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Ironman Barcelona 2016 – Analyzing Results

Race Conditions

While the bike course in Barcelona was as fast as is typical for the Spanish course, both the swim and the run have been slower than in previous years.

Patrik Nilsson had some mechanical issues on the bike and lost some time, he still managed to go sub-8 and post a new course record. He also posted a new run course record while Johann Ackermann’s 4:12 is a new bike course record. On the female side, Astrid Stienen’s 4:40 was also a new bike course record.

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected Prize Money
1 Patrik Nilsson SWE 00:49:32 04:20:15 02:41:25 07:55:28 -06:36 US$ 10000
2 Ivan Tutukin RUS 00:49:32 04:28:50 02:42:58 08:05:22 n/a US$ 5000
3 Miquel Blanchart Tinto ESP 00:49:44 04:29:05 02:44:25 08:07:16 -13:19 US$ 3250
4 Johann Ackermann GER 00:49:33 04:12:06 03:02:20 08:08:16 -14:18 US$ 2500
5 Daniil Sapunov UKR 00:49:35 04:28:40 02:48:33 08:11:21 -33:24 US$ 1750
6 Mark Oude Bennink NED 00:49:24 04:13:11 03:06:00 08:12:40 -20:43 US$ 1250
7 Ritchie Nicholls GBR 00:52:43 04:30:47 02:45:23 08:13:01 -12:01 US$ 750
8 Alexander Schilling GER 00:49:34 04:27:31 02:55:23 08:16:24 -13:08 US$ 500
9 Guilherme Manocchio BRA 00:52:42 04:22:58 02:56:50 08:18:02 -09:41  
10 Tim Brydenbach BEL 00:49:31 04:28:42 02:56:19 08:19:05 00:43  
11 Luis Henrique Ohde BRA 00:49:39 04:29:33 02:59:44 08:24:26 -02:37  
12 Jonathan Ciavattella ITA 00:49:38 04:28:34 03:00:37 08:24:45 n/a  
13 Christian Hoerper GER 00:53:58 04:24:51 03:05:48 08:29:14 n/a  
14 Christian Brader GER 00:56:36 04:21:58 03:06:52 08:29:41 -04:35  
15 Andrey Lyatskiy RUS 00:52:43 04:31:02 03:01:10 08:29:56 -13:18  
16 Andreas Fuchs AUT 00:59:35 04:23:58 03:10:20 08:38:20 -09:16  
17 Lars Vold NOR 00:55:06 04:23:01 03:16:30 08:40:01 00:35  
18 Kirill Goldovskiy RUS 00:49:31 04:29:35 03:17:18 08:42:00 n/a  
19 Thomas Leboucher FRA 00:54:47 04:24:34 03:18:39 08:42:54 -19:00  
20 Nicolas Hemet FRA 00:54:47 04:28:18 03:20:17 08:48:05 -01:53  
21 Allan Hovda NOR 01:05:44 04:31:16 03:06:49 08:48:32 -06:32  
22 Olivier Godart LUX 00:58:12 04:46:04 03:06:27 08:56:06 01:32  
23 Marius Elvedal NOR 00:59:27 04:38:20 03:14:23 08:56:12 n/a  
24 Pavel Andreev RUS 00:59:25 04:34:29 03:16:54 08:56:40 n/a  
25 Pierre-Yves Facomprez FRA 01:08:23 04:33:08 03:09:04 08:57:05 -09:43  
26 Harri Sokk EST 00:59:30 04:37:41 03:14:36 08:58:14 -04:39  
27 Filip Przymusinski POL 00:54:38 04:42:33 03:15:10 08:58:39 n/a  
28 Hywel Davies GBR 00:59:48 04:47:14 03:08:26 09:03:13 03:50  
29 Kasper Ougaard DEN 01:02:46 04:40:41 03:15:29 09:04:43 01:20  
30 David Berthou FRA 00:56:17 04:41:21 03:23:18 09:06:34 n/a  
31 Dennis Matzen DEN 00:57:53 04:46:06 03:20:15 09:08:53 n/a  
32 Emanuele Ciotti ITA 00:54:42 04:28:04 03:44:08 09:12:06 00:04  
33 Pavel Simko SVK 00:52:45 04:25:45 03:52:08 09:15:30 45:53  
34 Enric Gussinyer ESP 00:54:34 04:42:45 03:31:54 09:16:23 05:20  
35 Ohad Sinai ISR 01:00:02 05:01:27 03:12:07 09:18:24 n/a  
36 Zoltan Biro HUN 01:01:10 04:53:29 03:20:00 09:20:08 n/a  
37 Darren Jenkins AUS 01:06:37 04:46:07 03:23:21 09:23:20 24:43  
38 Ivan Jezko SVK 01:01:20 04:41:37 03:38:10 09:27:38 12:31  
39 Peter Kern IRL 00:59:19 04:43:41 03:41:20 09:29:33 -01:37  
40 Frantz Andersen DEN 01:06:03 04:50:50 03:36:04 09:38:44 n/a  
41 Gergely Nagy HUN 00:56:37 04:37:22 03:59:34 09:40:10 -13:50  
42 Kevin Thewes GER 01:11:36 04:52:44 03:37:15 09:48:19 n/a  
43 Gilian Oriet SUI 00:59:25 04:42:51 04:02:47 09:51:16 13:37  
44 Vincent Depuiset FRA 01:11:11 04:56:09 03:37:10 09:51:56 26:54  
45 Nis Lind DEN 00:59:30 04:44:35 04:18:16 10:07:59 30:15  
46 Sacha Cavelier CAN 00:59:38 04:55:33 04:16:00 10:17:18 n/a  
47 Petr Bednar CZE 01:08:07 04:57:32 04:05:33 10:18:26 n/a  
48 Marek Nemcik SVK 01:11:08 05:15:42 04:52:49 11:26:49 -00:58  
  Bas Diederen NED 00:49:33 04:13:02   DNF    
  Oliver Simon GBR 00:54:40 04:23:30   DNF    
  Craig Twigg GBR 00:55:01 04:23:37   DNF    
  Carlos Lopez Diaz ESP 00:49:22 04:30:04   DNF    
  Xavier Torrades ESP 00:49:45 04:33:47   DNF    
  Mikolaj Luft POL 00:54:43 04:30:12   DNF    
  Robert Brundish GBR 00:59:29 04:27:55   DNF    
  Marcel Bischof GER 00:59:22 04:37:35   DNF    
  Romain Garcin FRA 01:16:08 04:25:52   DNF    
  Roman Thuerauer AUT 00:59:38 04:44:18   DNF    
  Stanislav Krylov RUS 00:49:48 09:02:17   DNF    
  Ivan Risti ITA 00:49:35     DNF    
  John Manuel Galindo Rooney ESP 00:49:40     DNF    
  Philipp Koutny SUI 00:54:43     DNF    
  Hannes Cool BEL 00:54:44     DNF    
  Ignacio Rubio Gomez ESP 00:56:10     DNF    
  Stefan Eichheimer GER 00:59:31     DNF    

IMBCN_PodiumFemale Race Results

Big smiles on the female podium: Astrid Stienen goes sub-9 and wins her second IM, Lisi Gruber moves up from 3rd last year to second, and Annah Watkinson finishes 3rd setting a new South African Ironman record. 

(Photo supplied by Chris Decker)

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected Prize Money
1 Astrid Stienen GER 01:00:29 04:40:13 03:09:05 08:54:27 -21:22 US$ 10000
2 Elisabeth Gruber AUT 01:04:51 04:49:16 03:06:55 09:05:52 -07:03 US$ 5000
3 Annah Watkinson ZAF 00:58:28 04:42:46 03:25:06 09:12:13 -12:38 US$ 3250
4 Pamela Tastets CHI 00:58:31 04:54:53 03:19:27 09:20:16 n/a US$ 2500
5 Lucie Reed CZE 00:55:21 05:04:09 03:21:32 09:26:17 -03:24 US$ 1750
6 Michaela Rudolf AUT 01:06:40 04:47:52 03:33:13 09:33:04 -03:42 US$ 1250
7 Bruna Mahn BRA 00:58:30 05:07:32 03:29:45 09:41:09 -24:35 US$ 750
8 Evi Neuscheler GER 01:07:27 05:12:10 03:55:05 10:23:00 56:09 US$ 500
  Celia Kuch GER 01:07:11 05:06:25   DNF    
  Carolin Lehrieder GER 00:58:26     DNF    
  Helena Herrero Gomez ESP 01:03:08     DNF    

Ironman Taiwan 2016 – Analyzing Results

Race Conditions

IM Taiwan moved from a date earlier in the year (April) to October – a change that can clearly be seen in the race data. While the swim and bike were similar to last year, the run was much slower, an adjustment of -18:53 is one of the slowest ever – a lot of athletes struggled in the heat.

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected Prize Money
1 Daniel Fontana ITA 00:51:26 04:32:35 03:12:53 08:40:45 -10:06 US$ 5000
2 Tohara Kaito JPN 00:55:17 04:47:27 03:09:51 08:56:47 -16:26 US$ 2750
3 Patrick Evoe USA 00:54:14 04:29:46 03:34:28 09:03:17 -06:56 US$ 1750
4 Adam Gordon AUS 00:53:57 04:43:06 03:19:38 09:05:55 -13:02 US$ 1250
5 Gerhard De Bruin ZAF 00:53:55 04:42:53 03:30:19 09:11:51 -48:49 US$ 1000
6 Patrick Jaberg SUI 00:54:47 04:35:20 03:39:26 09:14:34 03:23 US$ 750
7 Levi Maxwell AUS 00:54:20 04:47:53 03:31:13 09:17:34 n/a  
8 Guy Crawford NZL 00:51:49 04:32:00 04:00:07 09:29:13 06:47  
9 Eneko Elosegui ESP 01:00:34 04:44:13 03:45:59 09:35:48 -13:37  
10 Jordan Bryden CAN 00:51:33 04:31:49 04:26:48 09:55:34 16:56  
11 Allister Caird AUS 00:55:15 04:33:27 04:34:25 10:07:14 36:25  
12 Simon Cochrane NZL 00:51:46 04:50:09 04:20:11 10:07:14 54:55  
13 Deak Zsombor ROM 00:58:16 05:18:01 04:05:25 10:32:38 41:23  
  Andreas Niedrig GER 00:52:02 04:37:39   DNF    
  Simon Billeau FRA 00:55:13 04:34:51   DNF    
  Antony Costes FRA 00:51:49 04:45:48   DNF    
  Yu Shinozaki JPN 01:00:31 05:04:12   DNF    
  Balazs Csoke HUN 00:49:05 05:44:06   DNF    
  Gudmund Snilstveit NOR 01:00:38     DNF    

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected Prize Money
1 Danielle Mack USA 01:02:52 05:10:55 03:31:32 09:50:03 -03:30 US$ 5000
2 Shiao-yu Li TWN 01:06:04 05:13:07 03:45:41 10:10:43 -01:32 US$ 2750
3 Katharina Grohmann GER 01:09:39 05:06:53 03:59:01 10:21:10 09:13 US$ 1750
4 Jana Candrova CZE 01:08:59 05:31:44 04:03:34 10:50:04 03:40 US$ 1250
5 Stef Puszka AUS 01:05:19 05:41:42 04:34:24 11:27:11 35:37 US$ 1000
6 Emi Sakai JPN 01:09:49 06:20:36 04:01:45 11:37:51 1:03:23 US$ 750
7 Alison Fitch AUS 01:01:15 06:11:20 05:23:33 12:42:58 2:14:04  
  Keiko Tanaka JPN 00:57:08     DNF    

Results of the 2016 Ho’ala Swim

The Ho’ala swim is held exactly one week before the Kona race on the swim course. It is used by a lot of athletes as an excellent open-water training session, the table below shows just the Kona Pros that I have been able to identify in the results. As it’s just the swim, athletes are usually going a bit faster, the average is about 3 minutes or 5% of the as compared to the time I have calculated for them in my Kona Seeding. Not everyone will be have gone “full out”, so it’s hard to draw too many conclusions, but for athletes such as Matt Russell or Sarah Piampiano that have been able to post good times the swim has probably been a great confidence boost. Lucy Gossage is another athlete that probably walks away satisfied from the swim – she has posted a more or less normal time for her even after breaking her collar-bone just six weeks ago.

NAME Time / Kona Seeding Time Faster by
Andi Boecherer 00:49:02 00:51:03 02:01 4,0%
Igor Amorelli 00:49:23 00:51:20 01:57 3,8%
Tim Don 00:49:33 00:51:42 02:09 4,2%
David McNamee 00:49:50 00:51:40 01:50 3,5%
Christian Kramer 00:50:03 00:51:15 01:12 2,3%
Fabio Carvalho 00:50:08 00:52:15 02:07 4,1%
Eneko Llanos 00:50:28 00:51:42 01:14 2,4%
Pedro Gomes 00:52:33 00:55:33 03:00 5,4%
Stefan Schmid 00:53:34 00:56:40 03:06 5,5%
Matthew Russell 00:53:43 01:01:03 07:20 12,0%
Camilla Pedersen 00:53:48 00:55:48 02:00 3,6%
Trevor Wurtele 00:53:49 00:56:50 03:01 5,3%
Markus Thomschke 00:54:06 00:57:40 03:34 6,2%
Michael Weiss 00:54:07 00:58:40 04:33 7,8%
Heather Wurtele 00:56:12 00:58:41 02:29 4,2%
Jordan Rapp 00:56:23 00:56:12 -00:11 -0,3%
Michaela Herlbauer 00:57:26 01:00:35 03:09 5,2%
Dimity-Lee Duke 01:00:07 01:04:51 04:44 7,3%
Lucy Gossage 01:00:16 01:03:07 02:51 4,5%
Sarah Piampiano 01:00:56 01:08:16 07:20 10,7%
Bianca Steurer 01:01:01 01:02:41 01:40 2,7%
Verena Walter 01:01:04 01:04:54 03:50 5,9%
Gurutze Frades Larralde 01:03:22 01:06:44 03:22 5,0%
Lisa Roberts 01:05:15 01:10:10 04:55 7,0%

Which Nation Has the Most Kona Pros?

With the Kona Pro startlists finalized (see my posts on the male and female fields), this post looks at which nation the Pros are from and which nations have the most Pros.

Overall

Here are the numbers of professional athletes from different nations in Kona this year:

  • 17: Germany, USA
    There are actually 19 PROs that qualified from Germany, but Mareen Hufe and Natascha Schmitt had to withdraw.
  • 11: Australia (after the withdrawal of Pete Jacobs)
  • 9: Great Britain
  • 6: Switzerland
  • 4: Belgium, Spain, Canada, Denmark
  • 3: Brasil, France, Austria
  • 2: South Africa, Estonia, New Zealand,
  • 1: Croatia, Netherlands, Italy, Bermuda, Finland, Sweden, Portugal, Slovenia
Since the KPR has been introduced for Kona 2011, the total number of Pro starters has been relatively stable between 82 in 2011 to 88 in 2015 and 91 this year (though that number could still shrink until raceday). Here’s a look at how the numbers have developed over the last years for the nations with the largest number of Kona Pros:

PRO

As you can see, the US has been dominating the field for a long time by quite a large margin, this year would have been the first time Germany could have taken the top spot.

Female

The next chart shows the breakdown for the Female Pros – here the USA is still clearly the nation with the largest number of athletes:

FPRO

Male

Things are a little bit different on the male side. This year Germany has the most male Pros, the first time as the “outright” leader. In the past there has been a back and forth between the USA, Australia and Germany:

MPRO

Ironman Hawaii 2016 – Female Pro Predictions

This is an excerpt of the data in my 2016 Kona Rating Report. (Find out more in this info post, you can download the report here).

Female Race Participants

Here are my predictions for the female race in Kona. Similar to the men’s predictions, please don’t focus too much on the times in the table but the differences between the athletes. Again I expect very close racing especially for the last spots in the Top 10.

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Rating Swim Bike Run
1 101 Daniela Ryf SUI 08:55:34 08:55:01 00:55:04 04:50:25 03:05:05
2 111 Mirinda Carfrae AUS 09:02:35 08:59:59 00:59:13 05:02:50 02:55:32
3 108 Jodie Swallow GBR 09:14:46 09:12:46 00:52:52 04:59:16 03:17:39
4 130 Yvonne Van Vlerken NED 09:19:13 09:16:26 01:02:18 04:58:38 03:13:17
5 104 Heather Jackson USA 09:19:40 09:18:38 01:03:41 05:03:37 03:07:22
6 106 Julia Gajer GER 09:19:55 09:17:14 00:57:44 05:07:52 03:09:19
7 105 Lucy Gossage GBR 09:21:48 09:16:53 01:03:07 05:01:26 03:12:15
8 116 Michelle Vesterby DEN 09:22:00 09:23:10 00:55:47 05:04:08 03:17:05
9 138 Carrie Lester AUS 09:22:14 09:25:57 00:58:12 05:04:46 03:14:16
10 102 Susie Cheetham GBR 09:22:19 09:16:19 00:58:11 05:14:21 03:04:47
11 127 Linsey Corbin USA 09:22:58 09:19:23 01:02:07 05:09:37 03:06:14
12 113 Mary Beth Ellis USA 09:24:03 09:18:08 00:55:06 05:02:00 03:21:57
13 110 Camilla Pedersen DEN 09:24:11 09:18:07 00:55:48 05:03:11 03:20:12
14 120 Meredith Kessler USA 09:24:20 09:17:50 00:53:53 05:03:56 03:21:31
15 121 Melissa Hauschildt AUS 09:24:27 09:23:29 01:01:14 05:07:32 03:10:40
16 112 Leanda Cave GBR 09:24:48 09:25:21 00:54:55 05:07:45 03:17:09
17 103 Sarah Piampiano USA 09:26:02 09:31:37 01:08:16 05:04:45 03:08:01
18 109 Kaisa Lehtonen FIN 09:26:20 09:27:57 00:59:25 05:11:26 03:10:28
19 115 Anja Beranek GER 09:26:28 09:19:29 00:56:15 04:59:01 03:26:11
20 119 Elizabeth Lyles USA 09:27:09 09:26:12 01:00:24 05:12:22 03:09:23
21 139 Jodie Robertson USA 09:28:28 09:28:36 01:11:50 05:04:06 03:07:33
22 118 Asa Lundstroem SWE 09:30:03 09:31:21 01:04:41 05:06:15 03:14:06
23 117 Annabel Luxford AUS 09:31:51 09:26:22 00:55:55 05:03:34 03:27:22
24 143 Michaela Herlbauer AUT 09:32:57 09:33:18 01:00:35 05:13:18 03:14:04
25 128 Tine Deckers BEL 09:33:02 09:28:53 01:02:40 05:02:15 03:23:07
26 125 Heather Wurtele CAN 09:33:27 09:29:44 00:58:41 05:06:32 03:23:15
27 114 Lisa Roberts USA 09:38:17 09:38:04 01:10:10 05:15:39 03:07:28
28 144 Natascha Badmann SUI 09:39:20 09:36:16 01:06:11 05:05:12 03:22:58
29 122 Sarah Crowley AUS 09:39:30 09:38:36 01:01:54 05:08:44 03:23:53
30 126 Mareen Hufe GER 09:39:34 09:35:18 01:05:14 05:03:15 03:26:05
31 129 Daniela Saemmler GER 09:41:54 09:38:28 01:00:35 05:12:01 03:24:18
32 132 Kristin Moeller GER 09:42:25 09:38:18 01:09:33 05:21:34 03:06:17
33 123 Katja Konschak GER 09:46:17 09:54:16 00:57:58 05:25:34 03:17:46
34 141 Natascha Schmitt GER 09:47:34 09:52:58 00:58:45 05:14:27 03:29:22
35 135 Ariane Monticeli BRA 09:47:47 09:43:49 01:06:18 05:21:39 03:14:50
36 107 Gurutze Frades Larralde ESP 09:48:17 09:51:50 01:06:44 05:23:20 03:13:13
37 124 Alicia Kaye USA 09:50:07 09:52:22 00:56:37 05:16:46 03:31:44
38 142 Laurel Wassner USA 09:50:23 09:46:47 00:59:13 05:25:46 03:20:24
39 137 Alexandra Tondeur BEL 09:52:01 09:52:32 01:06:30 05:22:48 03:17:44
40 136 Dimity-Lee Duke AUS 09:53:51 09:45:33 01:04:51 05:20:13 03:23:47
41 133 Verena Walter GER 09:54:44 09:57:27 01:04:54 05:15:53 03:28:58
42 134 Saleta Castro Nogueira ESP 09:56:15 10:02:44 01:00:34 05:30:52 03:19:49
43 140 Bianca Steurer AUT 09:57:18 09:54:25 01:02:41 05:24:51 03:24:46
44 131 Tine Holst DEN 10:01:03 10:02:35 01:09:13 05:17:10 03:29:39

Heatmap

Here’s the heat map for the women’s race – a darker red corresponding to faster athletes in the swim, bike, run and overall.

womenpoints_large

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