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2013 Tri Trivia

I’ve started to work on my „2013 Rating Report“, looking back on the Ironman-distance races of 2013 and my analysis on the results. You can already pre-order the report and receive it as soon as it’s available!

As part of the work for the report, I’ve come across some interesting facts, and over the next days will ask ten trivia questions as a „countdown“ to the release of the report. (I will amend this post from day to day. You can enter your answers as comments, or send them to @ThRadde on twitter.)

  1. Who had the fastest Ironman-distance times of 2013 (either man or woman)?
  2. Which IM races had the smallest and largest number of pro finishers?
  3. What’s the shortest time between two Ironman wins?
  4. In 2013 we’ve seen 6 sub-8h finishes (for the men) and 21 sub-9h finishes (for the women). Which 2013 race had the most of these?
  5. Who posted the fastest marathon times in 2013 (man or woman)?
  6. Which races in 2013 had the closest and widest margin between the male and female winners (Pros only)?
  7. Which races in 2013 had the closest and widest margin between the winner and runner-up (Pros only)?
  8. Which country had the most Pro IM wins in 2013?
  9. Who had the slowest swim when winning a Pro IM in 2013 (men or women)?
  10. Who overcame the biggest deficit after the bike to win an IM in 2013 (men or women)?

The report includes the answers to the questions, and is now available: Please go to the 2013 TriRating Report page.

Ironman Western Australia 2013 – Analyzing Results

Race Conditions

Conditions in Western Australia seemed to have been pretty good: An adjustment of 16:28 was the fastest race since the record-breaking year of 2007. The conditions of both the bike and the run were fast, resulting in almost a new women’s course record.

Male Race Results

Pre-race favorite Andreas Raelert had another frustrating DNF (apparently the same problems as in Hawaii), while home-boy Luke Bell also didn’t finish. After being sick in Kona, David Dellow had a was just a little bit off. But you have to have a solid day to win an Ironman, as there are always a few athletes with a fantastic day. This time, it was Jeremy Jurkiewicz: He is usually a stellar runner (again posting the fastest run-split), but this time he was already leading after T2!

WAWinner

Rank

 

 Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected
1 Jeremy Jurkiewicz FRA 00:47:03 04:29:17 02:48:18 08:08:16 -11:13
2 Markus Thomschke GER 00:53:17 04:27:16 02:51:23 08:16:01 -25:32
3 David Dellow AUS 00:48:16 04:32:34 02:54:26 08:19:10 08:17
4 Todd Israel AUS 00:49:43 04:36:07 02:52:18 08:22:39 -24:18
5 Matty White AUS 00:53:13 04:27:14 03:01:46 08:25:29 -15:27
6 Matt Burton AUS 00:54:16 04:25:25 03:01:57 08:25:42 n/a
7 Alex Reithmeier AUS 00:48:19 04:36:35 03:05:59 08:34:53 n/a
8 Guy Crawford NZL 00:48:14 04:32:03 03:12:42 08:36:31 -21:45
9 Benjamin Williams USA 00:53:33 04:48:43 02:55:26 08:41:19 n/a
10 Joshua Rix AUS 00:49:49 04:33:39 03:15:05 08:42:43 -06:54
11 Eduardo Sturla ARG 00:54:23 04:41:30 03:06:56 08:47:00 15:22
12 Jimmy Johnsen DEN 00:49:57 04:52:36 03:08:43 08:55:34 29:14
13 Timothy Molesworth AUS 01:11:23 04:58:14 02:59:09 09:14:30 n/a
14 Johan Borg AUS 00:53:15 04:39:28 03:54:37 09:31:15 37:27

Female Race Results

The run carried the day on the women’s side as well: Elizabeth Lyles ran through the field, and posted a sub-9h result to win the race in front of German Mareen Hufe (leading into T2) and Lisa Marangon who was leading the race in the early parts of the bike:

WAWomen

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected
1 Elizabeth Lyles USA 00:57:11 04:58:21 03:00:37 08:59:44 -18:56
2 Mareen Hufe GER 00:59:49 04:47:53 03:16:24 09:08:00 -12:27
3 Lisa Marangon AUS 00:54:10 04:56:20 03:24:29 09:19:29 -36:54
4 Michelle Bremer NZL 00:59:41 04:58:20 03:24:00 09:25:58 00:25
5 Melanie Burke NZL 01:05:08 04:59:29 03:17:43 09:27:08 -27:38
6 Erin Furness NZL 00:59:52 05:10:48 03:17:57 09:33:20 -33:47
7 Michelle Duffield AUS 00:59:53 05:16:52 03:21:45 09:43:12 n/a
8 Dimity-Lee Duke AUS 01:05:03 05:20:32 03:41:20 10:11:21 n/a

Photo Credit: Ironman.com

Ironman Cozumel 2013 – Analyzing Results

Race Conditions

The main influence on the Cozumel times was the swim: The course was changed to be safer after high waves in the days before the race, however that also meant that the course was shortened to 3.1k (1.9 miles). Of course, this resulted in pretty quick times (adjustment of 13:45). But even though the swim was shorter, the bike and run times were pretty normal. (My interpretation is that the swim must still have been pretty taxing.) This is quite different from what I’ve seen in Melbourne swim (where the swim was significantly shortened to 1.5k), and at first I thought that I’d include the Cozumel times in my ratings. But a closer analysis showed some weird effects: For example, Rachel’s winning time would have been a better performance than her 2nd place in Kona. So I’ve decided to list the Cozumel results, but not include them in my ratings.

Male Race Results

Tyler Butterfield and Eneko Llanos had good races after Kona, pretty much making sure that they re-qualify for Kona:

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected
1 Michael Weiss AUT 00:36:54 04:22:20 02:51:34 07:55:23 -22:07
2 Tyler Butterfield BMU 00:34:12 04:35:14 02:49:48 08:02:42 -15:37
3 Eneko Llanos ESP 00:34:19 04:34:40 02:52:38 08:05:21 -02:43
4 Marek Jaskolka POL 00:34:14 04:46:16 02:49:52 08:13:29 -20:50
5 Nils Frommhold GER 00:32:53 05:11:36 03:07:38 08:20:16 22:12
6 Justin Daerr USA 08:27:11 -06:34
7 Peru Alfaro ESP 05:15:27 03:12:22 08:29:04 n/a
8 Fabio Carvalho BRA 00:34:11 04:59:53 02:53:11 08:31:12 -34:16
9 Anton Blokhin UKR 00:34:15 04:40:21 03:15:50 08:34:06 03:54
10 Todd Skipworth AUS 00:32:49 05:13:29 03:21:57 08:36:58 -02:22
11 Bruno Clerbout BEL 00:36:54 04:56:54 03:03:35 08:40:58 -02:14
12 AJ Baucco USA 00:36:48 04:57:03 03:05:48 08:43:06 -02:06
13 Thiago Vinhal BRA 00:34:22 04:58:47 03:05:55 08:43:51 -02:32
14 Olivier Cardoen BEL 00:37:36 04:45:47 03:24:24 08:51:36 -13:03
15 Andres Castillo COL 00:34:03 04:59:38 03:21:27 08:58:45 08:16
16 Allan Villanueva MEX 05:05:48 03:10:21 08:59:22 -05:32
17 Aubrey Aldy USA 05:11:23 03:19:55 09:18:53 -22:33
18 Ezequiel Morales ARG 00:37:53 05:01:59 03:32:12 09:20:06 39:28
19 Sergio Quezada MEX 00:34:22 04:59:04 03:44:16 09:22:52 -29:23
20 Jozef Vrabel SVK 00:38:01 05:17:27 03:39:09 09:39:29 12:21
21 Reinaldo Oliveira BRA 00:40:36 05:14:21 03:38:46 09:40:23 -27:05
22 Ivan Tejero Vazquez ESP 00:34:17 04:53:52 04:14:36 09:47:28 11:05
23 Peter Kotland USA 00:38:07 05:06:32 04:09:18 09:58:46 14:53

Female Race Results

Rachel Joyce closed the year with another win, while Jessie Donavan ran through most of the field for second. Amanda Stevens was close to the for most of the day and held on to the final osmium spot:

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected
1 Rachel Joyce GBR 00:36:59 05:03:41 03:07:10 08:52:28 -07:11
2 Jessie Donavan USA 00:44:46 05:00:35 03:12:02 09:01:12 -17:48
3 Amanda Stevens USA 00:34:17 05:06:18 03:21:47 09:06:40 -16:18
4 Celine Schaerer SUI 00:34:18 05:17:21 03:16:33 09:12:40 08:48
5 Bree Wee USA 00:38:15 05:13:45 03:19:55 09:16:26 -18:22
6 Ashley Clifford USA 00:37:11 05:23:46 03:13:44 09:19:15 -03:41
7 Saleta Castro ESP 05:21:06 03:14:32 09:19:32 -38:55
8 Jackie Arendt USA 00:37:22 05:14:21 03:31:13 09:27:05 -10:14
9 Monique Grossrieder SUI 05:16:35 03:24:17 09:29:57 -28:21
10 Malaika Homo USA 00:38:07 05:14:09 03:37:07 09:33:57 -05:17
11 Amy Javens USA 00:49:21 05:10:09 03:31:49 09:36:08 n/a
12 Astrid Ganzow GER 05:09:09 03:47:59 09:44:03 n/a
13 Anne Basso FRA 05:25:56 03:36:33 09:47:10 -08:25
14 Jocelyn Cornman USA 00:42:42 05:40:09 03:21:55 09:49:51 n/a
15 Kristina Wiegand GER 00:44:09 05:39:41 03:24:53 09:53:39 -33:07
16 Tami Ritchie USA 00:37:01 05:35:40 03:57:58 10:16:04 -10:40
17 Jennifer Lentzke CAN 00:49:14 05:29:30 03:55:51 10:20:09 -37:57
18 Steffi Steinberg GER 00:50:06 06:01:13 03:51:22 10:46:49 38:25

Ironman Western Australia 2013 (Dec 8th) – Predictions

Update (Nov 26th): Lucie Zelenkova Reed announced on Twitter that she decided to pull out of the race. 

Update (Dec 6th): Martin Jensen is also not starting (more details on his blog).

Update (Dec 7th): Ironman has posted a start list after registration, and I have updated my tables accordingly. Good luck to everyone racing!

With Western Australia, the last Ironman race for 2013 is coming up. After this race, we’ll have a pretty long break in Kona qualifying races until Ironman New Zealand in March.

Previous Year’s TOP 3

(An earlier version of this post listed the 2011 results with winners Timo Bracht and Michelle Bremer.)

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Jimmy Johnsen DEN 00:51:51 04:38:38 02:54:42 08:29:06
2 Horst Reichel GER 00:48:50 04:39:52 03:01:50 08:34:49
3 Matty White AUS 00:51:49 04:38:29 03:03:57 08:38:05

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Britta Martin NZL 01:02:13 05:00:11 03:06:10 09:13:00
2 Rebekah Keat AUS 00:53:58 05:03:44 03:11:57 09:14:39
3 Rebecca Hoschke AUS 01:02:44 05:03:28 03:09:26 09:19:48

Course Records

All the course records are pretty old – this may be a result of some course changes, but it also shows the decline in status of the WA race.

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 08:03:55 Jason Shortis 2006-12-03
Swim overall 00:44:42 Pete Jacobs 2007-12-01
Bike overall 04:18:07 Mitchell Anderson 2006-12-03
Run overall 02:43:48 Robert Thomas 2007-12-01
Total female 08:59:24 Gina Ferguson 2008-12-07
Swim female 00:48:25 Tereza Macel 2007-12-01
Bike female 04:50:49 Lisbeth Kristensen 2006-12-03
Run female 03:05:04 Charlotte Paul 2007-12-01

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Western Australia is 12:27.

Race Adjustments for IM Western Australia

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Athletes Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2005 02:47 -03:17 01:43 -02:48 20 02:47 -03:17 01:43 -02:48
2006 15:44 00:29 14:13 03:15 25 09:16 -01:24 07:58 00:13
2007 24:38 00:39 13:44 05:23 37 14:23 -00:43 09:53 01:56
2008 17:32 -00:12 15:00 01:35 29 15:10 -00:35 11:10 01:51
2009 15:52 01:19 14:00 -01:28 19 15:19 -00:12 11:44 01:11
2010 06:47 00:07 09:52 05:01 21 13:53 -00:09 11:25 01:49
2011 03:22 -00:22 08:07 01:02 25 12:23 -00:11 10:57 01:43
2012 12:54 -01:32 08:24 04:47 23 12:27 -00:21 10:38 02:06

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Western Australia has 2000 KPR points for the winner. It has a total prize purse of 40k$.

Male Race Participants

ARaelertBikeHorizUpperTorso Dellow3 4After the demise of the P-1000 races, WA continues to offer 2000 KPR points for the winner but increased the prize purse from 25k to 40k. The race is a good opportunity to get some early qualifying points, probably better than in the crowded North American races.

With Andreas Raelert and David Dellow there are two world class athletes on the start list that had disappointing Kona 2013 results (DNF for Andreas, DNS for David):

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating Rank
1 1 Andreas Raelert GER 08:04:35 08:16:01 00:48:17 04:39:04 02:47:59 1
2 7 David Dellow AUS 08:14:52 08:26:33 00:47:04 04:40:25 02:57:38 11
3 20 Jeremy Jurkiewicz FRA 08:22:32 08:34:24 00:47:12 04:49:51 02:55:41 25
4 6 Martin Jensen DEN 08:24:45 08:36:40 00:48:24 04:38:09 02:56:00 33
5 10 Courtney Ogden AUS 08:30:01 08:42:03 00:50:22 04:48:18 02:59:07 44
6 2 Jimmy Johnsen DEN 08:30:41 08:42:44 00:50:20 04:50:25 02:57:45 49
7 24 Eduardo Sturla ARG 08:35:40 08:47:50 00:51:49 04:45:45 03:07:01 71
8 3 Luke Bell AUS 08:36:02 08:48:13 00:47:50 04:41:18 03:16:35 74
9 15 Michael Davidson ZAF 08:40:44 08:53:01 00:53:29 04:53:12 03:05:06 89
10 8 Jason Shortis AUS 08:43:20 08:55:41 00:53:59 04:51:11 03:02:10 99
11 4 Matty White AUS 08:43:59 08:56:21 00:51:03 04:48:39 03:13:04 105
12 25 Markus Thomschke GER 08:44:35 08:56:58 00:53:53 04:45:11 03:12:48 109
13 18 Todd Israel AUS 08:49:54 09:02:24 00:49:57 04:55:04 03:14:19 139
14 9 Joshua Rix AUS 08:53:02 09:05:37 00:49:41 04:44:53 03:27:52 146
15 5 Leon Griffin AUS 08:56:11 09:08:50 00:53:18 04:53:18 03:32:53 158
16 12 Johan Borg AUS 08:58:34 09:11:17 00:54:39 04:55:15 03:17:50 166
17 14 Guy Crawford AUS 09:01:44 09:14:31 00:48:57 04:46:25 03:38:40 174
18 16 Paul Hawkins GBR 09:07:53 09:20:49 00:58:32 05:28:49 03:20:17 192
19 17 Kodo Hiramatsu JPN 09:31:33 09:45:02 unrated unrated unrated 276
19 Darren Jenkins USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a
13 Matt Burton AUS n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a
26 Benjamin Williams USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a
11 Matt Bailey AUS n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a
23 Peter Robertson AUS n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a
22 Alex Reithmeier AUS n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a
21 Timothy Molesworth AUS n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a

Female Race Participants

While there are clear favorites in the men’s race, it’s hard to pick a front-runner in the women’s race: There are at least six athletes with very similar ratings and different strengths, and with Bree Wee and Kate Bevilaqua two more Ironman winners.

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating Rank
1 36 Elizabeth Lyles USA 09:22:40 09:35:57 00:58:25 05:22:30 03:09:31 27
2 44 Mareen Hufe GER 09:24:19 09:37:38 01:00:44 05:07:42 03:25:42 32
3 46 Lucie Reed CZE 09:25:31 09:38:52 00:50:31 05:17:35 03:27:56 36
4 45 Rebecca Preston AUS 09:27:16 09:40:39 00:55:32 05:21:11 03:16:47 44
5 31 Rebecca Hoschke AUS 09:29:21 09:42:47 01:00:40 05:16:06 03:21:06 46
6 34 Michelle Bremer NZL 09:29:28 09:42:54 00:57:14 05:17:01 03:27:18 47
7 32 Bree Wee USA 09:35:26 09:49:01 00:53:56 05:17:40 03:30:49 56
8 33 Kate Bevilaqua AUS 09:43:43 09:57:30 00:56:17 05:21:16 03:35:15 73
9 43 Julia Grant NZL 09:49:07 10:03:01 00:57:49 05:28:26 03:27:20 82
10 37 Kat Baker AUS 09:49:30 10:03:25 00:55:08 05:21:38 03:42:20 84
11 38 Melanie Burke NZL 09:58:14 10:12:21 01:10:56 05:26:49 03:30:59 102
12 35 Lisa Marangon AUS 09:59:10 10:13:19 00:54:50 05:22:10 03:42:43 105
13 42 Erin Furness NZL 10:10:32 10:24:57 01:03:27 05:32:06 03:35:23 121
41 Andrea Forrest AUS n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a
40 Dimity-Lee Duke AUS n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a
39 Michelle Duffield AUS n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

  • Andreas Raelert: 54% (1-1)
  • David Dellow: 17% (5-1)
  • Courtney Ogden: 10% (9-1)
  • Luke Bell: 7% (14-1)
  • Martin Jensen: 3% (32-1)
  • Matty White: 3% (37-1)
  • Jeremy Jurkiewicz: 2% (43-1)
  • Jason Shortis: 2% (55-1)

Female Race Participants

  • Lucie Reed: 26% (3-1)
  • Michelle Bremer: 22% (4-1)
  • Rebecca Preston: 19% (4-1)
  • Elizabeth Lyles: 10% (9-1)
  • Kate Bevilaqua: 9% (10-1)
  • Mareen Hufe: 9% (10-1)
  • Rebecca Hoschke: 5% (21-1)

Photo Credits: Jay Prasuhn (2)

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