Thorsten

Previous Winners

Year	Male Winner	Time	Female Winner	Time
2012	Romain Guillaume (FRA)	08:40:48	Jessie Donavan (USA)	09:30:46
2013	Luke Bell (AUS)	08:26:06	Mary Beth Ellis (USA)	09:07:56
2014	TJ Tollakson (USA)	08:16:17	Sara Gross (CAN)	09:40:26
2015	Jordan Rapp (USA)	08:17:37	Mary Beth Ellis (USA)	09:09:05

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Jordan Rapp	USA	00:51:33	04:25:01	02:55:53	08:17:37
2	Justin Daerr	USA	00:51:39	04:41:50	02:57:41	08:36:12
3	Paul Ambrose	AUS	00:50:56	04:37:06	03:04:26	08:38:12

Female Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Mary Beth Ellis	USA	00:50:22	04:53:21	03:20:02	09:09:05
2	Liz Blatchford	AUS	00:52:03	05:01:15	03:10:56	09:09:55
3	Lisa Roberts	USA	01:04:30	05:02:47	03:00:37	09:13:45

Course Records

Leg	Gender	Record	Athlete	Date
Total	overall	08:16:17	TJ Tollakson	2014-08-17
Swim	overall	00:47:45	Brandon Marsh	2013-08-18
Bike	overall	04:25:01	Jordan Rapp	2015-08-16
Run	overall	02:52:20	Stefan Schmid	2013-08-18
Total	female	09:07:56	Mary Beth Ellis	2013-08-18
Swim	female	00:49:22	Haley Chura	2013-08-18
Bike	female	04:53:21	Mary Beth Ellis	2015-08-16
Run	female	03:00:37	Lisa Roberts	2015-08-16

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Mont Tremblant is 07:10.

Race Adjustments for IM Mont Tremblant

Year	Adjustment	Swim Adj.	Bike Adj.	Run Adj.	# of Finishers	Rating	Swim Rating	Bike Rating	Run Rating
2012	09:58	-01:07	06:23	04:34	13	09:58	-01:07	06:23	04:34
2013	04:48	-00:33	03:38	03:49	36	07:23	-00:50	05:00	04:12
2014	07:49	-01:34	02:33	05:06	16 of 24	07:31	-01:04	04:11	04:30
2015	06:04	00:04	07:17	01:14	35 of 41	07:10	-00:47	04:58	03:41

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Mont Tremblant is a P-2000 race. It has a total prize purse of 100.000 US$.

Male Race Participants

Rank	Bib	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Exp. Swim	Exp. Bike	Exp. Run	Consistency	Overall
1	1	Jordan Rapp	USA	08:22:34	08:29:37	00:53:05	04:30:12	02:54:17	77% +8% -15% (19)	21
2	8	Callum Millward	NZL	08:22:51	08:31:20	00:49:13	04:37:55	02:50:43	53% +0% -47% (5)	(26)
3	7	Paul Matthews	AUS	08:26:22	08:31:09	00:47:48	04:37:06	02:56:29	35% +0% -65% (9)	24
4	6	Andrew Starykowicz	USA	08:28:27	08:32:59	00:49:56	04:20:57	03:12:34	60% +0% -40% (7)	31
5	3	Matthew Russell	USA	08:30:28	08:46:02	00:57:42	04:35:45	02:52:01	52% +33% -15% (37)	79
6	9	Victor Del Corral	ESP	08:31:00	08:39:51	00:56:29	04:39:51	02:49:40	59% +0% -41% (14)	54
7	2	Romain Guillaume	FRA	08:31:15	08:49:26	00:49:12	04:33:48	03:03:16	52% +18% -30% (28)	89
8	24	Eric Limkemann	USA	08:35:03	08:43:42	00:50:25	04:37:01	03:02:36	50% +32% -18% (4)	(66)
9	5	Paul Ambrose	AUS	08:35:26	09:00:17	00:50:33	04:36:38	03:03:15	41% +4% -56% (20)	125
10	4	Chris McDonald	AUS	08:42:23	08:46:05	00:54:17	04:41:01	03:02:05	67% +7% -26% (42)	80
11	16	Thomas Gerlach	USA	08:43:33	09:01:16	00:54:41	04:38:09	03:05:43	39% +11% -51% (21)	129
12	29	Jonathan Shearon	USA	08:44:13	08:54:44	00:54:22	04:39:30	03:05:21	63% +10% -26% (14)	100
13	20	Stephen Kilshaw	CAN	08:47:45	09:11:37	00:55:55	04:46:38	03:00:13	59% +40% -1% (8)	164
14	15	Scott Defilippis	USA	08:50:00	09:11:49	00:57:10	04:53:46	02:54:04	32% +29% -39% (22)	167
15	11	Christopher Bagg	USA	08:56:37	09:26:21	00:54:43	04:48:27	03:08:26	8% +36% -56% (12)	210
16	13	Guy Crawford	NZL	08:59:21	09:14:38	00:49:49	04:40:26	03:24:06	27% +37% -36% (12)	179
17	19	Chad Holderbaum	USA	09:04:15	09:13:54	00:55:22	04:50:00	03:13:53	41% +9% -50% (10)	176
18	14	Matthew Curbeau	USA	09:05:32	09:25:58	00:56:38	04:49:04	03:14:51	33% +43% -24% (6)	208
19	25	James Lubinski	USA	09:08:26	09:28:28	01:03:21	04:54:44	03:05:21	38% +35% -27% (17)	217
20	23	Colin Laughery	USA	09:14:57	09:22:30	00:59:51	04:57:55	03:12:11	100% +0% -0% (3)	(197)
21	27	Brendan Naef	CAN	09:15:17	09:34:31	00:58:09	04:59:24	03:12:43	51% +49% -0% (8)	230
22	28	Kyle Pawlaczyk	USA	09:17:06	09:52:27	00:56:49	05:01:21	03:13:56	6% +19% -75% (8)	(263)
23	18	Travis Hawkins	USA	09:36:23	09:50:05	01:03:07	05:07:43	03:20:33	100% +0% -0% (2)	(261)
24	21	Peter Kotland	CZE	09:36:41	09:55:55	00:59:52	05:03:15	03:28:35	54% +26% -21% (21)	266
25	12	Timothy Clarke	USA	09:47:06	10:06:57	00:57:38	05:09:16	03:35:12	n/a (1 IM Pro race)	(278)
	10	Chris Leiferman	USA	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)	(n/a)
	17	Nick Glavac	USA	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)	(n/a)
	22	David Lacombe	CAN	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)	(n/a)
	26	Jerome McEniry	CAN	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)	(n/a)

Female Race Participants

Rank	Bib	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Exp. Swim	Exp. Bike	Exp. Run	Consistency	Overall
1	35	Mary Beth Ellis	USA	09:09:43	09:18:10	00:51:19	04:57:52	03:15:32	94% +0% -6% (18)	14
2	37	Carrie Lester	AUS	09:11:53	09:25:57	00:54:50	05:02:22	03:09:42	49% +36% -15% (19)	23
3	36	Amanda Stevens	USA	09:22:28	09:30:05	00:52:21	05:10:49	03:14:17	60% +21% -19% (17)	28
4	38	Uli Bromme	USA	09:37:45	09:51:41	01:03:53	05:10:33	03:18:19	35% +38% -27% (14)	70
5	40	Amber Ferreira	USA	09:40:01	09:55:26	00:57:34	05:14:28	03:23:00	43% +21% -36% (15)	80
6	39	Laurel Wassner	USA	09:44:31	09:52:41	00:55:43	05:28:05	03:15:43	68% +0% -32% (8)	73
7	41	Kate Bevilaqua	AUS	09:49:27	10:11:07	00:56:51	05:19:54	03:27:42	22% +6% -72% (27)	109
8	46	Caroline St-Pierre	CAN	09:57:34	10:20:51	00:56:51	05:36:38	03:19:04	n/a (1 IM Pro race)	(132)
9	45	Caroline Martineau	CAN	10:12:48	10:35:05	01:04:30	05:27:15	03:36:02	42% +36% -22% (5)	(158)
10	42	Katy Cargiulo	USA	10:48:22	10:58:14	01:05:45	05:55:05	03:42:32	100% +0% -0% (3)	(166)
	43	Michelle Harburg	USA	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)	(n/a)
	44	Jessica Jones	USA	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)	(n/a)
	47	Amy Vantassel	USA	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)	(n/a)
	48	Amanda Wendorff	USA	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (1 IM Pro race)	(n/a)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

• Jordan Rapp: 29% (2-1)
• Callum Millward: 15% (6-1)
• Matthew Russell: 14% (6-1)
• Paul Matthews: 12% (7-1)
• Andrew Starykowicz: 8% (12-1)
• Eric Limkemann: 6% (15-1)
• Victor Del Corral: 6% (17-1)
• Romain Guillaume: 4% (22-1)
• Paul Ambrose: 4% (27-1)

Female Race Participants

• Mary Beth Ellis: 48% (1-1)
• Carrie Lester: 39% (2-1)
• Amanda Stevens: 8% (11-1)
• Uli Bromme: 2% (47-1)
• Amber Ferreira: 2% (55-1)

KPR Situation

Here are tables with the top-ranked athletes in the KPR (after the races of August 6th and 7th) that still have a chance for a Kona slot:

Top KPR Male Race Participants

Bib	Name	Nation	KPR points	KPR races
3	Matthew Russell	USA	6650	3+2 (720/180)
8	Callum Millward	NZL	3580	2+3 (685/435)
4	Chris McDonald	AUS	3525	3+2 (540/20)
7	Paul Matthews	AUS	3225	1+3 (2455/145)
2	Romain Guillaume	FRA	2535	2+3 (565/20)
1	Jordan Rapp	USA	2510	3+1 (340/0)
6	Andrew Starykowicz	USA	2500	1+3 (960/400)
9	Victor Del Corral	ESP	2320	1+2
29	Jonathan Shearon	USA	2115	3+2 (230/100)
10	Chris Leiferman	USA	1615	0+3 (0/435)

Top KPR Female Race Participants

Bib	Name	Nation	KPR points	KPR races
35	Mary Beth Ellis	USA	4900	2+3 (1900/180)
37	Carrie Lester	AUS	4420	2+2
36	Amanda Stevens	USA	2925	2+3 (720/145)
39	Laurel Wassner	USA	2405	2+3 (340/75)
41	Kate Bevilaqua	AUS	1775	1+3 (540/400)

Mary Beth Ellis has already raced in Maastricht (and won there basically securing a Kona slot) and Carrie Lester received a July slot. Both are unlikely to race before Kona.

Previous Winners

Year	Male Winner	Time	Female Winner	Time
2010	Tim Van Berkel (AUS)	08:07:39	Rebekah Keat (AUS)	08:54:36
2011	Tim Van Berkel (AUS)	08:11:15	Rebekah Keat (AUS)	08:52:42
2012	Aaron Farlow (AUS)	08:20:09	Camilla Pedersen (DEN)	09:12:27
2013	Jens Petersen-Bach (DEN)	08:12:41	Eva Wutti (AUT)	08:37:36
2014	Henrik Hyldelund (DEN)	08:03:39	Daniela Ryf (SUI)	08:53:33
2015	Guilherme Manocchio (BRA)	08:14:56	Michelle Vesterby (DEN)	08:59:49

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Guilherme Manocchio	BRA	00:48:16	04:26:43	02:54:15	08:14:56
2	Henrik Hyldelund	DEN	00:48:13	04:27:07	03:02:31	08:21:51
3	Andreas Niedrig	GER	00:47:02	04:21:47	03:14:03	08:27:37

Female Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Michelle Vesterby	DEN	00:50:45	04:52:22	03:12:10	08:59:49
2	Sofie Goos	BEL	00:56:35	04:54:22	03:07:59	09:03:07
3	Sonja Tajsich	GER	00:58:17	04:52:28	03:13:23	09:08:43

Course Records

Leg	Gender	Record	Athlete	Date
Total	overall	08:03:39	Henrik Hyldelund	2014-08-24
Swim	overall	00:45:22	Stephen Bayliss	2011-08-01
Bike	overall	04:16:41	Henrik Hyldelund	2014-08-24
Run	overall	02:38:58	Mads Vittrup	2011-08-01
Total	female	08:37:36	Eva Wutti	2013-08-18
Swim	female	00:48:29	Ann Lønnberg	2011-08-01
Bike	female	04:39:58	Eva Wutti	2013-08-18
Run	female	03:00:51	Eva Wutti	2013-08-18

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Copenhagen is 21:20.

Race Adjustments for IM Copenhagen

Year	Adjustment	Swim Adj.	Bike Adj.	Run Adj.	# of Finishers	Rating	Swim Rating	Bike Rating	Run Rating
2010	30:24	01:26	10:34	09:47	24	30:24	01:26	10:34	09:47
2011	24:27	02:52	11:18	06:34	28	27:26	02:09	10:56	08:11
2012	17:56	02:05	10:31	04:21	19	24:16	02:08	10:48	06:54
2013	26:28	00:51	15:25	07:19	30	24:49	01:49	11:57	07:00
2014	14:36	01:32	07:41	02:49	27 of 35	22:46	01:45	11:06	06:10
2015	14:09	00:57	14:41	03:14	26 of 30	21:20	01:37	11:42	05:41

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Copenhagen is a P-2000 race. It is an MPRO only race and has a total prize purse of 50.000 US$.

Male Race Participants

Rank	Bib	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Exp. Swim	Exp. Bike	Exp. Run	Consistency	Overall
1	1	Andreas Raelert	GER	07:59:12	08:17:58	00:47:07	04:23:06	02:43:59	48% +0% -52% (19)	4
2	10	Patrik Nilsson	SWE	08:06:49	08:38:00	00:47:24	04:24:59	02:49:26	9% +52% -39% (6)	(49)
3	2	Cameron Brown	NZL	08:10:25	08:34:19	00:49:11	04:29:33	02:46:41	54% +2% -44% (30)	38
4	3	Jens Petersen-Bach	DEN	08:16:08	08:41:56	00:48:43	04:34:40	02:47:45	68% +0% -32% (15)	60
5	6	Will Clarke	GBR	08:16:24	08:50:42	00:48:52	04:35:08	02:47:25	22% +40% -38% (3)	(92)
6	4	Igor Amorelli	BRA	08:17:31	08:43:17	00:46:10	04:27:01	02:59:20	27% +28% -46% (11)	65
7	9	Per Bittner	GER	08:21:53	08:42:03	00:47:57	04:31:43	02:57:13	58% +15% -27% (18)	62
8	19	Horst Reichel	GER	08:22:00	09:00:30	00:47:18	04:32:42	02:57:00	7% +20% -73% (15)	(127)
9	40	Fabio Carvalho	BRA	08:22:42	09:21:50	00:46:06	04:40:18	02:51:19	1% +27% -71% (10)	195
10	13	Esben Hovgaard	DEN	08:22:47	08:55:54	00:51:10	04:31:18	02:55:18	35% +25% -40% (9)	106
11	8	Alberto Casadei	ITA	08:22:48	08:48:52	00:45:54	04:38:27	02:53:28	38% +16% -46% (7)	86
12	39	Anton Blokhin	UKR	08:24:57	08:57:29	00:47:05	04:35:27	02:57:25	56% +3% -42% (19)	115
13	41	Mike Aigroz	SUI	08:25:31	08:45:33	00:47:12	04:33:07	03:00:13	57% +3% -40% (22)	78
14	25	Matic Modic	SLO	08:31:12	09:00:19	00:52:30	04:38:32	02:55:10	36% +54% -10% (7)	126
15	26	Gudmund Snilstveit	NOR	08:32:13	09:04:54	00:54:58	04:30:02	03:02:13	36% +17% -47% (8)	145
16	5	Harry Wiltshire	GBR	08:32:47	08:52:45	00:46:02	04:39:11	03:02:34	36% +27% -36% (15)	95
17	29	Dejan Patrcevic	CRO	08:35:20	08:55:01	00:50:41	04:41:03	02:58:36	76% +6% -17% (13)	101
18	32	Mike Schifferle	SUI	08:36:44	09:02:06	00:57:51	04:36:25	02:57:28	87% +10% -3% (57)	130
19	27	David Naesvik	SWE	08:38:02	09:07:40	00:53:19	04:34:10	03:05:33	65% +0% -35% (14)	152
20	42	Mikolaj Luft	POL	08:45:00	09:17:35	00:48:44	04:42:06	03:09:10	n/a (1 IM Pro race)	(186)
21	15	Freddy Lampret	ZAF	08:45:09	09:42:13	00:50:39	04:38:42	03:10:47	1% +30% -69% (9)	249
22	7	Antony Costes	FRA	08:47:28	09:30:49	00:47:20	04:31:38	03:23:31	30% +0% -70% (3)	(226)
23	31	Andreas Borch	DEN	08:48:05	09:17:26	00:47:35	04:42:17	03:13:12	47% +13% -40% (6)	(186)
24	36	Kasper Ougaard	DEN	08:51:41	09:28:34	00:57:22	04:43:03	03:06:17	9% +36% -54% (6)	218
25	11	Michael Louys	BEL	08:57:37	09:34:49	01:00:23	04:43:53	03:08:21	59% +9% -32% (10)	232
26	34	Sam Clark	NZL	09:04:42	09:37:01	00:55:54	04:50:32	03:13:16	42% +0% -58% (2)	(238)
27	17	Peter Kern	GER	09:11:35	10:08:55	00:54:15	04:48:09	03:24:11	2% +0% -98% (8)	(279)
28	16	Emanuele Ciotti	ITA	09:11:39	09:49:11	00:50:31	04:55:23	03:20:45	21% +23% -55% (4)	(259)
29	33	Rene Jensen	DEN	09:12:37	09:46:55	00:53:07	04:56:26	03:18:04	n/a (1 IM Pro race)	(257)
30	18	Vincent Depuiset	FRA	09:21:30	09:57:40	01:05:44	04:57:40	03:13:07	73% +12% -15% (8)	269
31	24	Lukas Polan	CZE	09:23:59	10:09:44	01:00:48	04:58:51	03:19:20	21% +10% -69% (11)	280
32	28	Nis Lind	DEN	09:31:27	10:06:50	00:58:06	04:55:41	03:32:40	80% +0% -20% (5)	(277)
33	30	Gilian Oriet	SUI	09:31:39	10:07:52	00:55:50	04:54:24	03:36:25	19% +9% -72% (11)	278
34	23	Jan Hron	CZE	09:33:25	10:09:01	01:01:54	05:14:16	03:12:15	n/a (1 IM Pro race)	(280)
35	22	Remmert Wielinga	NED	09:49:19	10:52:28	01:10:07	04:52:56	03:41:16	7% +11% -82% (6)	(297)
36	38	Michal Jalovecky	CZE	10:19:40	10:47:31	01:01:24	05:42:48	03:30:27	78% +0% -22% (4)	295
37	20	Marek Nemcik	SVK	11:17:38	12:16:37	01:09:58	05:39:30	04:23:10	30% +23% -47% (36)	302
	12	Rasmus Fitzner	DEN	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)	(n/a)
	14	Markus Liebelt	GER	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)	(n/a)
	21	Michael Smith Larsen	DEN	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)	(n/a)
	35	Robert Brundish	GBR	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)	(n/a)
	37	Olivier Esser	BEL	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)	(n/a)
	43	Patrick Hansen	DEN	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)	(n/a)

Winning Odds

Andreas Raelert has been struggling with a stress fracture and has only recently started running again, but he needs an IM finish to qualify for Kona. Patrik Nilsson has had some great late season results, last year he won his home race at IM Sweden in record-setting time.

• Andreas Raelert: 45% (1-1)
• Patrik Nilsson: 25% (3-1)
• Cameron Brown: 16% (5-1)
• Igor Amorelli: 6% (15-1)
• Horst Reichel: 2% (43-1)

KPR Situation

Here is a table with top-ranked athletes in the KPR (after the races of August 6th and 7th, but before 70.3 Wiesbaden) that still have a chance for a Kona slot:

Bib	Name	Nation	KPR points	KPR races
1	Andreas Raelert	GER	7200	1+0
9	Per Bittner	GER	3620	2+3 (1280/75)
3	Jens Petersen-Bach	DEN	3610	3+1 (685/0)
5	Harry Wiltshire	GBR	3495	3+2 (720/135)
4	Igor Amorelli	BRA	3320	2+3 (235/240)
7	Antony Costes	FRA	3280	2+3 (85/750)
41	Mike Aigroz	SUI	3200	3+2 (120/140)
2	Cameron Brown	NZL	2865	1+2
40	Fabio Carvalho	BRA	2460	1+3 (1670/135)
6	Will Clarke	GBR	2310	1+1
39	Anton Blokhin	UKR	1735	1+3 (1600/15)
32	Mike Schifferle	SUI	1692	3+2 (405/7)

Per Bittner and Jens-Petersen Bach have already received July slots, at least Per is unlikely to race in Copenhagen. (Update: Jens has announced that he won’t be racing.) Andreas Raelert still needs an Ironman finish to be eligible for an August slot.

Previous Winners

Year	Male Winner	Time	Female Winner	Time
2012	Jan Raphael (GER)	08:04:01	Asa Lundstroem (SWE)	09:13:27
2013	Pedro Gomes (POR)	08:19:30	Jodie Swallow (GBR)	08:54:01
2014	Horst Reichel (GER)	08:13:01	Leanda Cave (GBR)	08:56:50
2015	Patrik Nilsson (SWE)	08:08:05	Astrid Stienen (GER)	09:12:27

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Patrik Nilsson	SWE	00:52:11	04:27:12	02:45:48	08:08:05
2	Dougal Allan	NZL	01:02:13	04:27:16	02:52:46	08:25:33
3	Karl-Johan Danielsson	SWE	00:52:08	04:26:55	03:16:05	08:38:07

Female Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Astrid Stienen	GER	01:01:38	04:55:07	03:12:15	09:12:27
2	Camilla Lindholm	SWE	01:08:48	04:59:30	03:06:14	09:18:05
3	Mette Pettersen Moe	NOR	00:56:02	05:07:30	03:21:26	09:28:16

Course Records

Leg	Gender	Record	Athlete	Date
Total	overall	08:04:01	Jan Raphael	2012-08-18
Swim	overall	00:48:15	Andi Boecherer	2012-08-18
Bike	overall	04:24:20	Karl-Johan Danielsson	2012-08-18
Run	overall	02:44:18	Viktor Zyemtsev	2014-08-16
Total	female	08:54:01	Jodie Swallow	2013-08-17
Swim	female	00:48:30	Jodie Swallow	2013-08-17
Bike	female	04:48:42	Helene Malmkvist	2012-08-18
Run	female	03:05:26	Leanda Cave	2014-08-16

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Sweden is 16:26.

Race Adjustments for IM Sweden

Year	Adjustment	Swim Adj.	Bike Adj.	Run Adj.	# of Finishers	Rating	Swim Rating	Bike Rating	Run Rating
2012	31:10	00:11	23:23	05:45	29	31:10	00:11	23:23	05:45
2013	13:46	-00:09	09:01	07:29	30	22:28	00:01	16:12	06:37
2014	14:54	-00:44	06:50	07:02	24 of 27	19:57	-00:14	13:05	06:45
2015	05:55	-03:11	02:29	04:02	19 of 21	16:26	-00:58	10:26	06:04

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Sweden is a P-2000 race. It is a WPRO only race and has a total prize purse of 50.000 US$.

Female Race Participants

Rank	Bib	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Exp. Swim	Exp. Bike	Exp. Run	Consistency	Overall
1	15	Kristin Moeller	GER	09:23:04	09:38:07	01:04:50	05:13:36	02:59:38	73% +11% -16% (19)	45
2	2	Natascha Badmann	SUI	09:23:31	09:36:16	01:02:42	04:57:36	03:18:13	51% +0% -49% (18)	41
3	1	Verena Walter	GER	09:31:03	09:57:27	01:00:53	05:05:11	03:19:59	40% +46% -14% (6)	83
4	13	Dimity-Lee Duke	AUS	09:31:25	09:45:33	01:01:10	05:09:13	03:16:02	80% +20% -0% (10)	60
5	14	Carolin Lehrieder	GER	09:31:32	09:57:37	00:55:39	05:13:43	03:17:10	30% +23% -46% (6)	84
6	3	Saleta Castro Nogueira	ESP	09:32:31	10:02:44	00:56:48	05:19:32	03:11:10	44% +40% -17% (11)	95
7	5	Lucie Reed	CZE	09:35:22	09:50:25	00:52:41	05:16:20	03:21:21	52% +0% -47% (24)	66
8	7	Rahel Bellinga	NED	10:04:52	10:31:32	01:06:01	05:08:17	03:45:34	46% +30% -25% (6)	155
9	12	Nicole Woysch	GER	10:05:18	10:54:33	00:59:49	05:18:58	03:41:31	22% +3% -75% (21)	(165)
	9	Julia Montgomery	SWE	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)	(n/a)
	10	Jessica Ahlund	SWE	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)	(n/a)

Winning Odds

Female Race Participants

Verena Walter, Saleta Castro and Dimity-Lee Duke have already secured their Kona slots and are unlikely to race.

• Natascha Badmann: 22% (4-1)
• Kristin Moeller: 20% (4-1)
• Verena Walter: 19% (4-1)
• Carolin Lehrieder: 15% (6-1)
• Saleta Castro Nogueira: 12% (7-1)
• Dimity-Lee Duke: 8% (11-1)
• Lucie Reed: 4% (25-1)

KPR Situation

Here are the top ranked participants in the KPR rankings (after the races on August 6th and 7th):

Bib	Name	Nation	KPR points	KPR races
3	Saleta Castro Nogueira	ESP	4645	3+2 (720/115)
1	Verena Walter	GER	4600	3+1 (405/0)
13	Dimity-Lee Duke	AUS	4215	3+2 (960/320)
2	Natascha Badmann	SUI	3325	3+2 (230/135)
15	Kristin Moeller	GER	3315	3+1 (170/0)

This is the first race on this course. All time predictions are based on a “neutral” course.

Between 2010 and 2012 there was an Ironman Regensburg, now the race is organized by a local team around professional athlete (and new mom) Sonja Tajsich under the Challenge banner. There are some similarities to the old course, but it has been redesigned to ensure local support for the event.

Prize Money

Challenge Regensburg has a total prize purse of 38.000 EUR.

Male Race Participants

Rank	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Exp. Swim	Exp. Bike	Exp. Run	Consistency	Overall
1	Chris McCormack	AUS	08:32:27	08:32:37	00:48:56	04:45:30	02:53:01	44% +0% -56% (18)	(29)
2	Fredrik Croneborg	SWE	08:41:11	08:40:14	00:51:21	04:48:00	02:56:50	81% +4% -15% (10)	55
3	Chris Fischer	DEN	08:43:11	08:46:15	00:54:18	04:44:24	02:59:29	59% +15% -26% (6)	79
4	Jan Raphael	GER	08:44:16	08:39:17	00:49:03	04:46:32	03:03:42	93% +0% -7% (23)	52
5	Matic Modic	SLO	08:52:37	09:00:19	00:54:28	04:51:57	03:01:12	36% +54% -10% (7)	123
6	Malte Bruns	GER	08:53:46	09:04:30	00:52:14	04:50:54	03:05:38	n/a (1 IM Pro race)	(143)
7	Diederik Scheltinga	NED	08:58:07	09:12:32	00:52:24	04:51:39	03:09:04	18% +51% -31% (3)	(169)
8	David Naesvik	SWE	08:59:20	09:07:40	00:55:13	04:46:54	03:12:13	65% +0% -35% (14)	150
9	Sebastian Bleisteiner	GER	09:01:37	09:03:12	00:52:09	04:54:25	03:10:04	78% +0% -22% (5)	132
10	Mike Schifferle	SUI	09:02:37	09:02:12	01:00:26	04:51:26	03:05:45	86% +10% -3% (56)	128
11	Tomas Mika	CZE	09:06:26	09:08:17	00:54:57	05:03:32	03:02:58	84% +16% -0% (5)	153
12	Petr Vabrousek	CZE	09:07:15	09:02:55	00:56:29	04:56:32	03:09:14	71% +1% -29% (94)	131
13	Christian Birngruber	AUT	09:08:15	09:19:07	00:52:28	04:51:41	03:19:07	42% +0% -58% (4)	(186)
14	Egoitz Zalakain	ESP	09:12:07	09:15:58	00:56:08	04:59:48	03:11:11	83% +14% -3% (9)	(181)
15	Stefan Eichheimer	GER	09:27:30	09:38:55	00:58:35	05:01:36	03:22:19	n/a (1 IM Pro race)	(243)
16	Oliver Gonzalez	MEX	09:38:37	09:40:57	00:51:17	05:26:10	03:16:09	100% +0% -0% (3)	245
	Zoltan Bako	HUN	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)	(n/a)
	Mattera Crescenzo	ITA	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)	(n/a)
	Udo Tschirschwitz	GER	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)	(n/a)
	Sebastian Veith	GER	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)	(n/a)

Female Race Participants

Rank	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Exp. Swim	Exp. Bike	Exp. Run	Consistency	Overall
1	Erika Csomor	HUN	09:40:45	09:34:59	00:59:40	05:16:36	03:19:29	83% +0% -16% (34)	39
2	Carolin Lehrieder	GER	09:49:29	09:57:37	00:54:47	05:25:43	03:23:59	30% +23% -46% (6)	84
3	Silvia Felt	GER	09:57:19	09:59:51	01:02:17	05:14:00	03:36:02	58% +0% -42% (6)	(90)
4	Kathrin Walther	GER	09:58:57	10:24:04	01:00:23	05:18:25	03:35:09	11% +32% -57% (8)	140
5	Tamsyn Hayes	NZL	10:15:56	10:24:20	01:01:10	05:24:00	03:45:46	41% +9% -50% (11)	141
6	Anne Jensen	DEN	10:17:10	10:23:23	01:07:11	05:22:26	03:42:33	57% +26% -17% (5)	137
7	Jana Candrova	CZE	10:32:17	10:35:58	01:07:32	05:37:41	03:42:04	75% +2% -23% (15)	160
	Julia Viellehner	GER	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)	(n/a)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

The main competition will be between two athletes that have won Challenge races before: Fredrik has won in Atlantic City and Taiwan, Chris has won Challenge Denmark in 2015 and 2016. Chris McCormack is on the start list, but his last finish over the IM distance is more than three years ago, it’s unlikely that he’ll be able to play a factor. Jan Raphael is a steady German athlete he’ll want to play a bigger factor than he was able in the star-studded field at Challenge Roth. Another interesting athlete is Malet Bruns – he was the fastest agegrouper in Kona last year and is racing as a Pro this season:

• Fredrik Croneborg: 41% (1-1)
• Chris Fischer: 38% (2-1)
• Chris McCormack: 9% (10-1)
• Jan Raphael: 8% (12-1)

Female Race Participants

Veteran Erika Csomor is the top-ranked female, but Carolin Lehrieder and Kathrin Walter would like to keep the title in Germany.

• Erika Csomor: 50% (1-1)
• Carolin Lehrieder: 29% (2-1)
• Kathrin Walther: 14% (6-1)

Just a quick analysis of the race results while I’m on vacation.

Male Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time	Diff to expected	Prize Money
1	Igor Amorelli	BRA	00:46:16	04:40:41	02:57:15	08:28:17	-23:53	US$ 5000
2	Mark Oude Bennink	NED	00:46:18	04:47:26	02:56:08	08:33:44	-26:57	US$ 2750
3	Bas Diederen	NED	00:46:22	04:40:33	03:04:27	08:35:57	04:47	US$ 1750
4	Erik-Simon Strijk	NED	00:51:19	04:56:15	02:59:58	08:53:15	00:01	US$ 1250
5	Diego Van Looy	BEL	01:04:05	04:56:01	02:48:36	08:55:05	02:45	US$ 1000
6	Mike Schifferle	SUI	00:56:56	04:55:54	03:04:23	09:04:39	-02:21	US$ 750
7	Michael Van Cleven	BEL	00:47:57	04:45:39	03:27:54	09:06:42	n/a
8	Lucky Berlage	BEL	00:57:00	05:02:59	03:09:10	09:15:17	05:14
9	Thomas Leboucher	FRA	00:51:24	05:12:05	03:17:09	09:25:39	n/a
10	Ludovic Le Guellec	FRA	00:58:38	05:58:59	03:41:46	10:47:01	35:04
	Michael Louys	BEL	00:58:20	05:03:14		DNF
	Wouter Monchy	BEL	00:46:24			DNF
	Rob Bobbaers	BEL	01:01:21			DNF
	Lukas Polan	CZE	01:02:14			DNF
	Darren Jenkins	AUS	01:04:47			DNF

Female Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time	Diff to expected	Prize Money
1	Mary Beth Ellis	USA	00:48:18	05:14:41	03:17:08	09:24:42	01:47	US$ 5000
2	Saleta Castro Nogueira	ESP	00:54:44	05:45:28	03:04:47	09:51:07	-13:15	US$ 2750
3	Tineke Van den Berg	NED	01:00:38	05:24:25	03:33:14	10:03:30	-08:05	US$ 1750
4	Sarissa De Vries	NED	00:50:48	05:41:53	03:28:00	10:05:50	07:56	US$ 1250
5	Danne Boterenbrood	NED	00:54:25	05:43:41	04:01:28	10:45:43	n/a	US$ 1000