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Ironman Austria 2023 (June 18th) – Seedings

AustriaPrevious Winners

Year Male Winner Time Female Winner Time
2005 Raynard Tissink (ZAF) 08:14:37 Katherine Allen (AUT) 09:07:04
2006 Marino Vanhoenacker (BEL) 08:07:59 Rebecca Preston (AUS) 09:12:09
2007 Marino Vanhoenacker (BEL) 08:06:39 Edith Niederfriniger (ITA) 09:08:45
2008 Marino Vanhoenacker (BEL) 08:06:11 Sandra Wallenhorst (GER) 08:47:26
2009 Marino Vanhoenacker (BEL) 08:01:38 Bella Bayliss (GBR) 08:50:13
2010 Marino Vanhoenacker (BEL) 07:52:05 Eva Dollinger (AUT) 09:18:50
2011 Marino Vanhoenacker (BEL) 07:45:58 Mary Beth Ellis (USA) 08:43:34
2012 Faris Al-Sultan (GER) 08:11:31 Linsey Corbin (USA) 09:09:58
2013 Andreas Raelert (GER) 07:59:51 Erika Csomor (HUN) 08:59:31
2014 Ivan Rana (ESP) 07:48:43 Linsey Corbin (USA) 08:42:42
2015 Marino Vanhoenacker (BEL) 07:48:45 Eva Wutti (AUT) 08:45:37
2016 Marino Vanhoenacker (BEL) 08:04:18 Mirinda Carfrae (AUS) 08:41:17
2017 Jan Frodeno (GER) 07:57:20 Eva Wutti (AUT) 09:06:25
2018 Michael Weiss (AUT) 08:04:46 Mareen Hufe (GER) 09:00:32
2019 Daniel Baekkegard (DEN) 08:14:26 Daniela Ryf (SUI) 08:52:20
2021 Denis Chevrot (FRA) 07:51:08 Laura Philipp (GER) 08:35:32
2022 Ivan Tutukin (KAZ) 08:17:20    

Last Race’s TOP 3

Male Race Results (2022)

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Ivan Tutukin KAZ 00:52:01 04:31:39 02:47:52 08:17:20
2 Michael Weiss AUT 00:55:06 04:28:33 02:53:41 08:23:56
3 Lukasz Wojt GER 00:46:32 04:25:09 03:10:26 08:29:00

Female Race Results (2021)

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Laura Philipp GER 00:54:19 04:50:09 02:44:48 08:35:32
2 Katharina Grohmann GER 01:05:13 04:59:52 03:08:10 09:20:43
3 Gabriele Maria Obmann AUT 01:00:28 04:59:57 03:14:28 09:22:19

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 07:45:58 Marino Vanhoenacker 2011-07-03
Swim overall 00:42:54 Bart Colpaert 2013-06-30
Bike overall 04:09:29 Rasmus Svenningsson 2021-09-19
Run overall 02:35:18 Denis Chevrot 2021-09-19
Total female 08:35:32 Laura Philipp 2021-09-19
Swim female 00:45:51 Simone Braendli 2014-06-29
Bike female 04:43:35 Daniela Ryf 2019-07-07
Run female 02:44:48 Laura Philipp 2021-09-19

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Austria is 16:37.

Race Adjustments for IM Austria

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Finishers Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2005 26:39 02:52 20:52 02:14 34 26:39 03:33 20:52 02:14
2006 24:19 03:40 14:15 05:47 39 25:29 03:55 17:33 04:01
2007 20:16 03:47 15:44 01:09 32 23:45 03:45 16:57 03:04
2008 28:01 02:48 17:51 06:59 39 24:49 03:36 17:10 04:03
2009 23:47 02:04 17:52 03:52 37 24:36 03:18 17:18 04:00
2010 19:28 01:28 14:46 02:52 36 23:45 03:03 16:53 03:49
2011 27:46 02:24 16:40 08:50 31 24:19 02:57 16:51 04:32
2012 07:02 -02:51 12:41 -02:33 30 22:10 02:12 16:20 03:39
2013 25:31 05:53 13:27 06:13 60 22:32 02:36 16:01 03:56
2014 20:50 03:24 11:21 06:19 56 of 65 22:22 02:40 15:33 04:10
2015 18:26 02:29 10:54 04:59 32 of 46 22:01 02:39 15:07 04:15
2016 13:56 -03:02 11:41 05:43 40 of 51 21:20 02:09 14:50 04:22
2017 09:58 -00:19 07:11 03:22 39 of 46 20:28 01:56 14:15 04:17
2018 06:03 01:06 04:13 01:01 42 of 53 19:26 01:51 13:32 04:03
2019 00:37 -00:36 03:47 -02:09 23 of 33 18:11 01:40 12:53 03:38
2021 12:08 01:05 06:12 05:21 39 of 49 17:48 01:36 12:28 03:45
2022 -02:13 -02:46 02:24 -01:22 12 of 16 16:37 01:19 11:52 03:26

Kona slots and Prize Money

IM Austria has 2m+2f Pro Kona slot(s). It has a total prize purse of 100.000 US$, paying 10 deep.

Male Race Participants

The strength of the field is 11% of a typical Kona field.

# Bib Name Nat Expected Rating ESwim EBike ET2 ERun Consistency
1 5 Alistair Brownlee GBR 07:47:48 08:03:02 00:45:18 04:17:01 05:07:19 02:40:29 83% +17% -0% (3)
2 7 Cameron Wurf AUS 07:53:18 08:11:40 00:49:19 04:05:42 05:00:01 02:53:17 54% +29% -17% (29)
3 1 Ivan Tutukin KAZ 07:59:15 08:15:11 00:47:48 04:23:10 05:15:58 02:43:17 67% +0% -33% (12)
4 6 Mathias Lyngsoe Petersen (KQ) DEN 08:00:14 08:16:55 00:46:48 04:19:44 05:11:33 02:48:41 96% +0% -4% (9)
5 4 Arnaud Guilloux (KQ) FRA 08:00:31 08:27:11 00:47:39 04:14:27 05:07:06 02:53:25 38% +43% -20% (11)
6 2 Michael Weiss AUT 08:02:12 08:24:27 00:52:03 04:17:08 05:14:12 02:48:00 66% +9% -25% (40)
7 17 Stenn Goetstouwers BEL 08:05:20 08:41:32 00:47:05 04:21:14 05:13:19 02:52:01 19% +25% -56% (8)
8 10 David Plese * SLO 08:05:32 08:27:32 00:49:29 04:21:47 05:16:15 02:49:17 80% +1% -19% (41)
9 11 Milan Brons NED 08:07:21 08:31:09 00:47:53 04:17:07 05:10:00 02:57:21 29% +51% -21% (7)
10 13 Andrej Vistica CRO 08:08:40 08:37:59 00:55:32 04:22:57 05:23:29 02:45:11 68% +9% -23% (29)
11 39 Evert Scheltinga NED 08:09:40 08:30:15 00:47:59 04:22:49 05:15:47 02:53:53 67% +0% -33% (14)
12 8 Dylan Magnien * FRA 08:11:39 08:33:05 00:48:11 04:30:17 05:23:27 02:48:12 59% +0% -41% (3)
13 3 Lukasz Wojt GER 08:13:15 08:41:37 00:43:40 04:19:30 05:08:11 03:05:04 59% +0% -41% (9)
14 20 Maximilian Hammerle AUT 08:13:28 08:37:25 00:55:10 04:22:52 05:23:02 02:50:26 81% +0% -19% (9)
15 24 Tobias Drachler GER 08:15:03 08:31:08 00:48:26 04:33:09 05:26:35 02:48:28 79% +10% -11% (5)
16 34 Strahinja Trakic SRB 08:16:16 08:42:25 00:48:03 04:30:51 05:23:55 02:52:21 64% +0% -36% (3)
17 15 Emilio Aguayo Munoz ESP 08:16:28 08:44:58 00:46:41 04:29:38 05:21:19 02:55:09 8% +29% -63% (7)
18 12 Joao Ferreira POR 08:17:08 08:43:54 00:47:52 04:32:28 05:25:21 02:51:47 33% +39% -28% (6)
19 9 Adriano Engelhardt SUI 08:22:03 08:51:03 00:49:50 04:22:53 05:17:43 03:04:20 n/a (1 IM Pro race)
20 32 Christian Birngruber AUT 08:32:44 08:54:47 00:55:26 04:36:27 05:36:52 02:55:52 81% +0% -19% (11)
21 29 Matthias Hohlrieder AUT 08:35:32 09:05:18 00:48:28 04:32:33 05:26:01 03:09:31 n/a (1 IM Pro race)
22 26 Jesper Nybo Riis DEN 08:36:01 08:58:25 01:00:00 04:37:59 05:42:59 02:53:02 73% +0% -27% (8)
23 23 Petr Soukup CZE 08:38:21 09:08:23 00:51:32 04:44:10 05:40:41 02:57:40 26% +74% -0% (2)
24 40 Quentin De Vos * BEL 08:41:26 09:07:36 00:56:38 04:41:36 05:43:13 02:58:13 16% +0% -84% (5)
25 35 Gergo Badar HUN 08:42:23 09:01:12 00:51:21 04:41:05 05:37:26 03:04:57 50% +0% -50% (5)
26 19 Florian Kandutsch AUT 08:43:34 09:04:33 00:54:46 04:41:34 05:41:21 03:02:13 100% +0% -0% (4)
27 30 Zsombor Deak ROM 09:00:16 09:27:43 00:59:27 04:57:33 06:02:00 02:58:16 12% +48% -40% (10)
28 28 Gregor Schreiner GER 09:11:54 09:45:14 00:47:33 04:31:01 05:23:34 03:48:20 51% +0% -49% (2)
29 31 Sebastian Guhr GER 09:15:54 09:44:05 01:05:02 04:45:22 05:55:24 03:20:30 55% +5% -41% (7)
30 21 David Rother GER 09:21:03 09:44:25 01:03:47 04:49:48 05:58:35 03:22:28 100% +0% -0% (3)
31 18 Thomas Angerer AUT 09:31:25 10:02:50 00:55:44 05:04:23 06:05:07 03:26:18 30% +70% -0% (3)
  14 Vincent Van de Walle BEL n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race)
  16 Georg Enzenberger AUT n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated 15% +0% -85% (3)
  22 Franck Guyon FRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race)
  25 Daan Schouten NED n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race)
  27 Tim Van Hemel BEL n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race)
  33 Matthias Tuerk GER n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (1 IM Pro race)
  36 Benjamin Mark Andersen DEN n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (1 IM Pro race)
  37 Tim Meyer GER n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race)
  38 Marijn Markusse NED n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race)
  41 Jan Hoeing GER n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race)

Note: Athletes with a ‘*’ are also registered for another race within 8 days.

Female Race Participants

The strength of the field is 6% of a typical Kona field.

# Bib Name Nat Expected Rating ESwim EBike ET2 ERun Consistency
1 45 Lotte Wilms NED 08:57:03 09:28:03 00:49:30 04:55:04 05:49:35 03:07:28 n/a (1 IM Pro race)
2 51 Jade Nicole Roberts ZAF 09:04:32 09:35:58 00:56:03 04:54:05 05:55:08 03:09:24 n/a (1 IM Pro race)
3 46 Laura Zimmermann (KQ) GER 09:09:04 09:27:46 01:00:25 04:52:35 05:58:00 03:11:04 81% +0% -19% (6)
4 50 Simone Mitchell GBR 09:12:29 09:39:59 00:56:01 05:01:01 06:02:02 03:10:27 43% +0% -57% (4)
5 48 Alexandra Tondeur * BEL 09:12:56 09:34:46 00:57:46 05:03:28 06:06:15 03:06:41 37% +2% -61% (14)
6 47 Gabriele Maria Obmann AUT 09:18:39 09:58:18 01:00:05 04:55:53 06:00:58 03:17:41 46% +0% -54% (3)
7 54 Lisa-Maria Dornauer AUT 09:54:31 10:30:13 00:58:25 05:15:35 06:18:59 03:35:32 23% +0% -77% (3)
8 55 Martine Hoaas NOR 10:52:51 11:30:34 01:05:08 05:50:39 07:00:46 03:52:05 n/a (1 IM Pro race)
  49 Julie Iemmolo FRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race)
  52 Sabrina Exenberger AUT n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race)
  53 Fabia Maramotti ITA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race)

Note: Athletes with a ‘*’ are also registered for another race within 8 days.

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

  • Alistair Brownlee: 64% (1-1)
  • Cameron Wurf: 16% (5-1)
  • Arnaud Guilloux: 7% (13-1)
  • Mathias Lyngsoe Petersen: 5% (18-1)
  • Ivan Tutukin: 4% (25-1)
  • Michael Weiss: 2% (40-1)

Female Race Participants

  • Laura Zimmermann: 23% (3-1)
  • Alexandra Tondeur: 18% (5-1)
  • Simone Mitchell: 18% (5-1)
  • Lotte Wilms: 17% (5-1)
  • Jade Nicole Roberts: 13% (7-1)
  • Gabriele Maria Obmann: 7% (13-1)
  • Lisa-Maria Dornauer: 2% (52-1)

Ironman Hamburg 2023 – Accident

It has taken me some time to sort through what happened at Ironman Hamburg on Sunday, June 4th, when an accident on the bike course lead to one dead person and two more getting injured (but not in critical condition). First of all, I am offering my deep condolences to the family and friends of the moto driver who lost his life in the collision, and I send my best wishes for a speedy and full recovery to the two others who were injured. I tried to keep this post short and to the point, but as you can imagine there are a lot of thoughts swirling around in my head. 

The first part of this post looks at how I was following the race and how the accident occurred from my perspective. (You can find some more perspectives in a Triathlete Magazine post written by Tim Heming: What Happened in The Fatal Crash At Ironman Hamburg.) These first two sections are as factual as possible for me this shortly after the accident, mainly to report the accident and its circumstances for those who have followed the race through the Ironman live stream which almost completely ignored the accident. (This post won’t discuss the train wreck of deleting comments inquiring about what had happened and eventually even completely shutting down comments, and my horror about continuing as if nothing has happened – this has already been covered by others.)

Then I give you my opinion on whether the race should have been stopped, and I finally look at some of the issues to consider to increase the safety and fairness of future races for all participants. My main goal behind the last section is to do my little part to start a discussion that is obviously needed to move our sport forward.

How I Followed the Race

I was working for German television who were showing the race via a live stream on their main sports website and also providing updates and summaries for linear television (such as news and their regular sports program “Sportschau”). My role is called “Commentary Assistant” which means that I was giving data updates to the commentary team and helping the producers with information about race development. It means that I have a similar view to the producers with screens for all cameras and recordings (which may include replays of race scenes to preview before deciding if they go on air). Here’s a view of this “control room” the day before the race:

HH Studio

During the race, I was seeing the accident through screens which was bad enough. It must have been way harder for those who were there on-site, and my thoughts are with them as well.

How the Accident Occurred

The bike course at Ironman Hamburg is a two-loop course with a shorter section through downtown and then a long out-and-back along the river Elbe. The major part of the out-and-back goes southeast for about 25k (so about 50k of the 90k loop) on the road next to the dike, mostly in a rural area. The road is two tight lanes with very few side roads. Once the lead athletes have turned around at the far end (roughly 55k into the loop), there are athletes going in both directions. The course map below shows the rough location of the accident, with the Pros going already North (blue arrow) towards transition and agegroupers still going south:

AccidentLocation

At the time of the accident there were 6 to 9 athletes in the lead group, accompanied by maybe 10 to 12 motos. Here is a screenshot from the live stream shortly before the accident, showing the direction of the Pros (blue arrow) on one side and the age groupers (red arrow) on the other side of the road:

MotosAccident

The accident occurred when a moto was trying to overtake the line of motos who were already riding in the middle of the road. In order to do that, he had to move into the other lane, and he collided head-on with an oncoming agegrouper. Whether that was a human error or caused by a medical issue remains under investigation. The agegrouper and his bike were thrown past the other moto and into the lane the Pros were just riding in, and the accident could easily have been even worse if he had hit a motorcycle or one of the Pros. 

Emergency personnel were quickly on-site and tried to revive the motorcycle driver, but eventually he had to be pronounced dead. The agegrouper and the photographer on the back of the moto were brought to nearby hospitals and as far as I know have not sustained life-threatening injuries.

Reports from people who were just behind the big group of motos indicate that the emergency response was quick, professional and focused on the injured. Some of them stopped and helped to slow down the strings of athletes going in both directions who had to pass with meters of medicals trying to save lives. When a medical helicopter landed, the road was closed completely. From then on, in order to pass the accident site, athletes were forced to dismount their bikes and walk them up the embankment.

UntitledImage

Apparently a plan to shorten the bike course was also discussed, requiring a new turnaround before the accident site but not implemented. (I have no information if this plan was rejected or if its implementation wasn’t possible.)

Should the Race have been Stopped?

Even before the accident, I had serious doubts that the Pro race was fair. The number of motos with the lead group and the draft they created for the athletes must have made it significantly easier for them to ride fast than for others who had to ride alone, creating an unfair advantage for them. (At 55k, the gap of the first group had grown to more than four minutes.) Also, it made it harder (or even impossible) to ride away from the front group, creating a severe disadvantage for the stronger riders in that group. In an interview after the race, Frodo called it a “farce”.

The accident itself also had different implications for the Pros: The lead group heard the accident happen, most had to swerve around the agegrouper and his bike who ended up in their lane. Athletes further behind had to either slow down to pass the accident site on the road or push their bikes past the accident site on the embankment. 

In the second bike loop, the leaders of the Pro race also had to walk their bikes in order to pass the accident. To me, that was “one thing too much” to still care about the outcome of the race, and I believe that the Pro race for a European title, Nizza slots and prize money should have been stopped, e.g. when athletes got back into T2.

I appreciate that the situation might be different for age groupers focused on finishing, maybe letting them continue without officially timing them. The way the race was continued on Sunday, athletes were forced to ride towards a closed road and then had to walk their bikes within meters of an active accident site with ongoing first aid measures. I find it hard to believe that Ironman either thought this was acceptable or that they were not able to implement a better plan.

Increasing the Safety and Fairness of Future Races

In recent years there were a lot of other races (Frankfurt 2021 is just one example of many) which were heavily criticized for the number of motos with the lead group. This has a huge impact on how the race develops: Riding with the motos makes it easier to ride fast, makes it harder to make up time to the leaders if you have to close a gap after the swim and makes it harder (or even impossible) for strong bike riders to ride away from others in that front group.

But Hamburg 2023 was much worse: The situation had moved from “unfair” to “plainly dangerous”. Even before the accident, there were several tight squeezes where motos were way too close to athletes. 

I compare this to a Jenga tower: For some time, you can remove blocks and the tower remains standing. But at some point, remove one additional block and the tower collapses. For a long time, “blocks have been removed”, making the race more and more risky:

  • more athletes, sometimes making it impossible not to draft (i.e. at least 10 meters apart),
  • more motos on the course,
  • multiple loop courses (meaning that Pros in their second loop have to overtake agegroupers in their first loop),
  • courses with out-and-backs (i.e. traffic going in both directions),
  • courses with smaller roads
  • closer races with tighter and bigger groups
  • (I’m sure there are a lot of other factors that could be added.)

In Hamburg, so many blocks had been removed from the Jenga Safety tower that one extra error created the accident. 

Probably athletes complaining about an unfair or unsafe race is a good “early warning indicator” that something is off. We should encourage athletes (esp. Pro athletes) to speak up when they feel things are dangerous or unfair, instead of painting them as “sore losers”. Tim Heming’s article mentioned above has statements from Renee Kiley who raced as a female Pro in Hamburg 2022, and other athletes I have spoken with voiced similar concerns. This year’s men’s race only escalated these problems: While all the Pro women were on their own coming out of T1 in 2022, there were 9 men within 18 seconds at 55k in 2023. (The top 9 women in 2022 were 21 MINUTES apart at that point.)

As a sport, we have to do much better than in Hamburg 2023. Change is sorely needed, now more than ever. If the tragic accident in Hamburg isn’t enough to kick everyone into action, I don’t know what is. Some races have already considered or even announced changes earlier in the year, e.g. Challenge Roth severely reducing the number of motos on their course for this year’s race on June 25th. Some athletes such as Patrick Lange have started to share their ideas on what could be done. I hope that Ironman can take a few first steps for Ironman Frankfurt on July 2nd. I’ll keep an eye on changes in these and other races. But most measures are likely taking some more time to be developed and then implemented. A lot of open discussion of ideas is needed to make progress, and I hope that Ironman is willing to bring their experience in running big events to the discussion. For my part, I’m ready to help where I can and where my input is welcome. I sincerely hope that all involved parties will come together to work towards increased safety and fairness at future races.

Ironman Cairns 2023 (June 18) – Seedings

CairnsRegionalLogoPrevious Winners

Year Male Winner Time Female Winner Time
2011 Chris McCormack (AUS) 08:15:56 Rebekah Keat (AUS) 09:26:31
2012 David Dellow (AUS) 08:15:04 Carrie Lester (AUS) 09:21:00
2013 Luke McKenzie (AUS) 08:17:43 Liz Blatchford (AUS) 09:19:51
2014 Cameron Brown (NZL) 08:20:15 Liz Blatchford (AUS) 09:16:58
2015 Luke McKenzie (AUS) 08:18:01 Liz Blatchford (AUS) 09:11:49
2016 Tim Van Berkel (AUS) 08:15:03 Jodie Cunnama (GBR) 09:06:18
2017 Josh Amberger (AUS) 08:02:17 Sarah Crowley (AUS) 08:58:14
2018 Braden Currie (NZL) 07:54:58 Teresa Adam (NZL) 08:53:16
2019 Braden Currie (NZL) 08:04:19 Teresa Adam (NZL) 08:48:33
2020 Max Neumann (AUS) 08:13:08 Amelia Watkinson (NZL) 09:20:38
2021 Max Neumann (AUS) 07:58:54 Kylie Simpson (AUS) 09:06:34
2022 Max Neumann (AUS) 07:52:53 Sarah Crowley (AUS) 08:59:40

Last Race’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Max Neumann AUS 00:46:38 04:20:42 02:41:12 07:52:53
2 Braden Currie NZL 00:46:38 04:20:08 02:44:32 07:55:09
3 Sam Appleton AUS 00:46:31 04:20:02 02:54:44 08:05:33

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Sarah Crowley AUS 00:53:59 04:48:10 03:12:18 08:59:40
2 Radka Kahlefeldt AUS 00:54:01 04:53:44 03:12:32 09:05:16
3 Kylie Simpson AUS 01:12:36 04:58:59 03:01:58 09:19:21

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 07:52:53 Max Neumann 2022-06-12
Swim overall 00:43:28 Josh Amberger 2021-06-06
Bike overall 04:15:13 Cameron Wurf 2017-06-11
Run overall 02:39:59 Braden Currie 2018-06-10
Total female 08:48:33 Teresa Adam 2019-06-09
Swim female 00:48:39 Lauren Brandon 2018-06-10
Bike female 04:48:10 Sarah Crowley 2022-06-12
Run female 02:53:20 Kylie Simpson 2021-06-06

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Cairns is 05:48.

Race Adjustments for IM Cairns

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Finishers Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2011 06:26 01:41 03:27 01:22 16 06:26 01:37 03:27 01:22
2012 06:48 -00:44 08:46 -01:21 22 06:37 00:30 06:07 00:00
2013 02:58 -01:33 09:25 -05:07 16 05:24 -00:06 07:13 -01:42
2014 04:15 -02:18 03:45 02:45 16 of 21 05:07 -00:39 06:21 -00:36
2015 06:13 01:44 04:22 00:05 16 of 19 05:20 -00:10 05:57 -00:27
2016 -02:45 -00:11 -01:39 00:03 28 of 36 03:59 -00:19 04:42 -00:23
2017 12:13 -01:01 12:00 01:53 29 of 40 05:10 -00:31 05:44 -00:03
2018 13:54 00:22 12:52 01:17 26 of 33 06:15 -00:29 06:37 00:07
2019 01:42 00:11 02:25 -00:05 15 of 19 05:45 -00:30 06:09 00:05
2020 -01:50 00:44 02:06 -04:20 16 of 20 04:59 -00:24 05:45 -00:21
2021 09:28 02:36 04:44 02:30 28 of 32 05:24 -00:10 05:40 -00:06
2022 10:17 -00:04 10:04 00:20 19 of 24 05:48 -00:10 06:02 -00:03

Kona slots and Prize Money

IM Cairns has 4m+4f Pro Kona slot(s). It has a total prize purse of 150.000 US$, paying 10 deep.

Male Race Participants

The strength of the field is 15% of a typical Kona field.

# Bib Name Nat Expected Rating ESwim EBike ET2 ERun Consistency
1 1 Braden Currie (KQ) NZL 07:59:30 08:06:07 00:47:02 04:22:02 05:14:04 02:45:26 74% +3% -23% (17)
2 3 Steven McKenna (KQ) AUS 08:07:00 08:18:42 00:47:56 04:27:26 05:20:23 02:46:37 61% +30% -10% (5)
3 2 Mike Phillips (KQ) NZL 08:07:22 08:14:16 00:48:05 04:22:05 05:15:11 02:52:11 42% +44% -14% (13)
4 7 Nick Kastelein AUS 08:10:19 08:31:21 00:48:04 04:28:20 05:21:24 02:48:55 11% +20% -68% (10)
5 4 Tim Van Berkel (KQ) AUS 08:13:08 08:21:38 00:49:22 04:29:56 05:24:17 02:48:51 55% +21% -25% (36)
6 22 David Plese SLO 08:16:32 08:22:30 00:50:55 04:27:45 05:23:40 02:52:52 80% +1% -19% (41)
7 6 Matt Burton AUS 08:20:35 08:38:01 00:51:59 04:22:58 05:19:57 03:00:38 11% +19% -71% (22)
8 5 Matt Kerr NZL 08:30:52 08:49:25 00:50:32 04:34:27 05:29:59 03:00:53 n/a (1 IM Pro race)
9 9 Ben Phillips NZL 08:33:59 08:41:44 00:49:11 04:35:13 05:29:24 03:04:35 100% +0% -0% (5)
10 24 Fraser Walsh AUS 08:38:08 08:53:30 00:49:33 04:40:47 05:35:20 03:02:48 39% +21% -40% (7)
11 19 Matt Lewis AUS 08:46:20 09:00:01 00:53:09 04:43:30 05:41:39 03:04:41 100% +0% -0% (2)
12 18 Blake Kappler AUS 08:46:30 09:04:10 00:50:39 04:39:25 05:35:04 03:11:26 74% +0% -26% (9)
13 10 Jordan Bryden CAN 08:53:34 09:12:30 00:51:51 04:43:20 05:40:12 03:13:22 43% +52% -5% (13)
14 16 Adam Hansen AUS 08:56:21 09:05:23 00:56:59 04:27:29 05:29:28 03:26:53 60% +0% -40% (5)
15 8 Caleb Noble AUS 08:59:59 09:21:10 00:50:13 04:51:47 05:47:00 03:12:59 4% +73% -23% (3)
16 12 Tuan Chun Chang TWN 09:00:35 09:20:14 00:50:55 04:49:30 05:45:25 03:15:10 n/a (1 IM Pro race)
17 17 Pete Jacobs AUS 09:13:19 09:32:16 00:46:40 04:53:24 05:45:04 03:28:15 3% +3% -95% (32)
18 14 Jason Christie NZL 09:28:50 09:42:43 01:07:43 04:41:52 05:54:35 03:34:15 41% +59% -0% (2)
19 23 Michael Tong NZL 09:31:55 09:52:42 00:54:30 05:00:39 06:00:09 03:31:46 n/a (1 IM Pro race)
  11 Nick Carling AUS n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race)
  15 Nathan Dortmann FRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (1 IM Pro race)
  20 Paul Marchant AUS n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race)
  21 Damien McMahon AUS n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (1 IM Pro race)

Female Race Participants

The strength of the field is 6% of a typical Kona field.

# Bib Name Nat Expected Rating ESwim EBike ET2 ERun Consistency
1 31 Sarah Crowley (KQ) AUS 09:00:12 09:08:09 00:53:24 04:52:40 05:51:03 03:09:09 90% +5% -5% (19)
2 33 Kylie Simpson (KQ) AUS 09:11:17 09:18:53 01:11:38 04:55:07 06:11:45 02:59:32 84% +16% -0% (8)
3 32 Radka Kahlefeldt (KQ) AUS 09:14:24 09:28:11 00:54:02 05:00:55 05:59:57 03:14:27 92% +0% -8% (4)
4 35 Chloe Lane (KQ) AUS 09:19:24 09:38:31 00:54:07 05:02:01 06:01:08 03:18:16 30% +41% -29% (6)
5 34 Penny Slater (KQ) AUS 09:25:08 09:38:12 00:57:55 04:59:55 06:02:50 03:22:18 68% +0% -32% (4)
6 40 Laura Brown AUS 09:44:54 10:03:22 01:01:36 05:19:37 06:26:13 03:18:41 100% +0% -0% (2)
7 37 Shannon Sutton AUS 10:00:29 10:22:01 01:06:15 05:24:07 06:35:22 03:25:07 34% +66% -0% (6)
8 38 Sarah Thomas AUS 10:09:08 10:19:45 01:06:53 05:32:38 06:44:30 03:24:38 83% +0% -17% (6)
9 39 Emily Donker AUS 10:34:51 10:59:33 00:56:51 05:45:14 06:47:06 03:47:45 n/a (1 IM Pro race)
  36 Kate Gillespie-Jones AUS n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race)
  41 Laura Dennis AUS n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated 0% +0% -100% (3)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

  • Braden Currie: 46% (1-1)
  • Mike Phillips: 37% (2-1)
  • Steven McKenna: 6% (14-1)
  • Nick Kastelein: 5% (19-1)
  • Tim Van Berkel: 3% (34-1)

Female Race Participants

  • Sarah Crowley: 65% (1-1)
  • Kylie Simpson: 19% (4-1)
  • Radka Kahlefeldt: 11% (8-1)
  • Chloe Lane: 5% (20-1)

Ironman Brasil 2023 – Analyzing Results

2023 IM Brasil

Nice and Kona Qualifying

IM Brasil had three Pro slots each for Nice and Kona. These will be offered to 

  • Pamella Oliveira, Marian Andrade and Alexandra Watt for the women (Kona)
    and
  • Luciano Taccone, Reinaldo Colucci and Andre Lopes for the men.

You can find the full list of qualifiers on my “Kona 2023” page.

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money
1 Luciano Taccone ARG 00:45:23 (2) 04:21:01 (2) 02:44:20 (1) 07:55:37 -02:34 US$ 3,000
2 Reinaldo Colucci BRA 00:45:25 (4) 04:20:47 (1) 02:49:56 (4) 08:00:43 -03:44 US$ 2,250
3 Andre Lopes BRA 00:45:57 (8) 04:25:54 (4) 02:46:44 (2) 08:03:01 06:00 US$ 1,500
4 Fernando Toldi BRA 00:45:28 (5) 04:30:17 (5) 02:48:27 (3) 08:08:28 11:31 US$ 1,250
5 Yvan Jarrige FRA 00:45:37 (7) 04:30:51 (6) 02:59:03 (7) 08:21:05 -13:29 US$ 1,000
6 Thiago Vinhal BRA 00:46:07 (10) 04:40:21 (8) 02:50:00 (5) 08:23:00 -09:29 US$ 900
7 Danilo Melo BRA 00:58:39 (15) 04:37:07 (7) 02:58:16 (6) 08:40:01 -27:55 US$ 800
8 Paulo Roberto Maciel da Silva BRA 00:45:14 (1) 04:45:08 (10) 03:06:45 (9) 08:43:51 -18:28 US$ 700
9 Bruno Matheus BRA 00:46:01 (9) 05:02:38 (12) 03:01:27 (8) 08:55:16 -14:09 US$ 600
10 Guilherme Manocchio BRA 00:50:09 (11) 04:41:06 (9) 03:37:10 (10) 09:15:09 56:45 US$ 500
11 Gabriel Klein BRA 00:51:38 (13) 04:49:12 (11) 03:45:50 (11) 09:34:38 1:08:49  
  Igor Amorelli BRA 00:45:23 (2) 04:21:06 (3)   DNF    
  Felipe Santos BRA 00:45:33 (6)     DNF    
  Luis Henrique Ohde BRA 00:50:40 (12)     DNF    
  Mario De Elias ARG 00:53:41 (14)     DNF    

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money
1 Pamella Oliveira BRA 00:48:35 (1) 04:50:58 (1) 02:59:38 (1) 08:44:25 -20:07 US$ 3,000
2 Mariana Andrade BRA 00:53:14 (7) 04:59:37 (2) 03:12:13 (3) 09:10:33 -48:50 US$ 2,250
3 Alexandra Watt USA 00:59:33 (9) 05:09:45 (4) 03:12:03 (2) 09:28:42 -17:25 US$ 1,500
4 Brittany Higgins USA 00:58:03 (8) 05:10:48 (5) 03:20:59 (5) 09:37:01 08:02 US$ 1,250
5 Bruna Mahn BRA 00:53:13 (5) 05:18:10 (8) 03:27:10 (7) 09:43:35 15:25 US$ 1,000
6 Bruna Stolf BRA 00:52:49 (2) 05:17:23 (7) 03:31:17 (8) 09:47:38 n/a US$ 900
7 Romina Palacio Balena ARG 00:52:54 (3) 05:22:02 (10) 03:26:53 (6) 09:47:59 39:09 US$ 800
8 Anna Purcell USA 01:11:39 (12) 05:21:09 (9) 03:20:09 (4) 10:01:20 n/a US$ 700
9 Gisele Bertucci BRA 00:53:01 (4) 05:31:45 (11) 03:55:34 (9) 10:27:34 -16:55 US$ 600
  Fernanda Penkal BRA 01:07:34 (10) 05:01:40 (3)   DNF    
  Palmira Alvarez MEX 01:11:23 (11) 05:15:23 (6)   DNF    
  Laura Siddall GBR 00:53:13 (5)     DNF    

Ironman Lanzarote 2023 – Analyzing Results

2023 IMLanzaCourse Conditions

As usual, the finishing times in Lanzarote were very slow compared to other races. This year, conditions were maybe even slower than normal, on average the bike and run performances were the slowest we have seen since 2019. Having said this, it might come as a surprise that we’ve had an almost complete set of course records on the men’s side: Sam Laidlow swam faster Lucy Van Lierde in 2006, but as he DNF’d his course record time does not count. On the bike, Cam Wurf improved the 2010 bike course record set by Maik Twelsiek, then Arthur Horse set a new run course record (which was set only last year by Kenneth Vandendriessche). The first three finishers also posted a faster time than the 2011 course record set by Timo Bracht with winner Arthur Horseau setting the new mark of 8:22, ten minutes faster than Timo.

Nice & Kona Qualifying

Lanzarote offered two male slots (for Nice) and two female slots (for Kona). These go to

  • Arthur Horseau and Niek Heldoorn and Oliver Martinussen for the men
    and
  • Lydia Dant and Liesbeth Verbiest Jeanne Collonge and Hilary Hughes for the women.

Usually, the “rolldown meeting” (where Kona slots are assigned) just confirms the expected slot allocation for the Pros. Occasionally, an athlete declines a slot and it rolls down. At Lanzarote, there was some drama when winner Arthur Horseau was late and the slot rolled down to Oliver Martinussen. (More details in Arthur’s Instagram post and Triathlon Canada Magazine’s article by Kevin Mackinnon who was the announcer for Lanzarote.) There were also a few number of declines (and probably Pros not present) on the women’s side, here the slots rolled down to third place Jeanne Collonge and seventh Hilary Hughes. The full lists of qualifiers are available on my “Kona 2023” page.

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money
1 Arthur Horseau FRA 00:49:22 (6) 04:47:01 (3) 02:39:19 (1) 08:22:30 -35:19 US$ 3,000
2 Niek Heldoorn NED 00:46:59 (2) 04:48:07 (4) 02:43:53 (2) 08:24:47 -43:25 US$ 2,250
3 Cameron Wurf AUS 00:49:15 (4) 04:37:56 (1) 02:56:44 (5) 08:30:16 -19:01 US$ 1,500
4 Jordi Montraveta Moya ESP 00:52:07 (9) 04:57:34 (7) 02:47:47 (3) 08:43:58 -25:02 US$ 1,250
5 Christian Stoerzer GER 00:54:08 (14) 04:59:20 (9) 02:59:15 (8) 08:59:21 n/a US$ 1,000
6 Oliver Martinussen DEN 00:53:36 (12) 05:00:11 (10) 03:03:21 (11) 09:03:46 n/a US$ 900
7 Gonzalo Fuentes ESP 00:52:15 (11) 05:16:29 (15) 02:55:11 (4) 09:10:51 -13:00 US$ 800
8 Alessandro Degasperi ITA 00:49:17 (5) 05:21:04 (18) 02:57:27 (6) 09:14:30 10:37 US$ 700
9 Milosz Sowinski POL 00:49:29 (8) 05:14:33 (13) 03:04:00 (12) 09:15:04 01:46 US$ 600
10 Christopher Dels GER 00:55:00 (15) 05:14:48 (14) 02:59:20 (9) 09:16:14 -16:27 US$ 500
11 Amaury Dehez FRA 00:56:17 (17) 05:13:17 (11) 02:58:51 (7) 09:16:52 -24:52  
12 Seppe Odeyn BEL 01:07:48 (22) 05:13:58 (12) 03:03:20 (10) 09:34:14 -08:19  
13 Thomas Hounjet NED 00:59:50 (18) 05:29:49 (19) 03:10:26 (13) 09:47:49 n/a  
14 Juan Pedro Garcia Ochoa ESP 01:00:18 (20) 05:32:38 (20) 03:11:23 (14) 09:53:22 n/a  
15 Michiel De Wilde NED 00:54:07 (13) 05:19:15 (17) 03:44:37 (15) 10:05:04 18:47  
16 William Mennesson FRA 00:49:13 (3) 04:58:57 (8) 05:17:59 (16) 11:12:47 1:13:04  
  Sam Laidlow FRA 00:46:06 (1) 04:44:09 (2)   DNF    
  Andreas Dreitz GER 00:49:22 (6) 04:52:40 (5)   DNF    
  Kenneth Vandendriessche BEL 00:52:11 (10) 04:55:16 (6)   DNF    
  Thomas Bosch GER 01:00:03 (19) 05:17:13 (16)   DNF    
  Sybren Baelde BEL 01:15:16 (23) 06:43:54 (21)   DNF    
  Marcel Bischof GER 00:56:12 (16)     DNF    
  Alejandro Jimenez Valverde ESP 01:01:30 (21)     DNF    

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money
1 Lydia Dant GBR 00:58:35 (1) 05:31:24 (1) 03:21:27 (5) 09:59:12 15:18 US$ 3,000
2 Liesbeth Verbiest BEL 01:03:31 (7) 05:44:29 (2) 03:09:19 (1) 10:06:09 n/a US$ 2,250
3 Jeanne Collonge FRA 00:58:35 (1) 05:45:12 (3) 03:29:19 (7) 10:20:52 -03:36 US$ 1,500
4 Heleen Moes NED 01:03:28 (5) 06:01:23 (6) 03:17:19 (3) 10:30:12 n/a US$ 1,250
5 Petra Eggenschwiler SUI 01:09:10 (9) 05:53:17 (4) 03:19:09 (4) 10:32:37 09:38 US$ 1,000
6 Lenny Ramsey NED 01:12:28 (10) 06:03:00 (8) 03:11:39 (2) 10:37:05 03:39 US$ 900
7 Hilary Hughes IRL 01:03:28 (5) 06:06:42 (9) 03:28:50 (6) 10:48:26 07:03 US$ 800
8 Lina-Kristin Schink GER 01:03:05 (4) 05:54:21 (5) 04:22:30 (8) 11:27:49 59:01 US$ 700
  Camille Deligny FRA 01:06:29 (8) 06:02:55 (7)   DNF    
  Alexandra Tondeur BEL 00:58:43 (3)     DNF    
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