06 | 00:59:37 | 05:20:01 | 03:21:07 | 53 |
37 | 134 | Sara Gross | CAN | 09:53:39 | 09:48:25 | 00:55:41 | 05:33:24 | 03:18:23 | 57 |