IM Austria 2011 – Predictions (Details Post)

Male Race Participants

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Rank
1 Marino Vanhoenacker BEL 08:02:55 08:21:59 3
2 Tom Lowe GBR 08:04:45 08:23:54 5
3 Michael Weiss AUT 08:18:18 08:37:59 18
4 Jozsef Major HUN 08:28:54 08:49:00 60
5 Stephen Bayliss GBR 08:30:33 08:50:43 70
6 Georg Swoboda AUT 08:31:16 08:51:28 76
7 Jose Luis Villanueva ESP 08:35:28 08:55:49 91
8 Anton Blokhin UKR 08:42:32 09:03:10 128
9 Dominik Berger AUT 08:43:27 09:04:07 133
10 Ernst Moser AUT 08:46:41 09:07:29 144
11 Max Renko Aus 08:48:09 09:09:00 150
12 Markus Ressler AUT 08:49:23 09:10:17 158
13 Balazs Csoke HUN 08:51:49 09:12:49 177
14 Sebastian Pedraza ITA 08:52:48 09:13:51 182
15 Paul Westwood NZL 08:58:24 09:19:40 236
16 Markus Strini AUT 08:59:03 09:20:20 240
17 Lukas Vrobel CZE 09:00:38 09:21:59 253
18 Andreas Wolpert GER 09:00:39 09:22:00 254
19 Toby Radcliffe GBR 09:03:18 09:24:45 275
20 Markus Mlinar AUT 09:18:41 09:40:45 379
21 Marcel Bischof GER 09:21:04 09:43:14 391
22 Heinrich Sickl AUT 09:24:06 09:46:23 413
23 Stefano Paoli ITA 09:27:31 09:49:56 432
24 Sandi Ivancic SLO 09:27:31 09:49:56 432
25 Matjaz Kovac SVN 09:34:49 09:57:31 480
26 Jerzy Kasemier NLD 09:36:38 09:59:24 490
27 Gergely Nagy HUN 10:12:05 10:36:15 667
28 Marek Nemcik SVK 11:49:20 12:17:21 790
29 Jules Hatcher GBR n/a unrated n/a
30 Michal Kulich SVK n/a unrated n/a
31 Dorian Wagner GER n/a unrated n/a
32 Marco Albert EST n/a unrated n/a
33 Flo Kriegl AUT n/a unrated n/a

Female Race Participants

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Rank
1 Erika Csomor HUN 09:15:12 09:37:08 22
2 Heleen Bij De Vaate NLD 09:21:29 09:43:39 40
3 Edith Niederfriniger ITA 09:27:35 09:50:00 52
4 Eva Dollinger AUT 09:30:36 09:53:08 58
5 Fernanda Keller BRA 09:49:42 10:12:59 119
6 Barbara Tesar AUT 09:49:47 10:13:05 120
7 Kristin Lie NOR 09:53:02 10:16:27 128
8 Nicole Woysch GER 10:07:22 10:31:21 171
9 Monika Stadlmann AUT 10:25:13 10:49:55 209
10 Svetlana Blazevic SCG 10:37:27 11:02:38 234
11 Joyce Wolfe IRL n/a unrated n/a
12 Anja Ippach GER n/a unrated n/a
13 Simone Helfenschneider-Ofner AUT n/a unrated n/a

Results for Marino Vanhoenacker (BEL)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 08:13:14 08:15:53 08:21:59 3
IM Austria 2010-07-04 07:52:05 08:10:01 08:23:12 1
IM Austria 2009-07-05 08:01:38 08:16:30 08:26:10 1
IM South Africa 2009-04-05 08:17:32 08:27:06 08:28:09 1
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 08:53:14 08:52:55 08:28:24 22
IM Austria 2008-07-13 08:06:11 08:23:05 08:22:06 1
IM Hawaii 2007-10-13 08:23:31 08:24:18 08:21:48 5
IM Austria 2007-07-08 08:06:39 08:17:54 08:20:57 1
IM Hawaii 2006-10-21 08:24:17 08:21:58 08:22:21 6
IM Austria 2006-07-16 08:04:29 08:15:36 08:22:34 1
IM Florida 2005-11-05 08:28:26 08:31:05 08:31:05 1

Results for Tom Lowe (GBR)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Arizona 2010-11-21 08:11:44 08:23:54 08:23:54 3

Results for Michael Weiss (AUT)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 08:29:15 08:31:59 08:37:59 13
IM Austria 2010-07-04 08:14:50 08:33:38 08:40:19 3
IM St. George 2010-05-01 08:40:08 08:35:54 08:44:07 1
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 08:55:54 08:53:45 08:53:45 25

Results for Jozsef Major (HUN)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Texas 2011-05-21 08:24:17 08:31:54 08:49:00 5
IM Arizona 2010-11-21 08:26:15 08:38:46 08:51:42 5
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 08:40:46 08:43:34 08:53:44 22
IM St. George 2010-05-01 09:16:04 09:11:32 08:55:35 9
Challenge Roth 2009-07-12 08:38:37 09:01:05 08:52:33 21
IM Arizona 2008-11-23 08:21:34 08:27:03 08:51:03 4
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 09:08:12 09:07:52 08:55:13 37
IM France 2008-06-22 08:57:45 09:02:23 08:52:39 7
IM Arizona 2008-04-13 08:34:19 08:39:00 08:50:27 1
IM Hawaii 2007-10-13 08:51:44 08:52:34 08:53:35 22
IM Switzerland 2007-06-24 08:40:01 08:52:57 08:53:54 3
IM Arizona 2007-04-15 08:42:42 08:45:46 08:54:16 5
IM Florida 2006-11-04 08:48:17 08:56:25 08:59:21 7
IM France 2006-06-24 08:54:42 09:02:36 09:02:36 4

Results for Stephen Bayliss (GBR)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM UK 2010-08-01 08:46:19 08:53:39 08:50:43 2
IM Austria 2010-07-04 08:31:07 08:50:32 08:50:28 6
IM South Africa 2010-04-25 08:40:28 08:48:37 08:50:27 5
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 09:19:56 09:17:42 08:50:38 47
IM UK 2009-08-02 08:48:30 08:46:00 08:48:17 2
IM Austria 2009-07-05 08:17:06 08:32:26 08:48:30 3
IM Lanzarote 2009-05-23 09:02:15 08:59:32 08:50:02 5
IM South Africa 2009-04-05 08:47:26 08:57:35 08:49:04 4
IM New Zealand 2009-03-07 08:38:29 08:48:13 08:48:08 6
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 08:49:38 08:49:19 08:48:08 18
IM UK 2008-09-07 08:53:59 08:53:00 08:47:59 1
IM Austria 2008-07-13 08:13:53 08:31:03 08:47:20 2
IM South Africa 2008-04-13 08:18:23 08:26:36 08:49:39 1
IM New Zealand 2008-03-01 08:37:03 08:45:00 08:53:08 4
IM Florida 2007-11-03 08:30:59 08:46:33 08:54:32 4
IM UK 2007-08-19 08:38:09 08:44:24 08:56:01 2
IM Brasil 2007-05-27 08:37:03 08:48:06 08:58:28 5
IM Florida 2006-11-04 08:43:41 08:51:44 09:01:02 4
IM Arizona 2006-04-09 09:00:38 09:02:58 09:03:31 14
IM Brasil 2006-01-01 08:35:01 08:41:49 09:03:40 4
IM Florida 2005-11-05 08:47:06 08:49:51 09:11:45 6
IM UK 2005-08-21 09:15:14 09:01:57 09:23:45 4
IM Lanzarote 2005-06-04 09:46:55 09:46:55 09:46:55 12

Results for Georg Swoboda (AUT)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Florida 2008-11-01 08:31:57 08:50:37 08:51:28 8
IM Austria 2006-07-16 08:41:32 08:53:30 08:52:25 14
IM Austria 2005-07-03 08:50:57 08:50:57 08:50:57 16

Results for Jose Luis Villanueva (ESP)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Austria 2010-07-04 08:23:04 08:42:11 08:55:49 5
IM Hawaii 2007-10-13 09:28:37 09:29:30 09:05:25 58
IM Brasil 2007-05-27 08:59:14 09:10:45 08:53:58 10
Challenge Roth 2006-06-24 08:33:58 08:46:16 08:41:31 10
IM Austria 2005-07-03 08:35:13 08:35:13 08:35:13 8

Results for Anton Blokhin (UKR)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Austria 2010-07-04 08:43:17 09:03:10 09:03:10 12

Results for Dominik Berger (AUT)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM South Africa 2011-04-10 08:52:24 09:04:07 09:04:07 11

Results for Ernst Moser (AUT)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM St. George 2011-05-07 09:14:35 09:16:46 09:07:29 11
IM Canada 2010-08-29 08:53:49 09:04:16 09:04:22 11
IM Austria 2010-07-04 08:40:51 09:00:38 09:04:24 11
IM Austria 2009-07-05 08:43:20 08:59:29 09:06:34 14
IM Austria 2008-07-13 08:47:03 09:05:23 09:11:56 16
IM Austria 2007-07-08 09:08:01 09:20:42 09:20:42 19

Results for Max Renko (Aus)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Austria 2010-07-04 08:34:57 08:54:31 09:09:00 9
IM South Africa 2010-04-25 08:51:19 08:59:38 09:15:00 7
IM Lanzarote 2009-05-23 09:42:04 09:39:09 09:24:55 21
IM Austria 2007-07-08 08:54:51 09:07:13 09:11:00 14
IM Austria 2006-07-16 09:03:33 09:16:01 09:16:01 30

Results for Markus Ressler (AUT)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Wisconsin 2010-09-12 11:50:02 11:53:31 09:10:17 19
IM Arizona 2009-11-22 08:46:47 08:59:12 09:10:17 12
IM Lanzarote 2008-05-24 09:12:33 09:09:53 09:16:44 6
IM Hawaii 2007-10-13 09:41:35 09:42:30 09:20:53 69
IM Canada 2007-08-26 08:57:17 08:58:27 08:58:27 8

Results for Balazs Csoke (HUN)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM South Africa 2011-04-10 08:43:06 08:54:36 09:12:49 10
IM Switzerland 2010-07-25 08:57:19 09:08:49 09:23:11 11
IM Switzerland 2009-07-12 09:21:19 09:35:31 09:35:38 16
IM Switzerland 2007-06-24 09:21:53 09:35:51 09:35:51 16

Results for Sebastian Pedraza (ITA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Texas 2011-05-21 09:16:38 09:25:02 09:13:51 18
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 09:06:43 09:09:39 09:11:26 44
IM Switzerland 2009-07-12 08:56:34 09:10:08 09:11:50 13
IM South Africa 2009-04-05 09:03:19 09:13:46 09:12:08 9
IM Florida 2008-11-01 08:37:44 08:56:37 09:11:48 11
IM Austria 2008-07-13 09:04:31 09:23:27 09:15:07 22
IM Brasil 2008-05-25 09:05:19 09:15:06 09:13:02 10
IM Hawaii 2007-10-13 09:42:56 09:43:51 09:12:23 73
IM Brasil 2007-05-27 08:33:17 08:44:15 09:01:00 4
IM Florida 2006-11-04 08:55:58 09:04:13 09:09:03 11
IM Brasil 2006-01-01 08:45:46 08:52:43 09:12:23 9
IM Brasil 2005-05-28 09:35:44 09:35:44 09:35:44 13

Results for Paul Westwood (NZL)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
Challenge Wanaka 2010-01-16 09:17:22 09:21:55 09:19:40 7
Challenge Roth 2009-07-12 09:00:17 09:23:41 09:18:49 30
IM New Zealand 2009-03-07 09:03:13 09:13:25 09:16:29 11
IM New Zealand 2008-03-01 09:08:24 09:16:50 09:18:49 12
IM New Zealand 2007-03-03 09:17:17 09:21:28 09:21:28 10

Results for Markus Strini (AUT)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM St. George 2011-05-07 10:10:48 10:13:13 09:20:20 17
IM Florida 2010-11-06 09:03:21 09:19:43 09:12:11 20
IM Austria 2010-07-04 08:44:25 09:04:20 09:11:01 14
IM St. George 2010-05-01 09:25:50 09:21:13 09:12:06 11
IM Wisconsin 2009-09-13 09:20:37 09:20:10 09:10:26 12
IM Lake Placid 2009-07-26 09:23:08 09:23:13 09:08:41 10
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 09:04:31 09:04:12 09:05:39 32
IM Austria 2008-07-13 08:39:17 08:57:20 09:05:56 12
IM Hawaii 2007-10-13 09:16:10 09:17:02 09:07:54 44
IM UK 2007-08-19 08:52:10 08:58:35 09:05:51 6
IM Australia 2007-04-08 09:07:22 09:09:43 09:07:51 8
IM Wisconsin 2006-09-10 09:32:38 09:20:23 09:07:14 4
IM Austria 2006-07-16 08:47:11 08:59:17 09:02:05 15
IM Arizona 2006-04-09 09:08:24 09:10:46 09:03:45 18
IM Austria 2005-07-03 08:55:01 08:55:01 08:55:01 17

Results for Lukas Vrobel (CZE)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Brasil 2009-05-31 09:53:56 10:08:33 09:21:59 22
IM Austria 2007-07-08 08:38:18 08:50:17 09:01:09 9
IM Arizona 2007-04-15 08:58:38 09:01:48 09:04:57 9
IM Austria 2006-07-16 08:39:58 08:51:54 09:06:29 13
IM Hawaii 2005-10-15 09:48:40 09:48:26 09:15:54 79
IM Austria 2005-07-03 08:40:35 08:40:35 08:40:35 10

Results for Andreas Wolpert (GER)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
Challenge Roth 2010-07-18 08:53:53 09:13:55 09:22:00 13
IM Lanzarote 2009-05-23 09:23:15 09:20:26 09:25:16 14
Challenge Roth 2008-07-13 08:56:33 09:19:24 09:27:15 20
IM Lanzarote 2008-05-24 09:37:22 09:34:34 09:30:54 17
Challenge Roth 2007-06-24 08:58:43 09:21:55 09:27:55 19
IM Wisconsin 2005-09-11 09:53:49 09:37:57 09:37:57 14

Results for Toby Radcliffe (GBR)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM South Africa 2011-04-10 09:01:17 09:13:11 09:24:45 13
IM Florida 2010-11-06 09:01:02 09:17:20 09:27:08 19
IM UK 2010-08-01 09:25:28 09:33:21 09:29:19 6
IM Arizona 2009-11-22 09:12:44 09:25:45 09:28:16 18
IM UK 2009-08-02 09:33:49 09:31:06 09:28:57 11
IM Florida 2008-11-01 09:05:41 09:25:35 09:28:15 24
IM UK 2008-09-07 09:30:36 09:29:33 09:29:13 6
IM UK 2007-08-19 09:15:21 09:22:03 09:29:02 14
IM Austria 2007-07-08 09:16:25 09:29:17 09:33:40 21
IM Austria 2005-07-03 09:41:28 09:41:28 09:41:28 29

Results for Markus Mlinar (AUT)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Austria 2009-07-05 09:23:22 09:40:45 09:40:45 24

Results for Marcel Bischof (GER)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM South Africa 2011-04-10 09:32:47 09:45:23 09:43:14 21
IM Germany 2010-07-04 09:27:19 09:40:29 09:41:21 17
IM Germany 2007-07-01 09:28:31 09:43:26 09:43:26 20

Results for Heinrich Sickl (AUT)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM South Africa 2011-04-10 10:08:14 10:21:37 09:46:23 22
IM Arizona 2010-11-21 09:01:31 09:14:55 09:37:38 16
IM Arizona 2008-11-23 09:32:21 09:38:36 09:44:08 32
IM Canada 2008-08-24 09:16:53 09:22:27 09:45:11 21
IM Lanzarote 2008-05-24 09:47:30 09:44:39 09:50:09 23
IM Wisconsin 2007-09-09 09:42:46 09:42:42 09:51:33 16
IM Florida 2006-11-04 09:56:35 10:05:46 09:53:52 34
IM Austria 2006-07-16 09:46:40 10:00:08 09:50:47 36
IM Lanzarote 2006-05-20 09:50:20 09:45:54 09:47:53 18
IM Florida 2005-11-05 09:21:53 09:24:49 09:48:44 20
IM Switzerland 2005-07-15 09:59:49 10:04:49 10:02:18 22
IM Arizona 2005-04-09 09:59:34 09:59:34 09:59:34 25

Results for Stefano Paoli (ITA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Switzerland 2007-06-24 09:08:13 09:21:51 09:49:56 13
IM France 2005-06-19 10:23:41 10:23:41 10:15:08 15
IM Lanzarote 2005-06-04 10:06:29 10:06:29 10:06:29 20

Results for Sandi Ivancic (SLO)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Austria 2010-07-04 09:23:41 09:45:06 09:49:56 28
IM Austria 2009-07-05 09:38:32 09:56:23 09:56:23 29

Results for Matjaz Kovac (SVN)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Arizona 2010-11-21 10:07:28 10:22:29 09:57:31 34
IM Wisconsin 2010-09-12 09:32:03 09:34:51 09:53:14 15
IM Austria 2010-07-04 09:29:03 09:50:40 09:56:48 29
IM Lanzarote 2010-05-22 10:16:55 10:15:17 09:58:11 20
IM Canada 2009-08-30 09:16:22 09:21:22 09:53:25 14
IM Lake Placid 2009-07-26 10:04:22 10:04:28 10:02:47 16
IM Lanzarote 2009-05-23 09:45:36 09:42:40 10:02:07 23
IM Lanzarote 2008-05-24 10:11:43 10:08:45 10:13:56 30
IM Hawaii 2006-10-21 09:45:44 09:43:02 10:18:16 75
IM Lanzarote 2006-05-20 11:03:01 10:58:02 10:58:02 34

Results for Jerzy Kasemier (NLD)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Lanzarote 2011-05-21 10:40:15 10:35:24 09:59:24 15
IM Arizona 2010-11-21 09:27:10 09:41:12 09:48:33 28
IM Coeur d’Alene 2010-06-27 09:52:43 10:01:38 09:51:08 16
IM South Africa 2010-04-25 09:47:54 09:57:06 09:46:19 17
IM Austria 2009-07-05 09:19:40 09:36:56 09:37:54 21
IM Florida 2007-11-03 09:22:21 09:39:29 09:39:29 36

Results for Gergely Nagy (HUN)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Wisconsin 2010-09-12 10:04:07 10:07:05 10:36:15 16
IM Switzerland 2010-07-25 10:56:20 11:10:23 10:50:04 25
IM Wisconsin 2009-09-13 10:51:50 10:51:19 10:33:02 21
IM Switzerland 2007-06-24 09:43:52 09:58:23 09:58:23 19

Results for Marek Nemcik (SVK)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM New Zealand 2010-03-06 12:21:51 12:35:22 12:17:21 13
IM Arizona 2009-11-22 12:13:01 12:30:17 12:08:49 28
IM Florida 2008-11-01 10:48:33 11:12:12 11:52:12 43
IM Florida 2007-11-03 12:22:51 12:45:28 12:45:28 57

Results for Jules Hatcher (GBR)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Michal Kulich (SVK)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Dorian Wagner (GER)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Marco Albert (EST)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Flo Kriegl (AUT)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Erika Csomor (HUN)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Arizona 2010-11-21 09:22:38 09:36:33 09:37:08 6
IM Florida 2010-11-06 09:14:40 09:31:22 09:37:13 2
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 09:39:53 09:43:00 09:38:06 17
IM France 2010-06-27 09:36:08 09:51:18 09:37:14 2
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 10:08:25 10:05:59 09:34:33 26
Challenge Roth 2009-07-12 08:59:42 09:23:05 09:28:44 4
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 09:24:49 09:24:29 09:29:54 4
Challenge Roth 2008-07-13 08:47:05 09:09:31 09:31:00 2
IM Arizona 2008-04-13 09:14:49 09:19:52 09:35:58 1
IM Hawaii 2007-10-13 09:39:47 09:40:41 09:40:23 10
IM Lake Placid 2007-07-22 09:53:44 09:48:57 09:40:18 3
Challenge Roth 2007-06-24 09:09:32 09:33:12 09:36:43 4
Challenge Roth 2006-06-24 09:27:47 09:41:22 09:39:07 4
IM Australia 2006-05-11 09:39:12 09:36:47 09:36:47 4

Results for Heleen Bij De Vaate (NLD)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Arizona 2010-11-21 09:29:15 09:43:20 09:43:39 8
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 09:27:02 09:30:05 09:43:43 9
IM Switzerland 2010-07-25 09:23:50 09:35:54 09:47:08 2
IM Arizona 2008-11-23 09:21:06 09:27:14 09:50:36 1
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 10:12:00 10:11:38 09:56:06 25
IM Lanzarote 2008-05-24 10:12:10 10:09:12 09:51:31 2
IM Florida 2007-11-03 09:07:40 09:24:21 09:45:10 2
IM South Africa 2007-03-18 09:58:25 09:57:01 09:54:21 5
IM Hawaii 2006-10-21 09:42:12 09:39:31 09:52:48 13
IM Germany 2006-07-23 09:55:14 10:07:04 10:07:04 6

Results for Edith Niederfriniger (ITA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 10:18:29 10:21:49 09:50:00 30
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 09:55:48 09:53:25 09:43:15 15
IM Coeur d’Alene 2009-06-21 09:56:44 10:02:31 09:41:20 8
IM Arizona 2008-11-23 09:28:09 09:34:22 09:36:54 3
IM Austria 2008-07-13 08:59:45 09:18:31 09:37:26 3
IM South Africa 2008-04-13 09:27:53 09:37:15 09:42:01 2
IM Hawaii 2007-10-13 09:50:58 09:51:54 09:43:23 15
IM Austria 2007-07-08 09:08:45 09:21:27 09:40:32 1
IM South Africa 2007-03-18 09:47:02 09:45:40 09:49:08 2
IM France 2006-06-24 09:56:32 10:05:21 09:51:35 1
IM Austria 2005-07-03 09:33:21 09:33:21 09:33:21 1

Results for Eva Dollinger (AUT)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM South Africa 2011-04-10 10:00:24 10:13:36 09:53:08 10
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 09:47:09 09:50:18 09:44:08 21
IM Austria 2010-07-04 09:18:50 09:40:04 09:40:19 1
IM Austria 2009-07-05 09:23:17 09:40:40 09:40:40 4

Results for Fernanda Keller (BRA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Brasil 2011-05-29 09:48:03 10:12:33 10:12:59 5
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 10:37:44 10:35:11 10:13:07 38
IM Brasil 2009-05-31 09:54:11 10:08:49 10:08:12 6
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 10:43:16 10:42:53 10:08:02 38
IM Hawaii 2007-10-13 10:25:03 10:26:02 09:58:47 39
IM Brasil 2007-05-27 09:29:29 09:41:39 09:52:01 4
IM Hawaii 2006-10-21 09:50:35 09:47:52 09:54:59 17
IM Austria 2006-07-16 09:44:06 09:57:30 09:57:15 7
IM Brasil 2006-01-01 09:51:39 09:59:28 09:57:09 5
IM Hawaii 2005-10-15 10:10:30 10:10:15 09:55:51 33
IM Brasil 2005-05-28 09:39:46 09:39:46 09:39:46 2

Results for Barbara Tesar (AUT)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Austria 2010-07-04 09:43:27 10:05:37 10:13:05 3
IM Switzerland 2009-07-12 09:59:47 10:14:57 10:17:04 10
IM Austria 2008-07-13 09:45:55 10:06:17 10:18:30 10
IM Austria 2006-07-16 10:20:18 10:34:32 10:30:56 14
IM Austria 2005-07-03 10:26:05 10:26:05 10:26:05 10

Results for Kristin Lie (NOR)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
Challenge Roth 2010-07-18 09:41:05 10:02:53 10:16:27 5
IM Florida 2009-11-07 10:01:00 10:21:17 10:21:23 11
IM Wisconsin 2009-09-13 10:20:58 10:20:29 10:21:26 7
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 10:25:26 10:25:04 10:22:05 31
IM Brasil 2008-05-25 10:07:52 10:18:46 10:18:46 3

Results for Nicole Woysch (GER)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Lanzarote 2011-05-21 10:52:01 10:47:05 10:31:21 6
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 10:51:20 10:54:50 10:25:36 41
IM Lanzarote 2010-05-22 10:11:18 10:09:41 10:12:41 2
IM Austria 2009-07-05 09:29:37 09:47:11 10:14:40 5
IM Lanzarote 2009-05-23 10:46:19 10:43:05 10:43:05 8

Results for Monika Stadlmann (AUT)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Austria 2009-07-05 11:45:45 12:07:32 10:49:55 13
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 10:52:26 10:52:03 10:30:27 39
IM UK 2008-09-07 10:35:27 10:34:17 10:24:57 5
IM France 2008-06-22 10:36:13 10:41:41 10:21:52 7
IM Austria 2007-07-08 10:02:11 10:16:07 10:12:57 10
IM Austria 2006-07-16 09:58:05 10:11:48 10:11:18 12
IM Hawaii 2005-10-15 10:19:42 10:19:27 10:10:58 35
IM Austria 2005-07-03 10:01:46 10:01:46 10:01:46 7

Results for Svetlana Blazevic (SCG)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Australia 2009-04-05 10:56:33 11:02:38 11:02:38 13

Results for Joyce Wolfe (IRL)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Anja Ippach (GER)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Simone Helfenschneider-Ofner (AUT)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

IM Coeur d’Alene 2011 – Analyzing Results

Race Conditions

Coeur d’Alene is usually a medium-fast course, with a course rating of 3:49 a bit slower than IM France (7:53). This year, however, conditions in CdA were pretty good (adjustment of 5:52), even better than this year’s IM France (adjustment of 4:35).

Male Results

A few late entries to the race (notably Craig Alexander and Tom Evans) made the race at the top a lot more interesting. Crowie ticked the box of validating his Kona spot with an IM race outside of Kona in a convincing fashion. In a pretty close race Maik Twelsiek pushed him to a CdA course record:

Rank Name Nation Actual Time Expected Time
1 Craig Alexander AUS 08:19:48 08:15:40
2 Maik Twelsiek GER 08:24:59 08:34:54
3 Tom Evans CAN 08:49:54 08:34:09
4 Brian Hadley USA 09:02:44 n/a
5 Adam Jensen USA 09:05:42 10:02:05
6 Tim Snow USA 09:12:04 09:25:40
7 Billy Edwards USA 09:13:13 09:24:43
8 Kyle Pawlaczyk USA 09:19:50 09:44:18
9 Olly Piggin CAN 09:22:24 09:19:18
10 Scott Tremblay CAN 09:23:36 n/a
11 Brendan Halpin USA 09:34:19 09:37:47
12 Juan Carlos Ramirez USA 09:37:55 09:55:35
13 Lewis Elliot USA 09:51:45 09:36:42
14 Matt Shryock   10:17:38 n/a
15 Arland Macasieb PHL 10:24:40 10:07:44
16 Cesar Valera VEN 10:27:50 09:35:29

Expected time is based on athlete’s rating (prior to race) and race conditions.

Even though Crowie won this race, he was a bit slower than his rating predicted, and as consequence slipped to forth spot in the overall ratings. (I’ll update the TOP10 ratings page after IM Austria, when new 3rd Marino Vanhoenacker  has his next race.

Maik Twelsiek continued to improve his rating, he has two second spots this year, both times being passed pretty late in the run, but holding on for second just a few minutes behind first place. He still has to post his first sub-3h marathon, I’m looking forward to Kona – if he manages to crack 3 hours there he’ll be a safe bet for a top 10 finish there.

Craig and Maik were way in front of everyone else, Tom Evans came in third almost half an hour back, and he was more than 10 minutes clear of forth spot.

Female Results

On the female side, we had another athlete “ticking the box”: Julie Dibens finished her second Ironman, secured her Kona spot and won in convincing fashion:

Rank Name Nation Actual Time Expected Time
1 Julie Dibens USA 09:16:40 09:06:26
2 Caitlin Snow USA 09:29:18 09:39:20
3 Logan Franks   09:34:58 09:19:37
4 Haley Cooper USA 09:56:21 10:08:52
5 Caroline Gregory USA 10:05:53 n/a
6 Desiree Ficker USA 10:10:42 10:15:18

Expected time is based on athlete’s rating (prior to race) and race conditions.

Julie could afford to walk a bit on the run (she twittered that she officially know what a bonk feels like now) and still was more than 10 minutes ahead of Caitlin Snow. With her second IM result, Julie is also eligible for the top 10 ratings and comes in 3rd place for now (after Chrissie and Rinnie). As usual, IM Hawaii is shaping up to be a very interesting field!

IM France 2011 – Analyzing Results

Ironman race season in Europe has really started! The first race on the “mainland” was IM France, and in the next weeks Austria, Switzerland and Germany are going to follow (predictions for these races are going to be up soon). This post looks at the results of IM France.

Race Conditions

The conditions in France seem to have been quite hard, I’ve only got an adjustment of 4:35, leading to a new course rating of 7:53 – i.e. this year’s race was 3 1/2 minutes slower than what is typical for France.

Male Results

Five-time winner Marcel Zamora was not able to defend his title, instead Frederik van Lierde continued his great season, improved on his expected time and won quite convincingly:

Rank Name Nation Actual Time Expected Time
1 Frederik Van Lierde BEL 08:28:30 08:39:48
2 Francois Chabaud FRA 08:37:18 08:45:51
3 Marcel Zamora ESP 08:40:55 08:39:28
4 Paul Amey USA 08:47:04 08:35:59
5 Sergio Marques PRT 08:49:55 09:02:35
6 Trevor Delsaut FRA 08:54:59 09:11:10
7 Domenico Passuello ITA 09:03:34 n/a
8 Alejandro Santamaria ESP 09:07:39 08:54:40
9 Bill Scanlon AUS 09:14:01 n/a
10 Leonardo Simoncini ITA 09:18:17 09:33:58
11 Jose Jeuland FRA 09:21:08 09:15:05
12 Dirk Wijnalda NLD 09:23:28 09:17:05
13 Scott Defilippis USA 09:26:26 09:34:01
14 Alfred Rahm GER 09:44:12 09:38:57
15 Chris Brands NLD 09:49:31 09:13:59
16 Leandro Gonzalez Bonet ARG 10:58:15 09:31:32

Expected time is based on athlete’s rating (prior to race) and race conditions.

Zamora was also beaten by Francois Chabaud (who managed to put another good race together after a number of not-so-good results), but he was able to come in in front of pre-race favorite Paul Amey.

Female Results

On the women’s side, German Silvia Felt managed to win her second professional Ironman race:

Rank Name Nation Actual Time Expected Time
1 Silvia Felt GER 09:34:31 09:31:09
2 Martina Dogana ITA 09:45:56 09:50:38
3 Britta Martin NZL 09:48:56 09:54:26
4 Kim Loeffler USA 09:53:08 09:42:31
5 Johanna Daumas FRA 09:53:29 10:06:49
6 Jeanne Collonge FRA 10:04:05 09:47:31
7 Katya Meyers USA 10:07:04 10:15:59
8 Heather Gollnick USA 10:18:13 09:41:52
9 Alexandra Louison FRA 10:20:39 10:00:37
10 Christine Hemphill AUS 10:22:40 n/a
11 Miranda Alldritt CAN 10:56:48 10:44:23
12 Stephanie Jones USA 11:12:26 10:40:40
13 Fiona Whitby CAN 11:38:06 10:24:44

Expected time is based on athlete’s rating (prior to race) and race conditions.

Even though Silvia came in a little bit slower than was to be expected from her great IM Florida time and 2nd place Martina Dogana and 3rd place Britta Martin managed to go faster than their ratings predicted (by 5 and 6 minutes respectively), Silvia won by more than 10 minutes.

IM Coeur d’Alene 2011 Predictions (Main Post)

As per usual, you can find additional information on the participants in the detail post.

Previous Results

Coeur d’Alene, with a course rating of 4:12, is just a few minutes quicker than IM Hawaii (-0:24) and about as fast as IM Australia (4:24).

Last year’s race was won by Andy Potts (8:24) and Linsey Corbin (9:17).

Male Participants

For this year, the “German Cycling Machine” Mail Twelsiek seems to be ready for his next IM win:

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Rank
1 Maik Twelsiek GER 08:31:03 08:40:42 28
2 Oliver Piggin NZL 08:59:36 09:09:48 152
3 Joe McDaniel USA 09:03:04 09:13:20 176
4 Raul Furtado BRA 09:09:36 09:19:59 232
5 Billy Edwards USA 09:20:30 09:31:05 299
6 Tim Snow USA 09:21:25 09:32:01 305
7 Cesar Valera VEN 09:31:05 09:41:52 379
8 Lewis Elliot USA 09:32:35 09:43:24 384
9 Brendan Halpin USA 09:33:45 09:44:35 392
10 Blake Becker USA 09:37:04 09:47:58 416
11 Kyle Pawlaczyk USA 09:39:01 09:49:57 428
12 Juan Carlos Ramirez USA 09:50:53 10:02:03 510
13 Heath Thurston USA 09:55:04 10:06:18 530
14 Adam Jensen USA 09:58:09 10:09:27 553
15 Arland Macasieb PHL 10:02:43 10:14:06 576
16 Scott Tremblay CAN n/a unrated n/a
17 Matt Burgess NZL n/a unrated n/a
18 Brian Hadley USA n/a unrated n/a

He has to be called the clear favorite and the only “almost rock star” in the race, but I’m sure that one of the other athletes will try to give him a good run for the money.

Update (6/22): Literally within minutes of me posting my predictions, Crowie announced on his blog that he will also race CdA. If he is properly recovered from his injury, that makes him the favorite for the race. One other question is if he’s racing just to finish and secure his Kona spot, or i he is going to go all out for another IM win. If he’s on form, I’m predicting an 8:12 for him (more in the updated details post).

Female Participants

On the female side, there is another clear favorite:

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Rank
1 Julie Dibens USA 09:02:46 09:13:01 2
2 Kelly Williamson USA 09:28:04 09:38:48 23
3 Meredith Kessler USA 09:30:41 09:41:28 33
4 Mackenzie Madison USA 09:31:08 09:41:55 35
5 Caitlin Snow USA 09:34:52 09:45:44 42
6 Alison Fitch AUS 09:41:34 09:52:33 55
7 Desiree Ficker USA 10:10:49 10:22:21 141
8 Haley Cooper USA 10:10:56 10:22:28 142
9 Kelzie Beebe USA 10:15:59 10:27:37 162
10 Lianne Evans USA 10:16:07 10:27:45 162
11 Elly Franks AUS 10:20:08 10:31:51 170
12 Teri Albertazzi USA 10:28:03 10:39:55 188
13 Caroline Gregory USA n/a unrated n/a

“Dibs” just has one Ironman race so far (last year’s third place in IM Hawaii), and if she can even remotely repeat her Kona performance, she should win just as convincingly as Maik on the male side. Behind her we have 4 to 6 contenders for a podium spot – depending if you want to count Ali Fitch (with her comeback race after a prolonged injury) and Desiree Ficker (apparently trying to get back into Triathlon, but sometimes a hit and miss athlete).

IM France 2011 Predictions (Main Post)

As per usual, you can find additional information on the participants in the detail post.

Previous Results

IM France is a medium-fast course (course rating of 8:24), comparable to IM Arizona (7:55). Last year’s race was won by Marcel Zamora in 8:25 and Tine Deckers in 9:21.

Male Participants

Surprisingly, last year’s winner does not top my prediction, but rather Paul Amey:

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Rank
1 Paul Amey USA 08:26:55 08:40:24 27
2 Marcel Zamora ESP 08:30:15 08:43:49 35
3 Frederik Van Lierde BEL 08:30:49 08:44:24 37
4 Francois Chabaud FRA 08:36:48 08:50:32 68
5 Alexandro Santamaria ESP 08:46:04 09:00:03 107
6 Simon Billeau FRA 08:48:21 09:02:24 122
7 Sergio Marques PRT 08:53:17 09:07:28 136
8 Trevor Delsaut FRA 09:01:24 09:15:48 195
9 Bruno Clerbout BEL 09:02:44 09:17:10 205
10 Chris Brands NLD 09:03:56 09:18:24 219
11 Jose Jeuland FRA 09:05:10 09:19:40 230
12 Dirk Wijnalda NLD 09:07:26 09:21:59 246
13 Xavier Diepart BEL 09:09:59 09:24:36 268
14 Leandro Gonzalez Bonet ARG 09:20:41 09:35:35 328
15 Leonardo Simoncini ITA 09:23:54 09:38:54 348
16 Scott Defilippis USA 09:24:14 09:39:14 352
17 Alfred Rahm GER 09:28:49 09:43:56 388
18 Matjaz Kovac SVN 09:42:01 09:57:30 477
19 Luca De Paolis ITA n/a unrated n/a
20 Domenico Passuello ITA n/a unrated n/a
21 Nicolas Fernandez FRA n/a unrated n/a
22 Cedric Lassonde FRA n/a unrated n/a
23 Bill Scanlon AUS n/a unrated n/a

All of the top 3 prediction wouldn’t be a surprise winner, it’ll be interesting to see how the race between Amey, Marcel Zamora and Frederik van Lierde is going to turn out.

Female Participants

Another surprise tops the women’s field:

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Rank
1 Silvia Felt GER 09:21:28 09:36:24 20
2 Christel Robin FRA 09:25:53 09:40:56 31
3 Heather Gollnick USA 09:32:03 09:47:16 45
4 Kim Loeffler USA 09:32:24 09:47:37 46
5 Jeanne Collonge FRA 09:36:35 09:51:55 54
6 Martina Dogana ITA 09:40:23 09:55:49 63
7 Britta Martin NZL 09:44:06 09:59:38 69
8 Alexandra Louison FRA 09:49:55 10:05:36 85
9 Johanna Daumas FRA 09:56:10 10:12:01 110
10 Katya Meyers USA 10:05:06 10:21:11 137
11 Fiona Whitby CAN 10:14:28 10:30:48 167
12 Stephanie Jones USA 10:29:54 10:46:39 205
13 Miranda Alldritt CAN 10:45:30 11:02:40 230
14 Christine Hemphill AUS n/a unrated n/a

As you can see in the details, I have just one result Silvia Felt in my database (a 9:24 and 4th place from this year’s IM South Africa) – I wonder if she’ll be able to put in another performance at this level. She is followed by a number of established athletes, and I would think that everyone up to #8 has a realistic chance of winning the race or at least being in the mix.

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