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Ironman Arizona 2013 (November 17th) – Predictions

With IM Arizona, the next of the late season Ironman race is coming up. As we saw in Florida, we have a pretty large field, and it is doubtful if some athletes will actually show up on race day. The names that I consider likely to withdraw are Victor Del Corral (just won in Florida – may go for the double), Ashley Clifford (just finished second and Florida and has stated she will race Cozumel), and Linsey Corbin and Leanda Cave (raced Kona injured and probably need time to properly heal). I’m sure there will be other late changed to the start list, in Florida there were nearly 30 late withdrawals.

Update (Nov 6th): Victor has confirmed he’ll be racing, and Linsey also announced on Twitter that she’s looking forward to the Tempe experience.

Update (Nov 8th): I have heard from Ironman Pro Registration that Linsey Corbin, TJ Tollakson and Markus Ressler won’t be racing. In addition, I’m taking Ashley Clifford off the list (twitter conversation that she will race in Cozumel, not Arizona).

Update (Nov 15th): Ironman.com has released an update to the start list. In addition to the names I have already crossed, the following athletes won’t start: Bryan Rhodes, Andrew Langfield, Michael Davidson, Ryan Cain, Torsten Abel and Malaika Homo. I have also re-calculated the winning odds. There will probably be another update after race packet pickup.

Update (Nov 16th): The Athlete Tracker for IM Arizona is now live, but the names can’t be right as there are a lot of confirmed DNFs in there. In addition to those I have listed above, Leanda Cave also stated on Twitter that she won’t be racing.

Previous Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Nils Frommhold GER 00:48:19 04:22:45 02:48:06 08:03:13
2 Paul Matthews AUS 00:48:27 04:24:31 02:48:27 08:04:58
3 TJ Tollakson USA 00:48:34 04:19:03 02:56:01 08:07:36

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Linsey Corbin USA 00:59:11 04:51:34 03:05:54 09:01:41
2 Meredith Kessler USA 00:50:17 04:53:41 03:18:12 09:06:41
3 Corinne Abraham GBR 01:04:59 04:54:05 03:11:44 09:15:10

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 07:59:38 Eneko Llanos 2011-11-19
Swim overall 00:46:02 Kieran Doe 2008-11-23
Bike overall 04:16:31 Andrew Starykowicz 2012-11-18
Run overall 02:43:30 Victor Zyemtsev 2011-11-19
Total female 08:36:13 Chrissie Wellington 2010-11-21
Swim female 00:48:13 Leanda Cave 2008-11-23
Bike female 04:47:06 Chrissie Wellington 2010-11-21
Run female 02:52:56 Chrissie Wellington 2010-11-21

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Arizona is 09:00.

Race Adjustments for IM Arizona

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Athletes Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2006 02:44 -00:30 04:26 -03:19 29 02:44 -00:30 04:26 -03:19
2007 04:41 -00:38 01:07 02:45 26 03:43 -00:34 02:47 -00:17
2008 06:22 00:06 04:33 -00:30 38 04:36 -00:20 03:22 -00:21
2008 10:45 01:15 08:45 01:22 52 06:08 00:03 04:43 00:05
2009 11:46 -01:06 12:02 03:02 37 07:16 -00:10 06:11 00:40
2010 12:12 -00:23 08:31 02:49 46 08:05 -00:12 06:34 01:02
2011 14:36 -00:48 14:56 03:40 55 09:01 -00:18 07:46 01:24
2012 08:56 -02:06 15:27 03:03 50 09:00 -00:31 08:43 01:37

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Arizona has 2000 KPR points for the winner. It has a total prize purse of 75k$.

Male Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating Rank
1 40 Victor Del Corral ESP 08:17:40 08:26:06 00:54:31 04:40:22 02:50:02 10
2 1 Jordan Rapp USA 08:19:44 08:28:13 00:52:20 04:35:30 02:57:29 14
3 19 Denis Chevrot FRA 08:23:29 08:32:01 00:46:14 04:46:43 02:58:13 20
4 50 Jens Petersen-Bach DEN 08:28:16 08:36:53 00:51:44 04:48:03 02:54:52 32
5 10 TJ Tollakson USA 08:31:18 08:39:58 00:48:54 04:39:20 03:07:22 40
6 6 Pedro Gomes POR 08:35:35 08:44:20 00:51:40 04:50:28 03:07:22 57
7 47 Jarmo Hast FIN 08:35:39 08:44:24 00:49:54 04:52:50 02:59:08 58
8 55 Torsten Abel GER 08:37:36 08:46:23 00:49:31 04:51:10 03:00:09 67
9 45 Nick Baldwin SEY 08:38:50 08:47:38 00:53:11 04:49:36 03:00:53 70
10 12 Matty Reed USA 08:38:53 08:47:41 00:47:25 04:48:35 03:06:27 70
11 2 Jozsef Major HUN 08:39:00 08:47:48 00:57:43 04:42:20 03:03:14 70
12 28 Joe Umphenhour USA 08:39:32 08:48:21 00:47:09 04:52:08 03:08:14 76
13 39 Todd Skipworth AUS 08:43:42 08:52:35 00:45:53 04:40:02 03:25:27 86
14 13 Daniel Bretscher USA 08:43:47 08:52:40 00:50:53 04:48:28 03:07:11 86
15 44 Michael Davidson ZAF 08:44:07 08:53:00 00:53:29 04:53:14 03:05:09 87
16 9 Matthew Russell USA 08:45:01 08:53:55 01:01:48 04:47:49 02:59:06 91
17 70 Horst Reichel GER 08:48:41 08:57:39 00:48:26 04:47:41 03:17:32 109
18 51 Andrew Russell CAN 08:49:29 08:58:28 00:49:26 04:55:31 03:10:22 114
19 64 Thomas Gerlach USA 08:50:17 08:59:17 00:55:05 04:45:43 03:15:10 120
20 46 Gabriele Mazzetta ITA 08:51:19 09:00:20 00:51:26 04:55:59 03:11:02 124
21 58 Christian Brader GER 08:53:34 09:02:37 00:56:26 04:53:47 03:11:57 136
22 14 Jonathan Shearon USA 08:54:46 09:03:50 00:53:43 04:47:42 03:19:37 142
23 8 Trevor Wurtele CAN 08:55:32 09:04:37 00:54:43 04:51:23 03:14:27 143
24 30 Bryan McCrystal IRL 08:58:04 09:07:12 01:04:35 04:45:43 03:14:02 150
25 56 Nicholas Munoz ESP 08:58:15 09:07:23 00:57:05 05:01:16 03:00:55 151
26 37 Raul Furtado BRA 08:59:41 09:08:50 00:52:41 04:48:37 03:23:31 156
27 22 Markus Ressler AUT 09:03:50 09:13:03 00:52:01 04:59:31 03:19:41 168
28 24 Dan Mcintosh USA 09:07:16 09:16:33 00:51:49 04:57:04 03:16:06 177
29 42 Jared Milam USA 09:07:22 09:16:39 00:53:51 05:07:20 03:10:22 178
30 7 Bryan Rhodes NZL 09:08:28 09:17:46 00:47:55 04:56:36 03:24:19 180
31 53 Devon Palmer USA 09:12:10 09:21:32 00:52:37 04:50:10 03:32:17 193
32 54 Ryan Cain CAN 09:12:47 09:22:09 00:55:34 05:01:47 03:05:33 197
33 21 Anthony Toth CAN 09:19:21 09:28:50 00:57:42 05:00:14 03:22:59 217
34 27 Christopher Bagg USA 09:20:02 09:29:32 00:53:32 04:54:56 03:34:52 219
35 71 Erich Wegscheider USA 09:23:27 09:33:00 00:55:12 05:09:15 03:25:47 227
36 67 Lewis Elliot USA 09:25:00 09:34:35 00:54:21 04:57:07 03:38:35 232
37 35 Brendan Halpin USA 09:25:31 09:35:06 01:01:54 05:05:08 03:22:18 234
38 59 Stephen Kilshaw CAN 09:27:18 09:36:55 00:54:35 05:04:38 03:19:03 243
39 36 Patrick Schuster USA 09:28:37 09:38:16 01:08:52 04:53:26 03:38:19 250
40 23 Andrew Langfield USA 09:29:03 09:38:42 00:56:35 05:11:16 03:18:11 250
41 25 Luke Way CAN 09:29:08 09:38:47 00:58:54 05:06:27 03:26:01 251
42 33 Jim Lubinski USA 09:33:01 09:42:44 01:02:40 05:13:58 03:21:57 263
43 118 Jordan Bryden CAN 09:33:28 09:43:12 00:50:33 05:16:46 03:35:16 266
44 16 Jozef Vrabel SVK 09:36:05 09:45:51 00:57:24 05:10:14 03:32:30 274
45 26 Logan Franks USA 09:36:45 09:46:32 01:02:10 05:08:08 03:26:18 277
46 68 Raymond Botelho USA 09:40:30 09:50:21 00:55:23 05:03:08 03:46:46 285
47 48 Jon Woods NZL 09:40:36 09:50:27 00:56:01 05:04:38 03:36:37 285
48 49 Heinrich Sickl AUT 09:40:49 09:50:40 00:56:00 05:05:24 03:35:24 286
49 15 Patrick Wheeler USA 09:54:18 10:04:23 00:56:06 05:13:30 03:51:03 328
50 57 Dantley Young USA 09:56:47 10:06:54 01:02:08 05:20:43 03:36:40 332
51 69 Josep Vinolas ESP 10:09:10 10:19:30 00:52:04 04:53:22 03:26:55 363
52 41 Brendan Naef CAN 10:16:55 10:27:23 00:58:06 05:19:59 03:25:59 377
53 29 Richard Wygand BRA 10:39:32 10:50:23 01:04:09 05:32:41 04:07:53 391
54 119 Jason Watson USA 10:49:59 11:01:00 00:57:40 05:20:04 04:45:25 395
55 52 Marek Nemcik SVK 11:46:08 11:58:07 01:11:35 05:56:53 04:41:53 402
60 Johann Ackermann GER n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a
32 Jeff Tarkowski USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a
73 Matt Hanson USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a
43 Allen Gardner USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a
18 Matt Chrabot USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a
65 Timo Gronlund USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a
38 Marc Duelsen GER n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a
66 Robbie Wade IRL n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a
63 Jimi Minnema USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a
20 Ritchie Nicholls GBR n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a
34 Pierre-Yves Facomprez FRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a
61 Josh Seifarth CAN n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a
31 Richard Whitfield GBR n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a

Female Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating Rank
1 74 Linsey Corbin USA 09:13:37 09:23:00 00:57:25 05:12:06 03:09:27 10
2 75 Leanda Cave GBR 09:16:47 09:26:14 00:50:50 05:11:03 03:20:57 14
3 76 Meredith Kessler USA 09:17:32 09:26:59 00:50:33 05:11:04 03:21:08 15
4 78 Michelle Vesterby DEN 09:17:58 09:27:26 00:51:54 05:10:42 03:22:10 17
5 94 Julia Gajer GER 09:18:09 09:27:37 00:52:38 05:18:50 03:10:45 18
6 95 Diana Riesler GER 09:26:10 09:35:46 00:59:11 05:07:55 03:24:20 30
7 115 Amanda Stevens USA 09:27:31 09:37:08 00:49:05 05:16:55 03:27:32 33
8 116 Ashley Clifford USA 09:27:48 09:37:26 00:53:53 05:29:26 03:12:25 35
9 87 Asa Lundström SWE 09:32:48 09:42:31 01:00:09 05:15:41 03:22:23 47
10 79 Lisa Ribes USA 09:33:20 09:43:03 01:04:09 05:20:02 03:15:57 49
11 114 Brooke Brown CAN 09:34:24 09:44:08 01:04:34 05:18:38 03:17:30 50
12 103 Sarah Piampiano USA 09:38:12 09:48:00 01:00:55 05:22:45 03:23:12 55
13 106 Sara Gross CAN 09:38:48 09:48:37 00:55:39 05:33:18 03:18:27 56
14 113 Katja Konschak GER 09:40:55 09:50:46 00:52:10 05:29:11 03:21:55 60
15 84 Camilla Lindholm SWE 09:41:45 09:51:37 01:08:06 05:19:54 03:15:23 62
16 77 Heleen Bij De Vaate NED 09:42:19 09:52:12 01:05:22 05:14:41 03:27:16 65
17 104 Eimear Mullan IRL 09:42:26 09:52:19 01:01:17 05:26:27 03:15:52 66
18 97 Malaika Homo USA 09:44:32 09:54:27 00:53:07 05:22:31 03:35:28 70
19 92 Uli Bromme USA 09:45:37 09:55:33 01:02:52 05:21:56 03:26:21 71
20 83 Stephanie Jones USA 09:47:13 09:57:11 01:05:45 05:20:02 03:25:11 74
21 85 Kristin Lie NOR 09:54:04 10:04:08 01:11:39 05:18:12 03:30:02 86
22 88 Beth Shutt USA 09:55:36 10:05:42 00:59:39 05:27:05 03:34:14 89
23 107 Ariane Monticeli BRA 09:58:42 10:08:51 01:02:49 05:37:51 03:31:17 95
24 89 Sarah Hankla USA 10:00:56 10:11:07 00:56:23 05:36:48 03:41:33 102
25 110 Tine Holst DEN 10:01:35 10:11:47 01:07:03 05:21:24 03:37:07 103
26 91 Nina Pekerman ISR 10:03:00 10:13:14 00:59:01 05:32:12 03:38:04 108
27 109 Christine Fletcher CAN 10:08:10 10:18:29 00:58:51 05:29:42 03:42:18 113
28 90 Mackenzie Madison USA 10:09:46 10:20:06 01:02:01 05:19:36 03:09:31 115
29 111 Trish Deim USA 10:14:20 10:24:45 01:05:23 05:25:27 03:47:02 124
30 108 Steffi Steinberg GER 10:19:04 10:29:34 01:08:33 05:38:18 03:34:04 128
31 82 Erin Young USA 10:20:36 10:31:08 01:00:37 05:51:53 03:37:35 128
32 98 Kristyn Tobey BMU 10:21:42 10:32:15 01:10:07 05:36:04 03:40:43 128
33 117 Amy Forshaw GBR 10:22:25 10:32:58 01:02:42 05:42:41 03:37:15 129
34 102 Sarah Baker CAN 10:33:44 10:44:29 01:03:12 05:39:26 03:59:04 135
35 101 Ann Ciaverella USA 10:46:09 10:57:06 01:04:38 05:46:22 04:00:45 138
80 Miranda Tomenson CAN n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a
100 Morgin Chaffin USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a
105 Julie Van Veelen CAN n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a
96 Kate Bruck USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a
81 Lisa Mueller USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a
93 Jessica Meyers USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

On the men’s side, Florida winner Victor Del Corral has the best chances, but I’m sure Jordan Rapp (racing with bib #1) will want to erase his Kona DNF. TJ Tollakson has had great results in Arizona (two 2nd places and one 3rd), These two are followed by a few lesser known but still fast Europeans:

  • Victor Del Corral: 39% (2-1) 34% (2-1)
  • Jordan Rapp: 33% (2-1) 26% (3-1)
  • TJ Tollakson: 20% (4-1)
  • Jarmo Hast: 14% (6-1) 10% (9-1)
  • Torsten Abel: 3% (28-1)
  • Pedro Gomes: 3% (28-1) 2% (43-1)
  • Horst Reichel: 3% (32-1) 2% (46-1)
  • Jens Petersen-Bach: 3% (33-1)

Female Race Participants

Linsey Corbin (if she races) has to be considered the favorite to defend her title. Leaving Leanda Cave aside (I’m reasonably sure she won’t be racing) , Meredith Kessler will sure want to improve on her 2nd place from last year. Julia Gajer (who has gone sub-9 three times in Roth) will want to deliver her first good „official“ Ironman result (she was „only“ 4th in Wales after flatting on the bike). Michelle Vesterby (8th in Kona 2013) will probably put her main focus on finishing her mandatory IM. Then she can take a long build for Kona 2014.

Based solely on the ratings, Leanda Cave would have to be considered the favorite, but I wouldn’t consider her for a win. She has announced after the 70.3 in Miami that her off-season has started, so I’m a bit surprised she is still on the start list. Even if she races, my guess is that she’ll only race to validate, and probably won’t be able to deliver a world-class result. Therefore, I have taken her off my list of contenders. (Update Nov 16th: Leanda has confirmed on Twitter that she won’t be racing.)

Without Leanda and Linsey Corbin (who withdrew and thinks about re-building for 2014), the numbers are pretty even between Meredith Kessler and Julia Gajer. I’m sure that Meredith wants to improve on her 2nd place from last year and will be considered the favorite by the US media in Tempe. However, German Julia Gajer (who has gone sub-9 three times in Roth) will want to deliver her first good „official“ Ironman result (she was „only“ 4th in Wales after flatting on the bike). Michelle Vesterby (8th in Kona 2013) has announced that she’s not in Tempe just to finish her mandatory IM but will want to contend for the win. Diana Riesler and Amanda Stevens would also love to finish their 2013 season by winning an IM.

  • Linsey Corbin: 34% (2-1)
  • Leanda Cave: 22% (4-1)
  • Meredith Kessler: 32% (2-1) 14% (6-1)
  • Julia Gajer: 31% (2-1) 15% (6-1)
  • Michelle Vesterby: 11% (8-1) 4% (21-1)
  • Diana Riesler: 10% (9-1) 4% (26-1)
  • Ashley Clifford: 3% (28-1)
  • Amanda Stevens: 7% (13-1) 2% (50-1)

Ironman Florida 2013 – Analysing Results

Race Conditions

Conditions in Florida were crazy fast this year, the adjustment of 28:36 was by far the fastest we’ve seen this year, and only the first edition of IM Sweden in 2012 (with a short run course) ever had a larger adjustment.

The swim was traditionally slower (and conditions looked pretty rough), while the bike accounts for most of the overall adjustment. However, the bike was just a little bit slower than last year (consistent with the difference of 4:04 to 4:02 from Andy Starykowicz. The main difference to last year was that the run was also quite fast. I don’t know if there were changes in the run course compared to last year, but the conditions also sounded pretty favourable for fast times.

Male Race Results

Even with the fast conditions, the results were pretty amazing. Only three weeks after Kona, Andy Starykowicz managed to improve the fastest bike time in an Ironman, and followed it up with a sub-3h marathon and the first sub-8h result by a US athlete. This wasn’t enough for the win, however, as Victor Del Corral ran a 2:37 marathon and finished in 7:53, the fastest time ever in a North American Ironman. Behind these two, Filip Osapaly’s debut IM pales a bit, though he also finished sub-8. A lot of other athletes also posted new IM PRs. 

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected
1 Victor Del Corral ESP 00:55:23 04:15:15 02:37:29 07:53:12 -14:20
2 Andrew Starykowicz USA 00:49:53 04:02:17 02:58:18 07:55:22 -11:48
3 Filip Ospaly CZE 00:48:06 04:23:53 02:41:17 07:58:44 n/a
4 Daniel Fontana ITA 00:49:59 04:20:43 02:50:28 08:05:48 -03:16
5 Pedro Gomes POR 00:49:51 04:20:59 02:52:59 08:08:34 -11:19
6 Kirill Kotshegarov EST 00:55:27 04:14:34 02:53:30 08:09:03 -10:09
7 Pontus Lindberg SWE 00:55:30 04:15:51 02:54:49 08:11:45 -17:54
8 Dorian Wagner GER 00:50:19 04:20:58 02:56:21 08:12:46 -11:04
9 Justin Daerr USA 00:54:16 04:17:22 02:56:54 08:13:35 -08:01
10 Joe Skipper GBR 00:54:58 04:20:30 02:55:47 08:17:27 -01:08
11 Chris Boudreaux USA 00:51:49 04:24:33 02:52:54 08:18:30 -44:59
12 Michael Goehner GER 00:54:46 04:16:15 03:02:44 08:19:16 04:12
13 Frank Silvestrin BRA 00:50:00 04:34:02 02:50:39 08:20:50 -03:44
14 Andrey Lyatskiy RUS 00:50:06 04:25:38 03:00:32 08:21:49 -11:07
15 Rinalds Sluckis LAT 00:55:31 04:25:12 02:56:32 08:23:51 -15:56
16 Adam Bohach USA 00:56:19 04:27:30 02:56:56 08:25:49 -30:15
17 Vinny Johnson USA 00:54:59 04:28:44 02:54:42 08:25:52 -53:21
18 Derek Garcia USA 00:55:12 04:16:17 03:05:23 08:27:01 -12:57
19 Christophe Bastie FRA 00:55:35 04:14:34 03:13:26 08:29:22 05:26
20 Chad Holderbaum USA 00:55:10 04:28:25 03:02:23 08:31:59 -17:37
21 Gustavo Rodriguez ESP 00:55:29 04:32:26 03:01:26 08:35:23 n/a
22 Kevin Taddonio USA 01:05:00 04:28:34 02:57:29 08:37:52 08:24
23 Axel Zeebroek BEL 00:48:11 04:28:07 03:14:52 08:38:12 14:49
24 Vincent Riess AUT 00:55:51 04:45:06 02:54:32 08:42:28 20:13
25 Kyle Pawlaczyk USA 00:57:05 04:35:09 03:04:41 08:42:40 -26:36
26 Nate Buttrick USA 01:03:53 04:35:54 02:58:42 08:44:45 n/a
27 James Lamastra USA 00:51:48 04:31:54 03:20:00 08:49:43 -38:40
28 Gerald Ratschke AUT 01:07:55 04:44:51 03:02:16 09:01:34 10:05
29 Ed Donner USA 00:58:44 04:41:51 03:19:41 09:07:05 -00:54
30 Josef Krivanek CZE 00:59:38 04:42:32 03:20:00 09:07:52 -19:18
31 Christian Carletto ARG 00:57:40 04:54:22 03:16:48 09:14:50 -00:48
32 Blake Becker USA 00:54:40 04:36:21 03:38:46 09:15:41 14:30
33 Timothy O’Donnell USA 00:50:00 04:45:38 03:31:16 09:15:54 1:14:09
34 Peter Kotland USA 00:59:00 04:40:51 03:30:09 09:18:51 -15:13
35 Patrick Evoe USA 00:56:35 04:26:47 04:24:15 09:52:53 1:27:33
36 Benoit Bourguet BEL 00:55:17 04:28:32 05:30:28 11:00:16 n/a
37 Josef Svoboda CZE 01:15:16 05:28:46 04:26:04 11:21:27 07:57

Female Race Results

Mirinda Carfrae made it clear that she was only in Florida to validate her Kona spot (which she did in a leisurely – for her! – 9:48). The clear race favourite was Yvonne Van Vlerken, even if she had just raced Kona. She delivered a strong performance, posting an 8:43, a new personal best over the IM distance. (Adjusting for race conditions, her Kona performance was even better.) Coming off the bike with Lisa Huetthaler, she quickly took control of the run. She can enjoy a long break now, being assured of a safe Kona spot. 

Ashley Clifford was the surprising 2nd finisher – she managed to improve on her great 3rd place from last year, following a much improved bike ride with the only sub-3 marathon in the women’s field, and also finishing sub-9. Erika Csomor rounded out the podium in 3rd place.

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected
1 Yvonne Van Vlerken NED 01:00:14 04:35:49 03:01:55 08:43:07 -01:20
2 Ashley Clifford USA 00:55:21 04:51:20 02:56:35 08:49:03 -25:03
3 Erika Csomor HUN 01:02:13 04:45:09 03:03:32 08:56:41 -04:48
4 Simone Braendli SUI 00:54:43 04:51:35 03:08:33 09:00:40 -23:36
5 Mareen Hufe GER 01:00:46 04:39:17 03:16:31 09:03:15 -06:25
6 Lisa Huetthaler AUT 00:56:01 04:39:54 03:23:02 09:04:38 n/a
7 Amber Ferreira USA 00:58:16 04:48:50 03:13:30 09:07:36 -37:53
8 Beate Goertz GER 01:06:59 04:39:58 03:15:27 09:09:24 n/a
9 Dede Griesbauer USA 00:56:06 04:41:10 03:27:59 09:11:26 -31:29
10 Christine Anderson USA 00:55:57 04:50:09 03:23:25 09:15:14 -14:03
11 Whitney Garcia USA 01:02:52 04:51:55 03:15:03 09:17:27 -15:39
12 Olesya Prystayko UKR 01:02:06 04:49:48 03:20:54 09:18:23 -24:36
13 Haley Chura USA 00:50:29 04:57:03 03:25:59 09:19:24 05:59
14 Jessica Jacobs USA 01:08:06 04:48:18 03:20:54 09:22:51 -04:53
15 April Gellatly USA 00:55:59 04:59:34 03:23:10 09:25:13 -15:05
16 Svetlana Blazevic SCG 00:54:42 04:58:32 03:29:49 09:28:58 -14:24
17 Natasha Van der Merwe USA 01:04:19 04:52:08 03:25:55 09:29:59 -41:28
18 Cindy Lewis CAN 01:04:30 05:00:25 03:19:03 09:30:29 -24:19
19 Molly Roohi USA 01:08:25 05:04:00 03:17:54 09:38:47 n/a
20 Rachel Jastrebsky USA 01:04:26 05:02:05 03:30:23 09:43:19 07:02
21 Suzy Serpico USA 00:56:03 04:57:39 03:43:50 09:43:47 n/a
22 Emma Graaf SWE 01:01:13 05:05:03 03:31:34 09:45:21 -12:18
23 Mirinda Carfrae AUS 01:00:12 05:05:27 03:34:05 09:48:07 1:11:35
24 Simona Vykoukalova CZE 01:06:48 05:01:52 03:32:09 09:48:15 -10:13
25 Lindsay Ludlow USA 01:06:47 05:09:51 03:26:21 09:50:43 n/a
26 Fabiola Corona MEX 00:59:58 05:11:23 03:34:24 09:52:45 n/a

IM Florida 2013 – Possible Changes to the Start List

The Athlete Tracker for Ironman Florida has been populated. There have been no last minute additions. However, the following athletes are not showing up – usually this means that they have not picked up their bibs and will not start:

  • Amorelli, Igor (bib 74)
  • Bardi, David (22)
  • Bockel, Dirk (3)
  • Borba, Ana Lidia (107)
  • Bryden, Jordan (68)
  • Hemet, Nicolas (38)
  • Keat, Rebekah (116)
  • Kemp, Christian (65)
  • Kleinl, Martin (14)
  • Lemeseva, Maria (104)
  • Louys, Michael (56)
  • Lubinski, Jim (48)
  • Moberg, Lennart (59)
  • Mosley, Philip (21)
  • Mueller, Daniel (30)
  • Nikitin, Evgeniy (49)
  • Plese, David (76)
  • Ressler, Markus (10)
  • Sandos, Robin (101)
  • Shearon, Jonathan (61)
  • Sheeks, Matthew (24)
  • Sullivan, Sean (15)
  • Vabrousek, Petr (67)
  • Vinhal, Thiago (31)
  • Wade, Robbie (71)
  • Williams, Darrel (54)
  • Wyss, Manuel (55)
  • Young, Dantley (16)

Some of these names are a bit surprising (for example, Rebekah Keat just races a 70.3 as a prep for Florida), and they may still be racing on Saturday.

Xena leaving TeamTBB – Translation of an NZZ interview

Caroline Steffen (nicknamed “Xena”) described her future plans in an interview with NZZ:

XenaTweet

The „Neue Zürcher Zeitung“ (or NZZ for short) is a respectable Swiss newspaper (some more info about NZZ on wikipedia). As the tweet and the interview were published in German, it seems that the interesting points have not been picked up by the mainly English speaking triathlon press. Here is a quick translation of the main points.

Kona 2013

Q: [What happened in Kona?] You started as the favourite and finished 5th.

A: Everything went bad. I don’t know why. I have to take some time to analyse the race.

Q: After the swim you were in the lead group on the bike. Then you had stomach problems.

A: I vomited multiple times on the second half of the bike and also on the run. I don’t know why. Some other top athletes were affected as well. Maybe we picked up something from the ocean? I don’t know.

Q: So you don’t believe it was because of nutrition problem? After all you didn’t get your special needs bag with your own drink after 90k on the bike.

A: That’s right, but it’s not important. In an Ironman, there are 2000 athletes who want to get their special needs, and it’s normal if things go wrong. I don’t rely on it and always have a plan B.

Q: What’s your plan B in this situation?

A: To use the drink that is supplied by the race organisers. I’ll try it in training to be safe. Of course my own mix would have been ideal, but what else could I do? Stop? I was in the lead group, so that was impossible. Turning around? I don’t know if that would have been legal.

Q: You felt better towards the end of the marathon, overtook some others and finished fifth. What would have been possible without the stomach problems?

A: Second or third, but certainly not winning. Mirinda Carfrae was unbeatable on race day, just look at her marathon time  2:50, faster than the men’s winner.

Plans for 2014

Q: You are 35. How much more time do you give yourself for the big goal of winning Kona?

A: Two years.

Q: Are you going to change anything for next season?

A: I will no longer start for Team TBB but under my own name. I’ll have better opportunities to acquire sponsors. I’m in the middle of negotiations. 

Q: Will you also leave TBB-coach Brett Sutton?

A: At the moment, I can’t say anything to that.

Updated Top 10 and Course Ratings

After Ironman Hawaii, I’ve updated my Top 10 Ratings and Course Ratings (in the menu bar). Here’s a short overview of the main changes in the Top10:

TOP 10 Rated Male Athletes

Almost all of the top-rated athletes are falling back a bit. With Crowie falling back to #3 after his disappointing Kona result, Andreas Raelert is again the only athlete in the #1 spot – but he hasn’t really claimed the top spot. The main person moving up the ranks is Frederik Van Lierde, he was 12th at the end of 2012 and is now tied for 6th.

Rank Name Nation Rating Last Race # Races
1 Andreas Raelert GER 08:16:22 IM Austria on 2013-06-30 11
2 Eneko Llanos ESP 08:20:50 IM Hawaii on 2013-10-12 18
3 Craig Alexander AUS 08:22:18 IM Hawaii on 2013-10-12 10
4 Timo Bracht GER 08:22:24 IM Hawaii on 2013-10-12 20
5 Sebastian Kienle GER 08:22:30 IM Hawaii on 2013-10-12 7
6 Marino Vanhoenacker BEL 08:23:22 IM Germany on 2013-07-07 14
7 Frederik Van Lierde BEL 08:23:22 IM Hawaii on 2013-10-12 12
8 Bart Aernouts BEL 08:23:36 IM Hawaii on 2013-10-12 4
9 Faris Al-Sultan GER 08:25:19 IM Hawaii on 2013-10-12 17
10 David Dellow AUS 08:26:20 IM Germany on 2013-07-07 5

TOP 10 Rated Female Athletes

For the lasts year my assessment was that Rinny had “inherited” the top spot after Chrissie’s retirement, but her fantastic Kona result made it clear that she has absolutely earned it by now. Yvonne and Rachel continue to move up in the ranks, with Caroline between them. New additions to the Top10 are British athletes Jodie Swallow and Liz Blatchford, with Julia Gajer (dropping to 17th after Wales) and Sonja Tajsich (dropping to 11th) they have ousted two German athletes.

Rank Name Nation Rating Last Race # Races
1 Mirinda Carfrae AUS 09:07:39 IM Hawaii on 2013-10-12 8
2 Yvonne Van Vlerken NED 09:12:14 IM Hawaii on 2013-10-12 11
3 Caroline Steffen SUI 09:12:20 IM Hawaii on 2013-10-12 15
4 Rachel Joyce GBR 09:13:25 IM Hawaii on 2013-10-12 13
5 Jodie Swallow GBR 09:14:18 IM Sweden on 2013-08-17 3
6 Liz Blatchford GBR 09:15:23 IM Hawaii on 2013-10-12 3
7 Mary Beth Ellis USA 09:15:28 IM Mont Tremblant on 2013-08-18 10
8 Anja Beranek GER 09:20:56 IM Mont Tremblant on 2013-08-18 4
9 Lucy Gossage GBR 09:22:12 IM Wales on 2013-09-08 4
10 Linsey Corbin USA 09:22:58 IM Hawaii on 2013-10-12 15
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