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Ironman Austria 2014 – Analyzing Results

Race Conditions

Austria continues to be one of the fastest courses on the calendar, an adjustment of 25:24 leads to a new course rating of 19:32. Conditions were very similar to last year – a fast bike (adjustment of 10:40) followed by a similarly fast run (adjustment of 8:03). 

Male Race Results

Ivan Rana put down the foot on the bike with a 4:15 split, and followed it up with an equally impressive 2:43 run. The rest of the podium was a bit of a surprise with Christian Kramer and David Plese posting some more fast runs.

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected
1 Ivan Rana ESP 00:44:36 04:15:57 02:43:43 07:48:43 -23:19
2 Christian Kramer GER 00:44:30 04:18:26 02:46:46 07:54:31 -24:29
3 David Plese SLO 00:49:57 04:23:52 02:44:06 08:02:54 -21:44
4 Andreas Giglmayr AUT 00:44:40 04:20:10 02:59:23 08:09:06 n/a
5 Marko Albert EST 00:44:19 04:36:06 02:47:49 08:12:57 -00:31
6 Anton Blokhin UKR 00:45:54 04:29:22 02:54:14 08:14:42 -20:06
7 Bert Jammaer BEL 00:45:59 04:29:24 02:56:30 08:16:36 -05:56
8 Michael Weiss AUT 00:50:04 04:24:11 02:57:53 08:17:42 13:31
9 Andrey Lyatskiy RUS 00:46:00 04:29:16 02:58:59 08:19:04 -19:30
10 Alberto Casadei ITA 00:44:28 04:37:24 02:59:01 08:25:42 n/a
11 Gergö Molnar HUN 00:45:47 04:45:41 02:54:28 08:31:38 -16:14
12 Pontus Lindberg SWE 00:50:02 04:48:18 02:48:37 08:32:08 -03:33
13 Georg Swoboda AUT 00:53:56 04:33:02 03:00:51 08:33:30 -00:43
14 Jaroslav Kovacic SLO 00:48:09 04:43:39 02:58:46 08:35:35 -32:20
15 Dominik Berger AUT 00:45:58 04:38:30 03:06:31 08:36:20 -04:24
16 Christian Birngruber AUT 00:50:00 04:41:59 03:02:03 08:39:17 n/a
17 Luiz Francisco Ferreira BRA 00:44:17 04:45:56 03:04:00 08:40:18 -06:49
18 Daniel Herlbauer AUT 00:50:51 04:41:23 03:03:14 08:40:28 n/a
19 Mario Fink AUT 00:50:02 04:43:07 03:02:34 08:41:07 -39:04
20 Samuel Huerzeler SUI 00:50:10 04:47:12 02:59:09 08:43:09 -18:15
21 Teemu Lemmettylae FIN 00:55:56 04:43:58 02:59:21 08:45:34 05:59
22 Thiago Vinhal BRA 00:46:03 04:58:26 02:53:54 08:46:16 09:42
23 Zoltan Senczyszyn GER 01:06:42 04:41:44 02:58:24 08:53:14 n/a
24 Denis Sketako SLO 00:57:45 04:42:30 03:09:59 08:55:17 n/a
25 Andi Fuchs AUT 00:52:41 04:45:36 03:12:42 08:56:21 01:49
26 Matic Modic SLO 00:53:13 04:51:48 03:05:59 08:56:58 n/a
27 Lukas Polan CZE 01:00:32 04:48:43 03:07:05 09:02:42 n/a
28 Michal Kulich SVK 00:59:16 05:00:56 02:58:37 09:06:20 06:03
29 Anders Lawaetz DEN 00:58:32 04:50:45 03:13:09 09:09:10 n/a
30 Martin Kleinl AUT 00:57:58 04:42:33 03:23:45 09:09:52 n/a
31 David Jilek CZE 00:55:12 04:47:20 03:24:44 09:13:35 n/a
32 Steve Clark GBR 00:55:31 04:54:56 03:18:05 09:14:52 n/a
33 Petr Vales CZE 00:59:21 05:00:38 03:19:31 09:25:52 n/a
34 Alberto Codinach ESP 00:52:36 04:47:55 03:48:57 09:34:47 n/a
35 Marc-Andre Hages GER 00:52:04 05:22:56 03:17:14 09:38:56 -11:02
36 Matthew Smith CZE 00:58:27 05:20:11 03:19:00 09:45:06 n/a
37 Robert Pingitzer AUT 00:57:54 04:45:44 04:24:18 10:14:22 n/a
38 Maksim Kalinin RUS 01:07:27 05:23:58 03:38:16 10:17:53 n/a
39 Ludovic Le Guellec FRA 00:56:50 05:16:30 03:58:31 10:18:04 41:12
40 Christian Funk GER 01:21:05 05:25:29 03:32:43 10:30:10 n/a
41 Martin Babusik SVK 01:06:33 05:25:38 03:56:33 10:41:52 n/a
42 Marek Nemcik SVK 01:07:06 05:33:06 04:39:46 11:30:57 04:49
43 Vincent Riess AUT 00:50:03 07:04:37 04:39:10 12:43:47 1:07:33
  Christoph Lorber AUT 00:50:56 04:42:33   DNF  
  Faris Al-Sultan GER 00:44:26     DNF  
  Daniel Halksworth GBR 00:44:32     DNF  
  Mike Aigroz SUI 00:46:32     DNF  
  Daniel Niederreiter AUT 00:49:54     DNF  
  Joerie Vansteelant BEL 00:53:02     DNF  
  Gerald Ratschke AUT 01:00:27     DNF  
  Roland Schlappal AUT 01:08:49     DNF  
  Josef Svoboda CZE 01:10:59     DNF  

Female Race Results

After erasing the swim deficit on the bike, Linsey Corbin’s win was never in doubt after she moved away from her competitors early in the run and posted a new course record. The first five of the women finished in sub-9, with Simone Brändli and Lisa Hütthaler taking up the remaining podium spots.

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected
1 Linsey Corbin USA 00:53:02 04:47:02 02:56:52 08:42:42 -17:03
2 Simone Braendli SUI 00:45:51 04:57:15 03:01:14 08:49:16 -23:29
3 Lisa Huetthaler AUT 00:52:05 04:48:55 03:07:26 08:53:20 -36:20
4 Sofie Goos BEL 00:52:06 04:54:32 03:05:43 08:57:08 -16:23
5 Michi Herlbauer AUT 00:51:23 04:58:56 03:04:38 08:59:57 n/a
6 Erika Csomor HUN 00:56:03 04:47:50 03:16:34 09:05:42 -05:51
7 Elisabeth Gruber AUT 00:56:06 05:03:39 03:06:19 09:12:09 -27:52
8 Beate Goertz GER 01:00:28 04:58:22 03:20:52 09:25:25 -13:57
9 Michaela Rudolf AUT 01:00:42 05:00:13 03:24:30 09:30:31 01:36
10 Kelly Fillnow USA 00:59:40 05:18:12 03:18:15 09:42:49 -10:25
11 Linda Schuecker GER 01:01:19 05:11:37 03:27:18 09:46:01 -05:14
12 Celia Kuch GER 00:59:30 05:13:27 03:31:19 09:50:10 02:28
13 Edith Niederfriniger ITA 00:51:46 05:20:38 03:39:55 10:00:29 40:15

New Episode of IM-Predictions podcast: Interviews with Trevor Wurtele and Marko Albert

For the latest episode of the IM-Predictions podcast I’ve had the chance to talk with two great interview partners:

  • Trevor Wurtele took some time to chat about Team Wurtele and the chances of his wife Heather for IM Coeur d’Alene.
  • I’ve asked Marko Albert about the upcoming IM Austria and his general goals as a triathlete.
I think it’s a great listen, both in preparation for the races on June 29th, and about these interesting athletes in general.

TrevorMarko

Ironman Germany 2014 (July 6th) – Predictions

This race is a great chance to score some points and a chance to win some nice prizes by picking the top five athletes on IM Predictions!

Luke Dragstra and I have also put out an episode of the IM Predictions podcast discussing the field.

Previous Winners

Year Male Winner Time Female Winner Time
2005 Normann Stadler (GER) 08:20:50 Lisa Bentley (CAN) 09:15:31
2006 Cameron Brown (NZL) 08:13:40 Andrea Steinbecher (GER) 09:16:17
2007 Timo Bracht (GER) 08:09:15 Nicole Leder (GER) 09:04:11
2008 Chris McCormack (AUS) 07:59:55 Chrissie Wellington (GBR) 08:51:24
2009 Timo Bracht (GER) 07:59:15 Sandra Wallenhorst (GER) 08:58:08
2010 Andreas Raelert (GER) 08:05:15 Sandra Wallenhorst (GER) 09:04:27
2011 Faris Al-Sultan (GER) 08:13:50 Caroline Steffen (SUI) 09:12:13
2012 Marino Vanhoenacker (BEL) 08:03:31 Caroline Steffen (SUI) 08:52:33
2013 Eneko Llanos (ESP) 07:59:58 Camilla Pedersen (DEN) 08:56:01

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Eneko Llanos ESP 00:46:10 04:25:32 02:44:12 07:59:58
2 Jan Raphael GER 00:46:12 04:25:41 02:51:21 08:07:19
3 Bas Diederen NED 00:46:10 04:34:00 02:47:58 08:12:07

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Camilla Pedersen DEN 00:48:08 04:54:20 03:09:29 08:56:01
2 Jodie Swallow GBR 00:46:09 04:50:36 03:17:40 08:58:43
3 Kristin Moeller GER 00:57:06 05:03:10 02:57:13 09:01:55

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 07:59:15 Timo Bracht 2009-07-05
Swim overall 00:43:55 Andi Boecherer 2008-07-06
Bike overall 04:20:25 Marino Vanhoenacker 2013-07-07
Run overall 02:42:33 Timo Bracht 2008-07-06
Total female 08:51:24 Chrissie Wellington 2008-07-06
Swim female 00:45:04 Amanda Stevens 2012-07-08
Bike female 04:50:36 Jodie Swallow 2013-07-07
Run female 02:57:13 Kristin Moeller 2013-07-07

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Germany is 12:54.

Race Adjustments for IM Germany

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Athletes Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2005 -03:26 00:41 04:40 -04:09 5 -03:26 00:41 04:40 -04:09
2006 11:55 n/a n/a n/a 18 04:15 00:41 04:40 -04:09
2007 20:50 01:39 13:38 04:52 22 09:46 01:10 09:09 00:22
2008 23:07 04:26 08:03 07:46 21 13:06 02:16 08:47 02:50
2009 17:15 03:00 13:00 00:03 17 13:56 02:27 09:50 02:08
2010 08:10 00:42 03:53 01:07 29 12:58 02:06 08:39 01:56
2011 09:13 01:25 05:34 00:48 37 12:26 01:59 08:08 01:44
2012 10:34 03:17 04:53 02:10 33 12:12 02:10 07:40 01:48
2013 18:27 02:13 09:07 05:25 62 12:54 02:10 07:51 02:15

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Germany has 4000 KPR points for the winner. It has a total prize purse of 125k$.

Male Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating Rank
1 3 Sebastian Kienle GER 08:12:10 08:24:12 00:51:25 04:30:46 02:57:07 6
2 1 Frederik Van Lierde BEL 08:12:32 08:24:35 00:47:45 04:35:39 02:55:43 7
3 5 Andreas Raelert GER 08:14:00 08:26:05 00:49:14 04:44:41 02:51:17 (11)
4 7 Clemente Alonso-McKernan ESP 08:20:40 08:32:55 00:47:37 04:46:58 02:51:54 (20)
5 Bas Diederen NED 08:24:07 08:36:27 00:47:50 04:44:23 02:57:09 28
6 2 Jan Raphael GER 08:28:31 08:40:58 00:48:38 04:47:04 03:00:59 42
7 8 Miquel Blanchart ESP 08:29:44 08:42:12 00:49:05 04:51:48 02:53:28 46
8 26 Jens Petersen-Bach DEN 08:30:17 08:42:46 00:52:14 04:49:14 02:55:48 50
9 9 Denis Chevrot FRA 08:30:29 08:42:58 00:47:23 04:52:37 02:56:30 51
10 38 Ronnie Schildknecht SUI 08:31:41 08:44:12 00:52:41 04:44:05 03:01:55 54
11 Bert Jammaer BEL 08:33:19 08:45:53 00:49:04 04:45:55 03:05:00 58
12 27 David Plese SVN 08:34:45 08:47:21 00:54:11 04:46:48 02:59:22 63
13 14 Marc Duelsen GER 08:35:49 08:48:26 00:52:41 04:39:20 02:59:50 (66)
14 6 Johann Ackermann GER 08:44:11 08:57:00 00:48:14 04:46:40 03:05:23 (108)
15 37 Michael Davidson ZAF 08:53:14 09:06:17 00:55:05 04:53:53 03:03:35 (156)
16 18 Jens Kaiser GER 08:53:38 09:06:41 00:57:26 04:48:20 03:12:26 156
17 36 Benjamin Sanson FRA 08:55:49 09:08:56 00:46:24 05:34:51 03:32:41 165
18 15 Ivan Alvarez Gomez ESP 09:02:35 09:15:51 00:56:42 05:06:06 03:05:07 191
19 10 Hannes Cool BEL 09:05:19 09:18:40 00:51:46 04:52:54 03:16:13 (198)
20 20 Carlos Lopez Diaz ESP 09:12:48 09:26:19 00:47:02 04:50:46 03:26:55 (231)
21 17 Ivan Jezko SVK 09:22:47 09:36:33 00:58:43 04:59:36 03:25:03 (265)
22 25 Stefano Paoli ITA 09:25:27 09:39:17 00:53:50 04:58:02 03:40:52 282
23 29 Alfred Rahm GER 09:32:33 09:46:33 01:01:22 05:09:04 03:25:28 310
24 23 Brendan Naef CAN 09:38:11 09:52:20 00:57:39 05:17:59 03:27:43 332
25 16 Yeun Sik Ham KOR 09:39:02 09:53:12 01:04:00 05:09:43 02:53:26 (336)
26 22 Benjamin Munizaga CHI 09:47:47 10:02:10 00:51:16 05:05:25 03:49:16 (363)
27 19 Ludovic Le Guellec FRA 09:51:28 10:05:56 00:59:47 05:21:26 03:34:57 369
28 11 Kurt Debouck BEL 10:20:06 10:35:16 00:55:57 05:13:48 04:03:19 (422)
29 34 Marek Nemcik SVK 11:41:28 11:58:38 01:11:53 05:58:21 04:37:41 445
4 Jan Frodeno GER n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
12 Alessandro Degasperi ITA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
13 Martijn Dekker NED n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
21 Michael Louys BEL n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
24 Mark Oude Bennink NED n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
28 Lukas Polan CZE n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
30 Evert Scheltinga NED n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
31 Marcel Tuvmelme SVN n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
32 Hendrik-Jan Verhaegen BEL n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
33 Damien With FRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
35 Vincent Depuiset FRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)

Female Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating Rank
1 127 Mary Beth Ellis USA 09:04:21 09:17:40 00:51:00 05:07:44 03:13:23 5
2 102 Jodie Swallow GBR 09:07:05 09:20:28 00:47:53 05:02:05 03:23:18 7
3 124 Eva Wutti AUT 09:10:04 09:23:32 00:56:06 05:00:26 03:10:55 (9)
4 105 Gina Crawford NZL 09:12:26 09:25:57 00:51:55 05:14:02 03:13:16 11
5 Camilla Pedersen DEN 09:13:38 09:27:11 00:50:23 05:06:08 03:19:42 (17)
6 103 Sonja Tajsich GER 09:15:12 09:28:47 01:02:13 05:14:52 03:07:33 17
7 128 Caitlin Snow USA 09:16:19 09:29:56 00:54:45 05:26:30 03:02:15 19
8 119 Amy Marsh USA 09:19:50 09:33:32 00:51:41 05:05:37 03:31:23 21
9 118 Elizabeth Lyles USA 09:19:51 09:33:33 00:58:11 05:20:49 03:08:31 22
10 104 Natascha Badmann SUI 09:20:08 09:33:50 01:01:34 05:06:46 03:17:12 24
11 107 Corinne Abraham GBR 09:20:44 09:34:27 01:00:24 05:19:19 03:09:30 27
12 108 Simone Braendli SUI 09:23:50 09:37:38 00:51:29 05:16:05 03:23:49 32
13 126 Kristin Moeller GER 09:24:06 09:37:54 01:03:38 05:21:06 03:06:54 33
14 114 Mareen Hufe GER 09:27:30 09:41:23 01:00:30 05:08:19 03:26:40 43
15 125 Lucie Reed CZE 09:28:05 09:41:59 00:50:38 05:17:42 03:27:15 45
16 116 Camilla Lindholm SWE 09:41:45 09:55:59 01:08:26 05:21:17 03:16:18 79
17 110 Astrid Ganzow GER 09:46:44 10:01:05 00:59:22 05:10:29 03:28:50 (91)
18 115 Katja Konschak GER 09:47:53 10:02:16 00:52:28 05:29:09 03:30:10 92
19 111 Beate Goertz GER 09:51:29 10:05:57 01:05:44 05:08:29 03:27:09 (96)
20 129 Stefanie Adam BEL 09:54:27 10:09:00 00:55:50 05:07:52 03:44:26 (100)
21 112 Katharina Grohmann GER 09:59:41 10:14:21 01:14:52 05:28:17 03:18:58 114
22 113 Helena Herrero Gomez ESP 10:06:16 10:21:06 01:01:42 05:38:45 03:15:21 (127)
23 123 Nicole Woysch GER 10:07:43 10:22:35 00:58:47 05:32:02 03:43:14 128
24 120 Yasuko Miyazaki JPN 10:25:41 10:40:59 01:01:05 05:57:37 03:41:06 (145)
25 106 Natascha Schmitt GER 10:29:09 10:44:33 00:53:41 05:38:48 03:51:46 (147)
26 109 Line Margareta Foss NOR 11:13:41 11:30:10 01:29:25 05:46:35 03:45:46 (156)
121 Jenny Schulz GER n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
117 Annabel Luxford AUS n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
122 Verena Walter GER n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

As usual, IM Germany has a stellar field. Based on previous results, Freddie Van Lierde is my favorite. However, the race will be very interesting with the mix of experienced athletes probably focused more on Kona (Freddie, Sebastian Kienle), athletes moving up to the full distance (Jan Frodeno), athletes coming back from not so good results (Andreas Raelert, Ronnie Schildknecht, Jens Petersen-Bach) and those probably fully focused on Frankfurt (Jan Raphael and most of the other Germans). Almost impossible to predict what is going to happen!

  • Frederik Van Lierde: 45% (1-1)
  • Andreas Raelert: 27% (3-1)
  • Ronnie Schildknecht: 12% (8-1)
  • Sebastian Kienle: 8% (11-1)
  • Clemente Alonso-McKernan: 5% (19-1)
  • Jan Raphael: 3% (29-1)

Female Race Participants

The female race also has an amazing depth of talent, but is probably a bit easier to foresee than the men’s. Mary Beth Ellis and Jodie Swallow are always solid and at the front of the race. Last year’s winner Camilla Pedersen is back to defend her title – she’s had a tumultuous year with a bike crash, induced coma, an amazing recovery and successful 70.3 races in the spring. It’s hard to say what she’ll be able to do over the full distance. Then there are Eva Wutti (who needs a good result after a DNF in Texas), and a lot of German (Sonja Tajsich, Kristin Möller) and international athletes (Elizabeth Lyles, Gina Crawford). There are a few athletes on the list that are probably DNS – Annabel Luxford is injured, and Simone Braendli and Cait Snow have entered Frankfurt only as a back-up option if their primary IMs in Austria and France don’t go so well.

  • Eva Wutti: 29% (2-1)
  • Mary Beth Ellis: 24% (3-1)
  • Camilla Pedersen: 15% (6-1)
  • Jodie Swallow: 8% (11-1)
  • Sonja Tajsich: 7% (13-1)
  • Caitlin Snow: 6% (15-1)
  • Elizabeth Lyles: 3% (34-1)
  • Gina Crawford: 3% (39-1)
  • Kristin Moeller: 2% (57-1)

Challenge Atlantic City 2014 (June 29th) – Predictions

Update (June 22nd): Jessie Donavan tweeted that she is not racing.

Update (June 24th): April Gellatly, Amy Javens and Kathryn Thomas are still on the start list but are rumored not to be starting. Anna Cleaver is no longer on the list. 

This is the first race on this course, therefore we don’t have previous winners, a course rating or expected finishing times.

Male Race Participants

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating Rank
1 Chris McCormack AUS n/a 08:28:15 00:48:39 04:43:37 02:52:34 (14)
2 Fredrik Croneborg SWE n/a 08:48:53 00:51:59 04:52:18 02:58:02 70
3 Petr Vabrousek CZE n/a 08:58:11 00:54:53 04:52:52 03:03:35 117
4 Andres Castillo COL n/a 09:05:22 00:47:47 04:53:49 03:20:00 (153)
5 Thomas Gerlach USA n/a 09:05:43 00:55:26 04:47:53 03:16:05 156
6 Ryan Cain CAN n/a 09:08:07 00:55:28 05:00:29 03:06:14 165
7 Scott Defilippis USA n/a 09:08:17 00:55:49 05:01:48 03:03:44 166
8 Chad Holderbaum USA n/a 09:09:19 00:55:22 04:53:31 03:12:34 171
9 Dan Mcintosh USA n/a 09:13:59 00:52:04 04:53:04 03:15:44 189
10 Ryan Bates USA n/a 09:23:14 00:52:30 04:50:05 03:20:39 (216)
11 Adam O’Meara CAN n/a 09:25:24 00:54:30 05:08:53 03:13:09 226
12 Eneko Elosegui ESP n/a 09:28:44 00:58:52 04:55:49 03:25:02 241
13 Kyle Pawlaczyk USA n/a 09:31:19 00:55:00 05:08:24 03:22:54 250
14 Nathan Killam CAN n/a 09:36:41 00:56:38 05:09:27 03:06:33 (270)
15 Christopher Bagg USA n/a 09:37:58 00:54:02 04:57:52 03:36:11 276
16 Jim Lubinski USA n/a 09:41:29 01:02:47 05:14:58 03:18:58 293
17 James Lamastra USA n/a 09:44:35 00:51:43 05:00:03 03:47:46 304
18 John Hirsch USA n/a 09:45:35 00:55:26 05:16:00 03:24:32 310
19 Tom Wood USA n/a 09:52:46 00:57:00 05:17:16 03:17:28 (337)
20 Simon Malo CAN n/a 09:53:54 00:56:47 05:03:47 03:41:56 (340)
21 Jeff Paul USA n/a 09:59:19 01:01:41 05:11:32 03:39:26 (360)
22 Aubrey Aldy USA n/a 10:11:49 01:05:13 05:31:25 03:14:46 (386)
23 Arland Macasieb PHI n/a 10:19:54 01:03:20 05:27:23 03:44:32 411
Jack Braconnier USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
Nicholas Brodnicki USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
Jeremy Howard USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
Vincent Johnson USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)

Female Race Participants

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating Rank
1 Jessie Donavan USA n/a 09:37:02 01:06:48 05:06:47 03:16:40 30
2 Carrie Lester AUS n/a 09:38:25 00:55:25 05:12:49 03:23:30 37
3 April Gellatly (?) USA n/a 10:11:00 00:56:27 05:28:39 03:38:02 105
4 Laurel Wassner USA n/a 10:11:34 00:50:39 05:50:15 03:10:00 (106)
5 Jacqui Gordon USA n/a 10:14:55 01:00:22 05:28:43 03:38:26 116
6 Jocelyn Cornman USA n/a 10:22:42 01:00:32 05:39:22 03:26:21 (129)
7 Meghan Newcomer USA n/a 10:28:46 00:57:09 05:41:44 03:37:37 (135)
8 Amy Javens (?) USA n/a 10:33:15 01:06:09 05:23:12 03:46:12 (138)
9 Natasha Van der Merwe USA n/a 10:37:19 01:04:13 05:27:15 03:57:41 140
10 Alyssa Godesky USA n/a 10:45:08 01:04:30 05:38:47 03:40:57 (147)
Kathryn Thomas (?) USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
Anna Cleaver NZL n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

Chris McCormack hasn’t won an Ironman since Cairns 2011. He is a Challenge ambassador, so he’ll probably want to leave a good impression here. Fredrik Croneborg might be considered the front runner, Thomas Gerlach is a late addition to the start list with good chances for a pay day.

  • Chris McCormack: 45% (1-1)
  • Fredrik Croneborg: 22% (4-1)
  • Thomas Gerlach: 8% (12-1)
  • Petr Vabrousek: 8% (12-1)
  • Scott Defilippis: 7% (13-1)
  • Andres Castillo: 5% (20-1)
  • Dan Mcintosh: 4% (26-1)

Female Race Participants

The race looks to be a two horse race between Carrie Lester and Jessie Donavan. I’m a bit surprised to see Jessie on the start list – my guess was that she is focused on her Kona build.  Jessie has tweeted that she won’t be racing. Closest to these two is Anna Cleaver, probably better known under her maiden name Anna Ross who is coming back from foot surgery.  (I mixed up the Anna’s here .. Anna Cleaver finished the shortened IM Melbourne in 2013, and is different from Anna Russell nee Ross. Thanks to Dana for pointing out my error.)

  • Carrie Lester: 46% (1-1)
  • Jessie Donavan: 45% (1-1)
  • Anna Cleaver: 5% (19-1)
  • April Gellatly: 2% (26-1)
  • Jacqui Gordon: 2% (42-1)
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