Thorsten

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Previous Winners

Last year was the first time that IM Canada was held on its new course in Whistler.

Year	Male Winner	Time	Female Winner	Time
2013	Trevor Wurtele (CAN)	08:39:33	Uli Bromme (USA)	09:28:13

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Trevor Wurtele	CAN	00:54:27	04:46:51	02:54:31	08:39:33
2	Matthew Russell	USA	00:58:13	04:42:53	03:00:12	08:45:15
3	Paul Amey	GBR	00:51:07	04:55:51	03:02:19	08:53:27

Female Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Uli Bromme	USA	01:03:02	05:13:51	03:06:53	09:28:13
2	Lisa Roberts	USA	01:03:04	05:22:10	03:08:53	09:38:34
3	Gillian Moody	CAN	00:56:51	05:29:16	03:18:39	09:49:09

Course Records

Leg	Gender	Record	Athlete	Date
Total	overall	08:39:33	Trevor Wurtele	2013-08-25
Swim	overall	00:48:45	Bryan Rhodes	2013-08-25
Bike	overall	04:42:53	Matthew Russell	2013-08-25
Run	overall	02:52:44	Mike Schifferle	2013-08-25
Total	female	09:28:13	Uli Bromme	2013-08-25
Swim	female	00:55:13	Christine Hammond	2013-08-25
Bike	female	05:13:51	Uli Bromme	2013-08-25
Run	female	03:06:53	Uli Bromme	2013-08-25

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Canada is 03:14.

Race Adjustments for IM Canada

Year	Adjustment	Swim Adj.	Bike Adj.	Run Adj.	# of Athletes	Rating	Swim Rating	Bike Rating	Run Rating
2013	03:14	-00:01	-01:14	03:20	19	03:14	-00:01	-01:14	03:20

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Canada has 2000 KPR points for the winner. It has a total prize purse of 75k$.

Male Race Participants

Rank	Bib	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Swim Rating	Bike Rating	Run Rating	Rank
1	2	Marino Vanhoenacker	BEL	08:21:54	08:24:55	00:48:33	04:32:01	02:59:04	8
2	11	Jeff Symonds	CAN	08:40:22	08:43:30	00:51:04	04:41:47	02:55:07	(54)
3		Paul Ambrose	GBR	08:43:28	08:46:37	00:48:21	04:40:06	03:13:39	59
4	3	Matthew Russell	USA	08:49:32	08:52:43	01:00:20	04:46:21	02:58:38	90
5	1	Trevor Wurtele	CAN	08:54:08	08:57:21	00:54:02	04:47:54	03:09:44	111
6	5	Matt Lieto	USA	09:12:56	09:16:16	00:52:23	04:49:55	03:26:40	194
7	10	Anthony Toth	CAN	09:22:27	09:25:50	00:57:34	05:00:34	03:18:10	224
8	6	Stephen Kilshaw	CAN	09:25:41	09:29:06	00:55:14	05:02:15	03:26:18	243
	7	Andrew Drobeck	USA	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)

Female Race Participants

Rank	Bib	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Swim Rating	Bike Rating	Run Rating	Rank
1	21	Bree Wee	USA	09:43:13	09:46:44	00:54:01	05:19:07	03:26:30	57
2	25	Mackenzie Madison	USA	09:45:45	09:49:17	01:02:36	05:22:51	03:15:35	65
3	20	Jackie Arendt	USA	09:48:15	09:51:48	00:55:05	05:28:03	03:21:05	71
5	23	Karen Thibodeau	CAN	10:06:23	10:10:02	00:55:00	05:27:50	03:25:48	(106)
6	26	Christine Fletcher	CAN	10:13:46	10:17:28	00:59:15	05:27:32	03:43:16	125
7	27	Jenni Plane	USA	12:47:35	12:52:13	01:02:32	06:25:46	04:45:10	(162)
	24	Anna Cleaver	NZL	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

Trevor Wurtele is the defending champion, but it won’t be easy to repeat. My favorite is Marino Vanhoenacker who seems to be finding his way back to his great form from the 2012 season. In addition, Trevor faces Matthew Russell (who battled with him for most of he 2013 race) and Jeff Symonds who’d love to follow his win on the old course (now Challenge Penticton) with a win on the new Ironman Canada course.

• Marino Vanhoenacker: 55% (1-1)
• Trevor Wurtele: 20% (4-1)
• Jeff Symonds: 11% (8-1)
• Matthew Russell: 8% (12-1)

Female Race Participants

This race promises to be an interesting race for the final KPR July slots: Bree Wee and Jackie Arendt are not too far off the mark, and a win will probably give them enough points for a Kona slot. Bree Wee is my pre-race favorite – she will race from the front and give everything she has. Jackie Arendt is strong enough to battle it out with Bree. If Mackenzie finds her great 2011 form, she might offer a surprise.

• Bree Wee: 35% (2-1)
• Mackenzie Madison: 25% (3-1)
• Jackie Arendt: 24% (3-1)
• Karen Thibodeau: 4% (25-1)

KPR Situation

Men

There are three athletes that are in still in the race for KPR points: Matthew Russell (3.615 points) should already have enough points to qualify – he can further improve his total by finishing at least 8th. Marino Vanhoenacker is currently at 2.920 points, he needs about 600 points to get to my projected cutoff at 3.500 points. This means that he has to aim to finish 5th or higher. Paul Ambrose is a late entry tp Canada, he’s currently at 2.055 points and would able to qualify with a second place. Last year’S winner Trevor Wurtele with 1.965 points is also able to score enough points for a slot, but he has already indicated that he is not interested in racing Kona this year.

Women

My projected cutoff for the women is at 4.900 points which makes it quite hard for the participants to reach this number. Heather Jackson (4.260 points) would have had the best chances – but she is missing from the latest start list. Bree Wee (3.250 points) and Jackie Arendt (2.925) might be able to qualify with a win, but as they already have five results (and their worst result would get bumped from their total score) qualifying will be very close even with a win.

You can submit your own top picks on IM Predictions for a chance to win some nice prizes!
Update (July 22nd): There have been a few changes to the start list. Most notably, Natascha Badmann and Kristin Möller have been added to the women’s field – also changing the situation for the July KPR cutoff. (Thanks to Angela Naeth for letting me know that my data was outdated!)

Update (July 25th): Based on information I received from the Pro meeting, there is another interesting late addition: Daniela Ryf will be racing IM Switzerland as a “long training day”. She’s now being coached by Brett Sutton – you never know what he’ll be able to achieve with his athletes.

Previous Winners

Year	Male Winner	Time	Female Winner	Time
2005	Christoph Mauch (SUI)	08:21:48	Karin Thuerig (SUI)	09:10:51
2006	Mathias Hecht (SUI)	08:26:01	Rebecca Preston (AUS)	09:24:18
2007	Ronnie Schildknecht (SUI)	08:24:58	Rebecca Preston (AUS)	09:20:40
2008	Ronnie Schildknecht (SUI)	08:16:05	Sibylle Matter (SUI)	09:30:12
2009	Ronnie Schildknecht (SUI)	08:20:00	Sibylle Matter (SUI)	09:14:35
2010	Ronnie Schildknecht (SUI)	08:12:40	Karin Thuerig (SUI)	09:00:04
2011	Ronnie Schildknecht (SUI)	08:19:51	Karin Thuerig (SUI)	09:03:26
2012	Ronnie Schildknecht (SUI)	08:17:13	Erika Csomor (HUN)	09:20:16
2013	Ronnie Schildknecht (SUI)	08:33:39	Anja Beranek (GER)	09:21:31

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Ronnie Schildknecht	SUI	00:55:59	04:32:16	03:01:59	08:33:39
2	Ivan Rana	ESP	00:52:37	04:45:57	02:59:09	08:40:55
3	Per Bittner	GER	00:55:47	04:49:07	02:57:54	08:46:23

Female Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Anja Beranek	GER	00:58:21	04:56:23	03:22:55	09:21:31
2	Celine Schaerer	SUI	00:52:38	05:06:57	03:24:09	09:28:28
3	Erika Csomor	HUN	01:01:21	05:10:12	03:17:24	09:33:17

Course Records

Leg	Gender	Record	Athlete	Date
Total	overall	08:12:40	Ronnie Schildknecht	2010-07-25
Swim	overall	00:45:29	Benjamin Sanson	2005-07-15
Bike	overall	04:27:42	Ronnie Schildknecht	2012-07-15
Run	overall	02:41:58	Clemente Alonso-McKernan	2011-07-10
Total	female	09:00:04	Karin Thuerig	2010-07-25
Swim	female	00:51:35	Alison Hayden	2005-07-15
Bike	female	04:43:53	Karin Thuerig	2010-07-25
Run	female	03:04:24	Karin Thuerig	2010-07-25

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Switzerland is 07:57.

Race Adjustments for IM Switzerland

Year	Adjustment	Swim Adj.	Bike Adj.	Run Adj.	# of Athletes	Rating	Swim Rating	Bike Rating	Run Rating
2005	-03:50	00:25	02:46	-07:19	6	-03:50	00:25	02:46	-07:19
2006	15:12	01:09	04:34	00:02	21	05:41	00:47	03:40	-03:39
2007	16:41	-00:58	10:09	01:36	25	09:21	00:12	05:50	-01:54
2008	08:49	-00:10	01:43	01:50	22	09:13	00:06	04:48	-00:58
2009	12:50	-00:57	05:50	05:19	30	09:56	-00:06	05:00	00:18
2010	07:14	-01:25	05:36	01:59	27	09:29	-00:19	05:06	00:34
2011	11:01	-02:31	00:56	07:24	17	09:42	-00:38	04:31	01:33
2012	08:30	-03:10	04:02	02:18	24	09:33	-00:57	04:27	01:39
2013	-04:50	-05:13	02:43	-05:08	35	07:57	-01:26	04:15	00:53

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Switzerland has 2000 KPR points for the winner. It has a total prize purse of 25k$.

Male Race Participants

Rank	Bib	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Swim Rating	Bike Rating	Run Rating	Rank
1	1	Pete Jacobs	AUS	08:31:36	08:39:15	00:47:22	04:43:08	03:03:47	42
2	10	David Plese	SLO	08:34:20	08:42:02	00:53:26	04:43:39	02:57:46	49
3	11	Filip Ospaly	CZE	08:35:05	08:42:47	00:46:44	04:47:54	02:49:15	(53)
4	8	Michael Goehner	GER	08:42:09	08:49:58	00:53:39	04:45:08	03:03:43	71
5	7	Stephen Bayliss	GBR	08:42:22	08:50:11	00:47:51	04:50:00	03:05:53	72
6	2	Jan Van Berkel	SUI	08:43:16	08:51:06	00:48:11	04:40:56	03:16:07	76
7	3	Georg Potrebitsch	GER	08:44:40	08:52:31	00:48:50	04:51:16	03:11:41	87
8	20	Darby Thomas	FIN	08:44:42	08:52:33	00:57:15	04:45:41	03:00:03	88
9	12	Joe Skipper	GBR	08:49:45	08:57:40	00:53:50	04:47:19	03:04:48	113
(9)	34	Alejandro Santamaria	ESP	08:49:57	08:57:53	00:54:48	04:54:33	03:03:23	114
10	4	Mathias Hecht	SUI	08:50:11	08:58:07	00:49:06	04:51:09	03:12:18	(116)
11	9	Sergio Marques	POR	08:55:16	09:03:16	00:55:31	05:04:34	03:00:15	138
12	6	Mike Schifferle	SUI	08:56:03	09:04:04	01:00:35	04:50:53	03:05:48	143
13	5	Boris Stein	GER	08:56:15	09:04:16	00:56:44	04:38:39	03:07:16	(145)
14	29	Daniel Niederreiter	AUT	08:58:02	09:06:05	00:52:10	04:54:51	03:11:34	(155)
(15)	32	Vincent Riess	AUT	08:58:47	09:06:50	00:53:45	05:56:55	02:58:31	159
(16)	33	Bertrand Billard	FRA	09:00:26	09:08:31	00:48:02	04:41:11	03:17:38	(163)
15	15	Reto Stutz	SUI	09:03:35	09:11:43	00:56:57	04:44:14	03:17:27	(177)
16	21	Gabriele Mazzetta	ITA	09:07:08	09:15:19	00:51:55	04:59:10	03:12:21	(190)
17	19	Tomas Mika	CZE	09:24:16	09:32:42	00:52:27	05:16:09	03:09:53	(257)
18	28	Stefan Eichheimer	GER	09:26:28	09:34:56	00:57:35	04:56:32	03:18:44	(264)
19	30	Daniel Mueller	GER	09:30:04	09:38:36	00:51:15	05:05:44	03:37:50	282
20	18	David Jilek	CZE	09:42:33	09:51:16	00:58:18	04:57:43	03:33:24	(330)
21	24	Ludovic Le Guellec	FRA	09:54:45	10:03:39	01:00:05	05:22:20	03:32:09	371
22	17	Remmert Wielinga	NED	10:13:04	10:22:14	01:17:55	04:52:30	03:49:43	(417)
23	22	Marek Nemcik	SVK	11:52:18	12:02:57	01:11:45	05:56:37	04:43:06	452
24	27	Josef Svoboda	CZE	11:58:05	12:08:49	01:12:22	06:08:08	04:30:39	453
	16	Dominic Rohan-Gates	GBR	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)
	23	Eduardo Crooke Gonzalez	ESP	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)
	25	Roland Schlappal	AUT	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)
	26	Mauro Baertsch	SUI	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)

Female Race Participants

Rank	Bib	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Swim Rating	Bike Rating	Run Rating	Rank
(1)	58	Natascha Badmann	SUI	09:19:36	09:27:58	01:01:05	05:02:13	03:16:35	16
1	54	Sonja Tajsich	GER	09:22:54	09:31:19	01:01:43	05:12:55	03:09:21	22
2	52	Erika Csomor	HUN	09:23:05	09:31:30	00:57:55	05:13:47	03:13:21	23
3	51	Celine Schaerer	SUI	09:26:14	09:34:42	00:47:38	05:09:46	03:18:38	(32)
(5)	59	Kristin Moeller	GER	09:27:06	09:35:35	01:03:31	05:19:35	03:06:11	32
4		Astrid Ganzow	GER	09:46:14	09:55:00	00:58:32	05:09:46	03:31:50	(79)
5	66	Michaela Rudolf	AUT	09:47:31	09:56:18	01:05:09	05:12:47	03:30:04	83
6	53	Regula Rohrbach	SUI	09:47:31	09:56:18	00:57:33	05:10:23	03:37:33	83
7	60	Nicole Klingler	GER	10:03:52	10:12:54	01:06:10	05:30:59	03:33:57	(113)
8	62	Saleta Castro	ESP	10:04:20	10:13:22	00:56:19	05:28:10	03:40:00	113
9	65	Katharina Grohmann	GER	10:04:34	10:13:36	01:14:22	05:26:24	03:21:40	114
10	55	Evi Neuscheler	GER	10:13:39	10:22:50	01:07:18	05:17:49	03:32:34	(133)
11	68	Monique Grossrieder	SUI	10:14:50	10:24:02	01:05:22	05:37:27	03:29:21	133
12	64	Nicole Woysch	GER	10:16:04	10:25:17	00:58:35	05:30:28	03:47:39	136
13	61	Vanessa Pereira	POR	10:30:21	10:39:47	01:02:49	05:40:03	03:37:34	(149)
14	63	Megumi Shigaki	JPN	10:43:59	10:53:37	00:59:12	05:41:39	04:04:48	154
	67	Sabrina Mohn	SUI	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)
	56	Carolin Lehrieder	GER	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)
		Daniela Ryf	SUI	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

The biggest name on the start list is Pete Jacobs – just one week after Roth he will try to validate his automatic Kona slot by just finishing. Even though he is the statistical odds-on favorite, I don’t see him to contend for the win. Mathias Hecht and Jan Van Berkel will try to continue the Swiss winning streak, but they face strong competition from Eastern European David Plese and Filip Ospaly, British Stephen Bayliss and German athletes Georg Potrebitsch and Michael Goehner.

• Pete Jacobs: 29% (2-1)
• David Plese: 14% (6-1)
• Mathias Hecht: 11% (8-1)
• Stephen Bayliss: 10% (9-1)
• Filip Ospaly: 9% (10-1)
• Georg Potrebitsch: 9% (10-1)
• Michael Goehner: 6% (14-1)
• Sergio Marques: 6% (16-1)
• Jan Van Berkel: 5% (21-1)

Female Race Participants

On the women’s side, Erika Csomor has to be considered the favorite – she’s doing her „normal“ Austria – Switzerland double. Sonja Tajsich is still on the start list, but after her disappointing race in Frankfurt she’s probably a non-start. Similar to the men, Celine Schaerer and Regula Rohrbach will try to win another edition for their home country.

• Erika Csomor: 38% (2-1)
• Sonja Tajsich: 38% (2-1)
• Celine Schaerer: 13% (6-1)
• Regula Rohrbach: 7% (13-1)

Assessing the impact of Natascha and Kristin is tricky. As for Sonja, they have raced in Frankfurt and are probably not yet fully recovered. However, both just need a few extra KPR points, so they seem to be willing to risk a start so soon after their last IM. They might have a great day, but will probably not contend for the win. 

KPR Situation

Men

As noted above, Pete Jacobs just has has to finish to validate his automatic Kona slot.

After him, there are two athletes in a good position to qualify in July: David Plese (3.325) and Filip Ospaly (3.170) just need a few hundred additional points, so a 7th place should be enough for either of them. Behind them, Stephen Bayliss (1.690), Michael Geoehner (1.590) and Boris Stein (1.500) would need a win to get to the cutoff number – not very likely. Other athletes – such as Jan Van Berkel (1.215) – are already too far back, but they could use the points to increase their chances for an August slot.

Women

On the women’s side there is no athlete that can get to my projected cutoff of 4.900 points. The best placed athlete is Erika Csomor at 2.460 points.

The addition of Natascha and Kristin make Switzerland a lot more interesting from a KPR perspective. Kristin (4.790) just needs few hundred extra points to be really sure of a slot, so 10th is probably enough for her. Natascha has 3.755 points and needs at least 1.000 points to get a slot.  A 4th place (960 points) might be enough, but a 3rd (1.280 points) would be better.

Daniela Ryf (late entry) is an athlete that I had so far in the “not interested” category. She has already scored 2.810 points just from 70.3s, so winning the race might get her very close to the qualifying threshold. I have no idea whether this is a reasonable goal for her, but she is trained by Brett Sutton and he wouldn’t let her race if she wasn’t ready for it.

Update (July 11th): I somehow missed Erik-Simon Strijk in the start list – thanks to Erik-Simon for letting me know. I’ve added him to the table.

With Roth, the biggest of the non-WTC Ironman-distance races is coming up – and what a field they managed to put together!

Previous Winners

Year	Male Winner	Time	Female Winner	Time
2005	Chris McCormack (AUS)	07:58:45	Belinda Granger (AUS)	09:14:06
2006	Chris McCormack (AUS)	08:00:52	Joanna Lawn (NZL)	09:01:17
2007	Chris McCormack (AUS)	07:54:23	Yvonne Van Vlerken (NED)	08:51:55
2008	Patrick Vernay (NCL)	08:09:34	Yvonne Van Vlerken (NED)	08:45:48
2009	Michael Goehner (GER)	07:55:53	Chrissie Wellington (GBR)	08:31:59
2010	Rasmus Henning (DEN)	07:52:36	Chrissie Wellington (GBR)	08:19:13
2011	Andreas Raelert (GER)	07:41:33	Chrissie Wellington (GBR)	08:18:13
2012	James Cunnama (ZAF)	07:59:59	Rachel Joyce (GBR)	08:45:04
2013	Dirk Bockel (LUX)	07:52:01	Caroline Steffen (SUI)	08:40:35

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Dirk Bockel	LUX	00:46:05	04:15:05	02:48:41	07:52:01
2	James Cunnama	ZAF	00:48:38	04:23:46	02:49:16	08:04:13
3	Timo Bracht	GER	00:48:31	04:32:09	02:44:55	08:08:18

Female Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Caroline Steffen	SUI	00:51:45	04:42:21	03:03:07	08:40:35
2	Yvonne Van Vlerken	NED	00:54:40	04:39:35	03:09:33	08:46:22
3	Julia Gajer	GER	00:51:48	04:56:35	02:59:55	08:51:04

Course Records

Leg	Gender	Record	Athlete	Date
Total	overall	07:41:33	Andreas Raelert	2011-07-10
Swim	overall	00:45:57	Pete Jacobs	2009-07-12
Bike	overall	04:11:43	Andreas Raelert	2011-07-10
Run	overall	02:39:43	Rasmus Henning	2010-07-18
Total	female	08:18:13	Chrissie Wellington	2011-07-10
Swim	female	00:47:27	Ute Mueckel	2005-06-24
Bike	female	04:36:33	Chrissie Wellington	2010-07-18
Run	female	02:44:35	Chrissie Wellington	2011-07-10

Course Rating

The Course Rating for Challenge Roth is 19:45. Traditionally, it is one of the fastest courses on the calendar. By all descriptions, the course itself is not „easy“ – there are some steep hills on the bike, but they aren’t too long and followed by long descents that allow power-riders to post fast times. The run is flat and on a crushed surface that is relatively easy on the legs.

Race Adjustments for Challenge Roth

Year	Adjustment	Swim Adj.	Bike Adj.	Run Adj.	# of Athletes	Rating	Swim Rating	Bike Rating	Run Rating
2005	18:02	01:08	13:32	05:29	9	18:02	01:08	13:32	05:29
2006	12:37	01:17	06:34	03:26	37	15:19	01:13	10:03	04:28
2007	22:56	00:52	10:30	06:52	28	17:52	01:06	10:12	05:16
2008	20:40	01:58	06:46	07:55	38	18:34	01:19	09:20	05:56
2009	26:03	02:04	14:42	05:04	41	20:04	01:28	10:25	05:45
2010	19:15	00:27	07:23	05:16	42	19:56	01:18	09:55	05:40
2011	20:55	01:49	15:23	05:18	34	20:04	01:22	10:41	05:37
2012	16:05	02:22	05:41	04:54	50	19:34	01:30	10:04	05:32
2013	21:16	00:26	13:25	04:46	37	19:45	01:23	10:26	05:27

Male Race Participants

Rank	Bib	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Swim Rating	Bike Rating	Run Rating	Rank
1	1	Dirk Bockel	LUX	08:02:10	08:20:29	00:46:45	04:33:21	02:56:19	2
2	9	Nils Frommhold	GER	08:03:07	08:21:28	00:46:45	04:30:06	02:53:09	(3)
3	7	Eneko Llanos	ESP	08:03:28	08:21:50	00:47:41	04:36:51	02:51:59	4
4	3	Timo Bracht	GER	08:04:11	08:22:34	00:49:30	04:36:46	02:51:48	5
5	15	Joe Gambles	AUS	08:18:14	08:37:09	00:48:08	04:39:15	03:03:24	31
6	2	James Cunnama	ZAF	08:20:06	08:39:06	00:49:55	04:44:55	03:00:55	40
7	6	Pete Jacobs	AUS	08:20:15	08:39:15	00:47:22	04:43:08	03:03:47	41
8	5	Luke McKenzie	AUS	08:20:56	08:39:57	00:47:38	04:38:08	03:09:23	42
9	4	Markus Fachbach	GER	08:23:32	08:42:39	00:49:48	04:43:09	03:04:05	(50)
10	18	Swen Sundberg	GER	08:31:11	08:50:36	00:52:16	04:45:13	03:08:33	74
11	17	Per Bittner	GER	08:31:41	08:51:07	00:49:57	04:52:46	03:02:02	77
12	11	Andrej Vistica	CRO	08:34:31	08:54:03	00:54:22	04:46:27	03:04:59	96
13	13	Fabian Conrad	GER	08:35:48	08:55:23	00:52:30	04:48:58	03:05:18	104
(14)	10	Erik-Simon Strijk	NED	08:36:09	08:55:45	00:53:00	04:48:47	03:08:07	107
14	23	Joel Jameson	GBR	08:36:52	08:56:30	00:56:47	04:53:45	02:57:56	109
15	20	Ritchie Nicholls	GBR	08:45:58	09:05:56	00:48:57	05:01:30	02:59:24	(155)
16	8	Roeland Smits	NED	08:47:39	09:07:41	00:53:03	04:51:42	03:10:06	(161)
17	22	Joseph Spindler	GER	08:48:47	09:08:52	01:03:43	04:53:25	03:03:34	165
18	28	Michael Wetzel	GER	08:52:35	09:12:49	00:55:50	04:58:05	03:11:57	186
19	26	Andreas Niedrig	GER	08:54:39	09:14:57	00:47:13	04:55:44	03:28:39	191
20	19	Dirk Wijnalda	NED	08:54:49	09:15:08	00:57:23	05:04:00	03:06:55	(192)
21	24	Thomas Naasz	NED	09:07:41	09:28:29	00:54:28	04:58:08	03:17:51	(239)
22	44	Harri Sokk	EST	09:08:59	09:29:50	01:01:04	04:48:32	03:18:55	(247)
23	30	Manuel Wyss	SUI	09:09:02	09:29:53	00:53:03	05:16:43	03:14:30	247
24	31	Nis Lind	DEN	09:26:22	09:47:53	01:00:31	05:05:03	03:24:42	(322)
25	32	Arland Macasieb	PHI	09:56:56	10:19:36	01:03:19	05:27:23	03:44:30	416
	12	Sylvain Sudrie	FRA	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)
	21	Sebastian Bleisteiner	GER	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)
	42	Bart Candel	NED	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)
	43	Michael Rünz	GER	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)

Female Race Participants

Rank	Bib	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Swim Rating	Bike Rating	Run Rating	Rank
1	54	Mirinda Carfrae	AUS	08:50:34	09:10:43	00:54:37	05:16:13	02:59:07	1
2	60	Rachel Joyce	GBR	08:52:21	09:12:34	00:51:01	05:06:09	03:11:41	2
3	51	Caroline Steffen	SUI	08:52:40	09:12:54	00:51:48	05:00:17	03:14:29	3
4	52	Yvonne Van Vlerken	NED	08:53:59	09:14:16	00:57:41	05:01:31	03:08:42	4
5	53	Julia Gajer	GER	09:01:01	09:21:34	00:52:50	05:15:24	03:09:17	7
6	58	Rebekah Keat	AUS	09:05:22	09:26:05	00:52:54	05:12:12	03:15:39	12
7	55	Anja Beranek	GER	09:08:49	09:29:40	00:52:51	05:08:06	03:22:48	20
8	59	Michelle Vesterby	DEN	09:12:39	09:33:38	00:52:35	05:12:25	03:23:29	28
9	57	Daniela Saemmler	GER	09:13:16	09:34:17	00:54:05	05:11:56	03:19:48	32
10	61	Diana Riesler	GER	09:19:13	09:40:27	00:59:17	05:09:14	03:25:03	42
11	62	Heleen Bij De Vaate	NED	09:32:35	09:54:20	01:05:35	05:16:36	03:26:08	76
12	64	Simone Maier	GER	09:33:04	09:54:50	01:04:19	05:22:08	03:19:21	78
13	63	Joyce Wolfe	IRL	09:38:44	10:00:43	01:01:21	05:32:40	03:22:52	94
14	56	Yvette Grice	GBR	09:41:39	10:03:44	00:55:41	05:36:07	03:24:04	96
15	65	Tracy Douglas	AUS	09:50:29	10:12:54	01:06:57	05:22:37	03:23:46	(115)
16	66	Ana Casares	ESP	09:50:56	10:13:22	01:08:56	05:26:09	03:32:18	(115)
17	68	Ann Ciaverella	USA	10:21:14	10:44:50	01:04:17	05:45:52	03:48:49	(152)
	69	Sirlet Viilas	EST	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)
	67	Lina-kristin Schink	GER	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

Dirk Bockel is back to defend his title and has to be considered the pre-race favorite. He is clearly able to focus on key races and deliver good performances. But he faces strong competition from a number of established athletes: Pete Jacobs hasn’t had a great performance since winning Kona 2012, Eneko Llanos who had a great 2013 season and is focusing on Roth and Kona this year, or Timo Bracht who decided to build his 2014 season around Roth. But there are also up-and-coming athletes that would love to build their career by winning this established race: Nils Frommhold who has already won two Ironman races in three starts, James Cunnama who narrowly missed the Kon podium, or Joe Gambles who is just getting started in Ironman racing.

• Dirk Bockel: 41% (1-1)
• Nils Frommhold: 17% (5-1)
• Eneko Llanos: 12% (7-1)
• Pete Jacobs: 12% (8-1)
• James Cunnama: 9% (10-1)
• Timo Bracht: 5% (18-1)
• Luke McKenzie: 3% (38-1)

Female Race Participants

Calling the men’s field „strong“ I have problems coming up with a word to describe the women’s field. Other than Kona, we have not seen Mirinda Carefrae, Racel Joyce, Caroline Steffen and Yvonne Van Vlerken in one race. Add in athletes such as steadily improving Michelle Vesterby (8th in Kona 2013) and Julia Gajer (three consecutive top-3s in Roth with sub-9h finishes) and it gets impossible to predict the race. Joycee is my statistical front runner, mainly because she very rarely has an off-day in a big race.

• Rachel Joyce: 36% (2-1)
• Mirinda Carfrae: 27% (3-1)
• Caroline Steffen: 21% (4-1)
• Yvonne Van Vlerken: 12% (8-1)
• Julia Gajer: 2% (65-1)

Photo Credits: Challenge Roth