Race

Previous Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Dylan McNeice	NZL	00:47:56	04:58:14	02:59:59	08:51:18
2	Jamie Whyte	NZL	00:55:05	04:52:42	03:03:45	08:55:43
3	Chris McCormack	AUS	00:55:07	04:58:44	02:59:52	08:58:05

Female Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Gina Crawford	NZL	00:59:14	05:08:30	03:11:07	09:24:31
2	Candice Hammond	NZL	01:06:52	05:23:07	03:09:43	09:44:22
3	Joanna Lawn	NZL	00:59:46	05:24:20	03:15:08	09:44:30

Course Records

Leg	Gender	Record	Athlete	Date
Total	overall	08:34:41	Richard Ussher	2010-01-16
Swim	overall	00:47:44	Kieran Doe	2012-01-21
Bike	overall	04:42:26	Richard Ussher	2010-01-16
Run	overall	02:48:04	Marc Pschebizin	2008-01-19
Total	female	09:24:31	Gina Crawford	2013-01-19
Swim	female	00:50:01	Gina Ferguson	2008-01-19
Bike	female	05:08:30	Gina Crawford	2013-01-19
Run	female	03:08:59	Rebekah Keat	2010-01-16

Course Rating

The Course Rating for Challenge Wanaka is – 03:21.

Race Adjustments for Challenge Wanaka

Year	Adjustment	Swim Adj.	Bike Adj.	Run Adj.	# of Athletes	Rating	Swim Rating	Bike Rating	Run Rating
2007	03:50	00:36	-07:25	05:03	6	03:50	00:36	-07:25	05:03
2008	-00:26	01:14	-10:09	00:51	10	01:42	00:55	-08:47	02:57
2009	03:58	-03:36	-01:43	03:34	11	02:27	-00:35	-06:26	03:09
2010	00:42	-01:48	-01:13	03:14	13	02:01	-00:53	-05:07	03:10
2011	-23:44	-02:45	-24:22	-03:28	13	-03:08	-01:16	-08:58	01:51
2012	-08:36	-01:12	-07:51	-03:00	15	-04:03	-01:15	-08:47	01:02
2013	00:52	-05:41	-08:00	02:39	13	-03:21	-01:53	-08:40	01:16

Male Race Participants

Rank	Bib	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Swim Rating	Bike Rating	Run Rating	Rank
1	3	Richard Ussher	NZL	08:43:05	08:39:52	00:54:34	04:42:05	02:57:02	17
2	12	Courtney Ogden	AUS	08:52:07	08:48:50	00:50:23	04:48:19	02:59:05	45
3	5	Matty White	AUS	09:05:07	09:01:46	00:51:22	04:47:40	03:10:58	93
4	1	Dylan McNeice	NZL	09:07:23	09:04:01	00:44:47	04:51:55	03:11:18	102
5	2	Keegan Williams	NZL	09:09:36	09:06:13	00:52:01	04:50:05	03:08:53	114
6	6	Carl Read	NZL	09:11:12	09:07:48	00:53:36	04:57:45	03:01:32	122
7	17	Bryan Rhodes	NZL	09:22:06	09:18:38	00:47:53	04:56:31	03:22:31	163
8	7	Simon Cochrane	NZL	09:23:57	09:20:29	00:53:03	05:02:57	03:07:58	169
9	4	Scott Defilippis	USA	09:24:32	09:21:03	00:56:37	05:01:57	03:04:33	174
10	8	Paul Hawkins	GBR	09:34:11	09:30:39	00:58:33	05:28:51	03:20:28	196
11	15	Timothy Beardall	AUS	10:13:12	10:09:26	01:00:43	04:55:33	03:58:53	329
	16	Dougal Allan	NZL	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a
	14	Matt Burgess	NZL	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a
	13	Ben Logan	NZL	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a
	10	Jaroslav Kovacic	SLO	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a

Female Race Participants

Rank	Bib	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Swim Rating	Bike Rating	Run Rating	Rank
1	50	Gina Crawford	NZL	09:38:27	09:34:53	00:51:51	05:14:07	03:12:44	11
2	51	Candice Hammond	NZL	09:54:05	09:50:26	01:00:45	05:15:56	03:17:00	37
3	53	Carrie Lester	AUS	09:57:33	09:53:52	00:56:00	05:16:56	03:25:04	47
4	52	Simone Maier	GER	10:12:11	10:08:25	01:04:17	05:22:55	03:20:52	78
5	54	Tamsyn Hayes	NZL	10:26:36	10:22:45	00:58:39	05:20:37	03:43:51	100
	55	Larisa Marsh	NZL	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

Last year’s winner Dylan McNeice is back to defend his title, but he faces strong competition in Richard Ussher (taking another stab at Ironman racing), Courtney Ogden, Matty White and Keegan Williams:

• Richard Ussher: 37% (2-1)
• Courtney Ogden: 28% (3-1)
• Dylan McNeice: 13% (7-1)
• Matty White: 10% (9-1)
• Keegan Williams: 5% (18-1)
• Scott Defilippis: 4% (25-1)

Female Race Participants

Gina Crawford is also back, her chances to defend her title are much better:

• Gina Crawford: 67% (1-1)
• Candice Hammond: 15% (6-1)
• Carrie Lester: 14% (6-1)
• Simone Maier: 3% (34-1)

Race Conditions

The main influence on the Cozumel times was the swim: The course was changed to be safer after high waves in the days before the race, however that also meant that the course was shortened to 3.1k (1.9 miles). Of course, this resulted in pretty quick times (adjustment of 13:45). But even though the swim was shorter, the bike and run times were pretty normal. (My interpretation is that the swim must still have been pretty taxing.) This is quite different from what I’ve seen in Melbourne swim (where the swim was significantly shortened to 1.5k), and at first I thought that I’d include the Cozumel times in my ratings. But a closer analysis showed some weird effects: For example, Rachel’s winning time would have been a better performance than her 2nd place in Kona. So I’ve decided to list the Cozumel results, but not include them in my ratings.

Male Race Results

Tyler Butterfield and Eneko Llanos had good races after Kona, pretty much making sure that they re-qualify for Kona:

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time	Diff to expected
1	Michael Weiss	AUT	00:36:54	04:22:20	02:51:34	07:55:23	-22:07
2	Tyler Butterfield	BMU	00:34:12	04:35:14	02:49:48	08:02:42	-15:37
3	Eneko Llanos	ESP	00:34:19	04:34:40	02:52:38	08:05:21	-02:43
4	Marek Jaskolka	POL	00:34:14	04:46:16	02:49:52	08:13:29	-20:50
5	Nils Frommhold	GER	00:32:53	05:11:36	03:07:38	08:20:16	22:12
6	Justin Daerr	USA				08:27:11	-06:34
7	Peru Alfaro	ESP		05:15:27	03:12:22	08:29:04	n/a
8	Fabio Carvalho	BRA	00:34:11	04:59:53	02:53:11	08:31:12	-34:16
9	Anton Blokhin	UKR	00:34:15	04:40:21	03:15:50	08:34:06	03:54
10	Todd Skipworth	AUS	00:32:49	05:13:29	03:21:57	08:36:58	-02:22
11	Bruno Clerbout	BEL	00:36:54	04:56:54	03:03:35	08:40:58	-02:14
12	AJ Baucco	USA	00:36:48	04:57:03	03:05:48	08:43:06	-02:06
13	Thiago Vinhal	BRA	00:34:22	04:58:47	03:05:55	08:43:51	-02:32
14	Olivier Cardoen	BEL	00:37:36	04:45:47	03:24:24	08:51:36	-13:03
15	Andres Castillo	COL	00:34:03	04:59:38	03:21:27	08:58:45	08:16
16	Allan Villanueva	MEX		05:05:48	03:10:21	08:59:22	-05:32
17	Aubrey Aldy	USA		05:11:23	03:19:55	09:18:53	-22:33
18	Ezequiel Morales	ARG	00:37:53	05:01:59	03:32:12	09:20:06	39:28
19	Sergio Quezada	MEX	00:34:22	04:59:04	03:44:16	09:22:52	-29:23
20	Jozef Vrabel	SVK	00:38:01	05:17:27	03:39:09	09:39:29	12:21
21	Reinaldo Oliveira	BRA	00:40:36	05:14:21	03:38:46	09:40:23	-27:05
22	Ivan Tejero Vazquez	ESP	00:34:17	04:53:52	04:14:36	09:47:28	11:05
23	Peter Kotland	USA	00:38:07	05:06:32	04:09:18	09:58:46	14:53

Female Race Results

Rachel Joyce closed the year with another win, while Jessie Donavan ran through most of the field for second. Amanda Stevens was close to the for most of the day and held on to the final osmium spot:

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time	Diff to expected
1	Rachel Joyce	GBR	00:36:59	05:03:41	03:07:10	08:52:28	-07:11
2	Jessie Donavan	USA	00:44:46	05:00:35	03:12:02	09:01:12	-17:48
3	Amanda Stevens	USA	00:34:17	05:06:18	03:21:47	09:06:40	-16:18
4	Celine Schaerer	SUI	00:34:18	05:17:21	03:16:33	09:12:40	08:48
5	Bree Wee	USA	00:38:15	05:13:45	03:19:55	09:16:26	-18:22
6	Ashley Clifford	USA	00:37:11	05:23:46	03:13:44	09:19:15	-03:41
7	Saleta Castro	ESP		05:21:06	03:14:32	09:19:32	-38:55
8	Jackie Arendt	USA	00:37:22	05:14:21	03:31:13	09:27:05	-10:14
9	Monique Grossrieder	SUI		05:16:35	03:24:17	09:29:57	-28:21
10	Malaika Homo	USA	00:38:07	05:14:09	03:37:07	09:33:57	-05:17
11	Amy Javens	USA	00:49:21	05:10:09	03:31:49	09:36:08	n/a
12	Astrid Ganzow	GER		05:09:09	03:47:59	09:44:03	n/a
13	Anne Basso	FRA		05:25:56	03:36:33	09:47:10	-08:25
14	Jocelyn Cornman	USA	00:42:42	05:40:09	03:21:55	09:49:51	n/a
15	Kristina Wiegand	GER	00:44:09	05:39:41	03:24:53	09:53:39	-33:07
16	Tami Ritchie	USA	00:37:01	05:35:40	03:57:58	10:16:04	-10:40
17	Jennifer Lentzke	CAN	00:49:14	05:29:30	03:55:51	10:20:09	-37:57
18	Steffi Steinberg	GER	00:50:06	06:01:13	03:51:22	10:46:49	38:25

Update (Nov 26th): Lucie Zelenkova Reed announced on Twitter that she decided to pull out of the race. 

Update (Dec 6th): Martin Jensen is also not starting (more details on his blog).

Update (Dec 7th): Ironman has posted a start list after registration, and I have updated my tables accordingly. Good luck to everyone racing!

With Western Australia, the last Ironman race for 2013 is coming up. After this race, we’ll have a pretty long break in Kona qualifying races until Ironman New Zealand in March.

Previous Year’s TOP 3

(An earlier version of this post listed the 2011 results with winners Timo Bracht and Michelle Bremer.)

Male Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Jimmy Johnsen	DEN	00:51:51	04:38:38	02:54:42	08:29:06
2	Horst Reichel	GER	00:48:50	04:39:52	03:01:50	08:34:49
3	Matty White	AUS	00:51:49	04:38:29	03:03:57	08:38:05

Female Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Britta Martin	NZL	01:02:13	05:00:11	03:06:10	09:13:00
2	Rebekah Keat	AUS	00:53:58	05:03:44	03:11:57	09:14:39
3	Rebecca Hoschke	AUS	01:02:44	05:03:28	03:09:26	09:19:48

Course Records

All the course records are pretty old – this may be a result of some course changes, but it also shows the decline in status of the WA race.

Leg	Gender	Record	Athlete	Date
Total	overall	08:03:55	Jason Shortis	2006-12-03
Swim	overall	00:44:42	Pete Jacobs	2007-12-01
Bike	overall	04:18:07	Mitchell Anderson	2006-12-03
Run	overall	02:43:48	Robert Thomas	2007-12-01
Total	female	08:59:24	Gina Ferguson	2008-12-07
Swim	female	00:48:25	Tereza Macel	2007-12-01
Bike	female	04:50:49	Lisbeth Kristensen	2006-12-03
Run	female	03:05:04	Charlotte Paul	2007-12-01

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Western Australia is 12:27.

Race Adjustments for IM Western Australia

Year	Adjustment	Swim Adj.	Bike Adj.	Run Adj.	# of Athletes	Rating	Swim Rating	Bike Rating	Run Rating
2005	02:47	-03:17	01:43	-02:48	20	02:47	-03:17	01:43	-02:48
2006	15:44	00:29	14:13	03:15	25	09:16	-01:24	07:58	00:13
2007	24:38	00:39	13:44	05:23	37	14:23	-00:43	09:53	01:56
2008	17:32	-00:12	15:00	01:35	29	15:10	-00:35	11:10	01:51
2009	15:52	01:19	14:00	-01:28	19	15:19	-00:12	11:44	01:11
2010	06:47	00:07	09:52	05:01	21	13:53	-00:09	11:25	01:49
2011	03:22	-00:22	08:07	01:02	25	12:23	-00:11	10:57	01:43
2012	12:54	-01:32	08:24	04:47	23	12:27	-00:21	10:38	02:06

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Western Australia has 2000 KPR points for the winner. It has a total prize purse of 40k$.

Male Race Participants

After the demise of the P-1000 races, WA continues to offer 2000 KPR points for the winner but increased the prize purse from 25k to 40k. The race is a good opportunity to get some early qualifying points, probably better than in the crowded North American races.

With Andreas Raelert and David Dellow there are two world class athletes on the start list that had disappointing Kona 2013 results (DNF for Andreas, DNS for David):

Rank	Bib	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Swim Rating	Bike Rating	Run Rating	Rank
1	1	Andreas Raelert	GER	08:04:35	08:16:01	00:48:17	04:39:04	02:47:59	1
2	7	David Dellow	AUS	08:14:52	08:26:33	00:47:04	04:40:25	02:57:38	11
3	20	Jeremy Jurkiewicz	FRA	08:22:32	08:34:24	00:47:12	04:49:51	02:55:41	25
4	6	Martin Jensen	DEN	08:24:45	08:36:40	00:48:24	04:38:09	02:56:00	33
5	10	Courtney Ogden	AUS	08:30:01	08:42:03	00:50:22	04:48:18	02:59:07	44
6	2	Jimmy Johnsen	DEN	08:30:41	08:42:44	00:50:20	04:50:25	02:57:45	49
7	24	Eduardo Sturla	ARG	08:35:40	08:47:50	00:51:49	04:45:45	03:07:01	71
8	3	Luke Bell	AUS	08:36:02	08:48:13	00:47:50	04:41:18	03:16:35	74
9	15	Michael Davidson	ZAF	08:40:44	08:53:01	00:53:29	04:53:12	03:05:06	89
10	8	Jason Shortis	AUS	08:43:20	08:55:41	00:53:59	04:51:11	03:02:10	99
11	4	Matty White	AUS	08:43:59	08:56:21	00:51:03	04:48:39	03:13:04	105
12	25	Markus Thomschke	GER	08:44:35	08:56:58	00:53:53	04:45:11	03:12:48	109
13	18	Todd Israel	AUS	08:49:54	09:02:24	00:49:57	04:55:04	03:14:19	139
14	9	Joshua Rix	AUS	08:53:02	09:05:37	00:49:41	04:44:53	03:27:52	146
15	5	Leon Griffin	AUS	08:56:11	09:08:50	00:53:18	04:53:18	03:32:53	158
16	12	Johan Borg	AUS	08:58:34	09:11:17	00:54:39	04:55:15	03:17:50	166
17	14	Guy Crawford	AUS	09:01:44	09:14:31	00:48:57	04:46:25	03:38:40	174
18	16	Paul Hawkins	GBR	09:07:53	09:20:49	00:58:32	05:28:49	03:20:17	192
19	17	Kodo Hiramatsu	JPN	09:31:33	09:45:02	unrated	unrated	unrated	276
	19	Darren Jenkins	USA	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a
	13	Matt Burton	AUS	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a
	26	Benjamin Williams	USA	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a
	11	Matt Bailey	AUS	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a
	23	Peter Robertson	AUS	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a
	22	Alex Reithmeier	AUS	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a
	21	Timothy Molesworth	AUS	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a

Female Race Participants

While there are clear favorites in the men’s race, it’s hard to pick a front-runner in the women’s race: There are at least six athletes with very similar ratings and different strengths, and with Bree Wee and Kate Bevilaqua two more Ironman winners.

Rank	Bib	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Swim Rating	Bike Rating	Run Rating	Rank
1	36	Elizabeth Lyles	USA	09:22:40	09:35:57	00:58:25	05:22:30	03:09:31	27
2	44	Mareen Hufe	GER	09:24:19	09:37:38	01:00:44	05:07:42	03:25:42	32
3	46	Lucie Reed	CZE	09:25:31	09:38:52	00:50:31	05:17:35	03:27:56	36
4	45	Rebecca Preston	AUS	09:27:16	09:40:39	00:55:32	05:21:11	03:16:47	44
5	31	Rebecca Hoschke	AUS	09:29:21	09:42:47	01:00:40	05:16:06	03:21:06	46
6	34	Michelle Bremer	NZL	09:29:28	09:42:54	00:57:14	05:17:01	03:27:18	47
7	32	Bree Wee	USA	09:35:26	09:49:01	00:53:56	05:17:40	03:30:49	56
8	33	Kate Bevilaqua	AUS	09:43:43	09:57:30	00:56:17	05:21:16	03:35:15	73
9	43	Julia Grant	NZL	09:49:07	10:03:01	00:57:49	05:28:26	03:27:20	82
10	37	Kat Baker	AUS	09:49:30	10:03:25	00:55:08	05:21:38	03:42:20	84
11	38	Melanie Burke	NZL	09:58:14	10:12:21	01:10:56	05:26:49	03:30:59	102
12	35	Lisa Marangon	AUS	09:59:10	10:13:19	00:54:50	05:22:10	03:42:43	105
13	42	Erin Furness	NZL	10:10:32	10:24:57	01:03:27	05:32:06	03:35:23	121
	41	Andrea Forrest	AUS	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a
	40	Dimity-Lee Duke	AUS	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a
	39	Michelle Duffield	AUS	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

• Andreas Raelert: 54% (1-1)
• David Dellow: 17% (5-1)
• Courtney Ogden: 10% (9-1)
• Luke Bell: 7% (14-1)
• Martin Jensen: 3% (32-1)
• Matty White: 3% (37-1)
• Jeremy Jurkiewicz: 2% (43-1)
• Jason Shortis: 2% (55-1)

Female Race Participants

• Lucie Reed: 26% (3-1)
• Michelle Bremer: 22% (4-1)
• Rebecca Preston: 19% (4-1)
• Elizabeth Lyles: 10% (9-1)
• Kate Bevilaqua: 9% (10-1)
• Mareen Hufe: 9% (10-1)
• Rebecca Hoschke: 5% (21-1)

Photo Credits: Jay Prasuhn (2)

Update (Nov 29th): A few days before the race, there are a few athletes that are still on the list but won’t race. I’ve crossed out those that I’m aware of: Thomas Gerlach (said on his blog that he’ll visit family over Thanksgiving), Eimear Mullan (replied to me on Twitter: “Please shoot me if I race Cozumel!”) and Matthias Hecht (also on Twitter: “I will be back at IM Melbourne. Need a bit more time.”). I’m sure there will be a few more changes, please let me know if you have any newer information.

Previous Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Ivan Rana	ESP	00:50:27	04:37:16	02:44:05	08:15:07
2	Bas Diederen	NED	00:50:17	04:37:39	02:51:57	08:22:55
3	Bert Jammaer	BEL	00:52:08	04:36:04	02:53:18	08:24:51

Female Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Mary Beth Ellis	USA	00:54:36	05:05:26	03:11:17	09:15:38
2	Sophie De Groote	BEL	01:04:59	04:57:01	03:09:47	09:15:45
3	Sonja Tajsich	GER	01:13:55	05:00:15	03:02:40	09:21:30

Course Records

Leg	Gender	Record	Athlete	Date
Total	overall	08:15:07	Ivan Rana	2012-11-25
Swim	overall	00:44:39	Uzziel Valderrabano	2009-11-29
Swim	overall	00:44:18	Andres Castillo	2009-11-29
Bike	overall	04:19:17	Michael Lovato	2011-11-27
Run	overall	02:44:05	Ivan Rana	2012-11-25
Total	female	09:07:08	Yvonne Van Vlerken	2010-11-28
Swim	female	00:46:39	Bree Wee	2009-11-29
Bike	female	04:45:20	Simone Braendli	2011-11-27
Run	female	03:02:39	Beth Gerdes	2012-11-25

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Cozumel is 07:45.

Race Adjustments for IM Cozumel

Year	Adjustment	Swim Adj.	Bike Adj.	Run Adj.	# of Athletes	Rating	Swim Rating	Bike Rating	Run Rating
2009	07:45	06:32	-01:57	-01:39	26	07:45	06:32	-01:57	-01:39
2010	08:07	00:59	12:55	-03:32	30	07:56	03:45	05:29	-02:36
2011	09:29	01:52	12:33	02:39	40	08:27	03:07	07:50	-00:51
2012	05:39	-04:26	06:58	00:35	55	07:45	01:14	07:37	-00:29

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Cozumel has 2000 KPR points for the winner. It has a total prize purse of 75k$.

Male Race Participants

Rank	Bib	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Swim Rating	Bike Rating	Run Rating	Rank
1	23	Nils Frommhold	GER	08:04:09	08:11:12	00:46:38	04:37:00	02:50:32	(1)
2	1	Eneko Llanos	ESP	08:13:22	08:20:33	00:47:42	04:36:51	02:52:25	2
3	75	Marino Vanhoenacker	BEL	08:16:10	08:23:23	00:48:41	04:31:55	02:59:17	6
4	3	Tyler Butterfield	BMU	08:20:52	08:28:10	00:49:18	04:41:23	02:57:38	14
5	12	Michael Weiss	AUT	08:22:53	08:30:12	00:54:54	04:30:14	02:59:16	18
6	41	Mathias Hecht	SUI	08:33:00	08:40:28	00:47:40	04:42:34	03:06:30	42
7	31	Anton Blokhin	UKR	08:36:00	08:43:31	00:48:26	04:49:05	03:03:03	55
8	19	Ritchie Nicholls	GBR	08:37:23	08:44:55	00:48:28	04:58:18	02:57:29	63
9	4	Justin Daerr	USA	08:39:15	08:46:49	00:53:55	04:46:52	03:03:08	68
10	17	Marek Jaskolka	POL	08:39:29	08:47:03	00:47:24	04:54:21	03:02:22	70
11	21	Todd Skipworth	AUS	08:44:56	08:52:35	00:45:53	04:40:02	03:25:27	88
12	13	Trevor Delsaut	FRA	08:45:29	08:53:08	00:54:42	04:51:32	03:01:54	90
13	33	Ezequiel Morales	ARG	08:47:32	08:55:13	00:52:37	04:53:34	02:55:37	98
14	2	Bruno Clerbout	BEL	08:48:52	08:56:34	00:51:02	04:58:54	03:01:46	108
15	39	Thomas Gerlach	USA	08:49:50	08:57:33	00:54:54	04:44:50	03:14:40	112
16	22	Jonathan Shearon	USA	08:49:56	08:57:39	00:53:40	04:46:22	03:15:04	114
17	14	AJ Baucco	USA	08:51:04	08:58:48	00:52:37	04:50:48	03:12:28	123
18	32	Thiago Vinhal	BRA	08:52:09	08:59:54	00:48:46	05:06:51	03:01:38	126
19	38	Christian Brader	GER	08:52:29	09:00:14	00:56:26	04:52:48	03:10:29	128
20	76	Balazs Csoke	HUN	08:53:28	09:01:14	00:48:08	04:51:42	03:18:36	133
21	11	Andres Castillo	COL	08:55:36	09:03:24	00:47:41	04:52:38	03:20:44	147
22	74	Dan Mcintosh	USA	08:58:38	09:06:29	00:52:02	04:52:51	03:13:16	154
23	5	Patrick Evoe	USA	09:00:12	09:08:04	00:55:34	04:46:27	03:09:06	157
24	6	Leon Griffin	AUS	09:01:02	09:08:55	00:53:18	04:53:17	03:32:17	161
25	25	Carlos Lopez diaz	ESP	09:01:16	09:09:09	00:47:01	04:50:31	03:27:40	162
26	7	Sebastian Pedraza	ITA	09:02:54	09:10:48	00:52:53	04:49:18	03:21:59	166
27	35	Allan Villanueva	MEX	09:09:53	09:17:53	00:53:27	04:57:02	03:22:03	189
28	16	Olivier Cardoen	BEL	09:10:21	09:18:22	00:54:56	04:52:21	03:24:36	189
29	43	Fabio Carvalho	BRA	09:10:29	09:18:30	00:52:49	05:23:04	03:11:53	190
30	34	Adam O’Meara	CAN	09:14:49	09:22:54	00:54:31	05:08:36	03:13:52	205
31	18	Craig Twigg	GBR	09:27:07	09:35:22	00:52:13	04:55:50	03:41:54	243
32	27	Jose Valero	ESP	09:30:12	09:38:30	01:00:48	05:07:00	03:27:13	257
33	29	Jozef Vrabel	SVK	09:33:49	09:42:10	00:56:39	05:08:37	03:31:54	271
34	9	Logan Franks	USA	09:38:07	09:46:32	01:02:10	05:08:08	03:26:18	287
35	28	Ivan Tejero Vazquez	ESP	09:42:56	09:51:25	00:49:35	05:17:02	03:41:42	296
36	20	Simon Malo	CAN	09:43:39	09:52:09	00:56:48	05:03:57	03:41:38	302
37	24	Daniel Soper	USA	09:44:27	09:52:58	01:02:12	05:02:42	03:25:14	304
38	42	Aubrey Aldy	USA	09:47:30	09:56:03	01:04:36	05:28:09	03:12:15	316
39	15	Peter Kotland	USA	09:51:33	10:00:10	00:57:38	05:17:36	03:36:40	326
40	36	Sergio Quezada	MEX	09:58:18	10:07:01	00:51:43	05:18:41	03:49:12	341
41	37	Reinaldo Oliveira	BRA	10:13:30	10:22:26	01:00:00	05:21:01	03:52:09	381
42	8	Kevin Danahy	USA	10:47:55	10:57:21	00:59:57	05:59:09	03:44:30	401
	30	James Haycraft	USA	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a
	10	Gabriel Raff	ARG	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a
	26	Eduardo Crooke Gonzalez	ESP	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a
	40	Peru Alfaro	ESP	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a

Female Race Participants

Rank	Bib	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Swim Rating	Bike Rating	Run Rating	Rank
1	44	Rachel Joyce	GBR	09:05:22	09:13:18	00:51:02	05:06:09	03:12:58	3
2	72	Celine Schaerer	SUI	09:09:59	09:17:59	00:47:39	05:09:44	03:19:47	7
3	45	Jessie Donavan	USA	09:25:03	09:33:17	01:07:21	05:07:15	03:15:21	25
4	70	Tine Deckers	BEL	09:25:12	09:33:26	00:57:39	05:08:39	03:21:06	26
5	48	Amanda Stevens	USA	09:28:51	09:37:08	00:49:05	05:16:55	03:27:32	31
6	73	Ashley Clifford	USA	09:29:09	09:37:26	00:53:53	05:29:26	03:12:25	33
7	47	Asa Lundstroem	SWE	09:32:15	09:40:35	00:59:59	05:15:36	03:21:12	44
8	69	Eimear Mullan	IRL	09:39:09	09:47:35	01:00:47	05:25:58	03:13:56	55
9	53	Edith Niederfriniger	ITA	09:39:22	09:47:48	00:54:37	05:26:35	03:21:09	56
10	65	Sara Gross	CAN	09:40:10	09:48:37	00:55:39	05:33:18	03:18:27	56
11	50	Bree Wee	USA	09:40:35	09:49:02	00:53:56	05:17:43	03:30:52	57
12	66	Keiko Tanaka	JAP	09:40:45	09:49:12	00:54:17	05:27:11	03:22:37	58
13	49	Jackie Arendt	USA	09:43:31	09:52:01	00:55:17	05:28:24	03:20:56	62
14	67	Karen Thibodeau	CAN	09:45:22	09:53:53	00:54:29	05:24:24	03:24:46	65
15	59	Malaika Homo	USA	09:45:55	09:54:27	00:53:07	05:22:31	03:35:28	69
16	51	Svetlana Blazevic	SCG	10:00:44	10:09:29	00:52:20	05:31:22	03:43:12	95
17	52	Anne Basso	FRA	10:01:49	10:10:35	00:58:05	05:30:34	03:41:43	98
18	57	Monique Grossrieder	SUI	10:03:46	10:12:33	01:04:44	05:34:16	03:27:28	104
19	64	Saleta Castro	ESP	10:03:49	10:12:37	00:55:44	05:29:49	03:41:15	105
20	54	Steffi Steinberg	GER	10:16:21	10:25:19	01:08:26	05:36:28	03:35:02	125
21	58	Tami Ritchie	USA	10:35:10	10:44:25	00:52:02	06:06:59	03:44:40	134
22	61	Arrate Gonzalez	ESP	10:44:20	10:53:43	01:08:18	05:56:04	03:46:16	137
23	55	Jennifer Lentzke	CAN	11:04:06	11:13:46	01:12:39	05:45:22	03:46:56	142
24	60	Kristina Wiegand	GER	11:31:54	11:41:58	01:07:24	06:21:38	04:16:31	144
	62	Amy Javens	USA	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a
	71	Astrid Ganzow	GER	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a
	68	Lotty Harari	PAN	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a
	56	Julie Van Veelen	CAN	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a
	63	Jocelyn Cornman	USA	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

The men’s field is a nice mix of „older established” athletes and „younger up-and-coming“ athletes, either coming off their Kona build (Eneko, Tyler) or gearing up again after a forced break (Marino, Nils and Mathias who were injured, Michael Weiss who served a doping ban). Nils Frommhold is the best rated athlete but has just one result (last year’s win at IM Arizona), therefore Eneko and Marino have to be considered the clear favorites:

• Eneko Llanos: 31% (2-1)
• Marino Vanhoenacker: 30% (2-1)
• Nils Frommhold: 17% (5-1)
• Tyler Butterfield: 9% (10-1)
• Michael Weiss: 8% (12-1)
• Mathias Hecht: 2% (45-1)

Female Race Participants

On the female side, Rachel Joyce has decided to race one more IM after Kona and even if she can’t be at the top of her game is the clear favorite. Behind her are a number of other athletes who’d love to snatch the win from her. The race dynamics could be very interesting, the two super-swimmers Amanda Stevens (coming off a DNF in Arizona) and Celine Schaerer (just one IM result, a 2nd place in Switzerland, but with a focused build for Cozumel) could break up the field very early.

• Rachel Joyce: 59% (1-1)
• Tine Deckers: 8% (11-1)
• Amanda Stevens: 7% (13-1)
• Ashley Clifford: 7% (14-1)
• Celine Schaerer: 6% (16-1)
• Jessie Donavan: 5% (18-1)
• Asa Lundstroem: 3% (29-1)
• Sara Gross: 2% (43-1)