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IM Austria 2012 – Analyzing Results

Race Conditions

Conditions in Austria were not really fast this year: Rough conditions during the swim and heat during the run prevented any sub-8 and sub-9 results. The adjustment was only 11:03, much slower than the course rating of 17:08 and last year’s 27:53.

Male Results

Faris Al-Sultan posted another solid summer result, again beating his predicted time:

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Actual Time Expected Time
1 Faris Al-Sultan GER 00:50:57 04:25:38 02:50:38 08:11:31 08:16:55
2 Daniel Fontana ITA 00:50:57 04:26:52 02:58:23 08:20:37 08:23:31
3 Pedro Gomez POR 00:54:05 04:31:58 02:55:52 08:26:31 08:41:45
4 Franz Höfer AUT 00:53:38 04:33:33 02:56:23 08:28:41 n/a
5 David Plew NZL 00:55:29 04:30:35 02:59:43 08:30:47 09:16:48
6 Tom Lowe GBR 00:57:06 04:30:02 02:58:57 08:31:15 08:19:55
7 Balazs Csoke HUN 00:50:52 04:36:35 03:07:26 08:39:57 08:59:56
8 Michael Goehner GER 00:57:03 04:30:07 03:10:42 08:42:42 08:26:14
9 Patrick Jaberg SWI 00:58:07 04:33:54 03:05:28 08:43:09 08:51:31
10 Georg Swoboda AUT 01:00:31 04:31:27 03:06:51 08:43:58 09:06:42
11 Markus Fachbach GER 00:54:15 04:33:20 03:12:46 08:45:08 08:36:35
12 Petr Vabrousek CZE 00:58:13 04:41:08 03:01:23 08:46:19 08:46:16
13 Andreas Fuchs AUT 00:59:23 04:32:41 03:21:55 08:58:48 09:01:41
14 Mark Livesey GBR 00:56:50 04:42:45 03:19:44 09:04:56 n/a
15 Mika Luoto FIN 00:58:04 04:45:44 03:19:17 09:08:34 08:34:30
16 Jose Luis Villanueva ESP 01:07:39 04:48:15 03:10:46 09:13:20 08:43:32
17 Rene Vallant AUT 00:58:05 04:41:45 03:39:51 09:25:16 09:14:31
18 Bojan Maric SCG 01:03:07 05:03:35 03:41:53 09:55:18 10:02:21
19 Matej Paradiz SLO 00:58:05 05:00:16 03:52:59 09:57:34 n/a
20 Josef Krivanek CZE 01:07:21 05:06:07 03:37:08 09:58:36 n/a
21 Evgeniy Nikitin RUS 00:54:08 04:52:23 04:17:42 10:10:41 n/a
22 Matjaz Kovac SVN 00:56:59 04:56:45 04:58:29 10:57:58 09:39:13
23 Marek Nemcik SVK 01:16:27 05:38:54 04:56:05 11:58:50 11:56:47
24 Ivan Kharin RUS 01:09:31 04:56:48 06:14:11 12:27:28 n/a

Female Results

On the women’s side, Linsey Corbin held on to her first position on the run:

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Actual Time Expected Time
1 Linsey Corbin USA 00:59:18 04:54:09 03:11:07 09:09:58 09:17:27
2 Erika Csomor HUN 00:57:01 05:00:11 03:09:55 09:12:09 09:24:09
3 Michaela Rudolf AUT 01:07:26 05:02:47 03:28:22 09:44:37 n/a
4 Dana Wagner GER 01:03:32 05:09:49 03:27:02 09:46:10 10:01:17
5 Simone Fürnkranz AUT 01:08:25 05:05:00 03:50:09 10:09:53 n/a
6 Simona Vykoukalova CZE 01:19:08 05:35:04 03:35:17 10:40:00 n/a

IM Lake Placid 2012 – Predictions

As I’ll be on summer vacation, I‘m only able to release a short predictions post containing the winning odds. For a full list of participants and their ratings, please download my Summer Rating Report.

Male Participants

  • Pete Jacobs: 50%
  • Andy Potts: 31%
  • Maik Twelsiek: 13%
  • Romain Guillaume: 4%

Female Participants

  • Alison Fitch: 39%
  • Jessie Donavan: 27%
  • Hillary Biscay: 11%
  • Jacqui Gordon: 10%
  • Sarah Piampiano: 5%
  • Amber Ferreira: 4%

IM Switzerland 2012 – Predictions

As I’ll be on summer vacation, I‘m only able to release a short predictions post containing the winning odds. For a full list of participants and their ratings, please download my Summer Rating Report.

Male Participants

  • Ronnie Schildknecht: 72%
  • Stefan Riesen: 15%
  • Alejandro Santamaria : 4%

Female Participants

  • Erika Csomor: 48%
  • Simone Braendli: 34%
  • Katja Rabe: 13%

Challenge Roth 2012 – Predictions

As I’ll be on summer vacation, I‘m only able to release a short predictions post containing the winning odds. For a full list of participants and their ratings, please download my Summer Rating Report.

Male Participants

  • Timo Bracht: 59%
  • Cameron Brown: 25%
  • James Cunnama: 6%
  • Mike Aigroz: 4%

Female Participants

  • Rachel Joyce: 46%
  • Rebekah Keat: 20%
  • Sonja Tajsich: 16%
  • Gina Crawford: 8%
  • Lucie Zelenkova: 5%

IM Germany 2012 – Predictions

As I’ll be on summer vacation, I‘m only able to release a short predictions post containing the winning odds. For a full list of participants and their ratings, please download my Summer Rating Report.

Male Participants

  • Marino Vanhoenacker: 40%
  • Andreas Raelert: 33%
  • Paul Amey: 16%
  • Sebastian Kienle: 8%

Female Participants

  • Caroline Steffen: 51%
  • Yvonne Van Vlerken: 21%
  • Heather Wurtele: 20%
  • Sofie Goos: 6%
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