TriRating – Page 404 – Triathlon. Data. Insights.

IM Louisville 2012 – Analyzing Results

February 26, 2017

Race Conditions

Conditions seemed to be pretty typical for Louisville, an adjustment of 5:09 leads to a new course rating of 3:30 (and continues the recent trend of larger adjustments).

Male Results

Patrick Evoe and Chris McDonald switched first and second place from last year, with Patrick posting the strongest bike by far:

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Actual Time Expected Time

1 Patrick Evoe USA 00:58:15 04:33:31 03:06:01 08:42:44 08:48:22

2 Chris McDonald AUS 00:56:26 04:47:28 03:04:09 08:52:59 08:43:38

3 Thomas Gerlach USA 00:56:19 04:39:52 03:21:33 09:02:42 09:46:52

4 Jason Shortis AUS 00:59:37 04:50:40 03:25:27 09:21:24 08:52:08

5 Thomas Maliszewski USA 01:06:30 05:06:17 03:09:01 09:28:50 n/a

6 Timothy Beardall AUS 01:08:01 04:44:44 03:40:34 09:39:18 n/a

7 Bojan Maric SCG 01:01:02 05:26:38 03:41:31 10:16:11 10:05:55

8 Mike Hermanson USA 00:57:48 05:18:11 03:58:45 10:20:16 n/a

9 Andrew Hodges USA 00:53:10 05:43:14 03:42:23 10:25:07 n/a

10 Reinaldo Oliveira BRA 01:01:04 05:22:02 04:07:49 10:37:16 10:10:46

11 Jared Woodford USA 00:53:57 05:04:56 04:40:55 10:46:03 n/a

Female Results

On the female side, Bree Wee managed to win her first professional IM race, keeping the distance to Jackie Arendt around just a minute or two for the whole run:

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Actual Time Expected Time

1 Bree Wee USA 00:56:21 05:12:18 03:22:03 09:36:27 09:54:00

2 Jackie Arendt USA 00:56:18 05:15:47 03:20:12 09:38:14 09:59:20

3 Terra Castro USA 00:58:18 05:23:22 03:25:57 09:53:27 10:13:19

4 Heather Gollnick USA 00:57:52 05:15:33 03:34:04 09:55:25 09:52:02

5 April Lea Gellatly USA 00:59:33 05:12:42 03:50:39 10:09:45 10:29:20

6 Michelle Gailey AUS 00:58:20 06:04:35 05:35:33 13:02:56 n/a

IM Canada 2012 – Analyzing Results

February 26, 2017

Race Conditions

This year’s IM Canada was pretty fast, an adjustment of 7:20 was quite a bit faster than the new course rating of 3:46. It was the last time the race was held as an “official” Ironman, next year it will be held as a Challenge race on more or less the same course. It’ll be interesting to see if the Challenge brand manages to reverse the decline of the (professional) race, the depth of the field has declined quite a bit from the largest number of (pre-rated) professional athletes from 53 in 2008 down to this year’s 14 athletes.

Male Results

The strongest run put Matthew Russell into first place:

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Actual Time Expected Time

1 Matthew Russell USA 01:03:04 04:48:41 02:53:34 08:48:30 08:58:19

2 Olly Piggin CAN 00:56:51 04:48:43 03:05:25 08:54:17 09:17:25

3 Christian Brader GER 00:57:29 04:48:19 03:09:52 08:58:59 08:53:24

4 Anthony Toth CAN 00:57:23 04:55:37 03:04:25 09:02:07 09:28:59

5 Shanon Stallard NZL 00:57:14 04:56:01 03:05:53 09:03:53 n/a

6 Matthew Sheeks USA 01:03:10 05:00:44 03:02:01 09:09:40 09:12:14

7 Nathan Killam CAN 00:57:05 05:05:21 03:10:09 09:17:00 n/a

8 Scott Tremblay CAN 01:03:07 05:07:00 03:08:23 09:22:06 09:11:00

9 Kyle Marcotte CAN 00:57:16 04:56:45 03:29:24 09:27:32 09:17:53

10 Luke Way CAN 01:01:12 05:00:11 03:25:35 09:30:44 09:40:43

11 Ryan Borger USA 00:57:36 05:19:35 03:40:00 10:01:18 n/a

12 Christopher Bagg USA 00:54:17 04:49:29 04:14:59 10:01:48 09:10:05

13 JC Ramirez USA 01:02:58 05:19:47 05:05:42 11:33:38 n/a

14 Elliot Holtham CAN 00:54:16 04:48:10 05:56:03 11:41:36 n/a

Female Results

Similarly, Gillian Clayton used the best run split to win the race:

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Actual Time Expected Time

1 Gillian Clayton CAN 01:08:32 05:16:51 03:17:08 09:46:07 10:28:14

2 Karen Thibodeau CAN 00:55:41 05:30:09 03:21:43 09:50:52 n/a

3 Janelle Morrison CAN 01:06:46 05:16:47 03:25:57 09:53:20 09:49:25

4 Paolina Allan CAN 01:03:12 05:22:03 03:35:04 10:04:07 10:01:18

5 Alexis Smith USA 00:57:11 05:32:14 03:33:25 10:06:34 n/a

6 Stephanie Ossenbrink CAN 00:57:14 05:09:30 04:05:20 10:15:48 10:19:56

7 Trish Deim USA 01:10:02 05:19:23 03:47:48 10:21:48 10:29:40

8 Monica Dalidowicz CAN 01:02:59 05:29:26 03:47:15 10:24:07 n/a

IM Sweden 2012 – Analyzing Results

February 26, 2017

Race Conditions

According to my calculations, IM Sweden was a medium fast course with an adjustment of 8:45. (This number looks a bit suspicious, and I’m looking into it. Update: I’ve done a pretty involved analysis on how I’m calculation adjustments and course ratings. I noticed that my current algorithm is not very good in dealing with very slow and very fast races and discards a lot of results in these cases as “too far off”. I’m working on improving this, in the meantime 25:00 minutes is a better estimate of IM Sweden’s course rating, i.e. it is a very fast course, probably even faster than Roth or Austria.)

Male Results

On the men’s side, Jan Raphael had a strong race, was in the mix for the whole day and posted the fastest run to finally win another Ironman:

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Actual Time Expected Time

1 Jan Raphael GER 00:48:32 04:26:32 02:45:44 08:04:01 08:29:40

2 Dorian Wagner GER 00:48:38 04:26:31 02:49:49 08:08:06 08:39:52

3 Horst Reichel GER 00:48:16 04:27:09 02:51:00 08:10:12 09:19:21

4 Jonas Djurback SWE 00:48:29 04:26:51 02:52:37 08:10:51 09:08:14

5 Anton Blokhin UKR 00:48:40 04:30:54 02:50:41 08:13:56 08:51:33

6 Andi Boecherer GER 00:48:15 04:26:37 02:56:55 08:15:26 08:32:59

7 Sergio Marques PRT 00:53:17 04:31:35 02:48:20 08:16:21 08:54:39

8 Karl-Johan Danielsson SWE 00:48:45 04:24:20 03:05:09 08:21:04 n/a

9 Teemu Lemmettylae FIN 00:58:39 04:25:48 02:53:39 08:21:51 09:01:10

10 Christophe Bastie FRA 00:52:53 04:27:38 02:58:02 08:21:54 08:45:16

11 Andrey Lyatskiy RUS 00:48:37 04:30:58 03:00:49 08:24:20 08:57:30

12 Jens Groenbek DEN 00:50:28 04:34:36 02:57:40 08:25:26 08:42:56

13 David Naesvik SWE 00:54:47 04:30:17 03:00:59 08:28:53 09:01:20

14 Heinrich Sickl AUT 00:55:23 04:29:37 03:09:34 08:37:43 09:33:49

15 Ted Aas SWE 00:53:31 04:31:14 03:13:02 08:40:47 09:11:24

16 Raul Furtado BRA 00:53:20 04:30:45 03:15:56 08:43:54 08:59:12

17 Jonas Colting SWE 00:50:14 04:34:36 03:13:00 08:45:02 09:41:19

18 Luke Dragstra USA 00:50:41 04:34:13 03:30:39 08:59:07 08:52:17

19 Teemu Kyllonen GBR 01:02:26 04:37:24 03:17:19 09:03:10 n/a

20 Ari Saukko FIN 00:57:54 04:42:43 04:07:15 09:52:29 n/a

21 Marek Nemcik SVK 01:12:30 05:12:31 04:27:19 10:58:00 11:58:35

22 Ivan Kharin RUS 01:12:45 04:46:16 05:22:17 11:26:25 11:15:18

Female Results

The home country was very happy to see a local winner. Again, it took the fastest run to put away the race:

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Actual Time Expected Time

1 Asa Lundström SWE 01:00:17 04:51:45 03:18:19 09:13:27 09:46:47

2 Dana Wagner GER 00:58:55 04:48:47 03:31:30 09:22:32 09:55:40

3 Emi Sakai JPN 01:04:48 04:53:38 03:31:05 09:34:36 10:26:18

4 Rebekka Essmüller GER 00:55:03 04:57:28 03:42:28 09:39:02 10:06:00

5 Helene Malmkvist SWE 01:07:47 04:48:42 04:23:32 10:28:14 n/a

6 Zsuzsanna Harsanyi HUN 01:04:59 05:31:48 04:01:42 10:44:38 10:55:11

7 Conny Dauben GER 01:10:53 05:22:26 04:22:04 11:00:03 10:50:11

IM Mont Tremblant 2012 – Analyzing Results

February 26, 2017

Race Conditions

Mont Tremblant turned out to be a medium fast course with an adjustment of 11:11. There were only 12 rated athletes finishing the race, so this number may change quite a bit in the next years.

Male Results

Romain Guillaume had a commanding lead after the swim and bike, so he could “afford” a 3:09 marathon and still win by about 6 minutes:

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Actual Time Expected Time

1 Romain Guillaume FRA 00:51:22 04:35:17 03:09:09 08:40:48 09:04:38

2 Alejandro Santamaria ESP 00:57:17 04:52:23 02:52:35 08:46:58 08:46:13

3 Matthew Russell USA 01:02:34 04:47:11 02:53:29 08:48:12 08:54:20

4 Martin Lamontagne Lacasse CAN 00:55:05 05:02:16 03:02:15 09:04:59 09:38:59

5 Ryan Cain CAN 00:57:02 04:58:56 03:05:25 09:06:08 09:53:33

6 Brendan Halpin USA 01:06:07 05:07:46 03:18:24 09:37:18 09:17:02

7 Chuck Perreault CAN 00:55:02 05:06:00 03:31:40 09:38:57 n/a

8 Nigel Gray CAN 00:57:06 04:45:02 05:23:52 11:11:19 08:58:48

Female Results

After winning IM Lake Placid about a month ago, Jessie Donavan added another IM title:

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Actual Time Expected Time

1 Jessie Donavan USA 01:07:33 05:06:31 03:11:35 09:30:46 09:35:22

2 Uli Bromme USA 01:04:38 05:14:35 03:17:32 09:42:45 09:50:53

3 Rachel Kiers CAN 01:01:40 05:08:46 03:33:55 09:49:49 10:05:10

4 Marie Danais CAN 00:57:10 05:42:16 03:28:45 10:14:33 10:23:02

5 Katya Meyers USA 01:07:28 05:15:35 03:50:03 10:19:23 10:13:50

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