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IM France 2011 Predictions (Details Post)

Male Race Participants

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Rank
1 Paul Amey USA 08:26:55 08:40:24 27
2 Marcel Zamora ESP 08:30:15 08:43:49 35
3 Frederik Van Lierde BEL 08:30:49 08:44:24 37
4 Francois Chabaud FRA 08:36:48 08:50:32 68
5 Alexandro Santamaria ESP 08:46:04 09:00:03 107
6 Simon Billeau FRA 08:48:21 09:02:24 122
7 Sergio Marques PRT 08:53:17 09:07:28 136
8 Trevor Delsaut FRA 09:01:24 09:15:48 195
9 Bruno Clerbout BEL 09:02:44 09:17:10 205
10 Chris Brands NLD 09:03:56 09:18:24 219
11 Jose Jeuland FRA 09:05:10 09:19:40 230
12 Dirk Wijnalda NLD 09:07:26 09:21:59 246
13 Xavier Diepart BEL 09:09:59 09:24:36 268
14 Leandro Gonzalez Bonet ARG 09:20:41 09:35:35 328
15 Leonardo Simoncini ITA 09:23:54 09:38:54 348
16 Scott Defilippis USA 09:24:14 09:39:14 352
17 Alfred Rahm GER 09:28:49 09:43:56 388
18 Matjaz Kovac SVN 09:42:01 09:57:30 477
19 Luca De Paolis ITA n/a unrated n/a
20 Domenico Passuello ITA n/a unrated n/a
21 Nicolas Fernandez FRA n/a unrated n/a
22 Cedric Lassonde FRA n/a unrated n/a
23 Bill Scanlon AUS n/a unrated n/a

Female Race Participants

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Rank
1 Silvia Felt GER 09:21:28 09:36:24 20
2 Christel Robin FRA 09:25:53 09:40:56 31
3 Heather Gollnick USA 09:32:03 09:47:16 45
4 Kim Loeffler USA 09:32:24 09:47:37 46
5 Jeanne Collonge FRA 09:36:35 09:51:55 54
6 Martina Dogana ITA 09:40:23 09:55:49 63
7 Britta Martin NZL 09:44:06 09:59:38 69
8 Alexandra Louison FRA 09:49:55 10:05:36 85
9 Johanna Daumas FRA 09:56:10 10:12:01 110
10 Katya Meyers USA 10:05:06 10:21:11 137
11 Fiona Whitby CAN 10:14:28 10:30:48 167
12 Stephanie Jones USA 10:29:54 10:46:39 205
13 Miranda Alldritt CAN 10:45:30 11:02:40 230
14 Christine Hemphill AUS n/a unrated n/a

Results for Paul Amey (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Arizona 2008-11-23 08:27:20 08:32:39 08:40:24 7
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 08:48:58 08:48:25 08:48:25 16

Results for Marcel Zamora (ESP)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM France 2010-06-27 08:25:28 08:38:33 08:43:49 1
IM France 2009-06-28 08:30:06 08:35:58 08:45:11 1
IM France 2008-06-22 08:34:03 08:38:33 08:47:23 1
IM South Africa 2008-04-13 08:53:39 09:02:13 08:49:19 12
IM Hawaii 2007-10-13 08:46:36 08:47:19 08:45:58 20
IM France 2007-06-24 08:38:45 08:47:29 08:45:34 1
IM Hawaii 2006-10-21 08:44:46 08:42:28 08:44:52 24
IM France 2006-06-24 08:33:56 08:41:29 08:45:54 1
IM Hawaii 2005-10-15 08:47:16 08:46:47 08:48:43 25
IM France 2005-06-19 08:50:50 08:50:50 08:50:50 2

Results for Frederik Van Lierde (BEL)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 08:31:43 08:34:28 08:44:24 14
IM France 2010-06-27 08:30:39 08:43:53 08:47:18 2
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 09:09:38 09:06:56 08:48:34 35
IM Austria 2009-07-05 08:26:58 08:42:33 08:40:41 5
IM Arizona 2008-11-23 08:34:34 08:39:58 08:39:27 9
IM New Zealand 2008-03-01 08:31:35 08:38:49 08:38:49 2

Results for Francois Chabaud (FRA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
Challenge Roth 2008-07-13 08:23:44 08:46:38 08:50:32 5
IM South Africa 2008-04-13 08:33:53 08:42:08 08:52:05 4
IM Hawaii 2006-10-21 08:59:56 08:57:34 08:57:52 42
IM France 2006-06-24 08:53:10 09:00:59 08:58:04 3
IM UK 2005-08-21 09:07:26 08:54:20 08:54:20 2

Results for Alexandro Santamaria (ESP)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM St. George 2011-05-07 09:04:38 09:06:05 09:00:03 7
IM UK 2006-08-16 08:54:42 08:57:57 08:46:26 4
IM Austria 2005-07-03 08:30:33 08:30:33 08:30:33 6

Results for Simon Billeau (FRA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM South Africa 2010-04-25 08:53:49 09:02:27 09:02:24 8
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 09:14:07 09:11:24 09:02:22 40
IM France 2009-06-28 08:46:30 08:52:34 08:52:34 3

Results for Sergio Marques (PRT)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Texas 2011-05-21 08:48:57 08:58:30 09:07:28 12
IM South Africa 2011-04-10 09:09:30 09:21:04 09:09:17 15
IM St. George 2010-05-01 09:11:10 09:06:54 09:06:24 7
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 09:41:02 09:38:11 09:06:17 63
IM Lanzarote 2009-05-23 09:08:38 09:05:18 08:58:33 8
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 09:47:16 09:46:40 08:56:41 66
IM Florida 2007-11-03 08:23:49 08:39:33 08:41:32 2
IM Austria 2007-07-08 08:36:05 08:48:24 08:42:07 7
IM Hawaii 2006-10-21 08:40:32 08:38:15 08:39:45 19
IM Arizona 2006-04-09 08:31:26 08:33:09 08:40:25 5
IM Hawaii 2005-10-15 08:43:45 08:43:16 08:44:54 20
IM Arizona 2005-04-09 08:46:47 08:46:47 08:46:47 3

Results for Trevor Delsaut (FRA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM South Africa 2011-04-10 08:41:57 08:52:56 09:15:48 9
IM Austria 2010-07-04 08:33:27 08:51:49 09:29:13 7
IM Switzerland 2008-07-13 09:27:44 09:43:23 10:02:29 19
IM France 2008-06-22 10:16:31 10:21:55 10:21:55 20

Results for Bruno Clerbout (BEL)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM St. George 2011-05-07 09:37:12 09:38:44 09:17:10 14
IM Arizona 2010-11-21 09:13:33 09:27:35 09:11:38 23
IM France 2010-06-27 08:53:15 09:07:04 09:06:59 4
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 08:55:11 08:52:34 09:06:57 24
IM France 2009-06-28 08:58:02 09:04:14 09:12:41 6
IM France 2008-06-22 09:22:52 09:27:48 09:17:35 11
IM France 2007-06-24 08:46:30 08:55:22 09:09:48 4
IM France 2006-06-24 09:20:48 09:29:02 09:29:02 9

Results for Chris Brands (NLD)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Canada 2010-08-29 09:05:03 09:15:13 09:18:24 15
IM Austria 2010-07-04 08:52:52 09:11:56 09:19:07 18
IM Lanzarote 2010-05-22 09:18:04 09:16:29 09:21:03 12
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 09:35:15 09:32:26 09:22:40 61
IM Lanzarote 2009-05-23 09:16:01 09:12:38 09:18:33 10
IM Switzerland 2008-07-13 09:14:10 09:29:27 09:22:08 18
IM Canada 2006-08-27 09:05:42 09:04:45 09:15:36 8
IM Lanzarote 2006-05-20 09:31:40 09:27:19 09:27:19 12

Results for Jose Jeuland (FRA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM France 2010-06-27 09:05:46 09:19:54 09:19:40 6
IM Lake Placid 2009-07-26 09:39:51 09:40:08 09:19:38 13
Challenge Roth 2009-07-12 08:26:51 08:47:52 09:15:40 15
IM France 2009-06-28 09:18:38 09:25:04 09:22:13 10
IM Arizona 2008-11-23 08:51:29 08:57:04 09:21:22 14
IM France 2008-06-22 08:53:34 08:58:15 09:29:43 4
IM Wisconsin 2007-09-09 09:59:52 10:00:15 09:43:32 19
IM France 2007-06-24 09:09:14 09:18:29 09:34:32 9
IM Lanzarote 2007-05-20 09:53:16 09:51:02 09:51:02 17

Results for Dirk Wijnalda (NLD)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Lanzarote 2011-05-21 09:30:25 09:26:00 09:21:59 11
IM Wisconsin 2010-09-12 09:01:07 09:04:23 09:20:18 9
IM France 2009-06-28 09:41:11 09:47:53 09:28:39 13
IM Florida 2007-11-03 08:53:25 09:10:05 09:17:21 22
IM Switzerland 2007-06-24 09:04:38 09:18:19 09:21:32 11
IM South Africa 2007-03-18 09:25:14 09:25:00 09:25:00 8

Results for Xavier Diepart (BEL)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM France 2010-06-27 09:06:54 09:21:04 09:24:36 7
IM France 2007-06-24 09:23:37 09:33:07 09:29:18 12
IM UK 2006-08-16 09:21:01 09:24:26 09:24:26 13

Results for Leandro Gonzalez Bonet (ARG)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
Challenge Roth 2010-07-18 09:26:34 09:47:23 09:35:35 17
IM Florida 2008-11-01 08:56:56 09:16:17 09:16:17 18

Results for Leonardo Simoncini (ITA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM France 2010-06-27 09:24:17 09:38:54 09:38:54 11

Results for Scott Defilippis (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM St. George 2011-05-07 09:58:05 09:59:40 09:39:14 15
IM Florida 2010-11-06 08:43:35 08:58:41 09:30:13 12
IM St. George 2010-05-01 09:53:07 09:48:32 09:49:46 17
IM Florida 2009-11-07 09:31:53 09:51:11 09:51:11 17

Results for Alfred Rahm (GER)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Florida 2008-11-01 09:25:20 09:45:42 09:43:56 32
Challenge Roth 2008-07-13 09:02:12 09:26:51 09:43:39 23
IM Lanzarote 2008-05-24 10:20:00 10:17:04 09:46:38 32
IM Florida 2007-11-03 09:28:12 09:45:57 09:40:21 39
IM France 2007-06-24 09:36:45 09:46:28 09:39:10 16
IM Florida 2006-11-04 09:38:13 09:46:59 09:37:25 30
IM France 2006-06-24 09:19:46 09:27:59 09:35:04 8
IM Lanzarote 2006-05-20 10:30:36 10:25:48 09:37:05 29
IM South Africa 2006-03-18 09:37:33 09:36:00 09:18:17 12
IM Florida 2005-11-05 09:07:55 09:10:45 09:07:59 13
IM Germany 2005-07-11 09:08:00 09:04:58 09:04:58 10

Results for Matjaz Kovac (SVN)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Arizona 2010-11-21 10:07:28 10:22:52 09:57:30 34
IM Wisconsin 2010-09-12 09:32:03 09:35:30 09:53:08 15
IM Austria 2010-07-04 09:29:03 09:49:24 09:56:33 29
IM Lanzarote 2010-05-22 10:16:55 10:15:10 09:58:10 20
IM Canada 2009-08-30 09:16:22 09:21:45 09:53:26 14
IM Lake Placid 2009-07-26 10:04:22 10:04:40 10:02:42 16
IM Lanzarote 2009-05-23 09:45:36 09:42:02 10:01:54 23
IM Lanzarote 2008-05-24 10:11:43 10:08:49 10:13:59 30
IM Hawaii 2006-10-21 09:45:44 09:43:10 10:18:18 75
IM Lanzarote 2006-05-20 11:03:01 10:57:58 10:57:58 34

Results for Luca De Paolis (ITA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Domenico Passuello (ITA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Nicolas Fernandez (FRA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Cedric Lassonde (FRA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Bill Scanlon (AUS)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Silvia Felt (GER)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM South Africa 2011-04-10 09:24:31 09:36:24 09:36:24 4

Results for Christel Robin (FRA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM France 2009-06-28 09:34:19 09:40:56 09:40:56 2

Results for Heather Gollnick (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Florida 2009-11-07 09:22:13 09:41:12 09:47:16 5
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 10:04:58 10:02:00 09:48:10 24
IM Brasil 2009-05-31 09:31:42 09:47:36 09:45:48 3
IM Coeur d’Alene 2008-06-22 09:50:34 09:55:41 09:45:28 2
IM Arizona 2008-04-13 09:32:07 09:39:31 09:43:48 3
IM Hawaii 2007-10-13 09:40:48 09:41:36 09:44:35 11
IM Arizona 2007-04-15 09:36:40 09:40:41 09:45:08 1
IM New Zealand 2007-03-03 09:28:16 09:33:45 09:46:00 2
IM Hawaii 2006-10-21 09:43:42 09:41:09 09:48:48 14
IM Coeur d’Alene 2006-06-25 09:36:39 09:36:35 09:50:47 2
IM Arizona 2006-04-09 09:33:25 09:35:20 09:55:10 2
IM Hawaii 2005-10-15 09:59:55 09:59:22 10:03:18 24
IM Lake Placid 2005-07-24 10:01:47 09:56:48 10:05:30 3
IM Arizona 2005-04-09 10:14:57 10:14:57 10:14:57 6

Results for Kim Loeffler (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Texas 2011-05-21 09:20:04 09:30:11 09:47:37 6
IM Florida 2010-11-06 09:21:26 09:37:38 09:51:21 3
IM New Zealand 2010-03-06 09:30:57 09:41:21 09:54:26 3
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 10:32:00 10:28:54 09:57:24 36
IM Arizona 2008-11-23 09:33:54 09:39:55 09:49:25 4
IM Lake Placid 2008-07-20 09:54:55 09:55:11 09:51:44 2
IM Hawaii 2007-10-13 10:00:15 10:01:05 09:50:45 22
IM New Zealand 2007-03-03 09:33:43 09:39:15 09:47:42 3
IM Hawaii 2006-10-21 09:48:40 09:46:06 09:50:29 15
IM Coeur d’Alene 2006-06-25 10:16:39 10:16:35 09:52:21 11
IM Hawaii 2005-10-15 09:30:18 09:29:47 09:37:04 8
IM Lake Placid 2005-07-24 09:49:44 09:44:51 09:44:51 2

Results for Jeanne Collonge (FRA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Florida 2010-11-06 09:35:19 09:51:55 09:51:55 6

Results for Martina Dogana (ITA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM South Africa 2011-04-10 09:47:47 10:00:09 09:55:49 8
IM South Africa 2010-04-25 09:48:13 09:57:44 09:54:27 7
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 10:04:45 10:01:47 09:53:26 23
IM France 2009-06-28 09:37:35 09:44:14 09:50:24 3
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 09:50:47 09:50:11 09:53:31 15
IM France 2008-06-22 09:35:29 09:40:32 09:55:50 1
IM France 2006-06-24 10:13:59 10:23:00 10:23:00 3

Results for Britta Martin (NZL)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM France 2010-06-27 09:40:53 09:55:56 09:59:38 4
IM New Zealand 2010-03-06 09:47:11 09:57:52 10:01:57 5
IM New Zealand 2009-03-07 09:56:18 10:07:23 10:07:23 8

Results for Alexandra Louison (FRA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM France 2010-06-27 09:38:25 09:53:24 10:05:36 3
IM France 2009-06-28 09:52:28 09:59:17 10:10:11 5
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 10:20:58 10:20:20 10:14:28 28
IM France 2008-06-22 10:03:46 10:09:03 10:11:42 3
IM France 2007-06-24 09:49:11 09:59:07 10:13:42 1
IM France 2006-06-24 10:24:00 10:33:09 10:33:09 5

Results for Johanna Daumas (FRA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM France 2010-06-27 09:56:34 10:12:01 10:12:01 5

Results for Katya Meyers (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM France 2010-06-27 10:02:12 10:17:48 10:21:11 6
IM Florida 2009-11-07 09:35:53 09:55:20 10:21:51 8
IM Canada 2009-08-30 10:12:59 10:18:55 10:27:01 10
IM France 2009-06-28 09:58:30 10:05:24 10:28:51 6
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 10:23:01 10:22:23 10:35:19 29
IM France 2008-06-22 10:28:06 10:33:36 10:39:03 5
IM Australia 2007-04-08 10:24:36 10:27:14 10:41:01 13
IM Wisconsin 2006-09-10 11:33:39 11:17:16 10:45:43 12
IM France 2006-06-24 10:18:41 10:27:46 10:32:52 4
IM Hawaii 2005-10-15 10:48:46 10:48:11 10:36:02 48
IM Canada 2005-08-29 10:24:49 10:23:25 10:23:25 10

Results for Fiona Whitby (CAN)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Canada 2010-08-29 10:10:58 10:22:22 10:30:48 11
IM Coeur d’Alene 2010-06-27 10:34:44 10:46:30 10:36:26 10
IM Lake Placid 2008-07-20 10:18:34 10:18:51 10:18:51 4

Results for Stephanie Jones (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Arizona 2008-04-13 11:59:14 12:08:32 10:46:39 21
IM Florida 2007-11-03 09:34:31 09:52:28 10:18:35 9
IM Wisconsin 2007-09-09 10:29:55 10:30:19 10:29:52 10
IM Wisconsin 2006-09-10 10:43:35 10:28:23 10:29:33 8
IM Arizona 2006-04-09 10:28:46 10:30:52 10:30:52 10

Results for Miranda Alldritt (CAN)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Texas 2011-05-21 10:19:12 10:30:23 11:02:40 14
IM St. George 2011-05-07 11:51:45 11:53:38 11:06:51 8
IM Canada 2010-08-29 12:47:12 13:01:31 10:59:58 18
IM St. George 2010-05-01 10:40:59 10:36:01 10:43:15 7
IM Arizona 2009-11-22 09:53:01 10:10:09 10:44:18 12
IM Coeur d’Alene 2009-06-21 13:39:19 13:47:51 10:49:13 14
IM New Zealand 2009-03-07 10:18:02 10:29:32 10:49:13 10
IM Arizona 2008-11-23 10:06:24 10:12:46 10:51:50 12
IM Wisconsin 2008-09-07 10:54:52 10:55:36 10:57:18 12
IM Canada 2008-08-24 11:21:23 11:27:27 10:57:33 17
IM Coeur d’Alene 2008-06-22 10:18:14 10:23:35 10:52:17 8
IM Arizona 2008-04-13 10:21:42 10:29:44 10:58:04 13
IM Hawaii 2007-10-13 10:43:58 10:44:51 11:04:45 48
IM Arizona 2007-04-15 10:16:31 10:20:49 11:09:51 5
IM Canada 2006-08-27 11:15:34 11:14:24 11:23:52 17
IM Coeur d’Alene 2006-06-25 11:22:19 11:22:15 11:26:50 19
IM Hawaii 2005-10-15 11:27:13 11:26:36 11:28:46 55
IM Canada 2005-08-29 11:19:15 11:17:43 11:29:55 14
IM Coeur d’Alene 2005-06-26 11:42:45 11:42:45 11:42:45 5

Results for Christine Hemphill (AUS)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

IM Coeur d’Alene 2011 Predictions (Details Post)

Male Race Participants

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Rank
1 Craig Alexander AUS 08:11:59 08:21:17 3
2 Maik Twelsiek GER 08:31:03 08:40:42 28
3 Oliver Piggin NZL 08:59:36 09:09:48 152
4 Joe McDaniel USA 09:03:04 09:13:20 176
5 Raul Furtado BRA 09:09:36 09:19:59 232
6 Billy Edwards USA 09:20:30 09:31:05 299
7 Tim Snow USA 09:21:25 09:32:01 305
8 Cesar Valera VEN 09:31:05 09:41:52 379
9 Lewis Elliot USA 09:32:35 09:43:24 384
10 Brendan Halpin USA 09:33:45 09:44:35 392
11 Blake Becker USA 09:37:04 09:47:58 416
12 Kyle Pawlaczyk USA 09:39:01 09:49:57 428
13 Juan Carlos Ramirez USA 09:50:53 10:02:03 510
14 Heath Thurston USA 09:55:04 10:06:18 530
15 Adam Jensen USA 09:58:09 10:09:27 553
16 Arland Macasieb PHL 10:02:43 10:14:06 576
17 Scott Tremblay CAN n/a unrated n/a
18 Matt Burgess NZL n/a unrated n/a
19 Brian Hadley USA n/a unrated n/a

Female Race Participants

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Rank
1 Julie Dibens USA 09:02:46 09:13:01 2
2 Kelly Williamson USA 09:28:04 09:38:48 23
3 Meredith Kessler USA 09:30:41 09:41:28 33
4 Mackenzie Madison USA 09:31:08 09:41:55 35
5 Caitlin Snow USA 09:34:52 09:45:44 42
6 Alison Fitch AUS 09:41:34 09:52:33 55
7 Desiree Ficker USA 10:10:49 10:22:21 141
8 Haley Cooper USA 10:10:56 10:22:28 142
9 Kelzie Beebe USA 10:15:59 10:27:37 162
10 Lianne Evans USA 10:16:07 10:27:45 162
11 Elly Franks AUS 10:20:08 10:31:51 170
12 Teri Albertazzi USA 10:28:03 10:39:55 188
13 Caroline Gregory USA n/a unrated n/a

Results for Craig Alexander (AUS)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 08:16:53 08:19:33 08:21:17 4
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 08:20:21 08:17:54 08:22:06 1
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 08:17:45 08:17:14 08:24:26 1
IM Hawaii 2007-10-13 08:19:04 08:19:45 08:29:35 2
IM Australia 2007-04-08 08:38:48 08:40:59 08:40:59 3

Results for Maik Twelsiek (GER)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM St. George 2011-05-07 08:33:46 08:35:08 08:40:42 2
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 08:27:02 08:29:45 08:41:35 12
IM Lake Placid 2010-07-25 08:48:33 08:52:44 08:43:26 3
IM Lanzarote 2010-05-22 08:42:53 08:41:24 08:41:50 3
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 08:35:10 08:32:39 08:41:55 12
IM Lake Placid 2009-07-26 08:36:37 08:36:52 08:43:45 1
IM Australia 2009-04-05 08:34:10 08:38:37 08:45:20 5
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 08:48:37 08:48:04 08:47:06 14
IM Germany 2008-07-06 08:24:03 08:42:18 08:46:49 11
IM Wisconsin 2007-09-09 08:52:49 08:53:10 08:48:33 1
Challenge Roth 2007-06-24 08:17:03 08:38:28 08:46:32 6
Challenge Roth 2006-06-24 08:31:53 08:44:02 08:52:08 9
IM South Africa 2006-03-18 09:02:19 09:00:52 09:00:52 9

Results for Oliver Piggin (NZL)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM New Zealand 2005-05-03 09:09:48 09:09:48 09:09:48 16

Results for Joe McDaniel (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM St. George 2011-05-07 09:26:27 09:27:57 09:13:20 12
IM Arizona 2010-11-21 08:43:23 08:56:39 08:56:39 9

Results for Raul Furtado (BRA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Texas 2011-05-21 09:09:39 09:19:34 09:19:59 16
IM Brasil 2009-05-31 08:53:20 09:08:10 09:20:18 5
IM Brasil 2008-05-25 08:55:04 09:05:07 09:29:35 5
IM Brasil 2007-05-27 09:49:00 10:02:10 10:02:10 26

Results for Billy Edwards (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Lake Placid 2010-07-25 09:45:55 09:50:34 09:31:05 17
IM Coeur d’Alene 2010-06-27 09:14:42 09:24:59 09:27:18 11
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 09:59:30 09:56:34 09:27:51 72
IM Lake Placid 2009-07-26 09:12:09 09:12:25 09:21:03 7
IM Arizona 2008-11-23 09:17:02 09:22:53 09:23:31 27
IM Hawaii 2007-10-13 09:24:34 09:25:21 09:23:43 55
IM Coeur d’Alene 2007-06-23 09:16:09 09:16:57 09:23:14 10
IM Hawaii 2006-10-21 09:22:27 09:19:59 09:25:31 68
IM Canada 2006-08-27 09:21:48 09:20:50 09:27:53 12
IM Hawaii 2005-10-15 09:36:45 09:36:14 09:32:44 72
IM Arizona 2005-04-09 09:28:40 09:28:40 09:28:40 18

Results for Tim Snow (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Lake Placid 2010-07-25 09:10:48 09:15:10 09:32:01 5
IM St. George 2010-05-01 09:34:35 09:30:08 09:35:08 14
IM Lake Placid 2009-07-26 09:26:26 09:26:43 09:36:11 11
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 10:02:51 10:02:14 09:38:06 73
IM Lake Placid 2008-07-20 09:18:38 09:18:53 09:33:28 10
IM Florida 2007-11-03 08:49:50 09:06:23 09:36:40 16
IM Coeur d’Alene 2007-06-23 09:21:12 09:22:00 09:43:16 11
IM Arizona 2007-04-15 09:29:49 09:33:47 09:48:28 14
IM Canada 2006-08-27 13:38:30 13:37:05 09:52:53 32
IM Lake Placid 2006-07-23 09:59:10 09:51:06 09:52:53 24
IM Florida 2005-11-05 10:02:12 10:05:19 09:53:28 30
IM Hawaii 2005-10-15 10:04:53 10:04:20 09:49:13 86
IM Germany 2005-07-11 09:47:00 09:43:45 09:41:01 12
IM Coeur d’Alene 2005-06-26 09:38:16 09:38:16 09:38:16 15

Results for Cesar Valera (VEN)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Lanzarote 2010-05-22 09:43:31 09:41:52 09:41:52 16

Results for Lewis Elliot (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Arizona 2010-11-21 09:10:54 09:24:52 09:43:24 22
IM Canada 2010-08-29 10:46:20 10:58:24 09:48:10 27
IM Arizona 2009-11-22 09:00:14 09:15:50 09:25:52 15
IM Coeur d’Alene 2008-06-22 09:22:43 09:27:35 09:29:18 10
IM Arizona 2008-04-13 09:29:08 09:36:29 09:29:48 13
IM Hawaii 2007-10-13 09:41:31 09:42:19 09:27:14 68
IM Arizona 2007-04-15 08:53:51 08:57:34 09:19:41 8
IM Arizona 2006-04-09 09:44:10 09:46:07 09:36:37 25
IM Arizona 2005-04-09 09:23:58 09:23:58 09:23:58 14

Results for Brendan Halpin (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Canada 2009-08-30 09:36:40 09:42:15 09:44:35 23
IM Coeur d’Alene 2007-06-23 09:48:09 09:48:59 09:48:59 20

Results for Blake Becker (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Arizona 2010-11-21 09:05:04 09:18:53 09:47:58 18
IM Wisconsin 2010-09-12 08:55:44 08:58:58 09:53:29 5
IM Florida 2009-11-07 09:39:16 09:58:49 10:05:26 18
IM Wisconsin 2009-09-13 10:01:56 10:01:39 10:06:49 17
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 10:35:12 10:34:33 10:08:05 79
IM Wisconsin 2008-09-07 10:16:55 10:17:36 10:01:53 18
IM Coeur d’Alene 2008-06-22 09:26:30 09:31:24 09:57:13 11
IM Wisconsin 2007-09-09 09:38:15 09:38:37 10:07:12 15
IM Arizona 2007-04-15 09:53:12 09:57:20 10:19:59 20
IM Florida 2006-11-04 10:35:27 10:45:06 10:34:57 39
IM Wisconsin 2005-09-11 10:37:51 10:20:49 10:20:49 19

Results for Kyle Pawlaczyk (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Florida 2010-11-06 09:40:43 09:57:28 09:49:57 29
IM Lake Placid 2010-07-25 09:37:13 09:41:48 09:41:48 15

Results for Juan Carlos Ramirez (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Canada 2010-08-29 10:03:03 10:14:18 10:02:03 26
IM Canada 2009-08-30 09:41:34 09:47:11 09:55:48 24
IM Canada 2008-08-24 09:46:00 09:51:13 10:01:09 30
IM Canada 2007-08-26 10:11:53 10:13:57 10:09:46 29
IM Coeur d’Alene 2005-06-26 10:01:58 10:01:58 10:01:58 19

Results for Heath Thurston (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM St. George 2011-05-07 10:09:18 10:10:55 10:06:18 16
IM Canada 2009-08-30 10:08:42 10:14:35 10:03:11 30
IM Arizona 2008-11-23 09:57:00 10:03:16 09:55:00 41
IM Florida 2007-11-03 09:26:07 09:43:48 09:43:48 37

Results for Adam Jensen (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Coeur d’Alene 2010-06-27 09:06:32 09:16:40 10:09:27 9
IM Canada 2009-08-30 11:27:01 11:33:40 10:35:22 36
IM Canada 2008-08-24 10:36:21 10:42:01 09:58:29 36
IM Coeur d’Alene 2007-06-23 08:56:53 08:57:39 09:19:29 7
IM Coeur d’Alene 2005-06-26 09:58:11 09:58:11 09:58:11 18

Results for Arland Macasieb (PHL)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Florida 2010-11-06 09:48:00 10:04:58 10:14:06 30
IM Lake Placid 2010-07-25 10:13:33 10:18:25 10:19:23 23
IM Lake Placid 2008-07-20 10:15:35 10:15:52 10:20:30 23
IM Lake Placid 2006-07-23 10:37:18 10:28:43 10:28:43 26

Results for Scott Tremblay (CAN)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Matt Burgess (NZL)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Brian Hadley (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Julie Dibens (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 09:10:04 09:13:01 09:13:01 3

Results for Kelly Williamson (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Texas 2011-05-21 09:07:54 09:17:47 09:38:48 2
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 09:36:11 09:39:16 09:49:20 15
IM Coeur d’Alene 2010-06-27 09:39:23 09:50:08 09:56:38 3
IM Hawaii 2005-10-15 10:21:14 10:20:40 10:09:44 36
IM Coeur d’Alene 2005-06-26 09:57:48 09:57:48 09:57:48 1

Results for Meredith Kessler (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Arizona 2010-11-21 09:15:01 09:29:05 09:41:28 4
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 10:04:02 10:07:16 09:44:17 26
IM Canada 2010-08-29 09:13:46 09:24:06 09:37:49 1
IM Coeur d’Alene 2010-06-27 09:23:52 09:34:19 09:42:57 2
IM St. George 2010-05-01 09:46:58 09:42:25 09:47:45 2
IM Arizona 2009-11-22 09:37:09 09:53:49 09:53:49 7

Results for Mackenzie Madison (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Arizona 2010-11-21 09:24:11 09:38:29 09:41:55 7
IM Canada 2010-08-29 09:34:51 09:45:35 09:45:35 3

Results for Caitlin Snow (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 09:26:42 09:29:44 09:45:44 8
IM Lake Placid 2010-07-25 09:44:18 09:48:56 09:49:53 2
IM St. George 2010-05-01 10:07:26 10:02:44 09:50:12 3
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 09:51:59 09:49:05 09:44:44 14
IM Lake Placid 2009-07-26 09:41:21 09:41:38 09:42:10 2
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 09:43:27 09:42:51 09:42:51 12

Results for Alison Fitch (AUS)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Wisconsin 2009-09-13 10:09:29 10:09:12 09:52:33 5
IM Canada 2008-08-24 09:26:15 09:31:18 09:45:26 2
IM Hawaii 2007-10-13 10:00:15 10:01:05 09:51:57 22
IM Switzerland 2007-06-24 09:31:45 09:46:07 09:46:50 3
IM Australia 2007-04-08 09:45:07 09:47:35 09:47:35 5

Results for Desiree Ficker (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Texas 2011-05-21 09:24:09 09:34:20 10:22:21 7
IM Australia 2010-03-28 11:14:54 11:26:04 10:36:18 7
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 11:07:48 11:07:07 10:23:09 42
IM Canada 2008-08-24 09:56:09 10:01:28 10:13:55 6
IM Lake Placid 2008-07-20 11:09:30 11:09:49 10:17:04 7
IM Hawaii 2007-10-13 10:40:43 10:41:36 09:59:49 47
IM Austria 2007-07-08 09:46:54 10:00:54 09:44:59 7
IM Hawaii 2006-10-21 09:24:02 09:21:34 09:37:10 2
IM Arizona 2006-04-09 09:44:56 09:46:54 09:47:33 4
IM Lake Placid 2005-07-24 14:01:55 13:54:57 09:48:26 20
IM Arizona 2005-04-09 09:48:26 09:48:26 09:48:26 2

Results for Haley Cooper (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Coeur d’Alene 2010-06-27 09:42:02 09:52:49 10:22:28 4
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 10:23:19 10:20:16 10:28:00 34
IM Canada 2009-08-30 09:53:35 09:59:19 10:29:24 4
IM Coeur d’Alene 2009-06-21 09:51:11 09:57:20 10:35:44 4
IM Arizona 2008-11-23 09:45:59 09:52:08 10:45:17 6
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 11:23:33 11:22:51 10:59:29 45
IM Coeur d’Alene 2008-06-22 10:08:04 10:13:20 10:51:21 5
IM Hawaii 2007-10-13 10:38:15 10:39:08 11:09:11 45
IM Coeur d’Alene 2007-06-23 10:42:57 10:43:52 11:27:55 1
IM Coeur d’Alene 2006-06-25 12:26:37 12:26:32 12:26:32 23

Results for Kelzie Beebe (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Brasil 2011-05-29 10:01:52 10:27:37 10:27:37 8

Results for Lianne Evans (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Florida 2007-11-03 09:53:51 10:12:24 10:27:45 16
IM Florida 2006-11-04 10:25:47 10:35:17 10:38:12 17
IM Wisconsin 2006-09-10 10:56:45 10:41:14 10:41:14 11

Results for Elly Franks (AUS)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Australia 2009-04-05 10:34:10 10:39:39 10:31:51 11
IM New Zealand 2008-03-01 10:10:37 10:19:14 10:25:49 9
IM Australia 2007-04-08 10:31:41 10:34:20 10:34:20 15

Results for Teri Albertazzi (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Arizona 2009-11-22 10:20:02 10:37:57 10:39:55 16
IM Arizona 2008-04-13 10:07:38 10:15:29 10:41:13 10
IM Wisconsin 2007-09-09 10:53:53 10:54:18 10:59:33 12
IM Arizona 2006-04-09 11:05:12 11:07:26 11:07:26 16

Results for Caroline Gregory (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Challenge Cairns 2011 – Analyzing Results

Race Conditions

Challenge Cairns is a new Ironman-distance race which is part of the Challenge family. They had a pretty impressive lineup, and almost all the names from the Pro start list actually made it. (The notable exception was Cam Brown – I’m not aware of any injuries he has, so I’m not sure what the story is.)

We’ve had a reasonable number of rated athletes, so the adjustment (and course rating) of 12:30 is pretty solid. This means that Cairns is a pretty fast course (similar to Arizona or Texas) but not crazy fast such as Challenge Roth.

Male Results

Chris McCormack was the big favorite, and he didn’t disappoint with a 13 minute winning margin:

Rank Name Nation Actual Time Expected Time
1 Chris McCormack AUS 08:15:56 08:09:02
2 Matt White AUS 08:28:36 08:54:46
3 Tim Berkel AUS 08:29:20 08:34:47
4 Jamie Whyte NZL 08:35:07 08:48:26
5 Clayton Fettell   08:36:14 n/a
6 David Dellow   08:41:39 n/a
7 Jonathan Hotchkiss   08:42:49 n/a
8 Chris Dmitrieff AUS 09:17:03 09:09:42
9 Graham O’Grady   13:25:55 n/a

Expected time is based on athlete’s rating (prior to race) and race conditions.

He did go a bit slower than expected based on his rating, but with his recent focus on Olympic distance racing, that was probably not realistic. (This also means that Andreas Raelert is now the #1 rated athlete by a solid margin.) His 2:51 marathon was still quite impressive. Matty White had another great race and took the second spot, Tim Berkel and Jamie Whyte also improved their ratings. Clayton Fettell had a good first IM distance race – it’ll be interesting to see him improve on his 3:11 marathon. 

Female Results

On the women’s side, the pre-race favorite also won the race:

Rank Name Nation Actual Time Expected Time
1 Rebekah Keat AUS 09:26:31 09:17:07
2 Michelle Mitchell AUS 09:30:41 09:42:14
3 Carrie Lester AUS 09:34:56 09:34:06
4 Candice Hammond   09:43:03 n/a
5 Belinda Granger AUS 09:44:41 09:32:31
6 Christie Sym AUS 09:49:09 09:55:52
7 Lisa Ribes   09:52:41 n/a
8 Simone Maier   10:05:37 n/a

Expected time is based on athlete’s rating (prior to race) and race conditions.

However, Rebekah Keat was a bit slower than expected – but still managed to win, but only with a four minute margin to Michelle Mitchell who continues to improve her rating and has now climbed to #35 in the women’s rankings. Carrie Lester almost hit exactly her predicted time. Belinda Granger continues her rating slip, since winning IM Canada in 2008 she has not managed to hit her predicted times. However, with 22 races in my database she is one of the most prolific racers (only surpassed by Petr Vabrousek and Hillary Biscay).

Updated Top10 Ratings

The recent discussion on IM Talk about the Kona ranking prompted John Newsom to ask me for my Top 10 ratings. I’m not totally happy with the races that I have evaluated (most notable, Austria and Switzerland are missing which may lead to some shifting around), but I think the general TOP10 look quite stable, so I’ve decided to take the bait and publish the rankings and a little discussion. If you want to have a more detailed look at the individual race results, choose “Top 10 Ratings” from the menu or follow the link.

Male Athletes

Here is a table with “my” TOP 10 male pros:

Rank Name Rating Last Race # Races
1 Raelert, Andreas 08:19:58 IM Hawaii on 2010-10-09 5
2 McCormack, Chris 08:20:38 IM Hawaii on 2010-10-09 13
3 Alexander, Craig 08:22:44 IM Hawaii on 2010-10-09 5
4 Llanos, Eneko 08:27:07 IM Texas on 2011-05-21 13
5 Bracht, Timo 08:27:19 IM Lanzarote on 2011-05-21 13
6 Henning, Rasmus 08:28:21 IM Arizona on 2010-11-21 4
7 Vanhoenacker, Marino 08:29:18 IM Hawaii on 2010-10-09 6
8 Al-Sultan, Faris 08:31:27 IM Hawaii on 2010-10-09 10
9 Bockel, Dirk 08:33:29 IM Florida on 2010-11-06 4
10 Brown, Cameron 08:33:32 IM New Zealand on 2011-03-05 15

The top 3 athletes (Andreas, Macca and Crowie) stand a bit above the rest of the athletes. Between Andreas and Macca it is pretty even, but adding the results from IM Germany gave Andreas a little edge (he was just a few seconds slower than Macca in 2009, but beat him by more than 9 minutes in 2010). Statistically, Andreas is a little bit ahead, but the difference is so small that any new race could change things and I’d not really venture a guess if they actually ended up racing each other again.

After the Top 3, you have a group of very solid racers, each of which could win Hawaii without causing too much surprise. Eneko and Timo have raced quite a lot (and are the top athletes to look pretty solid for Hawaii) , Marino had to drop out of a few races lately, and Rasmus (also a lock-down for a Hawaii slot) may just have built enough experience to be in the running for a podium in Kona. Dirk Bockel is in  a similar point in his career.

Then we also have Faris Al Sultan (who is just a very solid racer, no big surprises on either side of the spectrum) and Cameron Brown (coming off another great win in New Zealand) – both of which “belong” in the Top 10, but are probably not in real contention for winning Kona.

Female Athletes

On the female side, here are my picks for the Top 10:

Rank Name Rating Last Race # Races Total Rank
1 Wellington, Chrissie 08:57:24 IM South Africa on 2011-04-10 10 81
2 Carfrae, Mirinda 09:18:38 IM New Zealand on 2011-03-05 3 179
3 Van Vlerken, Yvonne 09:22:54 IM Hawaii on 2010-10-09 6 211
4 Keat, Rebekah 09:30:19 Challenge Roth on 2010-07-18 9 259
5 Steffen, Caroline 09:31:08 IM Australia on 2011-05-01 6 263
6 Thuerig, Karin 09:33:25 IM Hawaii on 2010-10-09 3 275
7 Morrison, Catriona 09:33:38 IM Texas on 2011-05-21 4 277
8 Wallenhorst, Sandra 09:34:38 IM Germany on 2010-07-04 5 282
9 McGlone, Samantha 09:34:45 IM Hawaii on 2010-10-09 5 283
10 Marsh, Amy 09:35:27 IM Brazil on 2011-05-29 4 285

No surprises on the first two spots: Chrissie and Mirinda are just heads above all the other girls.

The rest of the Top 10 is an interesting mix between athletes still improving (Caroline Steffen, Cat Morrison, Amy Marsh), established solid racers (Yvonne Van Vlerken, Sandra Wallenhorst, Sam McGlone) and some “wildcards” – Bek Keat with great results on fast courses such as Roth, but never quite on top of her form in Kona and Karin Thuerig who can’t decide if she wants to be a cyclist or a triathlete. A very interesting mix for sure, but it seems that the top 2 spots are just out of reach for anyone not names Chrissie or Rinnie.

Comparing Thorsten’s Tri Rating to WTC’s Kona Pro Rankings

There are a few differences between the Kona Pro Rankings by WTC (used to determine the Kona qualifiers) and Thorsten’s Tri Rating:

  • TTR is time based, KPR is points based
  • KPR is limited to just one year, TTR uses all results of an athletes in a weighted fashion (i.e. old results count, but not as much as a new race)
  • KPR weights races (indeed, quite heavily so – with races such as Texas or Germany being six times more important than New Zealand or Australia), for TTR a fast time in New Zealand is as important as anywhere else (TTR tries to “normalize” results, so a fast time on a slow course results in the same adjusted time as on a fast course)
  • KPR also uses points from 70.3 races, TTR only uses Ironman-distance races (even a few non-WTC results such as Challenge Wanaka and Challenge Roth)

Of course, this leads to different TOP 10 rankings. Here’s a look at some notable Top10 athletes from the KPR that are missing from the TTR Top 10:

  • Men’s KPR leader Tim O’Donnell only has one result (so he’s not eligible for a Top10 ranking yet. His Texas result would put him right along Crowie.
  • Raynard Tissink (KPR#3) and Luke Bell (KPR#5) are rated 15th and 53rd. Luke is “hurt” by his attempts of breaking through – his results are either 8:30ish or 9:30ish.
  • Peter Vabrousek (KPR#10) is racing a million times. His results (and rating) of around 9 hours are good enough to collect a lot of points – but racing often in about the same time does not improve your rating.
  • On the women’s side we see similar issues, but the differences are not that large. Most of the athletes that are in the KPR Top 10 but not in the TTR Top 10 are ranked between 11 and 25.

All in all, I’m quite confident that the fields that you’d get from TTR and those you will get using KPR will be very similar. There is however one requirement that WTC has put up for Kona qualification that might turn out to be very interesting (at least for the men): The requirement to have at least one IM outside of Kona. Currently, only 5 of my Top10 (and only 5 of the Top 10 Kona finishers from 2010) have fulfilled that requirement, and the Top3 athletes haven’t and will probably struggle a bit (Andreas Raelert is rumored to race Challenge Roth, Macca prefers to shoot for the Olympics, and Crowie is still MIA after being sick for Australia).

IM Brasil 2011 – Analyzing Results

Race Conditions

The conditions is Brasil seemed to be very good this year. The race adjustment was 28:19 which is among the fastest I’ve seen so far. It was almost 12 minutes faster than the old course rating for IM Brasil, resulting in faster times than originally predicted.

Male Results

The close fight between the two three time winners Eduardo Sturla and Oscar Galindez didn’t last for much longer than the bike, as Oscar had to pull out of the race. However, Guilherme Manocchio pushed Sturla almost to the finish, at one time he almost closed up, but then Sturla managed to hold on for the win:

Rank Name Nation Actual Time Expected Time
1 Eduardo Sturla ARG 08:13:12 08:16:12
2 Guilherme Manocchio BRA 08:15:30 08:32:03
3 Ezequiel Morales ARG 08:19:49 08:25:44
4 Santiago Ascenco BRA 08:24:24 08:17:19
5 Chris McDonald AUS 08:24:34 08:26:10
6 Keegan Williams NZL 08:37:20 08:47:57
7 Ivan Albano BRA 08:48:57 08:45:13
8 Luiz Francisco Ferreira BRA 08:51:14 n/a
9 Lucas Cocha ARG 08:51:41 09:40:00
10 Mike Schifferle SWI 08:53:07 08:53:11
11 Antonio Filho BRA 08:56:26 08:58:04
12 Kelmerson Henri Buck BRA 09:06:20 n/a
13 Bonieck Clemente BRA 09:13:50 09:01:00
14 Christian Emiliano Carletto   09:28:54 09:25:50
15 Santiago Amigo ARG 09:40:11 n/a
16 Richard Wygand BRA 10:37:08 10:29:20

Expected time is based on athlete’s rating (prior to race) and race conditions.

Ezequil Morales rounded out the podium. There are a lot of relatively unknown but good athletes in South America, so that the better known pros such as Chris McDonald and Keegan Williams didn’t really have a chance for a podium, even as they had pretty good races.

Female Results

Even though Amy Marsh finished a bit slower than the conditions would have allowed, she won the female race in a very convincing fashion:

Rank Name Nation Actual Time Expected Time
1 Amy Marsh USA 09:07:49 09:04:49
2 Lucie Zelenkova ZAF 09:14:23 09:18:59
3 Ariane Monticeli BRA 09:17:25 09:32:43
4 Hillary Biscay USA 09:33:14 09:47:51
5 Fernanda Keller BRA 09:48:03 09:45:21
6 Mariana Andrade BRA 09:49:41 10:26:35
7 Maria Omar BRA 09:51:19 09:52:20
8 Kelzie Beebe USA 10:01:52 n/a
9 Silvia Fusco BRA 10:18:38 10:08:40
10 Alessandra Carvalho BRA 10:19:49 11:36:57
11 Amanda Balding USA 10:37:24 10:39:21
12 Mariana Guimaraes BRA 11:41:05 n/a
13 Ana Lidia Borba BRA 12:03:10 09:35:44

Expected time is based on athlete’s rating (prior to race) and race conditions.

After Amy Marsh Lucie Zelenkova and Ariane Monticelli were the expected second  and third finishers. It was good to see Hillary Biscay having one of her better races in the last few years, and Fernanda Keller finishing a strong fifth – at age 47!! I wish I was ever going to be as fast as she is now!

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