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Ironman Louisville 2014 – Analyzing Results

Race Conditions

The adjustments for IM Louisville don’t have a clear pattern: There are some fast years (like 2013 with 14:30) but also slow ones (like 2010 with -4:21). Compared to the average (new course rating of 3:28) this year was fast (adjustment of 8:04), but the heat affected the race this year, especially on the run (run adjustment of -4:39). Based on the announcements from WTC, this was the final Pro race in Louisville.

Male Race Results

Patrick Evoe led the race coming out of T2 but quickly fell back to finish in 3rd. Chris McDonald took the lead, but he was pushed right up to the finish line by Thomas Gerlach. Chris eventual won by 16 seconds over Thomas.

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected
1 Chris McDonald AUS 00:48:28 04:39:01 03:08:27 08:40:51 03:25
2 Thomas Gerlach USA 00:48:30 04:39:16 03:07:40 08:41:07 -12:17
3 Patrick Evoe USA 00:51:39 04:35:36 03:16:59 08:49:27 01:22
4 Mike Hermanson USA 00:47:39 04:52:02 03:14:45 09:00:27 -42:54
5 Michael Starkey 00:53:24 04:47:10 03:14:41 09:01:10 n/a
6 Patrick Schuster USA 00:57:26 04:44:57 03:14:35 09:02:46 -29:17
7 Jason Shortis AUS 00:53:44 04:52:32 03:22:57 09:15:26 25:24
8 Tom Wood USA 00:48:01 05:03:47 03:23:52 09:23:00 -27:20
9 Peter Kotland USA 00:51:53 05:06:53 03:41:08 09:49:20 -05:45
10 Brent Mcburney USA 00:53:21 05:02:07 04:22:47 10:24:13 n/a
Guy Crawford NZL 00:46:01 04:37:25 DNF
Raymond Botelho USA 00:48:23 04:44:37 DNF
Clay Emge USA 00:48:34 04:58:37 DNF

Female Race Results

Kate Bevilaqua had a strong swim and bike, but had to DNF on the run. Nina Kraft took control of the race and won by 12 minutes, becoming the oldest Ironman winner at almost 46 years. Jackie Arendt finished second and got enough points for a Kona slot. Caroline Gregory had the best run of the day to get the final podium spot.

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected
1 Nina Kraft GER 00:46:51 05:14:41 03:23:30 09:31:19 -05:31
2 Jackie Arendt USA 00:48:09 05:19:06 03:30:03 09:43:25 -02:02
3 Caroline Gregory USA 00:53:19 05:31:29 03:16:55 09:47:02 -33:51
4 Molly Roohi USA 00:54:58 05:13:03 03:36:56 09:51:49 -19:04
5 Amy Javens USA 00:59:15 05:20:58 03:40:38 10:07:16 -16:53
6 Cindy Lewis CAN 00:53:49 05:28:02 03:43:20 10:11:41 03:09
7 Rachel Jastrebsky USA 00:53:59 05:25:04 03:57:35 10:23:23 08:54
Kate Bevilaqua AUS 00:47:39 05:10:10 DNF
Heather Leiggi USA 00:54:02 05:15:09 DNF
Shannon Florea 00:53:52 05:38:55 DNF

Ironman Copenhagen 2014 – Analyzing Results

Race Conditions

For Copenhagen, the adjustment of 18:11 was a relatively slow race (new course rating of 23:55). It was relatively cold and windy on race day, so both the bike and the run were slower than they usually are.

Male Race Results

Henrik Hyledlund had a great day: He broke away from the rest of the field on the bike, being more than 10 minutes faster than anyone else, then posted a solid 2:56 marathon. Pre-race favorite Timo Bracht was closed to Henrik after the bike, but his legs were not fresh enough for one of his blistering marathons. Clemente Alonso-McKernan closed the gap to him, then they battled for a while before Clemente managed to put a little gap to Timo and finished in second with a margin of 39 seconds.

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected
1 Henrik Hyldelund DEN 00:46:09 04:16:41 02:56:58 08:03:39 -39:14
2 Clemente Alonso-McKernan ESP 00:45:58 04:30:30 02:49:24 08:10:53 -10:38
3 Timo Bracht GER 00:46:21 04:27:16 02:53:54 08:11:32 07:16
4 Mads Vittrup DEN 00:54:21 04:32:13 02:45:05 08:16:03 -13:33
5 Jens Petersen-Bach DEN 00:48:41 04:41:59 02:50:26 08:25:37 -00:08
6 Esben Hovgaard DEN 00:50:53 04:38:27 02:59:18 08:32:44 -01:34
7 Teemu Lemmettylae FIN 00:54:16 04:36:40 02:57:34 08:33:31 -14:35
8 Petr Vabrousek CZE 00:54:35 04:35:51 02:59:59 08:35:10 -06:35
9 Nicolas Hemet FRA 00:54:23 04:36:50 03:05:50 08:42:02 -19:16
10 Hendrik-Jan Verhaegen BEL 00:54:19 04:44:49 03:10:15 08:54:24 n/a
11 Christian Nilsson NOR 00:58:28 04:40:19 03:14:04 08:56:25 n/a
12 Richard Whitfield GBR 00:54:38 04:46:34 03:12:11 08:59:34 n/a
13 Mika Luoto FIN 00:54:17 04:59:12 03:07:07 09:05:02 28:33
14 Matic Modic SLO 00:54:28 04:53:00 03:11:59 09:05:22 -09:47
15 Steve Clark GBR 00:55:38 04:52:01 03:14:47 09:07:32 -32:37
16 Gerhard De Bruin ZAF 00:54:23 04:58:08 03:32:46 09:30:10 -08:34
17 Petr Vales CZE 01:02:10 05:13:40 03:16:35 09:40:09 -04:43
18 Roman Krutina CZE 00:54:24 05:00:50 03:40:33 09:42:04 n/a
19 Vincent Depuiset FRA 01:06:36 05:02:18 03:28:15 09:42:56 n/a
20 Anders Lawaetz DEN 01:01:55 05:04:33 03:55:06 10:06:43 40:36
21 Martin Cain GBR 00:58:52 05:16:30 03:56:55 10:22:40 40:30
Anton Blokhin UKR 00:46:16 04:39:24 DNF
Marc Duelsen GER 00:51:07 04:46:19 DNF
Kasper Ougaard DEN 00:58:48 04:55:07 DNF
Antonio Jesus Aguilar Conejo ESP 00:58:41 05:02:18 DNF
Ludovic Le Guellec FRA 00:58:33 05:20:04 DNF
Lukas Polan CZE 01:01:58 05:20:33 DNF
Anders Stampe DEN 00:48:35 DNF

Female Race Results

Daniela Ryf continues her winning streak – after a fast bike she could afford to shut it down a bit on the run and still going sub-9. Sofie Goos took care of Kona qualifying by finishing in second, while Mareen Hufe had a solid race in third – but will probably be just short of a Kona slot.

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected
1 Daniela Ryf SUI 00:48:37 04:44:09 03:16:15 08:53:33 -15:20
2 Sofie Goos BEL 00:54:30 04:56:38 03:10:36 09:06:08 -12:22
3 Mareen Hufe GER 00:58:44 04:58:39 03:22:44 09:25:18 -02:52
4 Tamsyn Hayes NZL 00:54:22 05:02:40 03:32:56 09:34:42 -23:41
5 Maria Lemeseva RUS 01:06:26 05:15:22 03:10:59 09:38:42 -17:08
6 Beate Goertz GER 01:03:35 05:14:27 03:25:35 09:49:02 12:43
Line Foss NOR 01:23:08 05:14:07 DNF

Ironman Japan 2014 – Analyzing Results

Race Conditions

Similar to last year, IM Japan was pretty slow: An adjustment of -5:35 (mainly because of a slow bike) leads to a new course rating of -10:47. This is reflected in the slow winning times – just under 9 hours for the men and just under 10 hours for them women.

Male Race Results

A solid performance – very close to his expected time – was good enough for my pre-race favorite Michael Ruenz to win the race – his 2:52 marathon was too good for the rest of the field. Harry Wiltshire finally got enough points for a Kona slot with his second place finish. The last spot on the podium went to Cedric Lassonde in his first Ironman.

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected
1 Michael Rünz GER 00:54:22 05:01:23 02:52:36 08:53:40 00:39
2 Harry Wiltshire GBR 00:49:23 05:04:26 03:08:17 09:06:34 -05:36
3 Cedric Lassonde FRA 00:54:24 05:01:00 03:06:40 09:07:44 n/a
4 Brian Fuller AUS 00:53:23 05:01:49 03:12:55 09:13:49 01:02
5 Yu Shinozaki JPN 00:56:54 04:57:09 03:17:04 09:15:35 -33:49
6 Tohara Kaito JAP 00:55:45 05:12:42 03:03:16 09:16:48 -10:42
7 Kuniaki Takahama JPN 00:49:20 05:32:30 02:56:32 09:24:52 -00:40
8 Timothy Beardall AUS 01:05:32 04:40:07 03:46:57 09:38:32 -29:26
9 Jose Jeuland FRA 00:54:18 05:22:03 03:34:37 09:58:25 40:40
10 Masayuki Matsumaru JPN 00:55:48 05:23:51 03:38:14 10:04:10 32:54
11 Tadashi Iida JPN 00:56:52 05:42:56 03:19:53 10:05:49 23:54
12 Jon Woods NZL 00:56:55 05:30:39 03:41:35 10:14:52 22:04
Daiki Masuda JPN 00:54:16 DNF

Female Race Results

On the women’s side, Shiao-yu Li defended her 2013 title while also improving her time by more than 14 minutes. The other spots on the podium went to Jessica Fleming and Keiko Tanaka.

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected
1 Shiao-yu Li TWN 01:04:34 05:31:05 03:17:05 09:58:30 -38:55
2 Jessica Fleming AUS 01:00:19 05:33:54 03:26:32 10:06:49 -03:54
3 Keiko Tanaka JPN 00:56:42 05:44:39 03:22:43 10:09:24 -05:03
4 Emi Sakai JPN 01:06:50 05:43:56 03:42:06 10:39:42 11:23
5 Hiromi Matsumaru JPN 01:07:25 06:00:08 03:41:32 10:54:29 n/a
6 Yoriko Obayashi JPN 00:59:58 06:31:54 03:26:28 11:06:21 n/a
7 Leslie Lamacchia USA 01:05:37 06:23:19 04:40:33 12:16:34 1:26:56
Megumi Shigaki JPN 01:01:51 DNF
Mami Ishii JPN 01:04:35 DNF

KPR Update: August Qualifier

All the qualifying races for Kona 2014 have been run, and we have the final KPR ranking that decides who of the Professional athletes will get a slot. There is still some uncertainty whether all athletes accept their slot, and there may still be some rolldown – both from August athletes and maybe also from July athletes that decide not to race after all.

Women

Most of the slots were already clear after Mont Tremblant (Amber Ferreira, Sara Gross, Melnaie Burke, Beth Shutt). The final slots were decided in Copenhagen (Daniela Ryf, Sofie Goos) and Louisville (Jackie Arendt):

Name Country Points
Ryf, Daniela CHE 7810
Ferreira, Amber USA 7365
Gross, Sara CAN 6620
Burke, Melanie NZL 6190
Shutt, Beth USA 6090
Goos, Sofie BEL 5365
Arendt, Jackie USA 5170

In addition to these seven athletes, Leanda Cave validated her automatic qualifier slot by winning in Sweden.

Mareen Hufe narrowly missed the last slot (by 5 points!), she has to hope for a rolldown:

Name Country Points
Hufe, Mareen DEU 5165
Naeth, Angela CAN 4890
Csomor, Erika HUN 4780

Update Aug 27th: It looks as if all athletes accepted their slots and that there will be no rolldown for the women.

Men

The race for Kona went down to the wire as well, with Harry Wiltshire (2nd in Japan after racing Sweden a week before) and Chris McDonald (winner in Louisville) snatching slots in the last races:

Name Country Points
Bracht, Timo DEU 5410
Halksworth, Daniel GBR 5230
McDonald, Chris USA 5015
Holtham, Elliot CAN 4725
Tollakson, TJ USA 4640
Wiltshire, Harry GBR 4385
Cunningham, Richie AUS 4335
Zyemtsev, Viktor UKR 4280
Robertson, Peter AUS 4215
Brader, Christian DEU 4075
Passuello, Domenico ITA 4075
Daerr, Justin USA 4050
Schildknecht, Ronnie CHE 3915
Raelert, Andreas DEU 3610

Timo Bracht will very likely decline his slot, so Domenico should also make it to Kona.

Update Aug 26th: Domenico Passuello tweeted that he has now been offered a slot. It is unclear who declined a slot, Timo is the obvious guess.

Update Aug 27th: Justin Daerr is now marked as a qualifier as well. This means that both Timo and Victor must have declined their slots.

Update Aug 29th: Ronnie Schildknecht is also marked as a qualifier. At this time, it is not apparent who has declined his slot, all athletes still have their “Q”s. The slot was opened because Dirk Bockel (one of the July qualifiers) declined his slot after all. Dirk had to decline because of a hip injury.

Update Aug 30th: Rolldown has been finalized and the official list was announced. Please refer to my Kona Startlist for the full list and ongoing updates.

Update Aug 31st: Apparently, the WTC press release was not the last word: Cameron Brown decided to decline his slot after all, allowing Andreas Raelert to make it to Kona at the very last minute. (I’ve asked WTC about it, they said that athletes have until Aug 31 – today – to complete registration and there could still be changes.) 

The next athletes have to hope for a rolldown:

Name Country Points
Thomschke, Markus DEU 3460
Ambrose, Paul GBR 3440

Ironman Mont Tremblant 2014 – Analyzing Results

Race Conditions

Mont Tremblant is one of the „middle level“ courses with a race adjustment 7:34, almost the same as the course rating of 8:06. The swim is relatively slow, and the bike and run courses are quite normal. A lot of athletes have indicated that the bike and run course are really hilly, but that is not reflected in the Pro times.

Male Race Results

After a slow start to the year, TJ Tollakson had a great day: After being in the front group on the swim and the first part of the bike, he moved away from the group which then promptly disintegrated. After his 4:26 on the bike there was some speculation that he might have gone too had, but he posted a 2:54 marathon, the second fastest of the day and there was never a moment where he seemed to be in trouble. Andreas Raelert was the only one left in the same ZIP code as TJ on the bike, but he struggled a bit on the run and finished in third behind Daniel Halksworth who methodically worked his way into second place.

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected
1 TJ Tollakson USA 00:49:43 04:26:55 02:54:21 08:16:17 -21:09
2 Daniel Halksworth GBR 00:49:37 04:43:04 02:57:38 08:35:15 -11:25
3 Andreas Raelert GER 00:49:38 04:34:38 03:08:59 08:38:31 14:38
4 Christian Brader GER 00:57:39 04:47:42 02:53:17 08:43:28 -08:03
5 Matthew Russell USA 00:57:42 04:43:35 02:59:23 08:46:03 -00:40
6 Domenico Passuello ITA 00:57:43 04:43:06 03:00:37 08:46:58 01:12
7 Elliot Holtham CAN 00:56:00 04:59:05 03:12:18 09:12:33 29:54
8 Brendan Naef CAN 00:59:23 05:04:29 03:07:17 09:17:24 -19:04
9 Martin Lamontagne Lacasse CAN 00:57:41 05:14:24 03:12:19 09:29:57 -08:12
10 Wolfgang Guembel CAN 00:49:43 05:12:43 03:26:48 09:34:56 31:11
Luke Bell AUS 00:49:30 04:47:35 DNF
Jan Van Berkel SUI 00:49:44 04:50:19 DNF
Bryan Rhodes NZL 00:49:47 09:05:21 DNF
Balazs Csoke HUN 00:49:34 DNF
Mathias Hecht SUI 00:49:41 DNF
Eric Limkemann USA 00:50:50 DNF
Simon Malo CAN 01:03:48 DNF

Female Race Results

The women’s Pro field was very small for a Regional Championship (only 7 starters), but those that started got a lot of KPR points – resulting in four athletes getting a safe Kona slot. After winning IM Lake Placed just three weeks ago, Amber Ferreira as leading the race for a long time. She finished second, with IM Brasil winner Sara Gross taking the win with the best run split. Beth Shutt closed out the podium.

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected
1 Sara Gross CAN 00:58:42 05:28:14 03:07:33 09:40:26 -01:28
2 Amber Ferreira USA 00:58:40 05:19:58 03:18:33 09:43:46 02:01
3 Beth Shutt USA 01:03:21 05:21:16 03:15:12 09:46:45 -01:06
4 Sarah Graves USA 01:12:24 05:19:50 03:12:41 09:51:59 n/a
5 Melanie Burke NZL 01:06:57 05:17:50 03:23:08 09:54:21 14:04
6 Sharon Gallant CAN 01:05:46 05:53:02 03:46:07 10:52:33 n/a
Tine Deckers BEL 00:59:37 DNF
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